2014 (1,652 entries)

Job Opening: Database Journalist, Politics
Data Visualization Job Openings @ FiveThirtyEight
Status Update: Building FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight Hiring Update
FiveThirtyEight Seeks Data-Driven Freelance Writers
Travis Childers’ Elasticity Problem
As Sports Data Evolve, the Public May Get Left Behind
Let’s Not Get Carried Away With the 3s
Holy $&*#! The Pope And Accidental Cursing
John Cornyn Is Too Conservative to Lose This Primary
Russell Wilson Is Already a Two-Sport Standout
When It Comes To Exercise, Don’t Trust. Verify.
When It Comes To Exercise, Don’t Trust. Verify.
The Wild, Conservative West
Why It’s Hard to Predict Oscar Winners
British Teeth Aren’t That Bad (American Teeth Are Far Worse)
They’re Meaty Headlines, But There’s More Smoke Than Fire
The Smell of Data in the Morning
The Most Underreported Piece of Obama’s Budget
Follow @FiveThirtyEight
The Tall Apple: Number of Stories in NYC Skyscrapers Might Floor You
Signs of a Thaw
Internationally, Women Still Spend More Time Doing Chores
Internationally, Women Still Spend More Time Doing Chores
How to Take the New SAT
FiveThirtyEight to Relaunch on March 17
A Suspicious Immigration Statistic
Somebody Poll a Senate Race
The Odds of Getting off the Elevator First
Slow And Steady Is Losing the Race
Americans Disliked Russia Even Before the Crisis in Ukraine
Don’t Read Too Much Into Result in Florida’s 13th District
Darrelle Revis And the Paradox of Cornerback Stats
Longer Extra Point Could Make NFL Coaches Do the Math
Obama Plan Could Mean Overtime Pay for Millions
Reviewing the Peer-Review Process
Record Household Wealth Mostly Due to Gains Among the Rich
Sex, Drugs And Guns: America’s Underground Economies
Sorry, Scott Brown: The Granite State Seems Happy With Its Senator
Billions to Treasury Could Dry Up
The Quiet Dominance of Steve Smith
Many Signs Pointed to Crimea Independence Vote — But Polls Didn’t
Finally, a Formula For Decoding Health News
This Winter Wasn’t the Coldest, But It Was One of the Most Miserable
Three Rules to Make Sure Economic Data Aren’t Bunk
Tracking Health One Step (And Clap, And Wave, And Fist Pump) at a Time
Parsing Is Such Sweet Sorrow
Why Only Half of Venezuelans Are in the Streets
All Politics Is Presidential
Building a Bracket Is Hard This Year, But We’ll Help You Play the Odds
What the Fox Knows
The Quest to Count City-Dwelling Rats
Why Gretzky Had It Easy
Toilet Seat Covers: To Use or Not to Use
Wichita State’s Strength of Schedule Isn’t the Problem
The Piles of Cash That Never Existed
Baseball’s Most Surprising Seasons, Good And Bad
‘Data Is’ vs. ‘Data Are’
‘Data Is’ vs. ‘Data Are’
You Just Had Sex, So How Many Calories Did You Burn?
You Just Had Sex, So How Many Calories Did You Burn?
Poverty, Policy And Pot
Fear Not, Readers: We Have RSS Feeds
Fear Not, Readers: We Have RSS Feeds
How Statisticians Could Help Find That Missing Plane
Another Explanation For Crimea Referendum Landslide
Advice For Phil Jackson: Hire Phil Jackson
Buffett’s Billion Won’t Lead to a Perfect Bracket
When Living Wage Is Minimum Wage
Typical Minimum-Wage Earners Aren’t Poor, But They’re Not Quite Middle Class
How to Eat at McDonald’s When You’re Monumentally Broke
How to Eat at McDonald’s When You’re Monumentally Broke
The Vicious Cycle of Drafting Quarterbacks
We Have a 1 in 7,419,071,319 Chance of Winning Buffett’s Billion
Nate Silver on ‘Good Morning America’
Sending Email Via Carrier Pigeon
Disasters Cost More Than Ever — But Not Because of Climate Change
Dayton Does Matter
The Key Question For Yellen: Is This Economy As Good As It Gets?
An America Without Irish Immigrants
An America Without Irish Immigrants
What to Expect From Baseball America’s Top 100 Prospects
U.S. and Chinese Current Accounts Converging
A March Madness Bracket For Stat-Heads
Don’t Sleep on Villanova
Pregnant Women, Here’s One Less Thing To Worry About
Why People Bet on the Favorite Even When the Spread Favors the Underdog
A Belated Welcome to DataLab
Former Obama Adviser: Government Should Have Done More
Ocean Debris And the Search for the Malaysia Airlines Plane
Ocean Debris And the Search for the Malaysia Airlines Plane
Louisville Should’ve Been a No. 1 Seed, But It Might Play Like a No. 9
Our NCAA Bracket Will Update Live, But Here’s Where You Can Find Our Old Data
Romney, Obama And International Opinion
When Spring Training Matters
Out of Work, Out of Luck
MLB Teams Hold Up Well After Overseas Travel
Florida’s Odds Are Dropping
GOP Field Hasn’t Been This Split in 40 Years
Want a Raise? Quit Your Job
Following Up on Disasters And Climate Change
Duke’s Lehigh Loss Was Bad, But Mercer Was Worser
Is Hillary Clinton Qualified to Be President? A New Poll is Easy to Misread
FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast: GOP Is Slight Favorite in Race for Senate Control
The Return of MLB’s Youth
Low Pay Limits Player Experience in National Women’s Soccer League
The Fastest Rapper in the Game
The Fastest Rapper in the Game
The Gators Bite Back
When Picking a Bracket, It’s Easier to Be Accurate Than Skillful
Which Last Longer in America: Companies or Marriages?
Which Last Longer in America: Companies or Marriages?
The Shift From Low-Wage Worker to Robot Worker
The Hidden Value of the NBA Steal
The DSCC Can’t Have It Both Ways
History Suggests It Might Not Get Better For Democrats
The Beatles Aren’t Bigger Than Jesus (Or Even Moses) at the Movies
Fewer Kids Are Playing Football, But Mark Cuban Might Be Wrong About Why
Study Names Colleges With the Best Return on Investment
Missing: Up To 4 Million Workers
Clinton Is Polling Like an Incumbent, And That Could Help Her in 2016
Labor Force Participation Doesn’t Mean What It Used to
Yankees vs. Mets: The Battle For New York’s Heart
Born in the Early ’80s: Where Are They Now?
There’s No Place Like Home For John Isner
For Columnist, a Change of Tone
Can Evolution Outrace Climate Change?
The Imperfect Pursuit of a Perfect Baseball Forecast
Men Are More Likely to Live With Their Folks
NLRB Ruling Reignites College-Athlete Pay Debate
Residents of Struggling Cities Opt to Skip Town
The NCAA Bracket: Checking Our Work
Even If They Don’t Win Tonight, the 76ers Are Getting Better
Are American Teenagers Getting More Promiscuous?
Are American Teenagers Getting More Promiscuous?
Quantifying the ‘That Guy Is Still in the Major Leagues?’ Phenomenon
The Messy Truth Behind GDP Data
Reports of a Drop in Childhood Obesity Are Overblown
Market Forces Appear to Apply to Hospitals, Too
‘WhatsAppitis’ And Other Modern Injuries
‘WhatsAppitis’ And Other Modern Injuries
Nate Silver on ‘The Daily Show’
Noah’s Arc in Film and TV
How Bad Was the Cabrera Deal?
FiveThirtyEight to Commission Response to Disputed Climate Article
Tennessee’s Strange Path to Sweet 16 Suggests It’s a Big Threat to Michigan
Income And Spending Are Up — Thanks, Obamacare
Cabrera’s Millions And Baseball’s Billions
Most Managers Are Headed to the Hall of Mediocrity
Turning Dreams Into Data
The Most Impressive Run to the Final Four (And It’s Not Kentucky’s)
President Obama’s Brackets: Apolitical, Cautious And Full of Chalk
MIT Climate Scientist Responds on Disaster Costs And Climate Change
When a Point Is Not Worth a Point
Here’s How He Met Her Mother
Midterm Turnout Isn’t the Only Reason For Rosy Republican Outlook
Breaking Down ESPN’s First MLB Season Forecast
A Gaffe Can Matter When It Motivates the Base
A National Drilling Boom, But a Two-State Oil Boom
Poll Shows Record Obamacare Support, But That Doesn’t Mean Much
The Dollar-And-Cents Case Against Hollywood’s Exclusion of Women
Which MLB Teams Overperform in Popularity?
Which MLB Teams Overperform in Popularity?
Are NBA Steals Born of Bad Defense?
An Unusual Accounting Move in Paul Ryan’s Budget
The Murky State of E-Cigarette Research
Rich Suburbs Can’t Save Democrats This November
What to Expect From DeSean Jackson in Washington
A Few Data Points on the Supreme Court’s Donor-Limit Decision
The Top-Grossing, Bechdel Test-Passing Movies
Why the Trix Rabbit Looks Down on You
Why the Trix Rabbit Looks Down on You
The Distribution of Fandom in Pro Leagues
Four Strikes And You’re Out
The Gender Balance in Tech, in New York And Beyond
Has Mike Trout Already Peaked?
El Niño Probably Won’t Quench California’s Thirst
Consensus And Discord in Predicting the 2014 MLB Season
Wait, the 76ers Get a Ton of Steals, And They Stink
It’s Easier to Get Assists in Huntsville, Texas, Than Anywhere Else
The ‘Big Five’ in North American Pro Sports
Jobs Report: Back to Where We Started
Jobs Report: Back to Where We Started
A Look at Journalists Killed, by Country
Potential Growth, And a Debate Over Why the U.S. Is Lagging
Baseball’s Best Farm Systems: How Much Do They Matter?
How Rare Are Anti-Gay-Marriage Donations in Silicon Valley?
Labor Secretary: Long-term Unemployment Keeps Me up at Night
Senate Races in 2014 Lack (Good) Polling
The People Pushing the NHL Into the Advanced Stats Era
The Historic Rarity of a Double Bracket-Busting NCAA Championship Game
Inflation May Hit the Poor Hardest
Kentucky Injury Makes NCAA Basketball Championship a True Toss-Up
Some MLB Teams Will Rise, Some Will Fall (But You Shouldn’t Predict Either)
College Basketball’s Problem Isn’t Endless Nail-Biters — It’s Long Blowouts
The GOP Senator Most Likely to Falter in the Primary Season
Steals Are Predictive, But Are They That Important?
Should U.S. Soccer Have Fired Tom Sermanni?
Where Sabermetrics And the ‘Eye Test’ Disagree
UConn’s Not-So-Secret Weapon
The Women’s NCAA Final Is Unlike Anything In the History of Major American Sports
Answering Questions About Inflation Inequality
Oscar Pistorius Trial Puts a Spotlight on Crime in South Africa
The Odds of Finding a Job Have Improved
John Calipari Has Seen a Lot of Bricks at the Free-Throw Line
Low-Income Adults in States Without Expanded Medicaid Have More Health Problems
The Toolsiest Player of Them All
The Bechdel Test: Checking Our Work
Some Data For Equal Pay Day
At Augusta, Hitting Short Drives and Losing Is a Tradition Unlike Any Other
In the End, People May Really Just Want to Date Themselves
Low Inflation as Far as the Eye Can See
The Best College Basketball Program of All Time
The Incomplete Picture on Weapons Used in School Homicides
Gender Pay Gap Tracks With Number of Women in State Legislatures
If Hank Aaron Had Never Hit a Home Run, Would He Be a Hall of Famer?
Are Mammograms Worth It?
Can All of New York Go Out to Eat on the Same Day?
Can All of New York Go Out to Eat on the Same Day?
