| Unconvincing (to me) Use of Benford's Law to Demonstrate Election Fraud in Iran |
| Palin's Endorsements: More Method Than Madness |
| Travis Childers’ Elasticity Problem |
| John Cornyn Is Too Conservative to Lose This Primary |
| The Wild, Conservative West |
| Somebody Poll a Senate Race |
| Americans Disliked Russia Even Before the Crisis in Ukraine |
| Don’t Read Too Much Into Result in Florida’s 13th District |
| Sorry, Scott Brown: The Granite State Seems Happy With Its Senator |
| Romney, Obama And International Opinion |
| GOP Field Hasn’t Been This Split in 40 Years |
| History Suggests It Might Not Get Better For Democrats |
| Clinton Is Polling Like an Incumbent, And That Could Help Her in 2016 |
| Yankees vs. Mets: The Battle For New York’s Heart |
| Midterm Turnout Isn’t the Only Reason For Rosy Republican Outlook |
| Poll Shows Record Obamacare Support, But That Doesn’t Mean Much |
| A Few Data Points on the Supreme Court’s Donor-Limit Decision |
| Senate Races in 2014 Lack (Good) Polling |
| The GOP Senator Most Likely to Falter in the Primary Season |
| There Isn’t a Secret Majority Supporting Obamacare |
| Jeb Bush Has as Good a Shot as Anybody |
| Vance McAllister’s Days in Congress Are Probably Numbered |
| How Partisan Are Partisan Senate Polls? |
| Kansas Has Moved on From Kathleen Sebelius |
| Early Senate Polls Have Plenty to Tell Us About November |
| Where People Feel Safe, And Where They Are Safe |
| Democrats Shouldn’t Count on an Electoral College Edge in 2016 |
| Elizabeth Warren Wouldn’t Be 2016’s Obama, But She Could Be Its John Edwards |
| Indictment May Make Michael Grimm an Underdog, But He’s Not a Goner |
| GOP Establishment Looks Set to Win a Bunch of Senate Primaries |
| The Problems With The New Republic’s Senate Rankings |
| Sorry Democrats, Marijuana Doesn’t Bring Young Voters to the Polls |
| The ‘Blame Bush’ Era May Be at an End |
| Are Democrats in Worse Shape Than They Were in 2010? |
| A BuzzFeed Parody Made Real: Was Monica Lewinsky Really That Bad For Bill Clinton? |
| Young Voters in 2014 May Be Less Democratic-Leaning Than in 2010 And 2012 |
| Midterm Election Turnout Isn’t So Different From Presidential Year Turnout |
| Will Incumbency Save McConnell, Pryor And Landrieu? |
| Marco Rubio’s Problem Isn’t What You Think It Is |
| An Anti-Death-Penalty Majority Might Be on Its Way … in 2044 |
| What to Watch For in Georgia’s Republican Senate Primary |
| Oregon’s Mail-in Voting Makes Scandal Unlikely to Sink Wehby |
| Latest Same-Sex Marriage Rulings Prove That Scalia Was Right |
| Casting the Ideal Challenger to Hillary Clinton |
| The Disappearance of Conservative Commencement Speakers |
| Republicans Are Likely to Maintain Edge in Governorships |
| Three-Way Governor’s Race Could Get Messy For Cuomo |
| There’s an Actual Tea Party vs. Establishment Matchup in Mississippi |
| The Political Rhetoric Around Climate Change … Er, Global Warming |
| Is There a Favorite in the Republican Runoff For Senate in Mississippi? |
| Americans Sour on Obama’s Foreign Policy |
| The Eric Cantor Upset: What Happened? |
| Immigration Does Matter in GOP Primaries, But It’s Not Clear Why |
| We Have a Weather Forecast For Every World Cup Match, Even the Ones a Month Away |
| Whoever Fills Cantor’s Shoes Shouldn’t Bank on Becoming Speaker |
| Congress’s Low Approval Rating Is Hurting Republicans |
| Republicans Have Regained the Foreign Policy Edge |
| If Hillary Clinton Runs For President, When Might She Announce? |
| The Politics of the Washington Redskins Name Controversy |
| A Conservative Showdown in Oklahoma |
| The Mississippi Carnival Ends Tuesday as Voters Choose Cochran Or McDaniel |
| It Looks Like African-Americans Really Did Help Thad Cochran Win |
| History Really Was on Cochran’s Side in the Mississippi Runoff |
| Disliking Congress, as a Whole And as Individuals |
