Carl Bialik (350 entries)

Obama's Organizers in Georgia, But Not Obama
Guest Article: UK Elections Modelling, The Third Way
When It Comes To Exercise, Don’t Trust. Verify.
When It Comes To Exercise, Don’t Trust. Verify.
A Suspicious Immigration Statistic
The Odds of Getting off the Elevator First
Reviewing the Peer-Review Process
Many Signs Pointed to Crimea Independence Vote — But Polls Didn’t
Tracking Health One Step (And Clap, And Wave, And Fist Pump) at a Time
Wichita State’s Strength of Schedule Isn’t the Problem
You Just Had Sex, So How Many Calories Did You Burn?
You Just Had Sex, So How Many Calories Did You Burn?
How Statisticians Could Help Find That Missing Plane
Another Explanation For Crimea Referendum Landslide
Buffett’s Billion Won’t Lead to a Perfect Bracket
Dayton Does Matter
A March Madness Bracket For Stat-Heads
Louisville Should’ve Been a No. 1 Seed, But It Might Play Like a No. 9
There’s No Place Like Home For John Isner
NLRB Ruling Reignites College-Athlete Pay Debate
Even If They Don’t Win Tonight, the 76ers Are Getting Better
Tennessee’s Strange Path to Sweet 16 Suggests It’s a Big Threat to Michigan
President Obama’s Brackets: Apolitical, Cautious And Full of Chalk
It’s Easier to Get Assists in Huntsville, Texas, Than Anywhere Else
College Basketball’s Problem Isn’t Endless Nail-Biters — It’s Long Blowouts
UConn’s Not-So-Secret Weapon
John Calipari Has Seen a Lot of Bricks at the Free-Throw Line
The Best College Basketball Program of All Time
Both the Heat and the Pacers Have Time to Rebound
Sam Houston State’s Scorer: ‘We Reward Good Team Play’
Where Is Ukraine’s Next Crimea?
I Don’t Care If I Ever Get Back — And I Might Not
Pace Is the Most Consistent Pitching Stat
Djokovic Makes a Run at No. 1
Under Moyes, Manchester United Wasn’t Particularly Good — Or Lucky
Is the DH Rule Slowing the Game Down?
Suddenly, Anyone Can Beat Rafael Nadal on Clay
Mark Buehrle Is a One-Man Baseball-Game Accelerator
To Gauge Americans’ Interest in the World Cup, Ask Some People in Spanish
Give Us a Straight Answer, America: How Do You Really Feel About Soccer?
Even the Head Chef of the World’s Best Restaurant Doubts There’s a World’s Best Restaurant
The Students Most Likely to Take Our Jobs
Has the AL East Just Been Unlucky?
Why the Best Scoring Margin Doesn’t Guarantee a Championship in European Soccer
Why 2014’s NFL Draft Picks Should Hope Next Year’s Picks Are Bad
NFL Teams Increasingly Hang on to Their Star Draftees
More People Are Running; Fewer Are Playing Bar Sports
More People Are Running; Fewer Are Playing Bar Sports
Meet the Man Who Preserved Decades of NBA History
This Man Has Worked For the NBA For the League’s Entire History
This Man Has Worked For the NBA For the League’s Entire History
What Speed Typing Has to Do With NBA History
Ukraine’s Population Challenge
How Tennis Officials Are Trying to Make the Game Fair
Inside the Shadowy World of High-Speed Tennis Betting
The West is Better Than the East, But That Doesn’t Mean the Spurs Will Beat the Heat
The Challenge of Counting D-Day’s Dead
Nadal Isn’t What He Used to Be on Clay, But He’s Still Good Enough to Win the French Open
What If Rafael Nadal Had Never Won a Grand Slam Title?