The Stats Guys vs. Basketball Guys Rivalry Is Overblown
There Isn’t a Secret Majority Supporting Obamacare
Why We’re Meh About the Falling Layoffs
Jeb Bush Has as Good a Shot as Anybody
Why Colbert Makes Sense For ‘Late Show’
Stephen Colbert Is Popular on the Internet
How to Predict MLB Records From Early Results
Bike Lanes Don’t Cause Traffic Jams If You’re Smart About Where You Build Them
The Pubic Hair Preferences of the American Woman
The Pubic Hair Preferences of the American Woman
Even After the First Round, We Won’t Know Much About Who Will Win the Masters
Both the Heat and the Pacers Have Time to Rebound
Jeb Bush’s Stance on Education May Not Be That Controversial
Vance McAllister’s Days in Congress Are Probably Numbered
Like Bush, Many Republicans Are Moderate on Immigration
There’s Income Inequality in Golf, Too
What If An Evil Commissioner Turned Hank Aaron’s Homers Into Singles?
Sam Houston State’s Scorer: ‘We Reward Good Team Play’
A Statistical Analysis of the Work of Bob Ross
A Q&A With the Steward of Bob Ross
Bubba Watson’s Masters Performance Was Better Than You Think
Losing Benefits Isn’t Prodding Unemployed Back to Work
Where Atari’s ‘E.T.’ Ranks Among Video Game Flops
A GIF-Guided Tour of Remixed FiveThirtyEight Data
U.S. Tax Rates: The Big Picture
The Anarchy And Evolution of Thousands Playing ‘Pokémon’
Tornado Season Is Off to a Slow Start, But There’s No Predicting What’s Next
Do Pulitzers Help Newspapers Keep Readers?
Just How Bad Were the ‘Bad Boys’?
The Fluctuating Math Errors in Americans’ Tax Returns
How Partisan Are Partisan Senate Polls?
A Hot Goalie Isn’t a Better Goalie
It’s All About the Strike Zone
When April Snow Showers Blanket Spring Flowers
Beards Are Less Attractive When They’re Everywhere
Beards Are Less Attractive When They’re Everywhere
Kansas Has Moved on From Kathleen Sebelius
Advanced Stats Love Jackie Robinson
Time to Shave? Not So Fast
Businesses Are Better Than Consumers at Predicting Inflation
Early Senate Polls Have Plenty to Tell Us About November
The Biggest Predictor of How Long You’ll Be Unemployed Is When You Lose Your Job
How Violence Against Women in the U.K. Compares to Stats Across the World
Timing Matters When Losing Your Job (And Timing Was Very Bad in 2009)
Where Is Ukraine’s Next Crimea?
Where People Feel Safe, And Where They Are Safe
What Arizona’s Rough Start Says About MLB (and the NFL and NBA)
2064: The Technology of the Future (Will We Still Be Waiting For Our Jetpacks?)
Why a Plan to Circumvent the Electoral College Is Probably Doomed
The Most Popular Day of the Week For Buying Weed
I Don’t Care If I Ever Get Back — And I Might Not
Trix Strikes Back
What Would’ve Happened If Nobody Had Gotten Hurt in the NBA This Year
Pace Is the Most Consistent Pitching Stat
The California Comeback
What to Expect From Michael Phelps If He Swims in Rio de Janeiro
Djokovic Makes a Run at No. 1
Fly Early, Arrive On-Time
When To Hold Out For A Lower Airfare
The Potential Bubble the Federal Reserve Cares Most About
Are Pro Wrestlers Dying at an Unusual Rate?
Are Pro Wrestlers Dying at an Unusual Rate?
Democrats Shouldn’t Count on an Electoral College Edge in 2016
How Much Do State Jobless Rates Differ?
Kings’ Disappointing Playoff Run Surprises Advanced Stats
Happy Bob Ross Visualizations
Which Cities Sleep In, And Which Get To Work Early
Which Cities Sleep In, And Which Get To Work Early
Partisan Loyalty Begins at Age 18
In the NBA, It’s Not Whether You Win or Lose, It’s Whether You Beat Vegas
All the Presidents’ Grandchildren
Mike Trout And Bryce Harper Are Baseball’s Best Young Position-Player Duo Ever
One Metric by Which the NBA Is More Popular Than the NFL
The Odds of Getting on a Domestic Partner’s Health Plan
More High School Grads Decide College Isn’t Worth It
Under Moyes, Manchester United Wasn’t Particularly Good — Or Lucky
Do April Showers Bring May Flowers?
Some Fouls Are So Bad They’re Good
Stop Betting Against Gregg Popovich
Elizabeth Warren Wouldn’t Be 2016’s Obama, But She Could Be Its John Edwards
A 14-Team NFL Playoff Wouldn’t Bring More Parity
Where the U.S. Gets Its Clothing, One Year After the Bangladesh Factory Collapse
How to Measure Traffic Congestion
Are Older Men’s Sperm Really Any Worse?
Is the DH Rule Slowing the Game Down?
Flight Delayed? Your Pilot Really Can Make Up the Time in the Air
Comparing the WWF’s Death Rate to the NFL’s And Other Pro Leagues’
Which NFL Teams Really Have the Toughest And Easiest Schedules in 2014?
Baby’s First Profanity
Baby’s First Profanity
Women’s Hips, And the Scientists Who Love Them
To Find a Career Like Tim Duncan’s, We Have to Go Back to Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
Americans Have Fewer Credit Cards And Less Debt
Economic ‘Uncertainty’ Is Trending Down
Florida Set to Join Trend Toward Higher Speed Limits
What’s The Best Way To Build a Major League Baseball Team?
Credit Ratings And Violence
The Most Disciplined MLB Batters
Suddenly, Anyone Can Beat Rafael Nadal on Clay
Baseball Is Finally Remembering How Good Albert Pujols Can Be
Here’s Every Client Don Draper Ever Had
Here’s Every Client Don Draper Ever Had
Inequality in College Towns
Looking at Unemployment From a Family Perspective
Mark Buehrle Is a One-Man Baseball-Game Accelerator
Both Republicans And Democrats Have an Age Problem
In the Papers: Research That May Change How We Think About Economics
To Gauge Americans’ Interest in the World Cup, Ask Some People in Spanish
Three Leagues, 92 Teams And One Black Principal Owner
Why LA Is Still a Lakers Town
How Good Has the Yankees’ Masahiro Tanaka Been?
Indictment May Make Michael Grimm an Underdog, But He’s Not a Goner
Medical Marijuana is Still the Best Deal on Pot in Colorado
Give Us a Straight Answer, America: How Do You Really Feel About Soccer?
Which States Are in the Midwest?
Which States Are in the Midwest?
Intentionally Fouling DeAndre Jordan Is Futile
Condom Use, And Condom Confiscation
For Verizon FiOS Customers, Netflix Streaming Is About to Get Speedier
The Clippers, Like Many NBA Teams, Have a Majority-Minority Fan Base
A Mostly Unknown Pitcher May Be Among Baseball’s Best
Americans’ Growing Love of Limes
Race Gap Narrows in College Enrollment, But Not in Graduation
Race Gap Narrows in College Enrollment, But Not in Graduation
GOP Establishment Looks Set to Win a Bunch of Senate Primaries
A Bad GDP Number, But There’s Some Hope Ahead
How Often Are Executions Botched?
Even the Head Chef of the World’s Best Restaurant Doubts There’s a World’s Best Restaurant
‘Fetch’ Is Finally Happening 10 Years After ‘Mean Girls’
‘Fetch’ Is Finally Happening 10 Years After ‘Mean Girls’
Are White Republicans More Racist Than White Democrats?
Some Tequila With That Lime?
We’ve Published Our Data on the South And Midwest
The Story Behind the Worst Movie on IMDb
Where Circumcision Rates Have Fallen
Where Circumcision Rates Have Fallen
Jobless Benefits Are Disappearing Much Faster Than Jobs Are Appearing
A Call For FiveThirtyEight Summer Interns
The Problems With The New Republic’s Senate Rankings
Why Spider-Man Should Just Take the Subway
There’s a 97 Percent Chance to Win, But Don’t Relax
Do Fewer Unions Make Countries More Competitive?
Sorry Democrats, Marijuana Doesn’t Bring Young Voters to the Polls
The Jobs Numbers Are Wrong, But Don’t Blame Obama’s ‘Chicago Guys’
The 11 Defining Features Of The Summer Blockbuster
The Spot in MLB Lineups Where Managers Are Still Ignoring Sabermetrics
A Really Weird Jobs Report
The ‘Blame Bush’ Era May Be at an End
Who’s Getting a Good Night’s Sleep?
Who’s Getting a Good Night’s Sleep?
We’re Still Waiting for Stephen Strasburg to Surpass Cliff Lee
Tactical Voting And Terrible Singers: Welcome to the Eurovision Song Contest
Got a Billion Dollars? Buy the Clippers
Seasonal Quirks Might Help Explain the Strange Jobs Report
The Students Most Likely to Take Our Jobs
Thoroughbreds Are Running as Fast as They Can
Ctrl + ← Pointless Meetings, Censorship And Other Stuff
How Much Source Material Does HBO’s ‘Game of Thrones’ Have Left to Work With?
Guess Who Cares For Young Adults When They Move Back Home
The Age of Tea Party Members in Congress
Good News: You Won Game 7; Bad News: You’re Less Likely to Win Round 2
How Do You Solve a Problem Like the Marlins?
In the Papers: The Effects of Increasing Social Security Benefits
Anti-Aging Solutions, And the Scientists Who Love Them
More Data Analysts Went Looking For the South And Midwest, And Here’s What They Found
The Many Preventable Workplace Injuries in Superhero Movies
The Odds Michael Sam Will Be Picked in the NFL Draft
The Thunder’s Slow Starters Couldn’t Keep Up With the Clippers
The Trade Report Paradox
Are Democrats in Worse Shape Than They Were in 2010?
A BuzzFeed Parody Made Real: Was Monica Lewinsky Really That Bad For Bill Clinton?
It Matters That the Nets Went 4-0 Against the Heat in the Regular Season
Kidnapping of Girls in Nigeria Is Part of a Worsening Problem (Updated)
Kidnapping of Girls in Nigeria Is Part of a Worsening Problem (Updated)
The Baseball Video Game Championship Belt
Eat More Nuts (And Vegetables, And Don’t Forget to Exercise And Quit Smoking)
‘Inequality’ Booms on MSNBC And Fox News (CNN’s Looking For Flight 370)
What Baby Boomers’ Retirement Means For the U.S. Economy
The Trail Blazers Aren’t Playing the Rockets Anymore
Has the AL East Just Been Unlucky?
Increase in Labor Costs Is Weaker Than It First Appears
Young Voters in 2014 May Be Less Democratic-Leaning Than in 2010 And 2012
Why the Best Scoring Margin Doesn’t Guarantee a Championship in European Soccer
Midterm Election Turnout Isn’t So Different From Presidential Year Turnout
Would You Waterboard a Suspected Terrorist? Easy Answers to Difficult Questions.
How Roy Hibbert Became Roy Hibbert Again, If Only For a Night
No Team Can Beat the Draft
How Does Nolan Arenado’s 27-Game Hitting Streak Stack Up?
Could Mitt Romney Be the New Dick Nixon?
Alibaba Is the Latest, Biggest Sign of Americans’ Growing Interest in Chinese Stocks
Americans Will Burn Less Oil 25 Years From Now
Why 2014’s NFL Draft Picks Should Hope Next Year’s Picks Are Bad
When Should You Draft a Quarterback in the First Round?
The Most Blockbuster-y Movie Ever
With Runners On Base, Joey Votto Lets Too Many Good Chances Go By
Chris Bosh Doesn’t Block Shots, But Who Cares?
The Future of the U.S. Oil Boom Is Anyone’s Guess
The Job Market’s Giving Us Mixed Messages
More on Joey Votto’s Swinging Habits
Every Day, Your Mom Wasted 90 Minutes of Her Life On You, So Get Her a Present
Quick Thoughts on Michael Sam to the Rams
Fairness vs. Freedom: Is Politics Going Back to the 1970s?
