fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

July 2016

Poor Kids Need Summer Jobs. Rich Kids Get Them.
Can You Figure Out How To Beat Roger Federer At Wimbledon?
Significant Digits For Friday, July 1, 2016
Competitive Hot-Dog Eaters Have Made America Great Again
No Technology — Not Even Tesla’s Autopilot — Can Be Completely Safe
Russell Westbrook Is Really Worth $344 Million, And Other Tales Of The NBA’s New Salary Cap
Sam Querrey Beats Novak Djokovic In A Very Old-Fashioned Upset
Even With Kevin Durant, The Warriors Probably Won’t Win 73 Games Again
Conventional Wisdom: Will Bill Clinton Help Or Hurt His Wife’s Campaign?
Significant Digits For Tuesday, July 5, 2016
The U.K. Can’t Block Immigration If It Wants To Keep Its Finance Industry
Did The FBI End Clinton’s Email Problems Or Make Them Worse?
Superteams Like The Warriors Usually Underperform — Will The Kevin Durant Era Be Different?
Trump’s Racist Tweet Problem
Election Update: Swing State Polls And National Polls Basically Say The Same Thing
Significant Digits For Wednesday, July 6, 2016
The Wales vs. Portugal Match Is More Than Just Bale vs. Ronaldo
Trump May Become The First Republican In 60 Years To Lose White College Graduates
The States That Love (And Hate) Third-Party Candidates
The Cleveland Indians Are Dominating Like It’s The ‘90s Again
How Obama’s Plans For Leaving Afghanistan Have Changed (Again And Again)
Trump’s Uphill Fight: The States Where The White Population Has Declined The Most
The Loudest Sound In The World Would Kill You On The Spot
Kitchen Table Politics: The Cost And Quality Of Health Care
Significant Digits For Thursday, July 7, 2016
What’s New In Our NBA Projections For 2016-17
Election Update: Is Gary Johnson Taking More Support From Clinton Or Trump?
The Police Are Killing People As Often As They Were Before Ferguson
Significant Digits For Friday, July 8, 2016
Can You Save Riddler Headquarters From Laser Larry? Please?!
The Jobs Recovery May Not Be Flashy, But It’s Strong
What Our NBA Projections Got Right (And Wrong) Last Season
The Dallas Shooting Was Among The Deadliest For Police In U.S. History
New Podcast Jobs At ESPN: “30 for 30” And FiveThirtyEight
Serena Williams Ties Graf’s Majors Record Thanks To A Remarkable Run In Her 30s
Searching For The Perfect Emoji For Any Occasion
Significant Digits For Monday, July 11, 2016
Conventional Wisdom: The Trump Veepstakes Edition
Does Bernie Sanders Represent The Future Of The Democratic Party?
Would Baseball’s All-Time All-Star Team Go 162-0?
Farewell To Tim Duncan, The Greatest Two-Way Player In Modern NBA History
Who’s The Best Pick Among Trump’s B-List VP Choices?
Trump Never Stopped Dominating The Media
This Year Is Not As Bad As 1968
Significant Digits For Tuesday, July 12, 2016
Election Update: Nevada Is Still A Swing State
What Bernie Sanders Meant
Sanders’s Endorsement May Help Among His Most Anti-Clinton Supporters
Giancarlo Stanton Was Made For The Home Run Derby
We’re Hiring A Social Media Editor
We’re Hiring Fall Interns
The Ultimate Workout Playlist
Significant Digits For Wednesday, July 13, 2016
Why It’s So Hard For NFL Players To Get Rid Of The Franchise Tag
Where Background Checks Work
Recommended Reading On Guns And Gun Death
The Mass Shootings Fix
Gun, Badge, Camera
Instrument Of Terror
About This Project
What Counts As An Accident?
How To Protect Women
Always Ready, Always There
Surviving Suicide In Wyoming
In The Shadow Of Exile
New Orleans Searches For The Truth
Gun Deaths In America
What Would It Take?