The People Tracking Every Touch, Pass And Tackle in the World Cup
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 1
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 2
U.S. Soccer Fandom: The Investigation Continues
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 8
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 11
At Wimbledon, Ryan Harrison Suffers Again From His Bad Luck of the Draw
These Players Crash the Wimbledon Party the Hard Way
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 14
An Oddity of Tennis Scoring Makes Its Annual Appearance at Wimbledon
Was the U.S. Robbed Against Portugal? It Depends on What Time Means
John Isner Is All Alone at Wimbledon
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 17
Stoppage Time Is Often Home-Cooked, Especially in Major League Soccer
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 19
Does Tennis Need a Shot Clock?
Federer Rediscovers an Old Tactic at Wimbledon
Get Off My Tennis Lawn!
Statkeepers Call the Shots, But They Can’t Agree on Them
Wimbledon Is Very Forgiving of Players’ Errors
Wimbledon Champion Novak Djokovic Just Bested His Coach, Boris Becker
World Cup Semifinal Crib Notes: Netherlands vs. Argentina
U.S. vs. Belgium Was the Best Match of the World Cup So Far
World Cup Shooters Keep Misfiring From Long-Range
World Cup Third-Place Match Crib Notes: Brazil vs. Netherlands
The Low-Scoring World Cup Final Might Not Be Here to Stay
Walking the Data-Driven Scenic Route in London
We Still Don’t Know How Deadly the Ebola Outbreak in West Africa Will Be
When A Flight Vanishes From The Sky, Amateur Trackers Know It Instantly
The Difficult Work Of Measuring Anti-Semitism In Europe
Geograph’s Quixotic Effort To Get Photos Of Every Square Kilometer Of Great Britain And Ireland
Thousands Of Pictures Are Worth The World
How Rafael Nadal’s Absence From the U.S. Open Helps Roger Federer
Police In England And Wales Went Two Years Without Fatally Shooting Someone
Police In England And Wales Went Two Years Without Fatally Shooting Someone
Is Global Instability Making Urban Life Tougher?
Why It Took So Long To Update the U.N.-Sponsored Syria Death Count
Recent Breakthroughs In Women’s Tennis Have Yet To Stick
Why The Napa Earthquake Damage Alerts Keep Changing
One Record That Federer’s Chasing Doesn’t Really Count
U.S. Women Are Stronger In The Tennis World Than U.S. Men
2014 NFL Preview: The AFC North Is Up For Grabs
If Tony Survived The ‘Sopranos’ Finale, He’s Probably Alive Today
Why Tennis Players Don’t Take More Risks On Second Serves
San Francisco Stalls In Its Attempt To Go Trash-Free
As U.S. Tennis Power Fell, Spanish Men And Czech Women Were Rising
For Years, The Road To Grand Slam Greatness Ran Through Mario Ancic
It’s Not The End Of An Era For Men’s Tennis
Tennis Has A Big Three-And-A-Half
The 42 Countries That Agree On Islamic State And Little Else
On Policy, Scotland Is Far From Most of Britain, But Not London
A Rough Guide To Watching The Scottish Independence Vote
Why Counts Of Islamic State Fighters Are So Uncertain
Why Pollsters Think They Underestimated ‘No’ In Scotland
Scottish Regions’ View On Self-Governance Hasn’t Changed Much Since 1997
A Statistical Appreciation Of Li Na
We’ll Probably Never Know If The CDC’s Grim Ebola Forecast Was Accurate
Have Ray Rice And Roger Goodell Hurt NFL Ratings?
Can David Goffin Keep Winning?
Pollsters Predict Greater Polling Error In Midterm Elections
What We Know About Sexual Assault in College — And What We Don’t
We Still Can’t Predict Earthquakes
An Important Indicator In The Fight Against Ebola
Catholics Are More Progressive Than The Vatican, And Almost Everyone Else
Pollsters Say They Follow Ethical Standards, But They Aren’t So Sure About Their Peers
Estimates Of Ebola-Infected Air Passengers Include Big Assumptions
Is 21 Days Long Enough For Ebola Quarantine?
