fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

July 2014

Lionel Messi Is Impossible
Disliking Congress, as a Whole And as Individuals
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 19
Has the U.S. Men’s National Team Plateaued?
A Chart For Predicting Penalty-Shootout Odds in Real Time
Filo Dough And Leeks in a Burrito? Please, Somebody, Pass the Red Machaca
How Much Do Democrats Depend on the Union Vote?
Tim Howard Lost, But He Just Had the Best Match of the World Cup
Lessons From Brazil’s War on Poverty
Does Tennis Need a Shot Clock?
There’s No Injury Epidemic, But Be Careful With Those Fourth of July Fireworks
With the U.S. Out, Which World Cup Team Will Americans Root For?
The Job Market Is the Strongest It’s Been Since Before the Recession
How the NFL’s Top Receivers’ Stats Would Change If They Played With Average QBs
Out West, There’s a Showdown Between Green Chili And Kalua Pig
The House And Senate Are the Most Divided They’ve Been in Our Lifetimes
The Giants Clustered Their Luck
The Culture Keeping Women Out of Tech Jobs
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 20
Mohawks, Faux-hawks And Macklemores: The Top-Heavy Hairdos of the World Cup
Federer Rediscovers an Old Tactic at Wimbledon
Get Off My Tennis Lawn!
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 21
Statkeepers Call the Shots, But They Can’t Agree on Them
Wimbledon Is Very Forgiving of Players’ Errors
Ctrl + ← Edible Data, ‘Arrested Development’ And Wedding Costs
Wimbledon Champion Novak Djokovic Just Bested His Coach, Boris Becker
How Neymar’s Injury Affects Brazil’s Chances at the World Cup
Why Classic Rock Isn’t What It Used To Be
The Biggest One-Hit Wonders of Classic Rock
In the Papers: Long-Term Unemployment, Education And Marriage, And Patent Trolls
It’s a Huge Upset When All the World Cup Favorites Win
Our Correspondent Has Now Identified the Best Burritos in the West
The Senate Races With the Biggest Ideological Stakes
World Cup Semifinal Crib Notes: Brazil vs. Germany
Di Maria’s Injury Makes Argentina-Netherlands Almost Even
We Return to the Burrito Bracket’s Chicago Roots
Job Seekers Face Their Best Odds of the Recovery
Our First Facebook Chat: Ask Nate Silver Almost Anything
Classic Rock Started With The Beatles And Ended With Nirvana
Republicans’ Choice to Hold 2016 Convention in Cleveland Probably Won’t Help Them in Ohio
The Most Shocking Result in World Cup History
Immigration Is Changing Much More Than the Immigration Debate
World Cup Semifinal Crib Notes: Netherlands vs. Argentina
How Does Germany’s Blowout of Brazil Compare to Those in Other Sports?
Immigration Isn’t Driving Hispanic Population Growth
Messi Is Better Than Maradona, But Maybe Not Pele
Following up on the Unimportance of the GOP’s 2016 Convention Choice
Germany Takes the Top Spot in Soccer Rankings
What Betting Markets Think LeBron James Will Do
How a Woman’s Weight Before Pregnancy Affects Childbirth
LeBron James Shouldn’t Stay in Miami Or Go to Cleveland
U.S. vs. Belgium Was the Best Match of the World Cup So Far
New York Burritos Have Come a Long Way
How Do We Know How Many Undocumented Immigrants There Are?
Colorado Marijuana Report Shows Legalization May Avoid a Big Potential Problem
What Cleveland Would Look Like With LeBron James And Kevin Love
Why the Chinese Are Snapping Up Real Estate in the U.S.
A Recap of Nate Silver’s Live Chat on Facebook
Could the World Cup Champion Beat the Best Club Team in the World?
The Battle For Emmy Nominations
World Cup Shooters Keep Misfiring From Long-Range
World Cup Third-Place Match Crib Notes: Brazil vs. Netherlands
LeBron Is Going to Make His Cavs Teammates Whoa Better
More Twins, Fewer Triplets
World Cup Final Crib Notes: Germany vs. Argentina
The Most Likely Scores in the World Cup Final
Ctrl + ← Kindergarten, Amtrak and Handsome Old Men
Germany May Be the Best National Soccer Team Ever
The Home Run Derby Myth
In the Papers: Prison, Prostitution and Unhappy Cities
The Low-Scoring World Cup Final Might Not Be Here to Stay
Corporate America Is Enriching Shareholders at the Expense of the Economy
Carmelo Anthony’s Contract Could Doom the Knicks to Mediocrity
Why June’s ‘Disappointing’ Retail Sales Were Good News for the Economy
Democrats Are in a Perilous Position in 2014 Senate Races
It’s Crunch Time for Burritos in the Northeast
Archie Was Dying Long Before They Killed Him
Derek Jeter And the Other Worst All-Star Starters of the Past 40 Years
Was Lionel Messi Tired?
