fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

April 2016

California’s $15 Minimum Wage Makes A Lot Less Sense Outside Of Silicon Valley
Can You Solve The Impossible Puzzle?
Can The Mets Repeat In The NL East?
Significant Digits For Friday, April 1, 2016
The Rising Unemployment Rate Is Good News
These Are The Last Three Teams That Have A Chance To Beat UConn
The NFL’s Shoddy Science Means We Know Even Less About Concussions
Syracuse’s Best Hope May Be Its Strange Love Of Transition Threes
It’s Probably First Ballot Or Bust For Donald Trump At The GOP Convention
The Dome Effect Isn’t Real; The NRG Effect Is Complicated
How Losing To The Celtics Changes The Warriors’ Odds Of 73 Wins
Is It Really, Finally The Cubs’ Year?
Significant Digits For Monday, April 4, 2016
Can You Get Trump To 1,237?
The Warriors’ Chances Of Getting 73 Wins Are Back Up
Are Sanders And Cruz Really Less ‘Electable’?
Villanova Had The Most Impressive Tournament Win In More Than 53 Years
How To Spell ‘Internet’
Elections Podcast: The Delegate Hunt Begins
Significant Digits For Tuesday, April 5, 2016
The Dodgers Are The NL West’s Richest Team, But The Giants Might Be Its Best
Wisconsin’s Local Media Aren’t As Trump-Obsessed As National Outlets
Mike Tyson Is America’s Greatest Actor (As Long As The Role Is Mike Tyson)
Soccer Hamstring Injuries Are Up, But Preventing Them Is Complicated
The FiveThirtyEight Elections Podcast Is Coming To D.C. — Live!
The GOP’s Wacky Delegate Rules Are Helping Trump
Momentum May Matter (Just This Once) In Wisconsin
How Exciting Was The Final Four?
Wisconsin Primary Elections: Live Coverage And Results
Significant Digits For Wednesday, April 6, 2016
The Warriors Are Now Long Shots To Win 73 Games
Did Kris Jenkins’s Game-Winning Shot Have Anything To Do With Analytics?
Ted Cruz, Not Paul Ryan, Would Probably Win A Contested Convention
Seven Other States Are Considering Restricting Bathrooms For Transgender People
That Movie With Batman And Superman Also Needed A Vampire Or A Heist
Dads Are Big Winners In San Francisco’s Paid Family Leave Law
This UConn Team Was Better Than Last Year’s Team
How Much Should State Legislators Get Paid?
Significant Digits For Thursday, April 7, 2016
How Two Grad Students Uncovered An Apparent Fraud — And A Way To Change Opinions On Transgender Rights
Trump’s New Magic Number Is 40 Percent Of The Vote
Reflections Of A Degenerate ‘American Idol’ Gambler
Trump’s Support Would Be Easier To Explain With Better Polling
Can You Solve This Napoleonic Puzzle?
Significant Digits For Friday, April 8, 2016
The Spurs Are Still Big Favorites To Stop The Warriors From Getting 73
Bernie Sanders Is Even Less Competitive Than He Appears
Thinking They’re ‘Unqualified’ Is A Big Reason More Women Don’t Run For Office
FiveThirtyEight Roundtable: How Scientific Scandal Can Become Scientific Progress
Trump Is The Weakest GOP Front-Runner In The Modern Era
Can DeRay Mckesson Turn 330,000 Twitter Followers Into 20,000 Votes?
Significant Digits For Monday, April 11, 2016
Trump Made A Mistake By Overlooking Colorado
Older Hitters Are Declining, But It’s Not Because They Can’t Stand The Heat
The Warriors Have A 93 Percent Chance Of Hitting 73 Wins
Russell Westbrook Is The Greatest Triple-Double Machine In Recorded History
Gun Violence Spiked — And Arrests Declined — In Chicago Right After The Laquan McDonald Video Release
Jordan Spieth’s Collapse Also Required A Great Comeback
Elections Podcast: Is Trump Blowing It?
How To Avoid Boring Sunsets
Significant Digits For Tuesday, April 12, 2016
The U.S. Produces About A Billion Pounds Of Cheese Every Month
Do You Have To Be Manly To Be President?
The NBA Players No One Passed To This Season
Significant Digits For Wednesday, April 13, 2016
Not Even Sam Hinkie Could Outsmart The NBA Draft
A State-By-State Roadmap For The Rest Of The Republican Primary
The New Science Of Hitting
Did Hillary Clinton’s Pivot To Asia Work?
Trump’s Right That The GOP Primary Is Unfair — It Favors Him
Significant Digits For Thursday, April 14, 2016
The Warriors’ Record-Setting Season
Kobe Haters Are Stuck In 2008
The Success Of ‘The Walking Dead’ Made A Bunch Of Other Shows And Comics Possible
Everyone Has Fake Twitter Followers, But Trump Has The Most. Sad!
The Map That May Unmask Banksy
FiveThirtyEight’s National Women’s Soccer League Predictions
What Went Down At The CNN Democratic Debate
Everyone Files Their Taxes At The Last Minute
Ban Tax Day (As We Know It)
Significant Digits For Friday, April 15, 2016
You Have $1 Billion To Win A Space Race. Go.
A Huge Number Of GOP Leaders Aren’t Endorsing This Year
Elections Podcast: Is The 2016 Democratic Primary As Nasty As The 2008 Democratic Primary?
The Warriors Went 73-9 — Now Can They Go Fo’ Fo’ Fo’ (Fo’)?