Even Pollsters Don’t Know All The Details Of How Their Polls Are Made
Americans Overestimate The Number of Muslims And Teen Moms, But Not By As Much As Reported
Some Do’s And Don’t’s For Evaluating Senate Forecasts
Video: Nate Silver And Harry Enten On Republicans’ Big Win
Several Pollsters Say Polls Did Well On Election Day
Preliminary Turnout Numbers Are Way Down From 2010 And 2012
Most Pollsters We Surveyed Say Polling Did Well This Year
The Divide Between Republican And Democratic Voters On Major Issues
The Greatest Rivalry In Men’s Pro Tennis History Is Happening Now
Why We Don’t Know The Real Ebola Mortality Rate In The U.S.
The Elders Of Men’s Tennis Hold Off Youngsters At ATP World Tour Finals
More On Bill Cosby’s History Of Mentioning ‘Spanish Fly’
U.K. Report Is Latest Evidence That Crime Stats Heavily Undercount Rape
Can Roger Federer Finally Win A Davis Cup?
By Playing Hurt, Federer Shows That The Davis Cup Still Matters
The Revolution In Tennis Stats That Didn’t Stick
Bill Cosby’s Fall From Among The Most-Trusted Celebrities To The Least
Federer, Djokovic Set To Play For First Time In A Tennis Hotbed: India
Federer, Djokovic Set To Play For First Time In A Tennis Hotbed: India
Taliban Attack At Pakistan School Sets Back Modest Progress Against Terrorism
These Authors Know The ‘Game Of Thrones’ Backstory Better Than George R.R. Martin Does
Cuban Players Already Have Been Gaining Ground In MLB
The Superfans Using Stats To Get To The Bottom Of ‘Serial’
NFL Teams Are Analyzing Everything From The Salary Cap To Fan Loyalty
Tennis Has An Income Inequality Problem
A Deadly 2014 For Air Travel Has Reversed Recent Safety Gains
The Biggest Stories Of 2014? Now, Wait Just A Minute
The Biggest Stories Of 2014? Now, Wait Just A Minute
Downed AirAsia Flight Took Off From The Worst Major Country For Air Safety Oversight
A Historical Look At The Immigration Of French Jews To Israel
Home Players Enjoy Luck Of The Draw At Australian Open
Home Players Enjoy Luck Of The Draw At Australian Open
Federer Is No Longer Mr. Consistency After Australian Open Loss
70 Years Later, We’re Still Trying To Learn Who Died In The Holocaust
People Working From Home In A Snowstorm May Be Producing More Than You Are
Late 20s Are The New Early 20s For Tennis Breakthroughs
Late 20s Are The New Early 20s For Tennis Breakthroughs
LeBron May Know Best About When The New-Look Cavs Have Gelled
Other Countries Are So Much Better At Vaccinating Their Kids For Measles
The Silly Way Coaches’ Wins Are Counted
Rest Easy, Bob Knight: Kentucky Probably Won’t Finish Undefeated
Most Americans And Israelis Get Along Better Than Obama And Netanyahu Do
Most Americans And Israelis Get Along Better Than Obama And Netanyahu Do
A New Estimate Of Killings By Police Is Way Higher — And Still Too Low
Princeton Enters Women’s Tournament As An Unusual Sort Of Undefeated Team
Princeton Enters Women’s Tournament As An Unusual Sort Of Undefeated Team
Bayern Munich’s Head Of Analytics Tells Us How Pep Guardiola Has Embraced Stats
Why Israel’s Election Is Too Close To Call
How Israel’s Exit Pollsters Missed Right-Wing Rally For Netanyahu
Home Is Where The Hot March Madness Tickets Are
Home Is Where The Hot March Madness Tickets Are
Davidson Basketball’s Sixth Man: The Math Department
Most Of UConn’s Games This Season Were Over At Halftime
Villanova’s Loss Is Kentucky’s (And Virginia’s) Gain
South Florida Is Lucky To Host Its Toss-Up Matchup With Louisville
We Don’t Know How Often Pilots Commit Suicide
New Zealand, The Little Nation That Could Win Two World Cups
Gonzaga Women Earn Still More Chances To Play Close To Home
Gonzaga Women Earn Still More Chances To Play Close To Home
That Higher Count Of Police Killings May Still Be 25 Percent Too Low
This Year’s Kentucky Team Is More Dominant Than Indiana’s Undefeated 1976 Squad
UConn And Notre Dame Could Renew The Best Rivalry In Women’s Basketball In Tampa
The Latest Kentucky Riot Is Part Of A Long, Destructive Sports Tradition
A Shot-Clock-By-Shot-Clock Guide To Duke vs. Wisconsin
UConn Has Been Slightly Less Dominant In The Tournament Than It Was All Season
The Billionaire Baron Who Has Transformed How We Understand The U.K. Election
Blacks Are Killed By Police At A Higher Rate In South Carolina And The U.S.