America’s Most Cosmopolitan Metropolises
The Pitch That Launched a Thousand Think Pieces
Messi Doesn’t Cross That Much, Nor Should He
The Number of Marijuana Dealers in the United States
Governors’ Races Are Close, But There’s More Upside For Democrats
Visualizing a Day in the Life of a New York City Cab
The Labor Force Won’t Fix Itself
The Deadest Sports Days of the Year
‘The Handsome Man’ Burrito And Its Plantains Win by a Nose
Voters Are Rational in Midterm Elections
Dear Mona, How Many Americans Go To Church Every Sunday Like I Do?
Red Sox GM Ben Cherington Isn’t Completely Delusional
If You’re Doing TGI Fridays’ Unlimited Appetizer Deal, Do It Right
Should Travelers Avoid Flying Airlines That Have Had Crashes in the Past?
Dying at the Grand Canyon
We Have Now Identified 12 of the 16 Best Burritos in America
Ctrl + ← Underwear, Cupcakes and ZIP Codes
North Dakota’s Oil Bonanza Is Unsustainable
Elizabeth Warren Would Be the Most Liberal Democratic Nominee Since 1972
A Statistical Appreciation of the Washington Generals And Harlem Globetrotters
What to Watch For in Georgia’s Republican Senate Runoff
Determining the Body Count in Gaza
How Rory McIlroy Stacks up to Tiger And Jack
Welcome to California, And the Burrito Bracket’s Group of Death
Chuck Schumer Is Wrong About the Top-Two Primary
America’s Favorite ‘Star Wars’ Movies (And Least Favorite Characters)
What Do We Really Know About the Safety of E-Cigarettes?
The Polls Were Wrong in Georgia’s Senate Runoff, But Don’t Blame Turnout
How the Practice of Religion Has Changed (A Dear Mona Follow-up)
Billion-Dollar Billy Beane
Fish And Chips Abound in Southern California’s Burritos
Plagiarism Scandal Moves Democrat’s Odds in Montana From Slim to Almost Zero
It May Not Matter How Much Young Talent NFL Teams Have
What is Americans’ Favorite Global Cuisine?
Is It True That Some Players Can’t Hack It in New York?
The Coy Keynesian Nod in Paul Ryan’s Anti-Poverty Plan
Dear Mona, How Many Couples Sleep in Separate Beds?
Our Correspondent Explains Why She Performs and Photographs Burrito Autopsies
The Rise of Comic-Con: In San Diego, on the Internet And in the News
Ctrl + ← Drought, Darth Vader And Potato Salad
Walking the Data-Driven Scenic Route in London
How Good Is Andrew Luck?
Which Players Will Be Most Affected by the Hall of Fame’s New Rules?
Crist And Scott Could Make History by Being So Unpopular in Florida
Group of Liberal New Yorkers Wants to Legalize Weed
Tiger Woods Was Right About Rory McIlroy’s Inconsistency (Sort of)
San Francisco Burritos Really Are Better
The Number of Beautiful People on Capitol Hill: 50
In the Papers: Retail Wages, Work-Study, School Breakfast And Job Polarization
Why We Don’t Know The Size Of The Transgender Population
The Most Common Items Lost on New York City’s Transit System
We Still Don’t Know How Deadly the Ebola Outbreak in West Africa Will Be
The Economy Bounced Back From Its Winter Slump
Democrats Are Way More Obsessed With Impeachment Than Republicans
The Bureau of Labor Statistics Charts How Much Vacation You Get
The Seattle Seahawks’ Youth Could Portend a Dynasty (Yes, Really)
Even After 25 Years, Pete Rose’s Ban From Baseball Is Money in the Bank
The Rate of Domestic Violence Arrests Among NFL Players
The Burrito Bracket’s First Round Comes to a Close With a Major Upset
How Your City’s Public Transit Stacks Up
It’s Too Soon to Celebrate the Drop in Long-Term Unemployment