Where Cheerleading Ranks in Safety Among High School Sports
Ctrl + ← ‘Friends,’ Film Critics And Rappers
Why the Housing Bubble Tanked the Economy And the Tech Bubble Didn’t
Which Is Better: A Hitting Streak Or an On-Base Streak?
A Crowdsourced List of Workplace Accidents in the Top Superhero Movies
A Crowdsourced List of Workplace Accidents in the Top Superhero Movies
The Bipartisan, Cross-Network Love Affair With Putin’s Bare Chest
In the Papers: A Look at the First Major Government-Sponsored Welfare Program
A Big Debate About Baby Boomers
NFL Teams Increasingly Hang on to Their Star Draftees
Acid Rain’s Dirty Legacy
Mapping Kidnappings in Nigeria (Updated)
Mapping Kidnappings in Nigeria (Updated)
Boy Scouts vs. Girl Scouts: A Battle of Values
Boy Scouts vs. Girl Scouts: A Battle of Values
How LeBron James Disassembled the Nets
Game 7 is a Great Time to Get Physical
American Generosity, State by State
American Generosity, State by State
More People Are Running; Fewer Are Playing Bar Sports
More People Are Running; Fewer Are Playing Bar Sports
God Doesn’t Hate Cleveland
The 2014 Election Is the Least Important in Years
Will Incumbency Save McConnell, Pryor And Landrieu?
Meet the Man Who Preserved Decades of NBA History
The Pacers Got Manhandled on the Glass
Are Businesswomen With Short Hair a Cut Above the Rest?
Are Businesswomen With Short Hair a Cut Above the Rest?
Maps of Access to Abortion by State
Maps of Access to Abortion by State
Breaking Down the Young Billionaires Club
Breaking Down the Young Billionaires Club
Jill Abramson Wouldn’t Be the Only Female Editor to Face a Pay Gap
The Slow Death of American Entrepreneurship
The Spurs’ And Heat’s Road to the Conference Finals
Marco Rubio’s Problem Isn’t What You Think It Is
We Just Got Some Conflicting Economic Data
The Mystery Sabermetrics Still Can’t Solve
This Man Has Worked For the NBA For the League’s Entire History
This Man Has Worked For the NBA For the League’s Entire History
Game 7: Stats vs. Ducks
An Anti-Death-Penalty Majority Might Be on Its Way … in 2044
The Thunder May Have Just Discovered an Amazing New Lineup
What Speed Typing Has to Do With NBA History
Developers See a Future With Fewer Picket Fences And More Leases
How Americans Like Their Steak
How Americans Like Their Steak
Ukraine’s Population Challenge
Same-Sex Couples Settle Down More Often in States That Welcome Them
Ctrl + ← Awkward Silences, the English and Mice
The Miami Heat Couldn’t Defend the Most Basic Play in Basketball
The Dream of the ’90s is Alive in New York And Montreal
In the Papers: Stimulus Spending, Investing And Paying Off Debt
Only 11 States Have Ever Elected Both a Female Governor And Senator
How Much College Quarterbacks Are Worth
What to Watch For in Georgia’s Republican Senate Primary
The Spurs Noticed Serge Ibaka Wasn’t on the Court
The One That Got Away Comes Back to Haunt the Canadiens
Oregon’s Mail-in Voting Makes Scandal Unlikely to Sink Wehby
How Much Is Winning the (NBA Draft) Lottery Really Worth?
Our Story About What the Media Said About What Karl Rove Said About Hillary Clinton’s Health
I Stand Corrected About the Best Kind of Desk
The Heat Do as Much Damage in the Fourth Quarter as in the First Three Combined
Only 9 NBA Players Got Concussions This Year
Latest Same-Sex Marriage Rulings Prove That Scalia Was Right
Who’s the ‘Hottest’ Goalie in the Playoffs?
Cutting Off Emergency Unemployment Benefits Hasn’t Pushed People Back to Work
Do Video Games Make Good Movies And TV Shows?
Why the Blackhawks’ Offense Is Struggling Against the Kings
What’s Behind a ‘Hot’ Goalie’s Bad Game (Besides a Jinx)
What Do McDonald’s Workers Really Make Per Hour?
‘Tea Party’ Has Outlived Its Usefulness
The Triple Crown Slump Is Even Slumpier Than You Think
Dear Mona, I’m 32 and Live With a Roommate, Am I Normal?
Dear Mona, I’m 32 and Live With a Roommate, Am I Normal?
Should Landon Donovan Be Going to the World Cup?
How Thailand’s Coup Could Affect Its Economy
Is Patrick Peterson a Better Cornerback Than Richard Sherman?
When to Sign an NBA Player to the Max
Casting the Ideal Challenger to Hillary Clinton
Ctrl + ← Renting, Buying, Rookie Quarterbacks and Immigration
How Tennis Officials Are Trying to Make the Game Fair
The Devil vs. Richard Sherman
Be Skeptical of Both Piketty And His Skeptics
The Heat Should Keep Playing Small Ball
Is College Worth It? It Depends on Whether You Graduate
Is College Worth It? It Depends on Whether You Graduate
How an Order for 10 Submarines Led to Misleading News on the Economy
Dr. Wikipedia Isn’t So Smart, But Lots of People Are Visiting Her
How the Thunder Won Game 4
The Disappearance of Conservative Commencement Speakers
The LA Kings Rediscovered Their Offense Just in Time
Worry About Johnny Manziel’s Weight, Not His Height
Inside the Shadowy World of High-Speed Tennis Betting
The Pacers Are Better Than the Heat (At Least When It Comes to Starting Lineups)
How Worried Should We Be About the Negative GDP Report?
How to Tell Someone’s Age When All You Know Is Her Name
Republicans Are Likely to Maintain Edge in Governorships
In NHL Playoffs, Plan For a Quick Overtime
What We Know About Kids, Sports And Concussions
The 100 Most-Edited Wikipedia Articles
The 100 Most-Edited Wikipedia Articles
How the Spurs Boxed in Kevin Durant
Dear Mona, I Masturbate More Than Once a Day. Am I Normal?
Dear Mona, I Masturbate More Than Once a Day. Am I Normal?
Even A Team’s Fifth Starting Pitcher Matters When Trying to Make the Playoffs
Here’s Why the Rangers Will Face Their Toughest Test in the Stanley Cup Final
Three-Way Governor’s Race Could Get Messy For Cuomo
The Last Teams Standing in the NBA Playoffs Are No Surprise
The Heat Dispatched the Pacers … From a Distance
Blackhawks Force Game 7 to Keep Dynasty Talk Alive
Happy Birthday Nadal! You’re Probably Too Old to Pass Federer
Ctrl + ← Bars, Brits and Spelling Bees
What Predicts Whether an NHL Coach Will Be Fired, And Whether It Matters
A Brief History of N.Y. vs. LA Championship Battles
The Cap Matters Most in Cap-And-Trade Markets
A Big Oops (And a Lesson) in Manufacturing Data
New York Is 85 Percent Better Than LA (According to Aggregate Personal Income in the Metropolitan Statistical Areas)
Why We Still Can’t Afford to Fix America’s Broken Infrastructure
There’s an Actual Tea Party vs. Establishment Matchup in Mississippi
FIFA Has New Problems, But It Hasn’t Addressed Its Old Ones
Using ‘Infrastructure Jobs’ as a Measuring Stick For State-Level Spending
Building Hockey’s Advanced Stats Dream Team
The Political Rhetoric Around Climate Change … Er, Global Warming
’90s Boy Bands: A Numerical Retrospective
Don’t Give the Stanley Cup to the Kings Just Yet
Boy Bands: More Like Man Bands
The Political Media Still Fall for the Hot-Hand Fallacy
The Stanley Cup Center of Gravity Is Somewhere in Lake Huron
Is There a Favorite in the Republican Runoff For Senate in Mississippi?
These Kings Are Better Than Gretzky’s Kings
In Search of America’s Best Burrito
What to Watch For in the NBA Finals
Kings vs. Rangers Isn’t a Huge Mismatch
The 100 Most-Used Emojis
The 100 Most-Used Emojis
It’s the Second-Blingiest Finals Matchup in Modern NBA History
The West is Better Than the East, But That Doesn’t Mean the Spurs Will Beat the Heat
What Ethan Swan Learned From Tracking Every Tattoo in the NBA
The Challenge of Counting D-Day’s Dead
We’ve Regained the Jobs Lost in the Recession, But the Recovery Isn’t Complete
Breaking News: Miami Needs LeBron James on the Floor
The Job Market’s Five-Year Recovery in 10 Charts
Dear Mona: P.S. Do Single People Masturbate More?
Dear Mona: P.S. Do Single People Masturbate More?
The Search For America’s Best Burrito Starts in California
Our Mexican-Food Expert Says: ‘The Diversity of Burritos Is Mind-Blowing’
Americans Sour on Obama’s Foreign Policy
Boy Bands: Banality at Its Worst, And We Can Prove It
Western States Are a New Frontier in the Search For America’s Best Burrito
Our Cultural Historian Explains Why Arizona Is ‘Ground Zero of Burritoness’
Nadal Isn’t What He Used to Be on Clay, But He’s Still Good Enough to Win the French Open
Accurately Counting NBA Tattoos Isn’t Easy, Even If You’re Up Close
The Search For America’s Best Burrito Turns to the Northeast
Chef David Chang Explains Why Yelp Probably Won’t Lead You to Your Favorite Burrito
FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast: Toss-Up or Tilt GOP?
Ctrl + ← The Alphabet, Deadly Diseases and NFL Waistlines
Don’t Expect to See a Triple Crown Anytime Soon
The Spurs Eventually Got What They Wanted in Game 2, But It Didn’t Help Them
The Search For America’s Best Burrito Heads to the Land of Sweet Tea
Our Food Writer Says the South Has Burrito Variety, But Perhaps Not Burrito Greatness
It’s Brazil’s World Cup to Lose
What If Rafael Nadal Had Never Won a Grand Slam Title?
In the Papers (Jumbo Edition): Recession Damage, Music Piracy And Generosity
Public Schools Are Hurting More in the Recovery Than in the Recession
States That Already Spent Less on Education Have Made Bigger School Cuts
’90s Boy Band Lyrics: They’re All About You
Is There Any Hope of a Rangers Comeback?
Finding a Job Opening Has Gotten Easier, But Getting a Job Hasn’t
The People Tracking Every Touch, Pass And Tackle in the World Cup
The Rangers Needed Better CPU Assistance
The Washington Post Misused the Data on Violence Against Women
The Eric Cantor Upset: What Happened?
Will Someone Win the Powerball Jackpot Tonight?
Eric Cantor’s Loss Was Like an Earthquake
The Heat’s Whac-A-Mole Problem
Should World Cup Players Abstain From Sex in Brazil?
The Ukrainian Conflict Has Stunted Ukraine’s Economy Far More Than Russia’s
Baby No. 2 Is Harder on Mom Than Dad
Baby No. 2 Is Harder on Mom Than Dad
How FiveThirtyEight’s World Cup Predictions Compare to Other Ratings
Immigration Does Matter in GOP Primaries, But It’s Not Clear Why
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 1
How Do the Huxtables, Our Favorite TV Family, Compare to the Average U.S. Family?
The History of the World Cup in 20 Charts
What Analytics Can Teach Us About the Beautiful Game
Brazil’s (Ugly) Win Didn’t Change Its Prospects All That Much
Patients Can Face Grave Risks When Doctors Stick to the Rules Too Much
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 2
The Spurs Crush the Heat Again, But in a Different Way
The FiveThirtyEight Burrito-Rating System, Explained
We Have a Weather Forecast For Every World Cup Match, Even the Ones a Month Away
It’s Man vs. Yelp as We Search the South For America’s Best Burrito
Some Restaurants in the South Stretch the Definition of Burrito
Even For a Team Down 3-1, the Rangers Are in Bad Shape
Dear Mona, I Don’t Want Children. Am I Normal?