Better Data Entry Could Help Stop Rapists Like Darren Sharper Before They Assault More Women
An Ex-Cop Keeps The Country’s Best Data Set On Police Misconduct
The Counterterrorism Expo With Very Little ‘Counter’ And No ‘Terror’
USGS Model Suggests The Nepal Earthquake Death Toll Will Keep Climbing
Baltimore’s Police Officers Have Been Arrested At High Rates
Dangerous Times For The World’s Cultural Heritage
Police Killings Almost Never Lead To Murder Charges
Think You Know Who Will Win The U.K. Election? Want To Bet?
SurveyMonkey Was The Other Winner Of The U.K. Election
The Biggest U.S. Police Departments Are Getting Smaller
As A Major Retraction Shows, We’re All Vulnerable To Faked Data
Rafael Nadal Is 80 Percent Of What He Used To Be
Podcast: Nadal’s Decline, Every NBA Team Ranked, And Whether Stars Matter
How FIFA’s Structure Lends Itself To Corruption
Live Blog: Novak Djokovic vs. Rafael Nadal At The French Open [liveblog]
How Your Tennis Stats Get Made
How Your Tennis Stats Get Made
Why Some Tennis Matches Take Forever
What We Know About Hate Crimes In South Carolina
What We Know About Hate Crimes In South Carolina
The Charleston Shooter Struck The Heart Of The African-American South
The Charleston Shooter Struck The Heart Of The African-American South
Why De Blasio’s Decision To Add NYPD Officers Could Cut Crime
Why De Blasio’s Decision To Add NYPD Officers Could Cut Crime
Did Nielsen Kill The Radio Star?
Women Get Equal Pay, But Not Equal Billing, At Wimbledon
Even Pretending To Be A Professional Tennis Player Is Terrifying
Greece Hopes Foreign Tourists Will Help Pay Its Debts
The Debate On Uber’s Impact In New York City Is Far From Over
The Debate On Uber’s Impact In New York City Is Far From Over
Nielsen’s Testing Hasn’t Resolved The Radio Ratings Debate
Nielsen’s Testing Hasn’t Resolved The Radio Ratings Debate
Anti-Gay Feeling Is High In Many African Countries Amid Obama Visit
Anti-Gay Feeling Is High In Many African Countries Amid Obama Visit
Uber Is Serving New York’s Outer Boroughs More Than Taxis Are
We Still Don’t Know How Many People Died Because Of Katrina
Serena Williams And The Difference Between All-Time Great And Greatest Of All Time
Fifteen Minutes In Flushing: A Special U.S. Open Podcast
Serena Williams Is Getting A Raw Deal By Only Playing Best Of Three Sets
Serena Williams Is Getting A Raw Deal By Only Playing Best Of Three Sets
Scare Headlines Exaggerated The U.S. Crime Wave
Roberta Vinci’s Upset Of Serena Williams Is The Biggest In Modern Women’s Tennis History
Roberta Vinci’s Upset Of Serena Williams Is The Biggest In Modern Women’s Tennis History
Djokovic And Federer Are Vying To Be The Greatest Of All Time
The Hard-Line Republicans Who Pushed John Boehner Out