Election Update: When To Freak Out About Shocking New Polls
What The 1976 GOP Primary Tells Us About 2016’s
How Reagan Lost The Nomination But Won The Republican Party
Significant Digits For Thursday, July 14, 2016
‘Ghostbusters’ Is A Perfect Example Of How Internet Movie Ratings Are Broken
Mike Pence Is A Really Conservative And Mostly Unknown VP Pick
Why Mike Pence Was Trump’s Least Worst Choice
Kitchen Table Politics: Can Americans Afford To Retire?
The Mets’ Rise And Fall With Doc Gooden And Darryl Strawberry
What Will We Be Worrying About In 2046?
Significant Digits For Friday, July 15, 2016
How Long Will You Be Stuck Playing This Bar Game?
What The Hell’s Gotten Into Daniel Murphy?
Pence Differs On Trump’s Core Issues
Election Update: 10 Questions About Where The 2016 Race Stands
Two Times Mike Pence Brushed Off Science
Turkey’s Bitter Divisions Will Widen After The Failed Coup
The End Of A Republican Party
A Trumpian Convention
Significant Digits For Monday, July 18, 2016
Conventional Wisdom: What To Watch For At The Republican National Convention
How Do We Beam Pictures Back From Jupiter? It Takes A Village
A Roosevelt And An Eisenhower Weigh In On the Future of the Party
Mike Trout’s Teammates Don’t Deserve Mike Trout
2016 Could Be The Deadliest Year For Terror Attacks Targeting Police Since 1973
The States That Delivered Huge, Huge Numbers For Trump Got Tremendous Convention Seats
What Went Down On Day One Of The Republican Convention
Significant Digits For Tuesday, July 19, 2016
GOP Delegates Are Trying To Come To Terms With Trump
2016 Is A Great Summer To Be A Mediocre NBA Free Agent
The Platforms Are A Window Into The Future Of The Parties
Election Update: Clinton’s Lead Is As Safe As Kerry’s Was In 2004
What Science Says To Do If Your Loved One Has An Opioid Addiction
Nate Silver And John Dickerson Talk About Melania Trump’s Borrowed Speech
Melania Trump Is One Of The Least Popular Spouses Of A Nominee Since 1988
Which Countries’ Terrorist Attacks Are Ignored By The U.S. Media?
If Americans Perceive A World In Chaos, Will They Turn To Trump?
What Went Down On Day Two Of The Republican Convention
Significant Digits For Wednesday, July 20, 2016
There’s Probably Nothing That Will Change Clinton Or Trump Supporters’ Minds
What The Russian Scandal Tells Us About The State Of Doping In Sports
Peacefully Considering The Election At An Anarchists Convention
Nate Silver And Molly Ball Talk The Future Of The GOP
Are Juiced Balls The New Steroids?
Harry Talks Polls With The Guardian’s Tom McCarthy
The 7 Levels Of Trump Support In Congress
How We Charted Trump’s Fall From Grace In Hip-Hop
A Disappointed ‘Stop Trump’ Delegate Reflects On What Went Wrong
Day Three Of The Republican Convention Got A Little Wild
Only 20 Percent Of Voters Are ‘Real Americans‘
Emergency Podcast! The RNC Boos Ted Cruz
Significant Digits For Thursday, July 21, 2016
Donald Trump’s Convention Is Flirting With Disaster
What’s Happening To The Republican Party?
Why Are So Many Black Americans Killed By Police?
Baseball’s Hall Of Fame Snubs Are Historically Great
How Long It Takes To Walk From The RNC’s Protest Areas To The Convention
How Should Trump Respond To The Cruz Craziness?
How GOP Delegates Are Reacting To Cruz’s Speech
Republican Convention: Live Coverage Of The Final Night
Significant Digits For Friday, July 22, 2016
Late Night RNC Podcast: Donald Trump’s Law And Order
The Economy Will Probably Be Pretty Good On Election Day
Donald Trump Goes ‘All-In.’ How Will Clinton Respond?