Dear Mona, I Don’t Want Children. Am I Normal?
Spain Is Now an Underdog to Make the Knockout Stage
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 3
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 4
Ctrl + ← The World Cup, the World Cup And the World Cup
Most Women Like Hillary Clinton ‘Evolved’ On Gay Marriage Years Ago
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 5
Predicting When ‘Game of Thrones’ Author George R. R. Martin Will Come Out With His Next Book
The Spurs’ Deconstruction of the Heat Is Now Complete
U.S. Soccer Fandom: The Investigation Continues
The ‘Game of Thrones’ Ending May Air on HBO Before It Arrives in a Book
Why Women Don’t Cycle
Why Women Don’t Cycle
Why Isn’t the U.S. Men’s National Team Better at Soccer?
In the Papers: Snow Days, Dropouts and Breast Cancer
Whoever Fills Cantor’s Shoes Shouldn’t Bank on Becoming Speaker
The U.S. Now Has a Better Shot at the World Cup, But Still Needs a Point Against Portugal
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 6
The Spurs Were an Outlier of Unselfishness
Southern Burritos Are Filled With Good Meat, But Wrapped In Uncertainty
Elitist, Superfluous, Or Popular? We Polled Americans on the Oxford Comma
Elitist, Superfluous, Or Popular? We Polled Americans on the Oxford Comma
Americans’ Faith in Government Shapes How They Feel About Obamacare — Trust Me
Population Shifts Had Nothing to Do With Cantor’s Defeat
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 7
Spain Must Beat Chile If It Hopes to Advance in the World Cup
Brazil’s Presidents Are More Maradona Than Pelé
Uber Isn’t Worth $17 Billion
Congress’s Low Approval Rating Is Hurting Republicans
Fed Continues Unwinding of Stimulus, But Expects Lower Growth For This Year
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 8
Republicans Have Regained the Foreign Policy Edge
Tackling a Burrito Big Enough to Intimidate Even Chuck Norris
It’s Hard to Get Off the Couch When You’re Unemployed
Defending World Cup Champions Keep Flaming Out
If Hillary Clinton Runs For President, When Might She Announce?
If Hillary Clinton Runs For President, When Might She Announce?
We’re Telling England There’s a Chance!
What We Can Learn From Eric Cantor’s Defeat
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 9
The Politics of the Washington Redskins Name Controversy
Winning 10 Straight Put the Royals’ Playoff Chances at Even Money
Dear Mona, I Still Buy CDs. Am I Normal?
Dear Mona, I Still Buy CDs. Am I Normal?
ICYMI: We’ve Identified the Four Best Burritos in the South
It’s Been the Americas’ World Cup
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 10
Is Sam Adams Too Big to Be Craft Beer?
Germany’s Draw Didn’t Help the U.S.
Numbers Don’t Back up the Notion That American Soccer Is ‘Too Honest’
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 11
Ctrl + ← A Sticker Collector, America’s Center of Mass and Gooooooooals
How the Portugal Draw Boosts the U.S.’s World Cup Advancement Odds
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 12
Rhode Island Has the Country’s Worst Job Market
The FiveFingers Settlement Didn’t Settle the Barefoot Running Debate
The Outcomes of Groups A And B Will Be Decided Today
A Conservative Showdown in Oklahoma
Three Al Jazeera Journalists Join Egypt’s Growing Prison Population
At Wimbledon, Ryan Harrison Suffers Again From His Bad Luck of the Draw
The Mississippi Carnival Ends Tuesday as Voters Choose Cochran Or McDaniel
World Cup Advancement Scenarios For Groups C And D
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 13
We Head to the West For a Mexican Hamburger
These Players Crash the Wimbledon Party the Hard Way
We’ve Had Mixed Success Predicting LeBron’s Moves
Where to Get More Data on the Divisive Oxford Comma
Where to Get More Data on the Divisive Oxford Comma
Good News in the Housing Market: More Sales And Stabilizing Prices
Mr. President, We’re a Little Hurt That You Didn’t Ask Us For a Burrito Recommendation
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 14
World Cup Advancement Scenarios For Groups E And F
An Oddity of Tennis Scoring Makes Its Annual Appearance at Wimbledon
It Looks Like African-Americans Really Did Help Thad Cochran Win
The FiveThirtyEight International Food Association’s 2014 World Cup
Trying to Measure the ‘LeBron Effect’ on Game Attendance
The Economy Got Off to a Historically Bad Start in 2014
The Cost to Taxpayers of Britain’s Phone-Hacking Trial
Police Can Get Access to Your Cellphone Data Even After the Supreme Court Ruling
Was the U.S. Robbed Against Portugal? It Depends on What Time Means
Tall Players Like Joel Embiid Are More Prone to Injury
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 15
It’s Judgment Day in World Cup Groups G and H
The Germans Are Young, in Their Prime, And Really, Really Good
Unlocking the Mystery of the Chile Pepper on a Burrito Tour of New Mexico
The U.S.’s Odds of Beating Belgium And Every Other World Cup Opponent
History Really Was on Cochran’s Side in the Mississippi Runoff
John Isner Is All Alone at Wimbledon
Whom Do You Root For When Your Team Gets Knocked Out of the World Cup?
No, the Long-Term Jobless Aren’t ‘Catching a Break’
Drafting Sophomores Is a Smart Strategy For NBA Teams
Dear Mona, I’ve Been in My Job For 3 Years. Am I Normal?
Dear Mona, I’ve Been in My Job For 3 Years. Am I Normal?
Extra Time Isn’t a Crapshoot in the Knockout Round, But Penalties Are
Updated Elo Ratings For World Cup Teams
Were the Billions Brazil Spent on World Cup Stadiums Worth It?
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 16
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 17
Ctrl + ← The Clintons, Cake And the Supreme Court
Ctrl + ← The Clintons, Cake And the Supreme Court
Why Budget Airlines Could Soon Charge You to Use the Bathroom
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 18
In the Papers: Gun Control, Gender Equality and Taxes
Stoppage Time Is Often Home-Cooked, Especially in Major League Soccer
Lionel Messi Is Impossible
Disliking Congress, as a Whole And as Individuals
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 19
Has the U.S. Men’s National Team Plateaued?
A Chart For Predicting Penalty-Shootout Odds in Real Time
Filo Dough And Leeks in a Burrito? Please, Somebody, Pass the Red Machaca
How Much Do Democrats Depend on the Union Vote?
Tim Howard Lost, But He Just Had the Best Match of the World Cup
Tim Howard Lost, But He Just Had the Best Match of the World Cup
Lessons From Brazil’s War on Poverty
Does Tennis Need a Shot Clock?
There’s No Injury Epidemic, But Be Careful With Those Fourth of July Fireworks
With the U.S. Out, Which World Cup Team Will Americans Root For?
The Job Market Is the Strongest It’s Been Since Before the Recession
How the NFL’s Top Receivers’ Stats Would Change If They Played With Average QBs
Out West, There’s a Showdown Between Green Chili And Kalua Pig
The House And Senate Are the Most Divided They’ve Been in Our Lifetimes
The Giants Clustered Their Luck
The Culture Keeping Women Out of Tech Jobs
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 20
Mohawks, Faux-hawks And Macklemores: The Top-Heavy Hairdos of the World Cup
Federer Rediscovers an Old Tactic at Wimbledon
Get Off My Tennis Lawn!
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 21
Statkeepers Call the Shots, But They Can’t Agree on Them
Wimbledon Is Very Forgiving of Players’ Errors
Ctrl + ← Edible Data, ‘Arrested Development’ And Wedding Costs
Wimbledon Champion Novak Djokovic Just Bested His Coach, Boris Becker
How Neymar’s Injury Affects Brazil’s Chances at the World Cup
Why Classic Rock Isn’t What It Used To Be
The Biggest One-Hit Wonders of Classic Rock
The Biggest One-Hit Wonders of Classic Rock
In the Papers: Long-Term Unemployment, Education And Marriage, And Patent Trolls
It’s a Huge Upset When All the World Cup Favorites Win
Our Correspondent Has Now Identified the Best Burritos in the West
The Senate Races With the Biggest Ideological Stakes
World Cup Semifinal Crib Notes: Brazil vs. Germany
Di Maria’s Injury Makes Argentina-Netherlands Almost Even
We Return to the Burrito Bracket’s Chicago Roots
Job Seekers Face Their Best Odds of the Recovery
Our First Facebook Chat: Ask Nate Silver Almost Anything
Classic Rock Started With The Beatles And Ended With Nirvana
Republicans’ Choice to Hold 2016 Convention in Cleveland Probably Won’t Help Them in Ohio
The Most Shocking Result in World Cup History
Immigration Is Changing Much More Than the Immigration Debate
World Cup Semifinal Crib Notes: Netherlands vs. Argentina
How Does Germany’s Blowout of Brazil Compare to Those in Other Sports?
Immigration Isn’t Driving Hispanic Population Growth
Messi Is Better Than Maradona, But Maybe Not Pele
Following up on the Unimportance of the GOP’s 2016 Convention Choice
Following up on the Unimportance of the GOP’s 2016 Convention Choice
Germany Takes the Top Spot in Soccer Rankings
What Betting Markets Think LeBron James Will Do
How a Woman’s Weight Before Pregnancy Affects Childbirth
LeBron James Shouldn’t Stay in Miami Or Go to Cleveland
U.S. vs. Belgium Was the Best Match of the World Cup So Far
New York Burritos Have Come a Long Way
How Do We Know How Many Undocumented Immigrants There Are?
Colorado Marijuana Report Shows Legalization May Avoid a Big Potential Problem
What Cleveland Would Look Like With LeBron James And Kevin Love
Why the Chinese Are Snapping Up Real Estate in the U.S.
Why the Chinese Are Snapping Up Real Estate in the U.S.
A Recap of Nate Silver’s Live Chat on Facebook
Could the World Cup Champion Beat the Best Club Team in the World?
The Battle For Emmy Nominations
World Cup Shooters Keep Misfiring From Long-Range
World Cup Third-Place Match Crib Notes: Brazil vs. Netherlands
LeBron Is Going to Make His Cavs Teammates Whoa Better
More Twins, Fewer Triplets
World Cup Final Crib Notes: Germany vs. Argentina
The Most Likely Scores in the World Cup Final
Ctrl + ← Kindergarten, Amtrak and Handsome Old Men
Germany May Be the Best National Soccer Team Ever
Germany May Be the Best National Soccer Team Ever
The Home Run Derby Myth
In the Papers: Prison, Prostitution and Unhappy Cities
The Low-Scoring World Cup Final Might Not Be Here to Stay
Corporate America Is Enriching Shareholders at the Expense of the Economy
Carmelo Anthony’s Contract Could Doom the Knicks to Mediocrity
Why June’s ‘Disappointing’ Retail Sales Were Good News for the Economy
Democrats Are in a Perilous Position in 2014 Senate Races
It’s Crunch Time for Burritos in the Northeast
Archie Was Dying Long Before They Killed Him
Derek Jeter And the Other Worst All-Star Starters of the Past 40 Years
Was Lionel Messi Tired?
America’s Most Cosmopolitan Metropolises
The Pitch That Launched a Thousand Think Pieces
Messi Doesn’t Cross That Much, Nor Should He
Governors’ Races Are Close, But There’s More Upside For Democrats
Visualizing a Day in the Life of a New York City Cab
The Labor Force Won’t Fix Itself
The Deadest Sports Days of the Year
The Deadest Sports Days of the Year
‘The Handsome Man’ Burrito And Its Plantains Win by a Nose
Voters Are Rational in Midterm Elections
Dear Mona, How Many Americans Go To Church Every Sunday Like I Do?
Dear Mona, How Many Americans Go To Church Every Sunday Like I Do?