These Western Conference Playoffs Are The Most Top-Heavy Of The Modern Era
Clinton Is Winning The States That Look Like The Democratic Party
New York City’s Jewish Vote Might Win Cruz Or Kasich Key Delegates
Significant Digits For Monday, April 18, 2016
Why Sanders Does Better With Independents
Conventional Wisdom: Cruz Romps In Wyoming Delegate Fight
We Just Saw The Most Lopsided Playoff Openers In Modern NBA History
A New Yorker’s Guide To The GOP Primary — District By District
The Warriors Dominated The NBA Season Online, Too
Elections Podcast: Start Spreading The News
It’s Far Harder To Change Parties In New York Than In Any Other State
Significant Digits For Tuesday, April 19, 2016
More Democrats Are Feeling The Bern, Probably
Pray Your Favorite Actor Doesn’t Become James Bond
What We’re Watching In Today’s New York Primaries
What Went Down In The New York Primaries
The Achiness Of The Long Distance Runner
Significant Digits For Wednesday, April 20, 2016
The Rams’ Trade For The No. 1 Pick Was A Bet That Will Be Hard To Win
The Four Types Of Idris Elba Movies
The NCAA Isn’t Going Broke, No Matter How Much You Hear It
Some NHL Stars Get More Assists At Home Than They Deserve
400 Years After Shakespeare’s Death, He’s Still Required Reading (Even For Econ Majors)
Trust Us: Politicians Keep Most Of Their Promises
Significant Digits For Thursday, April 21, 2016
Has Bryce Harper Surpassed Mike Trout? That’s A Clown Question, Bro
Why Do Boys Have Wieners?
Prince’s Purple Reign, In One Chart
Trump Doesn’t Have A Monopoly On Intolerant Supporters
Are Algorithms Ruining How We Discover Music?
Democrats Have Gotten More Liberal Since 2008, But Not Enough To Nominate Sanders
Licensing Laws Are Shutting Young People Out Of The Job Market
Can You Solve The Puzzle Of Your Misanthropic Neighbors?
Significant Digits For Friday, April 22, 2016
Shakespeare Or Batman? That Is The Question
Behind The Scenes With 2016’s Delegate Hunters
The Miami Heat Are The Most Impressive Playoff Team So Far
Trump’s ‘System Is Rigged’ Argument Is Working
What Would Happen If We Just Gave People Money?
Trump Is Probably Going To Run Over Cruz And Kasich In The Northeast
Significant Digits For Monday, April 25, 2016
2016 MLB Predictions — Mets
2016 MLB Predictions — Phillies
Angels | 2016 MLB Predictions
Astros | 2016 MLB Predictions
Athletics | 2016 MLB Predictions
Blue Jays | 2016 MLB Predictions
Giants | 2016 MLB Predictions
Indians | 2016 MLB Predictions
Mariners | 2016 MLB Predictions
Nationals | 2016 MLB Predictions
Orioles | 2016 MLB Predictions
Pirates | 2016 MLB Predictions
Rangers | 2016 MLB Predictions
Rays | 2016 MLB Predictions
Red Sox | 2016 MLB Predictions
Rockies | 2016 MLB Predictions
The Complete History Of MLB
Twins | 2016 MLB Predictions
Conventional Wisdom: Another Cruz Sweep And Kentucky’s Back-Room Deal
Will The Kasich-Cruz Alliance Work?
How Our 2016 MLB Predictions Work
Elections Podcast: Kasich And Cruz Are Scheming
The Four Corners Of The GOP (Trump Owns Three Of Them)
Significant Digits For Tuesday, April 26, 2016
Today Is Clinton’s Chance To End The ‘Groundhog Day’ Campaign
Statheads Are The Best Free Agent Bargains In Baseball
Cuba Is Developing A Taste For U.S. Whiskey
The Truth Behind The Heat’s Makes And Misses
Losing Tom Brady Is Unlikely To Doom The Patriots
How Injuries To Steph Curry And Chris Paul Affect The Playoffs
What Went Down In The April 26 Primary Elections
It’s Trump’s Nomination To Lose*
Significant Digits For Wednesday, April 27, 2016
Are The Cubs Baseball’s Answer To The Warriors?
Ted Cruz May Be Too Conservative To Stop Trump
Democrats — And Republicans — Are Growing More Worried Over Climate Change
Can Carly Fiorina Save Ted Cruz’s Candidacy?
What Fiorina Has In Common With Palin And Ferraro (Other Than Gender)
Who Will Debunk The Debunkers?
Significant Digits For Thursday, April 28, 2016
‘Normal America’ Is Not A Small Town Of White People
It’s Hard To Tell How Good NFL Teams Are At The Draft
Clinton’s Delegate Lead Would Triple Under GOP Rules
Are We At Peak HBO? It’s Close.
A Sanders Comeback Would Be Unprecedented
The Economy’s Crisis Ended Under Obama, But Its Long-Term Problems Didn’t
The Perplexing Puzzle Of The Proud Partygoers
Significant Digits For Friday, April 29, 2016
Indiana Is Weird
How Teams Did In First-Round NFL Draft Trades
Republicans In Competitive Races Have Shunned Trump
Major Crossword Publisher Confirms Its Puzzles Were Plagiarized
Durant And Westbrook Have Never Faced A Defense Like The Spurs’
Congress’s Zika Fight Is Really About A Slush Fund To Combat Infectious Diseases