The Hard-Line Republicans Who Pushed John Boehner Out
The Senate’s Criminal Justice Bill Would Lengthen Some Sentences — But Reduce Far More
The Senate’s Criminal Justice Bill Would Lengthen Some Sentences — But Reduce Far More
Uber Is Taking Millions Of Manhattan Rides Away From Taxis
2015-16 NBA Preview: The Raptors Are Lucky They Play In An Awful Division
2015-16 NBA Preview: The Raptors Are Lucky They Play In An Awful Division
2015-16 NBA Preview: The Grizzlies Will Remain Good, Not Great
2015-16 NBA Preview: The Grizzlies Will Remain Good, Not Great
2015-16 NBA Preview: The Hornets Coulda Been A Contender
2015-16 NBA Preview: The Hornets Coulda Been A Contender
Everyone’s Still Chasing The Yankees And Red Sox On Facebook And Twitter
Everyone’s Still Chasing The Yankees And Red Sox On Facebook And Twitter
The Gold Gloves Are Finally Going To The Best Fielders
The Rise Of Terrorism Inspired By Religion In France
Governors Who Want To Ban Syrian Refugees Have Something In Common
Americans Love France
A Chicago Cop Is The Latest To Be Charged Using Video Evidence
Mass Shootings Have Become More Common In The U.S.
Is Uber Making NYC Rush-Hour Traffic Worse?
Ultimate Frisbee Is In The Dark Ages Of Analytics — And It Wants To Escape
Shocker: Trump Tweets The Polls That Make Him Look Most Like A Winner
The Warriors Are The Hottest Ticket In Every Town
People Want News About Iran, But The News They Get Is About Canada
Most Pollsters Say Their Reputations Have Worsened
Serena Williams Had A Remarkable Year. Novak Djokovic’s Was Better.
Most Americans Agree With Obama That More Gun Buyers Should Get Background Checks
How To Make Sense Of Conflicting, Confusing And Misleading Crime Statistics
The Most-Edited Wikipedia Pages Over The Last 15 Years
Why Betting Data Alone Can’t Identify Match Fixers In Tennis
You’d Have To Be Pretty Dumb To Fix A Tennis Match This Week
Were There 6 Percent More Murders Last Year, Or 16 Percent?
The Tennis Court Is A Laboratory For Innovation
Iowa Teaches Pollsters To Poll Until The End
Donald Trump Is Losing Ground On Google
Are You More Likely To Vote For A Woman Or A Man?
Lots Of Parents Don’t Want Their Kids To Be Born On Leap Day
Republicans Liked Ben Carson To The End (But Not Enough To Vote For Him)
Republicans Liked Ben Carson To The End (But Not Enough To Vote For Him) [video]
Why The Polls Missed Bernie Sanders’s Michigan Upset
San Jose Is The Most Forgettable Major American City
Late NCAA Bracket Submissions Show We’re A Nation Of Procrastinators
The World’s Most Prolific Twitter User Tweets Mostly About Nothing
How Losing To The Celtics Changes The Warriors’ Odds Of 73 Wins
Can DeRay Mckesson Turn 330,000 Twitter Followers Into 20,000 Votes?
Everyone Has Fake Twitter Followers, But Trump Has The Most. Sad!