Red Sox GM Ben Cherington Isn’t Completely Delusional
If You’re Doing TGI Fridays’ Unlimited Appetizer Deal, Do It Right
Should Travelers Avoid Flying Airlines That Have Had Crashes in the Past?
Dying at the Grand Canyon
Dying at the Grand Canyon
We Have Now Identified 12 of the 16 Best Burritos in America
Ctrl + ← Underwear, Cupcakes and ZIP Codes
North Dakota’s Oil Bonanza Is Unsustainable
Elizabeth Warren Would Be the Most Liberal Democratic Nominee Since 1972
A Statistical Appreciation of the Washington Generals And Harlem Globetrotters
A Statistical Appreciation of the Washington Generals And Harlem Globetrotters
What to Watch For in Georgia’s Republican Senate Runoff
Determining the Body Count in Gaza
How Rory McIlroy Stacks up to Tiger And Jack
Welcome to California, And the Burrito Bracket’s Group of Death
Chuck Schumer Is Wrong About the Top-Two Primary
America’s Favorite ‘Star Wars’ Movies (And Least Favorite Characters)
America’s Favorite ‘Star Wars’ Movies (And Least Favorite Characters)
What Do We Really Know About the Safety of E-Cigarettes?
The Polls Were Wrong in Georgia’s Senate Runoff, But Don’t Blame Turnout
How the Practice of Religion Has Changed (A Dear Mona Follow-up)
Billion-Dollar Billy Beane
Fish And Chips Abound in Southern California’s Burritos
Plagiarism Scandal Moves Democrat’s Odds in Montana From Slim to Almost Zero
It May Not Matter How Much Young Talent NFL Teams Have
What is Americans’ Favorite Global Cuisine?
Is It True That Some Players Can’t Hack It in New York?
The Coy Keynesian Nod in Paul Ryan’s Anti-Poverty Plan
Dear Mona, How Many Couples Sleep in Separate Beds?
Dear Mona, How Many Couples Sleep in Separate Beds?
Our Correspondent Explains Why She Performs and Photographs Burrito Autopsies
The Rise of Comic-Con: In San Diego, on the Internet And in the News
Ctrl + ← Drought, Darth Vader And Potato Salad
Walking the Data-Driven Scenic Route in London
How Good Is Andrew Luck?
Which Players Will Be Most Affected by the Hall of Fame’s New Rules?
Crist And Scott Could Make History by Being So Unpopular in Florida
Group of Liberal New Yorkers Wants to Legalize Weed
Tiger Woods Was Right About Rory McIlroy’s Inconsistency (Sort of)
San Francisco Burritos Really Are Better
The Number of Beautiful People on Capitol Hill: 50
In the Papers: Retail Wages, Work-Study, School Breakfast And Job Polarization
Why We Don’t Know The Size Of The Transgender Population
The Most Common Items Lost on New York City’s Transit System
The Most Common Items Lost on New York City’s Transit System
We Still Don’t Know How Deadly the Ebola Outbreak in West Africa Will Be
The Economy Bounced Back From Its Winter Slump
Democrats Are Way More Obsessed With Impeachment Than Republicans
Democrats Are Way More Obsessed With Impeachment Than Republicans
The Bureau of Labor Statistics Charts How Much Vacation You Get
The Seattle Seahawks’ Youth Could Portend a Dynasty (Yes, Really)
Even After 25 Years, Pete Rose’s Ban From Baseball Is Money in the Bank
The Rate of Domestic Violence Arrests Among NFL Players
The Rate of Domestic Violence Arrests Among NFL Players
The Burrito Bracket’s First Round Comes to a Close With a Major Upset
How Your City’s Public Transit Stacks Up
It’s Too Soon to Celebrate the Drop in Long-Term Unemployment
What’s The Song Of The Summer?
The Job Market’s Steady As It Grows
Dear Mona, How Many Kids Break A Bone?
That Weird Jon Lester Trade Wasn’t That Weird
Get Ready For Round 2 In Our Search For America’s Best Burrito
Pacers And George Still Have Plenty To Play For
Pacers And George Still Have Plenty To Play For
Ctrl + ← Lacrosse Bros, Cats And The Tea Party
Inflation Isn’t Rising Yet, But The Fed Is Watching Closely
The Football Hall Of Fame Has A Receiver Problem
Republicans Remain Slightly Favored To Take Control Of The Senate
The Decline Of New York City As An NBA Talent Generator
Our Correspondent Laments The Burrito That Got Away
In The Papers: Cash For Clunkers, Affirmative Action, Oil And Water
In Science, It Matters That Women Come Last
We’re More Likely To See A Senator Ousted In Tennessee Than In Kansas
How Wide Receivers Are Like College Football Teams
Are Female Scientists Hiding?
Are Female Scientists Hiding?
The Political Conversation Isn’t About Terrorism Anymore
Don’t Blame Age For Declining U.S. Entrepreneurship
The Odds Of Winning The Indianapolis Colts’ Weather Challenge
Eli Manning Isn’t Likely To Complete 70 Percent Of His Passes, Nor Should He Try
What Happens To Injured NBA Stars Like Paul George?
What’s The Best Age To Be?
What’s The Best Age To Be?
Republicans Have More Reason Than Ever To Worry About Primary Challenges
When A Flight Vanishes From The Sky, Amateur Trackers Know It Instantly
Home Prices Are Now More Reliant On Jobs Growth
With LeBron And Love, The Cavs Have About 65 Wins On Their Roster
Why American Opinion Is Split On The Child Migrant Crisis
The Patriots’ Opponents Won’t Let Spygate Die, But Did It Really Matter?
Democrats Face A Steep Climb In Montana Senate Race
The Difficult Work Of Measuring Anti-Semitism In Europe
Corporate America Hasn’t Been Disrupted
What Makes Nigel Richards The Best Scrabble Player On Earth
Racial Voting Lines In Hawaii Senate Primary Leave Pollsters Mostly Clueless
Dear Mona, How Many People Have Never Drunk Alcohol?
Dear Mona, How Many People Have Never Drunk Alcohol?
These Cavs Could Be LeBron’s Best Supporting Cast Ever
Ctrl + ← Ebola, Verbal Pauses And Prostitutes
Are Bad Pollsters Copying Good Pollsters?
Baseball Scouts Use Numbers, Too
Rory McIlroy Could Be A Bigger Threat To Jack Nicklaus Than Tiger Woods
Rory McIlroy Could Be A Bigger Threat To Jack Nicklaus Than Tiger Woods
In The Papers: The 9/11 Dust Cloud, Stock Prices And Lead Exposure
Is Sunscreen A Lifesaver Or A Poison?
An Unlikely Burrito Is The First To Make It To The Finals
By Any Measure, The Job Market Is Getting Better
The Bengals Don’t Have A Better Option Than Andy Dalton
The NFL’s New Defensive Rules Probably Aren’t Going To Make A Difference
It Makes Plenty Of Sense For Some People To Subscribe To AOL
Here’s What Happens When A Pitcher Throws A Meatball
Hillary Clinton Doesn’t Have A Problem On Her Left
Summer Jobs Are Slowly Disappearing
FiveThirtyEight Is Adding Part-Time Roles For Journalists
Stephen Curry Isn’t Better Than LeBron On Offense — But He’s As Close As Anybody
Dear Mona Followup: Where Do People Drink The Most Beer, Wine And Spirits?
Dear Mona Followup: Where Do People Drink The Most Beer, Wine And Spirits?
The Scrabble King Is Dead, Long Live The Scrabble King
Geograph’s Quixotic Effort To Get Photos Of Every Square Kilometer Of Great Britain And Ireland
Democratic Senators Shouldn’t Count On Money To Save Them In November
The Most Blah Governors In The United States
How Bullpens Took Over Modern Baseball
Thousands Of Pictures Are Worth The World
Preseason Football Isn’t Totally Meaningless (If Your Team Has A New QB)
How Will Being Indicted Affect Rick Perry’s 2016 Presidential Hopes?
The English Premier League Starts Today; Here’s One Reason To Watch
Ctrl + ← Incongruous Police, Poverty And Poker
The Countries Where You’re Surrounded By Tourists
Will Iraq See Its First Peaceful Transition Of Power In ‘Modern History’?
In The Papers: Skills Gap, Organ Donation And Parental Politics
How Often Do College Football Teams Finish No. 1, Then Start At No. 1?
How Rafael Nadal’s Absence From the U.S. Open Helps Roger Federer
Why States Should Aim For 100 Percent Vaccination
Nobody Knows How Many Americans The Police Kill Each Year
The ‘Rand Paul Will Win Over Young Voters’ Myth
Police In England And Wales Went Two Years Without Fatally Shooting Someone
Police In England And Wales Went Two Years Without Fatally Shooting Someone
Can The Denver Broncos And Seattle Seahawks Possibly Be As Good As They Were Last Year?
‘Da Gi Po Te’ Isn’t Baby Talk; It’s A Key To Scrabble Success
Six Consistently Close Races Will Probably Decide Control Of The Senate
Most Police Don’t Live In The Cities They Serve
Where Beans And Cheese Are All It Takes
I Went To A Psychic And Then Found Out How Right She Really Was
Dear Mona, How Many Kids Have Trust Funds?
Dear Mona, How Many Kids Have Trust Funds?
Is Global Instability Making Urban Life Tougher?
Stop Paying Attention To Johnny Manziel (And All Preseason QB Battles)
Where Have All The Elephants Gone?
It’s In The Cards: I Should Be Drinking, Boating And Feeling Anxious
It Only Seems Like Politics Is More Corrupt
Don’t Be So Quick To Call The New Hampshire Senate Race A Tie
If A Computer Can Diagnose Cancer, Will Doctors Become Obsolete?
Why It Took So Long To Update the U.N.-Sponsored Syria Death Count
Ctrl + ← Racial Segregation, 320 Phone Calls And Sleep
2014 NFL Preview: The Once-Proud NFC East
The Unheralded Usefulness Of Thaddeus Young
Is The Polling Industry In Stasis Or In Crisis?
Another (Much Higher) Count Of Homicides By Police
Another (Much Higher) Count Of Homicides By Police
There Are Millions Of Michael Browns In America
Recent Breakthroughs In Women’s Tennis Have Yet To Stick
The Poorest Corner Of Town
In The Papers: Chinese Imports, Affirmative Action And Foreign Aid
2014 NFL Preview: The Top-Heavy NFC West
A Dear Mona Follow-up: Who Inherits?
What Happens To The Human Brain If You Try To Watch Every ‘Simpsons’ Ever
What Happens To The Human Brain If You Try To Watch Every ‘Simpsons’ Ever
The Number Of Homeless Veterans Really Is Falling
How Good Is Team USA?
2014 NFL Preview: Great Players And Gambling Problems In The NFC North
Mary Poppins Was Right. Go Ahead And Feed The Birds, Michael
Mary Poppins Was Right. Go Ahead And Feed The Birds, Michael
Can A Southern Burrito Overtake One Of California’s Finest?
Why The Napa Earthquake Damage Alerts Keep Changing
Another Way To Measure The NFL’s Fastest Teams (And More Evidence It Doesn’t Matter)
One Record That Federer’s Chasing Doesn’t Really Count
It’s Really Hard To Measure The Effects Of Abortion Restrictions In Texas
2014 NFL Preview: Can Cam Newton Overtake Rob Ryan In The NFC South?
Burger King Might Save $8.1 Million By Moving To Canada. What’s The Whopper Equivalent?
Half Of The NHL’s Rumored Expansion Cities Don’t Make Sense
When Abortion Was Only Legal In 6 States
Despite A Strange Poll, Scott Walker’s Still The Favorite To Win In Wisconsin
The NFL’s Uneven History Of Punishing Domestic Violence
Migration Isn’t Turning Red States Blue
How Good Are We At Predicting The Best Fantasy Football Running Backs?
When Should You Show Up To A Party?
