fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

March 2014

Travis Childers’ Elasticity Problem
As Sports Data Evolve, the Public May Get Left Behind
Let’s Not Get Carried Away With the 3s
Holy $&*#! The Pope And Accidental Cursing
John Cornyn Is Too Conservative to Lose This Primary
Russell Wilson Is Already a Two-Sport Standout
When It Comes To Exercise, Don’t Trust. Verify.
The Wild, Conservative West
Why It’s Hard to Predict Oscar Winners
British Teeth Aren’t That Bad (American Teeth Are Far Worse)
They’re Meaty Headlines, But There’s More Smoke Than Fire
The Smell of Data in the Morning
The Most Underreported Piece of Obama’s Budget
Follow @FiveThirtyEight
The Tall Apple: Number of Stories in NYC Skyscrapers Might Floor You
Signs of a Thaw
Internationally, Women Still Spend More Time Doing Chores
How to Take the New SAT
FiveThirtyEight to Relaunch on March 17
A Suspicious Immigration Statistic
Somebody Poll a Senate Race
The Odds of Getting off the Elevator First
Slow And Steady Is Losing the Race
Americans Disliked Russia Even Before the Crisis in Ukraine
Don’t Read Too Much Into Result in Florida’s 13th District
Darrelle Revis And the Paradox of Cornerback Stats
Longer Extra Point Could Make NFL Coaches Do the Math
Obama Plan Could Mean Overtime Pay for Millions
Reviewing the Peer-Review Process
Record Household Wealth Mostly Due to Gains Among the Rich
Sex, Drugs And Guns: America’s Underground Economies
Sorry, Scott Brown: The Granite State Seems Happy With Its Senator
Billions to Treasury Could Dry Up
The Quiet Dominance of Steve Smith
Many Signs Pointed to Crimea Independence Vote — But Polls Didn’t
Finally, a Formula For Decoding Health News
This Winter Wasn’t the Coldest, But It Was One of the Most Miserable
Three Rules to Make Sure Economic Data Aren’t Bunk
Tracking Health One Step (And Clap, And Wave, And Fist Pump) at a Time
Parsing Is Such Sweet Sorrow
Why Only Half of Venezuelans Are in the Streets
All Politics Is Presidential
Building a Bracket Is Hard This Year, But We’ll Help You Play the Odds
What the Fox Knows
The Quest to Count City-Dwelling Rats
Why Gretzky Had It Easy
Toilet Seat Covers: To Use or Not to Use
Wichita State’s Strength of Schedule Isn’t the Problem
The Piles of Cash That Never Existed
Baseball’s Most Surprising Seasons, Good And Bad
‘Data Is’ vs. ‘Data Are’
You Just Had Sex, So How Many Calories Did You Burn?
Poverty, Policy And Pot
Fear Not, Readers: We Have RSS Feeds
How Statisticians Could Help Find That Missing Plane
Another Explanation For Crimea Referendum Landslide
Advice For Phil Jackson: Hire Phil Jackson
Buffett’s Billion Won’t Lead to a Perfect Bracket
When Living Wage Is Minimum Wage
Typical Minimum-Wage Earners Aren’t Poor, But They’re Not Quite Middle Class
How to Eat at McDonald’s When You’re Monumentally Broke
The Vicious Cycle of Drafting Quarterbacks
We Have a 1 in 7,419,071,319 Chance of Winning Buffett’s Billion
Nate Silver on ‘Good Morning America’
Sending Email Via Carrier Pigeon
Disasters Cost More Than Ever — But Not Because of Climate Change
Dayton Does Matter
The Key Question For Yellen: Is This Economy As Good As It Gets?
An America Without Irish Immigrants
What to Expect From Baseball America’s Top 100 Prospects
U.S. and Chinese Current Accounts Converging
A March Madness Bracket For Stat-Heads
Don’t Sleep on Villanova
Pregnant Women, Here’s One Less Thing To Worry About
Why People Bet on the Favorite Even When the Spread Favors the Underdog
A Belated Welcome to DataLab
Former Obama Adviser: Government Should Have Done More
Ocean Debris And the Search for the Malaysia Airlines Plane
Louisville Should’ve Been a No. 1 Seed, But It Might Play Like a No. 9
Our NCAA Bracket Will Update Live, But Here’s Where You Can Find Our Old Data
Romney, Obama And International Opinion
When Spring Training Matters
Out of Work, Out of Luck
MLB Teams Hold Up Well After Overseas Travel
Florida’s Odds Are Dropping
GOP Field Hasn’t Been This Split in 40 Years
Want a Raise? Quit Your Job
Following Up on Disasters And Climate Change
Duke’s Lehigh Loss Was Bad, But Mercer Was Worser
Is Hillary Clinton Qualified to Be President? A New Poll is Easy to Misread
FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast: GOP Is Slight Favorite in Race for Senate Control
The Return of MLB’s Youth
Low Pay Limits Player Experience in National Women’s Soccer League
The Fastest Rapper in the Game
The Gators Bite Back
When Picking a Bracket, It’s Easier to Be Accurate Than Skillful
Which Last Longer in America: Companies or Marriages?
The Shift From Low-Wage Worker to Robot Worker
The Hidden Value of the NBA Steal
The DSCC Can’t Have It Both Ways
History Suggests It Might Not Get Better For Democrats
The Beatles Aren’t Bigger Than Jesus (Or Even Moses) at the Movies
Fewer Kids Are Playing Football, But Mark Cuban Might Be Wrong About Why
Study Names Colleges With the Best Return on Investment
Missing: Up To 4 Million Workers
Clinton Is Polling Like an Incumbent, And That Could Help Her in 2016
Labor Force Participation Doesn’t Mean What It Used to
Yankees vs. Mets: The Battle For New York’s Heart
Born in the Early ’80s: Where Are They Now?
There’s No Place Like Home For John Isner
For Columnist, a Change of Tone
Can Evolution Outrace Climate Change?
The Imperfect Pursuit of a Perfect Baseball Forecast
Men Are More Likely to Live With Their Folks
NLRB Ruling Reignites College-Athlete Pay Debate
Residents of Struggling Cities Opt to Skip Town
The NCAA Bracket: Checking Our Work
Even If They Don’t Win Tonight, the 76ers Are Getting Better
Are American Teenagers Getting More Promiscuous?
Quantifying the ‘That Guy Is Still in the Major Leagues?’ Phenomenon
The Messy Truth Behind GDP Data
Reports of a Drop in Childhood Obesity Are Overblown
Market Forces Appear to Apply to Hospitals, Too
‘WhatsAppitis’ And Other Modern Injuries
Nate Silver on ‘The Daily Show’
Noah’s Arc in Film and TV
How Bad Was the Cabrera Deal?
FiveThirtyEight to Commission Response to Disputed Climate Article
Tennessee’s Strange Path to Sweet 16 Suggests It’s a Big Threat to Michigan
Income And Spending Are Up — Thanks, Obamacare
Cabrera’s Millions And Baseball’s Billions
Most Managers Are Headed to the Hall of Mediocrity
Turning Dreams Into Data
The Most Impressive Run to the Final Four (And It’s Not Kentucky’s)
President Obama’s Brackets: Apolitical, Cautious And Full of Chalk
MIT Climate Scientist Responds on Disaster Costs And Climate Change
When a Point Is Not Worth a Point
Here’s How He Met Her Mother
Midterm Turnout Isn’t the Only Reason For Rosy Republican Outlook