The Warriors Dominated The NBA Season Online, Too
Shakespeare Or Batman? That Is The Question
How The Republican Field Dwindled From 17 To Donald Trump
Sitting Presidents Give Way More Commencement Speeches Than They Used To
Some People Are Too Superstitious To Have A Baby On Friday The 13th
Roger Federer Will Miss His First Grand Slam In 17 Years
U.S. Soccer Fans Click On Manchester United More Than Other, Better Teams
Novak Djokovic’s Chase Of Tennis Records Is Speeding Up
Most Black People Now Think O.J. Was Guilty
Most Black People Now Think O.J. Was Guilty [video]
Terrorists Are Turning To Guns More Often In U.S. Attacks
Sam Querrey Beats Novak Djokovic In A Very Old-Fashioned Upset
The Police Are Killing People As Often As They Were Before Ferguson
The Dallas Shooting Was Among The Deadliest For Police In U.S. History
Serena Williams Ties Graf’s Majors Record Thanks To A Remarkable Run In Her 30s
The Mass Shootings Fix
Gun, Badge, Camera
Instrument Of Terror
In The Shadow Of Exile
2016 Could Be The Deadliest Year For Terror Attacks Targeting Police Since 1973
Why Are So Many Black Americans Killed By Police?
Philadelphia Is Bouncing Back From Problems Still Plaguing Cleveland
Roger Federer’s Tough Path To Winning Another Major Just Got Tougher
How Uber’s Truce With Regulators Played Out During The DNC
Clinton Has Nearly Caught Up To Trump In Media Coverage
Tennis And The Olympics Make An Awkward Match
The U.S. Women Probably Weren’t Going To Win The Gold Anyway
Serving Is A Disadvantage In Some Olympic Sports
Winning An Olympic Gold Medal Hasn’t Been This Difficult Since 1896
The Ageless Dominance Of Serena Williams And Novak Djokovic
How We’re Forecasting The 2016 U.S. Open
U.S. Open Forecast: Serena Williams Has a 55 Percent Chance To Win
Fifteen Minutes In Flushing: Our U.S. Open Podcast Returns
New Yorkers Will Pay $56 A Month To Trim A Minute Off Their Commute
Three Out Of Four Media People Covering The U.S. Open Are Men
The Faceless Men And Women Of The U.S. Open
Serena Williams Only Loses In Big Upsets Because She’s Always A Big Favorite
Cellphone Emergency Alerts Are Outdated
Trump Says Profiling Has Protected Israel. It Probably Wouldn’t Work Here.
People Who Oppose Gay Marriage Are Less Likely To Value Expert Opinion
Top Pollsters Expect Clinton To Win
Most Guns Used In New York State Crimes Come From Out Of State
First-Grade Teachers Still Favor Boys Over Girls In Math, Research Suggests
Student Forecasters Predict A Clinton Win
Iowa Shootings Add To Toll In Deadly Year For Police Officers
How Two Grade-Schoolers Set Off A Tennis Revolution
Women’s Progress In Cabinet Positions Has Stalled Since Janet Reno
The Polls Missed Trump. We Asked Pollsters Why.
Voter Turnout Fell, Especially In States That Clinton Won
No, Voter Turnout Wasn’t Way Down From 2012
Jeff Sessions And Donald Trump Both Back A Tough Gun Prosecutions Program
Trump Is Naming His Cabinet Ahead Of Schedule
Demographics, Not Hacking, Explain The Election Results
Recounts Rarely Reverse Election Results
A Recount Probably Won’t Change The Winner Of The North Carolina Governor’s Race
Fewer Than 1 Million American WWII Veterans Survived To Pearl Harbor’s 75th Anniversary
The Government Finally Has A Realistic Estimate Of Killings By Police
The Electoral College Has Become Another Partisan Issue
In New Orleans, Making Defendants Choose Bail Or Jail Is Really Expensive
Police Officers Say Scrutiny Of Police Killings Has Made Their Job Tougher
What We Learned (And Didn’t) About Jeff Sessions At His Confirmation Hearing
New Orleans Scales Back Its Extensive, Expensive Bail System
Novak Djokovic Is Falling Behind In His Quest To Break Roger Federer’s Record
How Unconscious Sexism Could Help Explain Trump’s Win
Tennis Is Growing Old With Federer, Nadal And The Williams Sisters
We Converted $100 Into As Many Currencies As Possible
We Converted $100 Into As Many Currencies As Possible [video]