When Should You Show Up To A Party?
Ctrl + ← Texas, Toilets and Terror
U.S. Women Are Stronger In The Tennis World Than U.S. Men
2014 NFL Preview: The Patriotic AFC East
Florida State’s Scare, And The Worst Opening Weeks For Preseason No. 1s
2014 NFL Preview: The AFC South Can’t Be Any Worse Than It Was Last Year
Randall Munroe Of xkcd Answers Our (Not So Absurd) Questions
How Data Made Me A Believer In New York City’s Restaurant Grades
The Astros Didn’t Play Like A Team Whose Manager Deserved To Be Fired
In The Papers: Recessions, Early Education and Slow GDP Growth
2014 NFL Preview: The AFC North Is Up For Grabs
The Last Finalist For America’s Best Burrito Is Delicious
Alaska’s Bill Walker Is The Independent Who’s Most Likely To Become A Governor
FiveThirtyEight’s Senate Model Is Back And It Gives Republicans The Edge
Americans’ Access To Food Can Vary Widely By State
If Tony Survived The ‘Sopranos’ Finale, He’s Probably Alive Today
The Senate Race In Kansas Just Got Crazy
The Senate Race In Kansas Just Got Crazy
Why Tennis Players Don’t Take More Risks On Second Serves
San Francisco Stalls In Its Attempt To Go Trash-Free
American Kids Will Spend An Average Of 943 Hours In Elementary School This Year
2014 NFL Preview: The Broncos vs. The Hopefuls
What Cats And Dogs Are Swallowing
What Cats And Dogs Are Swallowing
Measuring NFL Teams’ Pass-Happiness Isn’t As Straightforward As It Seems
Upheaval In The Kansas Senate Race Is Making Our Chart Kinky
Economic Inequality Continued To Rise In The U.S. After The Great Recession
NFL Week 1 Elo Ratings
Introducing NFL Elo Ratings
The 2,128 Native American Mascots People Aren’t Talking About
The Jobs Numbers Were Discouraging, But Don’t Overreact
Fabiano Caruana Is Doing The Impossible At Chess's Most Competitive Tournament
Fabiano Caruana Is Doing The Impossible At Chess’s Most Competitive Tournament
Don’t Blame Boomers For Unemployed Workers Leaving The Labor Force
As U.S. Tennis Power Fell, Spanish Men And Czech Women Were Rising
Dear Mona, I Pee In The Shower. Am I Normal?
Dear Mona, I Pee In The Shower. Am I Normal?
Senate Update: Lots Of New Polls, But Few Surprises
For Years, The Road To Grand Slam Greatness Ran Through Mario Ancic
41 Percent Of Fliers Think You’re Rude If You Recline Your Seat
Ctrl + ← Airline Legroom, The Fourth Down And Bad Umpires
Ctrl + ← Airline Legroom, The Fourth Down And Bad Umpires
Polls Show Path Of Least Resistance To GOP Majority
Don’t Take Your Vitamins
It’s Not The End Of An Era For Men’s Tennis
Week 1 In The NFL Was Full Of Upsets, But Not Necessarily Surprises
Serena Williams Is Some Kind Of Clutch
In The Papers: Inequality, Long Hours And Gifted Education
Looking For Signs Of Cuomo’s Liberal Problem In New York’s Democratic Primary
Tennis Has A Big Three-And-A-Half
Senate Update: A Fresh Look At The Changed Race In Kansas
Matchmaker, Matchmaker, Make Me A Spreadsheet
How Long Most Parents Wait Between Children
How Long Most Parents Wait Between Children
Registered Voter Polls Will (Usually) Overrate Democrats
In The Trenches: The Dolphins’ Pass Rush Overwhelmed The Patriots
We Already Knew That A Majority Of Americans Think Obama Is A Failure
Senate Update: Democrats Get Good News In Michigan, Bad News In The United States
America’s Best Burrito
The High And Low Points For Every NFL Team
What Cuomo’s Re-election Tells Us About His Future
Senate Update: A Push Day On The Polling Front
The Enduring Political Impact Of 9/11 For Those Who Were Closest
Thousands Have Already Cast Their Votes In Scotland’s Independence Referendum
Skeptical Football: Go Go Andrew Luck And A Must-Win For The Pats
Martin Wolf’s Grand Theory Of Global Financial Disorder
NFL Week 2 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds
Senate Update: A Big Swing In North Carolina Improves Democrats’ Chances
‘Rally Around The Flag’ Events Are Rare
The Economic Guide To Picking A College Major
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Dear Mona, How Often Should I Change My Socks?
Dear Mona, How Often Should I Change My Socks?
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Ctrl + ← Domestic Violence, Google Maps And Tomatoes
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There She Is … Singing … Again
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On Policy, Scotland Is Far From Most of Britain, But Not London
Spotify Knows Me Better Than I Know Myself
Pollsters Shouldn’t Take Mulligans
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For Some MLB Playoff Teams, There’s No Place Like Road
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We Still Don’t Know What $1.6 Trillion Bought Us
The Fed’s Turning Ever More Bearish About Longer-Run Growth
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A Rough Guide To Watching The Scottish Independence Vote
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Losing Scotland Would Be A Weather Winner For The U.K.
The Royal And Ancient Golf Club Finally Admits Women. Where Else Can They Still Not Go?
Senate Update: Optimistic Numbers For GOP In Colorado And Iowa
Most Of The U.S. Saw Little Recovery In 2013
Beneath The Premier League Stands The Great Football Pyramid Of England
The Scotland Independence Polls Were Pretty Bad
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Dear Mona, How Many Adults Take ADHD Drugs?
Dear Mona, How Many Adults Take ADHD Drugs?
Scottish Regions’ View On Self-Governance Hasn’t Changed Much Since 1997
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Senate Update: Democrats Add By Subtraction In Kansas
A Statistical Appreciation Of Li Na
Ctrl + ← Swiss Bankers, Scotland And Stylish People
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Rob Bironas Just Might Have Been The Best Kicker Of His Era
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Senate Update: The Races Most Sensitive To New Polling
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It Has Been An Astonishingly Bad Year For Vehicle Recalls
In The Papers: Entrepreneurs, Energy and Education
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Americans Aren’t Getting Married Anymore
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Senate Update: A January Runoff In Georgia Is Getting More Likely
Ruth Bader Ginsburg Would Probably Be Confirmed Today
Dear Mona, How Often Do People Arrive Late To Appointments?
Dear Mona, How Often Do People Arrive Late To Appointments?
We’ll Probably Never Know If The CDC’s Grim Ebola Forecast Was Accurate
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The A’s Tailspin Might Not Matter Once The Playoffs Start
The Natural Gas Boom Could Accelerate Climate Change
Derek Jeter Isn’t Clutch. He’s Just Good.
Senate Update: I Can See The House Effects In Alaska From Here
An NFL Team Will Probably Win 14 Games. We Just Don’t Know Which Team.
Ctrl + ← Shootings, Beer, Pizza And The Middle East
Have Ray Rice And Roger Goodell Hurt NFL Ratings?
Senate Update: When Should Democrats Panic?
Wal-Mart’s Getting Into Banking, And It Makes A Lot Of Sense
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Little Change In The Senate, And A Sense Of Déjà Vu In Massachusetts
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How Many People Really Showed Up To The People’s Climate March?
NFL Week 5 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds
Infant Mortality, Post-College Jobs And Chapter 13 Bankruptcy
Senate Update: Watching The Signal And Not The Noise
Reexamining Residency Requirements For Police Officers
Still No Recovery For U.S. Entrepreneurship
You’re Right To Complain About The Chaos Of MLB’s One-Game Playoffs
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Senate Update: Don’t Take These Poll Results At Face Value
A Farewell To Adam Dunn, Sabermetric Bellwether
Skeptical Football: Dynasties, Perfect Kickers And A Weird NFL Rule
More On The Rate Of Domestic Violence Arrests Among NFL Players
Yelp And Michelin Have The Same Taste In New York Restaurants
Senate Update: Democrats Wrapping Up In Michigan
The Herculean Effort Taken By One Group To Show Hollywood Is Sexist
In 126 Years, English Football Has Seen 13,475 Nil-Nil Draws
Ferguson’s Elections Look Like They Are About to Change
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Dear Mona, How Many Flight Attendants Are Men?
Dear Mona, How Many Flight Attendants Are Men?
Carmelo Anthony Isn’t Underrated, But He’s Not Overrated Either
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Ctrl + ← Traveling Salesmen, Kissing And Political Fan Fiction
Senate Update: Lots Of Polls But Little Change
Pollsters Predict Greater Polling Error In Midterm Elections
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Same-Sex Marriage Is Now Legal For A Majority Of The U.S.
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Z Is For Zebra — 90 Percent Of The Time
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The Expansion Of Same-Sex Marriage Over Time
The IMF Models The Economic Spillover Of An Escalated Conflict In Iraq
The Voter Registration Report From Ferguson Was Impossible
Now Is When College Football Starts To Matter
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American Gymnasts Are Exceptional On The Vault
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Senate Control Could Come Down To Whole Foods vs. Cracker Barrel
Home-Field Advantage Doesn’t Mean What It Used To In English Football
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Senate Update: Don’t Go Crazy
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Dear Mona, Does Living Together Before Marriage Increase The Risk Of Divorce?
Dear Mona, Does Living Together Before Marriage Increase The Risk Of Divorce?
Skeptical Football: DeMarco Murray Is Way Better At Running Than Alex Henery Is At Kicking
The ‘Maroon 6’: A Better Way To Look At The 2014 Senate Races
Senate Update: Republican Fortunes Rise In Alaska
Electing A Black Mayor Leads To More Black Police Officers
On Deck: A Sabermetric Broadcast
Apple And Google Have Huge Brands. The Rest Of Tech Is Stagnant.
Royals vs. Orioles Tops Our List Of Comeback Clashes In League Championship Series
How To Get Ahead
How To Get Ahead
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Ctrl + ← Wages, Commuting and College Loans
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The Unaccompanied Minor Crisis Has Moved From The Border To The Courts
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Florida State’s Drop From No. 1 Wasn’t Unprecedented
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New Clinic Standards In Texas Won’t Make Abortions Safer
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Watch The Trailer For ‘The Man vs. The Machine’
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The Law Of Supply And Demand Suddenly Applies To Oil, Too
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How To Estimate When People Will Arrive At A Party
Dear Mona, Which Is The Fastest Check-Out Lane At The Grocery Store?
Dear Mona, Which Is The Fastest Check-Out Lane At The Grocery Store?
Who Will Advance From The CONCACAF Women’s World Cup Qualifiers?
Senate Fundraising Totals Are A Bad Sign For Democrats
Senate Update: Georgia On My Mind
You See Sneakers, These Guys See Hundreds Of Millions In Resale Profit
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When To Pay Attention To The Stock Market (And When To Ignore It)
Catholics Are More Progressive Than The Vatican, And Almost Everyone Else
America’s Favorite Sandwich Fillings
Gay Marriage Is Now Legal In 31 States And For Almost 200 Million Americans
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New Scrabble Dictionary Disrepects The Game
Ctrl + ← Rebounds, Runners And Kim Kardashian
Senate Update: Do We Have Enough Polls?
U.S. High School Dropout Rates Fall, Especially Among Latinos
Natural Gas Is Leaking And Warming The Climate — And You’re Paying For It
In A Star-Dominated Sport, There’s Still A Place For Unselfish Basketball
Pollsters Say They Follow Ethical Standards, But They Aren’t So Sure About Their Peers
The Seattle Seahawks Are Now Underdogs To Make The Playoffs
The U.S. Is Almost Definitely Going To Next Year’s Women’s World Cup
Senate Update: Yellow Flags For Democrats In North Carolina
No One Can Tell You How Much Snow We’ll Get This Winter — At Least Not Yet
I Played The New Words With Friends Bot And C‑R‑U‑S‑H‑E‑D It
We’ve Stopped Talking About Domestic Violence And The NFL
So What If These Aren’t The Two Best Teams In Baseball?