| How Much Do Democrats Depend on the Union Vote? |
| The House And Senate Are the Most Divided They’ve Been in Our Lifetimes |
| The Senate Races With the Biggest Ideological Stakes |
| Republicans’ Choice to Hold 2016 Convention in Cleveland Probably Won’t Help Them in Ohio |
| Following up on the Unimportance of the GOP’s 2016 Convention Choice |
| Democrats Are in a Perilous Position in 2014 Senate Races |
| Governors’ Races Are Close, But There’s More Upside For Democrats |
| Voters Are Rational in Midterm Elections |
| Elizabeth Warren Would Be the Most Liberal Democratic Nominee Since 1972 |
| What to Watch For in Georgia’s Republican Senate Runoff |
| Chuck Schumer Is Wrong About the Top-Two Primary |
| The Polls Were Wrong in Georgia’s Senate Runoff, But Don’t Blame Turnout |
| Plagiarism Scandal Moves Democrat’s Odds in Montana From Slim to Almost Zero |
| Crist And Scott Could Make History by Being So Unpopular in Florida |
| We’re More Likely To See A Senator Ousted In Tennessee Than In Kansas |
| Democrats Face A Steep Climb In Montana Senate Race |
| Racial Voting Lines In Hawaii Senate Primary Leave Pollsters Mostly Clueless |
| Are Bad Pollsters Copying Good Pollsters? |
| The Most Blah Governors In The United States |
| How Will Being Indicted Affect Rick Perry’s 2016 Presidential Hopes? |
| The ‘Rand Paul Will Win Over Young Voters’ Myth |
| Six Consistently Close Races Will Probably Decide Control Of The Senate |
| Don’t Be So Quick To Call The New Hampshire Senate Race A Tie |
| Despite A Strange Poll, Scott Walker’s Still The Favorite To Win In Wisconsin |
| Migration Isn’t Turning Red States Blue |
| 2014 NFL Preview: The Patriotic AFC East |
| Alaska’s Bill Walker Is The Independent Who’s Most Likely To Become A Governor |
| Senate Update: Lots Of New Polls, But Few Surprises |
| Looking For Signs Of Cuomo’s Liberal Problem In New York’s Democratic Primary |
| Senate Update: A Fresh Look At The Changed Race In Kansas |
| We Already Knew That A Majority Of Americans Think Obama Is A Failure |
| Senate Update: Democrats Get Good News In Michigan, Bad News In The United States |
| What Cuomo’s Re-election Tells Us About His Future |
| Senate Update: A Push Day On The Polling Front |
| Senate Update: A Big Swing In North Carolina Improves Democrats’ Chances |
| ‘Rally Around The Flag’ Events Are Rare |
| Senate Update: Democrats In Purple States Are Beating The National Mood |
| Americans’ Opinions On Spanking Vary By Party, Race, Region And Religion |
| Pollsters Shouldn’t Take Mulligans |
| Senate Update: Democrats Take Another Small Step Forward |
| Senate Update: More Races Become More Competitive |
| Losing Scotland Would Be A Weather Winner For The U.K. |
| Senate Update: Optimistic Numbers For GOP In Colorado And Iowa |
| Why Pollsters Think They Underestimated ‘No’ In Scotland |
| Senate Update: The Races Most Sensitive To New Polling |
| The Racial Gap On Global Warming |
| Senate Update: Two Different Views Of Alaska |
| Senate Update: A January Runoff In Georgia Is Getting More Likely |
| Ruth Bader Ginsburg Would Probably Be Confirmed Today |
| Why Eric Holder’s Replacement Is Likely To Have A Tough Confirmation |
| Senate Update: I Can See The House Effects In Alaska From Here |
| Little Change In The Senate, And A Sense Of Déjà Vu In Massachusetts |
| Senate Update: Watching The Signal And Not The Noise |
| Senate Update: Don’t Take These Poll Results At Face Value |
| Senate Update: Democrats Wrapping Up In Michigan |
| Ferguson’s Elections Look Like They Are About to Change |
| Senate Update: A Reality Check On The Polls And Our Forecast |
| Why We Aren’t Talking About The Economy In 2014 |
| Senate Update: Don’t Forget About Kentucky And Georgia |
| The Voter Registration Report From Ferguson Was Impossible |
