fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

June 2014

Ctrl + ← Bars, Brits and Spelling Bees
What Predicts Whether an NHL Coach Will Be Fired, And Whether It Matters
A Brief History of N.Y. vs. LA Championship Battles
The Cap Matters Most in Cap-And-Trade Markets
A Big Oops (And a Lesson) in Manufacturing Data
New York Is 85 Percent Better Than LA (According to Aggregate Personal Income in the Metropolitan Statistical Areas)
Why We Still Can’t Afford to Fix America’s Broken Infrastructure
There’s an Actual Tea Party vs. Establishment Matchup in Mississippi
FIFA Has New Problems, But It Hasn’t Addressed Its Old Ones
Using ‘Infrastructure Jobs’ as a Measuring Stick For State-Level Spending
Building Hockey’s Advanced Stats Dream Team
The Political Rhetoric Around Climate Change … Er, Global Warming
’90s Boy Bands: A Numerical Retrospective
Don’t Give the Stanley Cup to the Kings Just Yet
Boy Bands: More Like Man Bands
The Political Media Still Fall for the Hot-Hand Fallacy
The Stanley Cup Center of Gravity Is Somewhere in Lake Huron
Is There a Favorite in the Republican Runoff For Senate in Mississippi?
These Kings Are Better Than Gretzky’s Kings
In Search of America’s Best Burrito
What to Watch For in the NBA Finals
Kings vs. Rangers Isn’t a Huge Mismatch
The 100 Most-Used Emojis
It’s the Second-Blingiest Finals Matchup in Modern NBA History
The West is Better Than the East, But That Doesn’t Mean the Spurs Will Beat the Heat
What Ethan Swan Learned From Tracking Every Tattoo in the NBA
The Challenge of Counting D-Day’s Dead
We’ve Regained the Jobs Lost in the Recession, But the Recovery Isn’t Complete
Breaking News: Miami Needs LeBron James on the Floor
The Job Market’s Five-Year Recovery in 10 Charts
Dear Mona: P.S. Do Single People Masturbate More?
The Search For America’s Best Burrito Starts in California
Our Mexican-Food Expert Says: ‘The Diversity of Burritos Is Mind-Blowing’
Americans Sour on Obama’s Foreign Policy
Boy Bands: Banality at Its Worst, And We Can Prove It
Western States Are a New Frontier in the Search For America’s Best Burrito
Our Cultural Historian Explains Why Arizona Is ‘Ground Zero of Burritoness’
Nadal Isn’t What He Used to Be on Clay, But He’s Still Good Enough to Win the French Open
Accurately Counting NBA Tattoos Isn’t Easy, Even If You’re Up Close
The Search For America’s Best Burrito Turns to the Northeast
Chef David Chang Explains Why Yelp Probably Won’t Lead You to Your Favorite Burrito
FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast: Toss-Up or Tilt GOP?
Ctrl + ← The Alphabet, Deadly Diseases and NFL Waistlines
Don’t Expect to See a Triple Crown Anytime Soon
The Spurs Eventually Got What They Wanted in Game 2, But It Didn’t Help Them
The Search For America’s Best Burrito Heads to the Land of Sweet Tea
Our Food Writer Says the South Has Burrito Variety, But Perhaps Not Burrito Greatness
It’s Brazil’s World Cup to Lose
What If Rafael Nadal Had Never Won a Grand Slam Title?
In the Papers (Jumbo Edition): Recession Damage, Music Piracy And Generosity
Public Schools Are Hurting More in the Recovery Than in the Recession
States That Already Spent Less on Education Have Made Bigger School Cuts
’90s Boy Band Lyrics: They’re All About You
Is There Any Hope of a Rangers Comeback?
Finding a Job Opening Has Gotten Easier, But Getting a Job Hasn’t
The People Tracking Every Touch, Pass And Tackle in the World Cup
The Rangers Needed Better CPU Assistance
The Washington Post Misused the Data on Violence Against Women
The Eric Cantor Upset: What Happened?
Will Someone Win the Powerball Jackpot Tonight?
Eric Cantor’s Loss Was Like an Earthquake
The Heat’s Whac-A-Mole Problem
Should World Cup Players Abstain From Sex in Brazil?
The Ukrainian Conflict Has Stunted Ukraine’s Economy Far More Than Russia’s
Baby No. 2 Is Harder on Mom Than Dad
How FiveThirtyEight’s World Cup Predictions Compare to Other Ratings
Immigration Does Matter in GOP Primaries, But It’s Not Clear Why
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 1
How Do the Huxtables, Our Favorite TV Family, Compare to the Average U.S. Family?
The History of the World Cup in 20 Charts
What Analytics Can Teach Us About the Beautiful Game
Brazil’s (Ugly) Win Didn’t Change Its Prospects All That Much
Patients Can Face Grave Risks When Doctors Stick to the Rules Too Much
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 2
The Spurs Crush the Heat Again, But in a Different Way
The FiveThirtyEight Burrito-Rating System, Explained
We Have a Weather Forecast For Every World Cup Match, Even the Ones a Month Away
It’s Man vs. Yelp as We Search the South For America’s Best Burrito
Some Restaurants in the South Stretch the Definition of Burrito
Even For a Team Down 3-1, the Rangers Are in Bad Shape
Dear Mona, I Don’t Want Children. Am I Normal?