Is The Ebola Crisis Affecting The Midterm Elections?
Foreclosures, Asthma Prevention And Restaurant Inspectors
Are Corporate Jets More Dangerous Than Commercial Aircraft?
Senate Update: There’s A 47 Percent Chance The 2014 Midterms Will Go To Overtime
Exploring The Epic Chess Match Of Our Time
NFL Week 8 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds
NFL Week 8 Playoff Implications: If The Seahawks Lose, The NFC Gains
What Jobs Your City Is Most Known For
What Jobs Your City Is Most Known For
Estimates Of Ebola-Infected Air Passengers Include Big Assumptions
Senate Update: Colorado Polling Is Probably Right. Udall Is Losing.
Rage Against The Machines
The Democrats’ Path Of Last Resort Is Georgia
Skeptical Football: Matthew Stafford Is Gunning For Peyton Manning’s Throne
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Senate Update: It Could All Come Down To Iowa
Is 21 Days Long Enough For Ebola Quarantine?
New Crackdowns On Breeding Won’t Mean Your Pet Isn’t From A Puppy Mill
Dear Mona, Which State Has The Worst Drivers?
2014 NBA Preview: The Rise Of The Warriors
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The World Series Games That Each Team Can Least Afford To Lose
The U.S. and Mexico Meet Again In The CONCACAF Women’s World Cup Qualifiers
Senate Update: There’s A 70 Percent Chance Georgia Will Go To A Runoff
The Average Cost Of World Series Tickets Has Gone Up
Ctrl + ← Disenfranchised Voters, Peyton Manning And Online Harassment
Senate Update: The Republican Advantage Is Consistent But Not Decisive
Another Michigan Republican Appears Headed For Defeat
2014 NBA Preview: The Sixers Are Going Nowhere Fast
Chat With Nate Silver And Harry Enten About The Midterm Elections
The Royals May Come To Regret Everything That Happened After This Moment
Background Checks For Gun Sales Look Likely To Pass In Washington
Inequality, Youth Unemployment And Retirement Incentives
Senate Update: The Swing States That Never Swung
2014 NBA Preview: Key Offseason Pickups Should Give The Cavs A Boost
Why The Senate Polling In Alaska Is Making Us Sweat
Data Visualizations Help A Hawaiian Community Deal With The Puna Lava Flow
The BCS Wasn’t Any Worse Than A College Football Playoff Will Be
One Reason Bruce Braley Still Has A Chance in Iowa
Senate Update: The Momentum Mirage
Being An Incumbent Isn’t As Fun As It Used To Be
Watch Game 7 Of The World Series With FiveThirtyEight (By Reading Our Live Blog)!
NFL Week 9 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds
NFL Week 9 Playoff Implications: A Crucial Week For The Saints And Panthers
You Asked About The Midterm Elections. We Answered.
Low Inflation Doesn’t Scare The Fed
World Series Game 7 Live Blog [liveblog]
Senate Update: Exit To Recountland
Send Alex Gordon!
Send Alex Gordon!
Election Day Could Bring Raises To 680,000 Low-Wage Workers
Dear Mona, What Percentage Of Women Have Breast Implants?
Dear Mona, What Percentage Of Women Have Breast Implants?
Skeptical Football: Stafford Redux, Murray Revisited and 26,099 vs. Roethlisberger
The Scariest Halloween Costume Is A Cockroach That Performs Root Canals
The Scariest Halloween Costume Is A Cockroach That Performs Root Canals
Senate Update: With 4 Days Left, Here’s The State Of The Races
Voter ID Laws Are Now In 17 More States Than They Were In 2000
Even Pollsters Don’t Know All The Details Of How Their Polls Are Made
Marijuana’s Chances On Election Day
What To Make Of The Cavs’ Disappointing Debut
FiveThirtyEight’s Gubernatorial Forecasts: A Lot Of Really Close Races
Senate Update: Republicans Lead Where They Need To, But Uncertainty Abounds
Senate Update: Polls Point Increasingly To Republican Senate Win
Ctrl + ← Wizards, Words, Wealth and Witches
Senate Update: Democrats’ Chance Of Holding On Continues To Fall
Are The State Polls Skewed?
Grading Your State’s Preparedness For An Ebola Outbreak
Is 2014 A Republican Wave?
How Likely Are The Royals To Return To The World Series?
How Likely Are The Royals To Return To The World Series?
Finding A Job With A Felony Conviction Is Hard. California May Make It Easier.
One Day Left: The Most Competitive Races For Governor
Republicans Are Leaving House Seats On The Table
Republicans Are Leaving House Seats On The Table
Video: What If Democrats Keep Control Of The Senate?
The Numbers Behind D.C.’s Pot Decriminalization Push
Why Michelle Nunn Is Rooting For A Senate Runoff In Georgia
Democrats Need Chaos
Unskewed Polls, Early Voting Edition
Final Update: Republicans Have A 3 In 4 Chance Of Winning The Senate
Mapping The Changing Face Of The Lone Star State
Final Gubernatorial Forecasts: Close Contests In 10 Races
Video: Where The Polls Could Go Wrong
Americans Overestimate The Number of Muslims And Teen Moms, But Not By As Much As Reported
How Good Are Incumbent Governors’ Economic Records?
Video: Nate Silver And Harry Enten On How Election Night Will Unfold
How Screwed Are The Eagles With Mark Sanchez As Their Starting QB?
Special Coverage: The 2014 Midterms [liveblog]
Five Scenarios For The Senate Election
Some Do’s And Don’t’s For Evaluating Senate Forecasts
Landrieu Needs A Game Changer To Hold On To Her Senate Seat
Video: Nate Silver And Harry Enten On Republicans’ Big Win
The Polls Were Skewed Toward Democrats
A Big Night For Minimum Wage Increases
Several Pollsters Say Polls Did Well On Election Day
Nearly 18 Million People Live In Areas Where Marijuana Is Fully Legal
More Cola Than Juice: America’s Favorite Beverages
Preliminary Turnout Numbers Are Way Down From 2010 And 2012
Flying Blind Toward Hogan’s Upset Win In Maryland
Alex Rodriguez Would’ve Made The Hall Of Fame Without Steroids
NFL Week 10 Playoff Implications: A Big Week For Miami And Detroit
What To Expect Now That California Passed Prop 47
NFL Week 10 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds
Magnus Carlsen Is More Than An Odds-On Favorite To Win The World Chess Championship
Dear Mona, How Many People Regret Their Tattoos?
Why Polls Missed A Shocker In Virginia’s Senate Race
Most Pollsters We Surveyed Say Polling Did Well This Year
More Employers Are Hiring But They Aren’t Raising Pay
Skeptical Football: Special Midterm Edition
The Divide Between Republican And Democratic Voters On Major Issues
How Unexpected Was Cleveland’s Shellacking Of Cincinnati?
Ctrl + ← Congressmen, Candy And Disney Princesses
Are The Concerns About Water Fluoridation Legit?
Funding Alone Can’t Change How Sexual Assault Is Handled On Campus
Cardinals Fans Shouldn’t Panic Just Yet About The Loss of Carson Palmer
What Percentage Of State Lottery Money Goes To The State?
Parenting, Pollution And Media Bias
The NFL Should Expand To London. But First: Canada, Mexico And LA.
Something Funny Happened In Iowa, And It May Hurt Democrats In 2016
Recent Veterans Still Struggle To Find Work
Derrick Rose Is (Almost) Playing Like His Old Self Again
The Countries Where People Are Most Likely To Celebrate Singles Day (And Make Alibaba Richer)
Talking With A Chess Grandmaster About The World Chess Championship
How Data Can Help You Write A Better Screenplay
Randy Moss May Well Have Been The Greatest Receiver Of All Time
Week 11 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds
NFL Week 11 Playoff Implications: What The AFC North And Denmark Have In Common
Reminder: The FBI’s ‘Police Homicide’ Count Is Wrong
Why It Might Be Time To Rethink The Rules Of Parole
Hurrah For Quitters
The Greatest Rivalry In Men’s Pro Tennis History Is Happening Now
Why We Don’t Know The Real Ebola Mortality Rate In The U.S.
Thursday Night Football Has Been Awful This Year, But So Has Sunday Night Football
The Elders Of Men’s Tennis Hold Off Youngsters At ATP World Tour Finals
The Long Migration Of English Football
The Worst College Football Game In The Worst College Football Town
Finally, Mike Trout Is The MVP
Here’s Proof Some Pollsters Are Putting A Thumb On The Scale
Who Might Be Included In Obama’s Immigration Overhaul?
Wendy Davis’s Campaign Was Bad, But That Probably Didn’t Matter
Ctrl + ← Fishing, Families And Fedspeak
More Free Lunches Could Spoil Data For Researchers
Why The Best Supreme Court Predictor In The World Is Some Random Guy In Queens
What The Surprise Japanese Recession Says About Economic Forecasting
Twitter Politics, Drunken Driving And Tax Deductions
Offering Birth Control Over The Counter Wouldn’t Make It Any Cheaper
The Patriots Really Do Own The Second Half Of The Season
Why House Republicans Did Even Better Than They Expected
More On Bill Cosby’s History Of Mentioning ‘Spanish Fly’
U.K. Report Is Latest Evidence That Crime Stats Heavily Undercount Rape
A Few Surprises In The Senate’s Rejection Of The Keystone XL Pipeline
Clinton Probably Can’t Expand The 2016 Map (And If She Does, It Won’t Matter)
The Supreme Court Won’t Be Getting Another Sotomayor Anytime Soon
NFL Week 12 Playoff Implications: Show The Cardinals Some Respect
Sign Up For A FiveThirtyEight Newsletter
Your Job May Affect How Your Brain Ages
Your Job May Affect How Your Brain Ages
Can Roger Federer Finally Win A Davis Cup?
Dear Mona, What’s The Most Common Name In America?
Outlier Pollsters Cheated Themselves In Virginia’s Senate Race
Week 12 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds
NBA Bids Farewell To Jason Collins, LGBT And Advanced Stats Pioneer
Can Alabama Afford To Lose?
Explaining The Slow Death Of American Entrepreneurship
Jim Webb Would Make A Good Anti-Clinton In 2016
Every President’s Executive Orders In One Chart
Every President’s Executive Orders In One Chart
Calling In The Missouri National Guard May Have Been A Bad Idea
Listen To Planet Money Discuss The Secondary Sneaker Market
Obama’s Immigration Plan Mostly Covers Parents
The Electoral Politics Of Obama’s Immigration Speech In Nevada
The Election Map Alone Doesn’t Explain The 2014 Republican Wave
Undocumented Immigrants Aren’t Who You Think They Are
Undocumented Immigrants Aren’t Who You Think They Are
Skeptical Football: Patriots vs. Cardinals And An Interactive History Of The NFL
FiveThirtyEight’s College Football Playoff Forecast
A Huge Gender Gap Just Narrowed In The Art World
Every Immigration-Related Executive Action Of The Last 58 Years
By Playing Hurt, Federer Shows That The Davis Cup Still Matters
Kentucky Would Lose To The 76ers At Least 78 Percent Of The Time
Ctrl + ← Satellites, ‘Vape’ And NBA Shots
College Football Playoff Update: High Stakes For Florida State, UCLA
College Football Playoff Update: High Stakes For Florida State, UCLA
The U.S. Census Is Trying To Get A More Accurate Count Of Arab Americans
Hagel Served As Defense Secretary About As Long As History Would Suggest
The Case Against Early Cancer Detection
More Evidence James Smith Is The Most Common Name In The U.S.
More Evidence James Smith Is The Most Common Name In The U.S.