| Orman Has His Largest Lead, But The Kansas Electorate Is More Fluid Than Elsewhere |
| Senate Update: Don’t Go Crazy |
| Senate Update: Republican Fortunes Rise In Alaska |
| Senate Update: National And State Polls Are Starting To Show The Same Thing |
| Senate Update: What A Republican Win On Election Night Would Look Like |
| Senate Update: A Lot Has Changed — And Mostly Stayed The Same |
| Voters Still Don’t Like The Guy, But Crist Is Now Leading In Florida |
| Senate Update: Georgia On My Mind |
| Senate Update: Democratic Hopes Dim in Kentucky |
| Senate Update: Do We Have Enough Polls? |
| Senate Update: Yellow Flags For Democrats In North Carolina |
| No One Can Tell You How Much Snow We’ll Get This Winter — At Least Not Yet |
| Is The Ebola Crisis Affecting The Midterm Elections? |
| Senate Update: There’s A 47 Percent Chance The 2014 Midterms Will Go To Overtime |
| Senate Update: Colorado Polling Is Probably Right. Udall Is Losing. |
| Senate Update: It Could All Come Down To Iowa |
| Why Did A Rasmussen Reports Poll Disappear? |
| Senate Update: There’s A 70 Percent Chance Georgia Will Go To A Runoff |
| Another Michigan Republican Appears Headed For Defeat |
| Background Checks For Gun Sales Look Likely To Pass In Washington |
| Why The Senate Polling In Alaska Is Making Us Sweat |
| One Reason Bruce Braley Still Has A Chance in Iowa |
| Senate Update: The Momentum Mirage |
| Senate Update: Republicans Lead Where They Need To, But Uncertainty Abounds |
| Senate Update: Democrats’ Chance Of Holding On Continues To Fall |
| One Day Left: The Most Competitive Races For Governor |
| Republicans Are Leaving House Seats On The Table |
| Unskewed Polls, Early Voting Edition |
| Final Gubernatorial Forecasts: Close Contests In 10 Races |
| Landrieu Needs A Game Changer To Hold On To Her Senate Seat |
| Flying Blind Toward Hogan’s Upset Win In Maryland |
| Something Funny Happened In Iowa, And It May Hurt Democrats In 2016 |
| The Worst College Football Game In The Worst College Football Town |
| Wendy Davis’s Campaign Was Bad, But That Probably Didn’t Matter |
| A Few Surprises In The Senate’s Rejection Of The Keystone XL Pipeline |
| Clinton Probably Can’t Expand The 2016 Map (And If She Does, It Won’t Matter) |
| The Supreme Court Won’t Be Getting Another Sotomayor Anytime Soon |
| Outlier Pollsters Cheated Themselves In Virginia’s Senate Race |
| Jim Webb Would Make A Good Anti-Clinton In 2016 |
| The Electoral Politics Of Obama’s Immigration Speech In Nevada |
| The Election Map Alone Doesn’t Explain The 2014 Republican Wave |
| Hagel Served As Defense Secretary About As Long As History Would Suggest |
| What Might Persuade Hillary Clinton Not To Run In 2016 |
| The 2014 Senate Elections Were The Most Nationalized In Decades |
| The Grand Jury In The Eric Garner Chokehold Case Was Especially Unlikely To Indict |
| Senate Forecast: Landrieu Headed Toward Historic Defeat In Louisiana Runoff |
| Democrats Shouldn’t Give Up On The South |
| Obama Is Unpopular, And That’s Unlikely To Change |
| Support For Gun Control Slips As Media Loses Interest |
| Don’t Bet On Clinton Faltering In Iowa A Second Time |
| There Won’t Be A Backlash To Ending The Cuba Embargo |
| Jeb Bush Might Have A Tea Party Problem In 2016 |
| Rand Paul Just Hurt His Chances In Florida’s 2016 GOP Primary |
| New Yorkers Who Like Cops Don’t Like De Blasio |
| Don’t Take Ben Carson Seriously (Except In Iowa — Maybe) |
| Americans Disagree With Obama On The State Of Race Relations |
| What I Got Wrong In 2014 |
| Huckabee Could Make It Easier For A More Moderate Republican To Win In 2016 |
| The Performance Art Of Voting Against Boehner |
| Americans Aren’t Becoming More Politically Independent, They Just Like Saying They Are |
| 2016 Is Here |
| Conservatives In The House, Then Moderates In The Senate |