Solve The Puzzle, Stop The Alien Invasion
These NFL Teams Will Probably Start Hot Because Of An Easy Schedule
We’re Hiring A Copy Editor
This NWSL Season Has Been Nuts. Here’s How We Forecast The Finish.
Tim Kaine Wouldn’t Do Much To Help Clinton Win The Election
Seven Conversations About Preventing Gun Deaths
We’re Hiring A Sports Editor
Hillary Clinton Picks Tim Kaine, Betting She Can Beat Trump Without A Splashy VP
Election Update: Is Trump Getting A Convention Bump?
Democratic Convention Preview: Can Democrats Get It Together?
Significant Digits For Monday, July 25, 2016
Conventional Wisdom: The Democratic Convention Is Off To A Rocky Start
Election Update: Trump Gets Convention Bounce, Drawing Polls To Dead Heat
Why Clinton Might Have A Tough Time Flipping The Sanders Holdouts
Should Your Team Buy Or Sell At The MLB Trade Deadline?
Were Russian Email Hackers Trying To Help Trump?
So Far, Protest Crowds At The Democratic Convention Are Dwarfing Those In Cleveland
What Went Down On Day One Of The Democratic Convention
Significant Digits For Tuesday, July 26, 2016
What Do Hard-Core Sanders Supporters Want?
A Woman President Wouldn’t Erase Centuries Of Male-Dominated Politics
Watch The Polls For Clinton’s VP Bounce. If She Gets One.
Is One Party Big Enough For Supporters Of Bernie Sanders And Hillary Clinton?
The Democratic Platform Is Unusually Focused On Trump
Michelle Obama Wants Parents To Vote With Their Children In Mind
Philadelphia Is Bouncing Back From Problems Still Plaguing Cleveland
Hillary Clinton And Donald Trump Are Now Equally Unpopular
Roger Federer’s Tough Path To Winning Another Major Just Got Tougher
What Went Down On Day Two Of The Democratic Convention
Was The Democratic Primary A Close Call Or A Landslide?
Significant Digits For Wednesday, July 27, 2016
Why An Analytics-Obsessed Cycling Team Keeps Winning The Tour De France
Most Of Us Are Blissfully Ignorant About How Much Rancid Olive Oil We Use
Checking In With The LGBT Caucus At The DNC
Trump Is Driving Catholic Voters Toward Clinton
Why Obama Might Be Trump’s Biggest Challenge
The MLB Closers Best At Cleaning Up Their Own Messes
What Went Down On Day Three Of The Democratic Convention
MLB Games Are Slow Again, And It’s Helping Older Hitters
Election Update: Why Our Model Is Bullish On Trump, For Now
Significant Digits For Thursday, July 28, 2016
Democratic Delegates React To Our Forecasts
Democrats Make The Optimist’s Case For America
Ryan Fitzpatrick Is Only As Good As Brandon Marshall And Eric Decker Make Him
Why The California Delegation Has Created Such A Ruckus At The DNC
What Went Down On The Final Night Of The Democratic Convention
Where The Election Goes From Here
A President’s Economic Decisions Matter … Eventually
Significant Digits For Friday, July 29, 2016
Baton Rouge Drug Enforcement Has Plummeted Since Police Killed Alton Sterling
Can You Sniff Out The Traitorous Generals?
How The Convention Reacted To Clinton’s Acceptance Speech
How Uber’s Truce With Regulators Played Out During The DNC
Late-Night Democratic Convention Podcast: Clinton Kicks Off The General Election
The Rise — And Rise! — Of Nneka Ogwumike
There’s Plenty Of Time For Trump Or Clinton To Become Likable Enough
Charles Duhigg: Data Can Help Us Change, But We Still Have To Do The Hard Work
Cities In Southern California Can’t Escape The Fire At Their Door
Zika Has Made Its Way To Florida Mosquitoes