It's Incredibly Rare For A Grand Jury To Do What Ferguson's Just Did
It’s Incredibly Rare For A Grand Jury To Do What Ferguson’s Just Did
The Census Still Doesn’t Know How Many Same-Sex Couples There Are
Allegations Of Police Misconduct Rarely Result In Charges
Summer Reading, Government Jobs And Charitable Donations
Don’t Call 2014 An Anti-Incumbent Election
The Census Is Still Trying To Find The Best Way To Track Race In America
NFL Week 13 Playoff Implications: Be Thankful For Meaningful Games This Thanksgiving
Week 13 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds
How Each NFL Team’s Playoff Odds Have Changed This Season
What’s At Stake For Every College Football Playoff Contender
Skeptical Football: Thanksgiving Preview Edition
Dear Mona, Are There Any Other Men Who Don’t Watch Sports?
Dear Mona, Are There Any Other Men Who Don’t Watch Sports?
The FiveThirtyEight 2014 Holiday Gift Guide
Ctrl + ← Thanksgiving Turkey And Baloney
Ctrl + ← Thanksgiving Turkey And Baloney
College Football Playoff Update: 7 Teams Competing For 4 Positions
College Football Playoff Update: 7 Teams Competing For 4 Positions
What Powerlifting Tells Us About The Effects Of PEDs
Ray Rice Was Awful When He Last Played Football
An NBA Player’s Draft-Day Grudge Doesn’t Help Him Play Better
Middle Class Families Will Have The Hardest Time Paying Off Holiday Debt
Hurricane Katrina, Peer Pressure and Energy Conservation
What Might Persuade Hillary Clinton Not To Run In 2016
Who Had The Worst Career After The First ‘Star Wars’ Trilogy?
Who Had The Worst Career After The First ‘Star Wars’ Trilogy?
The Revolution In Tennis Stats That Didn’t Stick
How Allowing Gay Men To Give Blood Would Affect Donations
The Chances The Philadelphia 76ers’ Losing Streak Will Reach 18, 19, 20 … 54 Games
Calorie Counts On Menus Won’t Change What Americans Eat
The 2014 Senate Elections Were The Most Nationalized In Decades
How New York City Will Grade Universal Pre-K
How Skyrocketing Gun Sales Are Helping To Conserve Butterflies
College Football Playoff Update: TCU Promotion Shakes Up Odds
College Football Playoff Update: TCU Promotion Shakes Up Odds
NFL Week 14 Playoff Implications: The Chargers Have A Pulse
FiveThirtyEight Job Opening: Copy Editor
The Grand Jury In The Eric Garner Chokehold Case Was Especially Unlikely To Indict
Which City Has The Most Unpredictable Weather?
How Common Is It For A Man To Be Shorter Than His Partner?
Land Mines Aren’t Killing As Many People As They Used To
Conservation Efforts Are Set To Get A Boost — Thanks To The Duck Stamp
Conservation Efforts Are Set To Get A Boost — Thanks To The Duck Stamp
Minor Crimes Get Unusually High Attention In Eric Garner’s Neighborhood
NFL Week 14 Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds
Skeptical Football: Sizing Up The Inevitable Patriots-Packers Super Bowl
The Most Conservative And Most Liberal Elite Law Schools
Bill Cosby’s Fall From Among The Most-Trusted Celebrities To The Least
November’s Jobs Report Crushed It
The Best Holiday Shopping Partner: A Capuchin Monkey
Why UAB’s Football Team Couldn’t Even Last 20 Years
Senate Forecast: Landrieu Headed Toward Historic Defeat In Louisiana Runoff
The 2014 Elections That Ended In A Tie
Federer, Djokovic Set To Play For First Time In A Tennis Hotbed: India
Federer, Djokovic Set To Play For First Time In A Tennis Hotbed: India
College Football Playoff Update: Oregon Makes A Case For No. 1
College Football Playoff Update: Oregon Makes A Case For No. 1
College Football Playoff Update: Is TCU A Lock?
USA Draws The ‘Group Of Death’ In 2015 Women’s World Cup
College Football Playoff Update: Three Teams Are Fighting For The Last Spot
College Football Playoff Update: Does Ohio State Have A Shot?
FiveThirtyEight’s Final College Football Playoff Forecast
FiveThirtyEight's Final College Football Playoff Forecast
Ctrl + ← Marriage, Divorce And White Progress
Ctrl + ← Marriage, Divorce And White Progress
College Football Playoff: Final Thoughts And National Championship Odds
College Football Playoff: Final Thoughts And National Championship Odds
Economists Aren’t As Nonpartisan As We Think
Does A Team Really Need A Star To Get To The NBA Finals?
SantaCon’s Army Of Drunk Santas Could Bring Christmas To New York City’s Children
SantaCon’s Army Of Drunk Santas Could Bring Christmas To New York City’s Children
Minimum Wages, All-Boys Schools And Thomas Piketty
Before Detroit Can Move On, It Needs To Upgrade From Windows XP
Does It Matter If Calorie Counts Make People Feel Bad?
Democrats Shouldn’t Give Up On The South
The Final College Football Playoff Rankings Contradict History
The Final College Football Playoff Rankings Contradict History
The Time A Guy Named Flipper Set The Single-Game NFL Receiving Record
Americans Have Grown More Supportive Of Torture
Organic Eating In The Alley Behind Your Apartment
NFL Week 15 Playoff Implications: The Chances A Coin Flip Will Decide The Postseason
Immigration Projections Rebound With The Economy
How Many Homeowners Have Paid Off Their Mortgages?
How Many Homeowners Have Paid Off Their Mortgages?
Should States Spend Billions To Reduce Class Sizes?
Week 15 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds
Week 15 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds
Obama Is Unpopular, And That’s Unlikely To Change
The Most Talented College Football Team In History
Support For Gun Control Slips As Media Loses Interest
Of Course You Hear What I Hear — Christmas Music Season Is Totally Data-Driven
The Wealth Gap Between Whites And Minorities Is Growing
Chug, Run, Repeat
The FiveThirtyEight 2014 Holiday Gift Guide: Data Sets Edition
Once And For All: Michael Jordan Was Way Better Than Kobe Bryant
Ctrl + ← Torture
Ctrl + ← Torture
Number Of The Week: 52
Number Of The Week: 52
We Could See More And More ‘Hot Droughts’ Like California’s
Don’t Bet On Clinton Faltering In Iowa A Second Time
The Mayweather-Pacquiao Fight Is Several Years Too Late
How Many Of Your Co-Workers Are Hungover?
Do Concussions Lead To Suicide?
Jobless Weight Gain, Climate Change Economics And Early Retirement
Significant Digits for Tuesday, December 16
How Many People Can The Plants In One City Feed?
How Many People Can The Plants In One City Feed?
Is Jeb Bush Too Liberal To Win The Republican Nomination In 2016?
Sacramento Kings Coach Mike Malone Didn’t Deserve To Be Fired
Another Reason Mondays Are The Worst
Taliban Attack At Pakistan School Sets Back Modest Progress Against Terrorism
Significant Digits for Wednesday, Dec. 17, 2014
Significant Digits for Wednesday, Dec. 17, 2014
The Final ‘Hobbit’ Film Is An Unprecedentedly Gratuitous Stretch Of Source Material
Decades Before Moneyball, The Dallas Cowboys Used Advanced Stats To Win Super Bowls
There Won’t Be A Backlash To Ending The Cuba Embargo
NFL Week 16 Playoff Implications: When Things Start To Shake Out
What The Next Generation Of Economists Is Working On
The U.S. Appetite For Cuban Cigars Isn’t What It Used To Be
Sony Should Send ‘The Interview’ Straight To Video On Demand
Killing ‘The Interview’ Could Cost Sony $100 Million
The Conventional Wisdom On Oil Is Always Wrong
Significant Digits for Thursday, Dec. 18, 2014
Significant Digits for Thursday, Dec. 18, 2014
These Authors Know The ‘Game Of Thrones’ Backstory Better Than George R.R. Martin Does
The Most Frequent Guests On ‘The Colbert Report’
The Most Frequent Guests On ‘The Colbert Report’
The Race For The Top Pick In The 2015 NFL Draft
Every NBA Team’s Chance Of Winning A Title By 2019
Cuban Players Already Have Been Gaining Ground In MLB
Week 16 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds
The Army Is Building An Algorithm To Prevent Suicide
Significant Digits for Friday, Dec. 19, 2014
What’s The Most Common Street Name In America?
What’s The Most Common Street Name In America?
The Arizona Cardinals Have Been The Luckiest Team In The NFL
Jeb Bush Might Have A Tea Party Problem In 2016
Rand Paul Just Hurt His Chances In Florida’s 2016 GOP Primary
Celtic Or Maverick, Rajon Rondo Remains A Mystery
Celtic Or Maverick, Rajon Rondo Remains A Mystery
Skeptical Football: A Tale Of Two Quarterbacks Struggling Against The Buffalo Bills
Ctrl + ← Men Not At Work, Segregation And Gentrification
Significant Digits For Monday, Dec. 22, 2014
We May Never Know How Well Cloud Seeding Works
The Superfans Using Stats To Get To The Bottom Of ‘Serial’
New Prenatal Tests Aren’t Perfect — But They’re Close
Tony Romo's Been Great, But He's Not The MVP
Tony Romo’s Been Great, But He’s Not The MVP
If I Had A Nickel For Every Time Someone Said ‘If I Had A Nickel…’
New Yorkers Who Like Cops Don’t Like De Blasio
Significant Digits for Tuesday, Dec. 23, 2014
Significant Digits for Tuesday, Dec. 23, 2014
There Are Way Too Many ‘Best Of 2014’ Lists
NFL Teams Are Analyzing Everything From The Salary Cap To Fan Loyalty
Americans Love The Holidays, But Spend Them Doing Things They Hate
College Football’s Bloated Bowl Season In 3 Charts
NFL Week 17 Playoff Implications: Someone Has To Win The NFC South
Week 17 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds: Special Seahawks Edition
Week 17 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds: Special Seahawks Edition
Don’t Take Ben Carson Seriously (Except In Iowa — Maybe)
Significant Digits for Wednesday, Dec. 24, 2014
Significant Digits for Wednesday, Dec. 24, 2014
Skeptical Football: The NFC South Isn’t The Worst Division In NFL History
Which Christmas Songs You’re Most Likely To Hear On The Radio
Forget The Next LeBron, Andrew Wiggins May Not Be The Next James Posey
Ctrl + ← The Best Data Journalism Of 2014
Baseball’s Hot Stove Season Offers More Sizzle Than Substance
Significant Digits for Monday, Dec. 29, 2014
There’s Not Much Evidence A New Coach Will Help The Jets, 49ers Or Falcons
More Of The Long-Term Unemployed Are Finding Jobs
Americans Disagree With Obama On The State Of Race Relations
Significant Digits for Tuesday, Dec. 30, 2014
Tennis Has An Income Inequality Problem
Television Bias, Energy Efficiency, Financial Literacy And Poverty
Television Bias, Energy Efficiency, Financial Literacy And Poverty
Who Goes To Meaningless NFL Games And Why?
Who Goes To Meaningless NFL Games And Why?
Our 33 Weirdest Charts From 2014
How The Economist Got Its List Of Top Economists Wrong
A Deadly 2014 For Air Travel Has Reversed Recent Safety Gains
Designing The Best Board Game On The Planet
Significant Digits for Wednesday, Dec. 31, 2014
Significant Digits for Wednesday, Dec. 31, 2014
As The New Year’s Ball Drops, So Do Champagne Prices
The Biggest Stories Of 2014? Now, Wait Just A Minute
The Biggest Stories Of 2014? Now, Wait Just A Minute
Week 18 NFL Elo Ratings And Playoff Odds: Wild Card Edition
Checking The Accuracy Of My Tarot Card Reading
Checking The Accuracy Of My Tarot Card Reading
What I Got Wrong In 2014
The (Very, Very Short) Christmas Music Cycle
The (Very, Very Short) Christmas Music Cycle