| Five Reasons Romney Is Thinking of Running |
| Looking For Clues: Who Is Going To Run For President In 2016? |
| The Rebound In Obama’s Approval Is Real |
| One Year From The Iowa Caucus: What We Know |
| Romney Has An Empathy Problem, But So Do Most Republicans |
| Ranking The States From Most To Least Corrupt |
| The East Coast May Be About To Get One Of The Worst Blizzards It’s Ever Seen |
| Everybody Hates Chris Christie |
| Stop Calling This Blizzard ‘Juno’ |
| How Meteorologists Botched The Blizzard Of 2015 |
| What Sarah Palin And Chris Christie Have In Common |
| Lindsey Graham Would Be A Very Underwhelming Presidential Candidate |
| Who Will Run For President: Romney Is Out |
| Chaos, Not Scott Walker, Leads The Republican Field In Iowa |
| Americans And Scientists Agree More On Vaccines Than On Other Hot Button Issues |
| 10 Of The Biggest Presidential Primary Busts In Recent History |
| Brian Williams Has Lasted Longer Than Most In NBC’s Anchor Chair |
| The Overhyped Reaction To Jon Stewart Leaving ‘The Daily Show’ |
| Is Mount Rushmore Statistically Accurate? |
| Boston’s Ridiculous February Snowfall In One Chart |
| Republicans Like The Bushes’ Stances On Foreign Policy |
| Who Will Run For President: Every Republican |
| Hillary Clinton Is The George W. Bush Of 2016 |
| The Fed Has Never Been More Polarizing |
| There’s A 92 Percent Chance The Senate Will Confirm Loretta Lynch As Attorney General |
| The 2016 GOP Field Is Shaping Up As Historically Crowded — And Unpredictable |
| Why Some Democrats Attended Netanyahu’s Speech And Some Didn’t |
| Scott Walker’s Electoral Record Is Just As Impressive As It Looks |
| Corruption Charges Against Menendez Could Be Good News For Christie |
| Has The Snow Finally Stopped? |
| Democrats See The Media As Biased Against Clinton |
| 5 Lessons On The Clinton Email Scandal From Political Science |
| Boston Breaks Snowfall Record With An Amazing Finish |
| Why Israel’s Election Is Too Close To Call |
| Why Aaron Schock Resigned |
| Oregon’s New Automatic Voter Registration Is Unlikely To Have A Big Effect |
| Liz Mair Had A Point |
| Loretta Lynch’s Prolonged Confirmation Wait Is Unusual, But Not Unprecedented |
| New York And Philadelphia Are In The Middle Of Historically Snowy Months |
| Let’s Be Serious About Ted Cruz From The Start: He’s Too Extreme And Too Disliked To Win |
| Ted Cruz Is Late To The Party |
| Democrats Could Put Indiana Senate Seat In Play In 2016 — Especially If Evan Bayh Runs |
| Ted Cruz Is Just Like Reagan In 1980, Except People Actually Liked Reagan |
| Some Democrats Who Could Step Up If Hillary Isn’t Ready For Hillary |
| Why Harry Reid Chose Chuck Schumer |
| Martin O’Malley Shouldn’t Try To Out-Liberal Hillary Clinton |
| African-Americans Are An Outlier On Indiana’s Religious Freedom Law |
| Rand Paul Is Losing His Father’s Base |
| Michael Brown’s Neighborhood In Ferguson Still Lags In Voter Turnout |
| The Hillary Clinton Steamroller Rumbles To Life |
| The Official 2016 GOP Field Gets Its First Real Contender: Marco Rubio |
| For Better Or Worse, Clinton Is Likely Stuck Running For Obama’s Third Term |
| Democrats Want Clinton To Face A Primary Challenger (But They Want Clinton To Win) |
| The Politics Of Christie’s Social Security Plan Are Atrocious |
| U.K. Polls Are Boring |
| Walker Has (Sorta) Broken Through In Iowa, And He Has Room To Grow |
| Gov. Chris Christie, You’re No John McCain |
| Scott Walker’s Legal Immigration Faux Pas |
| Obama Has Waited Longer For Cabinet Confirmations Than Any Other Recent President |
| Marco Rubio Is A Strong Candidate — Despite His Polling Surge |
| Jeb Bush Has The Cash, But Not The GOP Support |
| Rick Snyder Has A Chris Christie Problem |
| Enter The Democratic Primary’s Liberal Alternative: Bernie Sanders! |
| Chris Christie’s Access Lanes To The GOP Nomination Are Closed |