Spain Is Now an Underdog to Make the Knockout Stage
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 3
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 4
Ctrl + ← The World Cup, the World Cup And the World Cup
Most Women Like Hillary Clinton ‘Evolved’ On Gay Marriage Years Ago
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 5
Predicting When ‘Game of Thrones’ Author George R. R. Martin Will Come Out With His Next Book
The Spurs’ Deconstruction of the Heat Is Now Complete
U.S. Soccer Fandom: The Investigation Continues
The ‘Game of Thrones’ Ending May Air on HBO Before It Arrives in a Book
Why Women Don’t Cycle
Why Isn’t the U.S. Men’s National Team Better at Soccer?
In the Papers: Snow Days, Dropouts and Breast Cancer
Whoever Fills Cantor’s Shoes Shouldn’t Bank on Becoming Speaker
The U.S. Now Has a Better Shot at the World Cup, But Still Needs a Point Against Portugal
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 6
The Spurs Were an Outlier of Unselfishness
Southern Burritos Are Filled With Good Meat, But Wrapped In Uncertainty
Elitist, Superfluous, Or Popular? We Polled Americans on the Oxford Comma
Americans’ Faith in Government Shapes How They Feel About Obamacare — Trust Me
Population Shifts Had Nothing to Do With Cantor’s Defeat
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 7
Spain Must Beat Chile If It Hopes to Advance in the World Cup
Brazil’s Presidents Are More Maradona Than Pelé
Uber Isn’t Worth $17 Billion
Congress’s Low Approval Rating Is Hurting Republicans
Fed Continues Unwinding of Stimulus, But Expects Lower Growth For This Year
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 8
Republicans Have Regained the Foreign Policy Edge
Tackling a Burrito Big Enough to Intimidate Even Chuck Norris
It’s Hard to Get Off the Couch When You’re Unemployed
Defending World Cup Champions Keep Flaming Out
If Hillary Clinton Runs For President, When Might She Announce?
We’re Telling England There’s a Chance!
What We Can Learn From Eric Cantor’s Defeat
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 9
The Politics of the Washington Redskins Name Controversy
Winning 10 Straight Put the Royals’ Playoff Chances at Even Money
Dear Mona, I Still Buy CDs. Am I Normal?
ICYMI: We’ve Identified the Four Best Burritos in the South
It’s Been the Americas’ World Cup
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 10
Is Sam Adams Too Big to Be Craft Beer?
Germany’s Draw Didn’t Help the U.S.
Numbers Don’t Back up the Notion That American Soccer Is ‘Too Honest’
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 11
Ctrl + ← A Sticker Collector, America’s Center of Mass and Gooooooooals
How the Portugal Draw Boosts the U.S.’s World Cup Advancement Odds
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 12
Rhode Island Has the Country’s Worst Job Market
The FiveFingers Settlement Didn’t Settle the Barefoot Running Debate
The Outcomes of Groups A And B Will Be Decided Today
A Conservative Showdown in Oklahoma
Three Al Jazeera Journalists Join Egypt’s Growing Prison Population
At Wimbledon, Ryan Harrison Suffers Again From His Bad Luck of the Draw
The Mississippi Carnival Ends Tuesday as Voters Choose Cochran Or McDaniel
World Cup Advancement Scenarios For Groups C And D
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 13
We Head to the West For a Mexican Hamburger
These Players Crash the Wimbledon Party the Hard Way
We’ve Had Mixed Success Predicting LeBron’s Moves
Where to Get More Data on the Divisive Oxford Comma
Good News in the Housing Market: More Sales And Stabilizing Prices
Mr. President, We’re a Little Hurt That You Didn’t Ask Us For a Burrito Recommendation
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 14
World Cup Advancement Scenarios For Groups E And F
An Oddity of Tennis Scoring Makes Its Annual Appearance at Wimbledon
It Looks Like African-Americans Really Did Help Thad Cochran Win
The FiveThirtyEight International Food Association’s 2014 World Cup
Trying to Measure the ‘LeBron Effect’ on Game Attendance
The Economy Got Off to a Historically Bad Start in 2014
The Cost to Taxpayers of Britain’s Phone-Hacking Trial
Police Can Get Access to Your Cellphone Data Even After the Supreme Court Ruling
Was the U.S. Robbed Against Portugal? It Depends on What Time Means
Tall Players Like Joel Embiid Are More Prone to Injury
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 15
It’s Judgment Day in World Cup Groups G and H
The Germans Are Young, in Their Prime, And Really, Really Good
Unlocking the Mystery of the Chile Pepper on a Burrito Tour of New Mexico
The U.S.’s Odds of Beating Belgium And Every Other World Cup Opponent
History Really Was on Cochran’s Side in the Mississippi Runoff
John Isner Is All Alone at Wimbledon
Whom Do You Root For When Your Team Gets Knocked Out of the World Cup?
No, the Long-Term Jobless Aren’t ‘Catching a Break’
Drafting Sophomores Is a Smart Strategy For NBA Teams
Dear Mona, I’ve Been in My Job For 3 Years. Am I Normal?
Extra Time Isn’t a Crapshoot in the Knockout Round, But Penalties Are
Updated Elo Ratings For World Cup Teams
Were the Billions Brazil Spent on World Cup Stadiums Worth It?
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 16
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 17
Ctrl + ← The Clintons, Cake And the Supreme Court
Why Budget Airlines Could Soon Charge You to Use the Bathroom
World Cup Crib Notes: Day 18
In the Papers: Gun Control, Gender Equality and Taxes
Stoppage Time Is Often Home-Cooked, Especially in Major League Soccer