fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

February 2016

Significant Digits For Monday, Feb. 1, 2016
The Iowa Caucuses Count Will Never Be Perfect
Why Iowa Matters For Trump And Sanders
Megatron May Retire, But He Isn’t Washed Up
Elections Podcast: Your Guide To The Iowa Caucuses
Rich Kids Stay Rich, Poor Kids Stay Poor
Iowa Is The Hardest State To Poll
Peyton Manning Had The Worst Season Of Any Super Bowl Quarterback Ever
Zika’s Not A Global Health Emergency — Its Potential Consequences Are
How Iowa Voted
Donald Trump Comes Out Of Iowa Looking Like Pat Buchanan
Bernie Sanders Needs More Than The Tie He Got In Iowa
Significant Digits For Tuesday, Feb. 2, 2016
Can You Fake The Academy To Predict The Oscars?
The Cheapest Super Bowl Tickets Get The Biggest Markups
Where Does Ted Cruz Go From Here?
Hot Takedown’s Super Bowl Special
Iowa Teaches Pollsters To Poll Until The End
Methane Is Leaking All Over The Place
Significant Digits For Wednesday, Feb. 3, 2016
Why Iowa Changed Rubio’s And Trump’s Nomination Odds So Much
The Unemployment System Isn’t Ready For The Next Recession
O’Malley Supporters Almost Won Iowa For Sanders
Goodbye, Rand Paul; Goodbye, GOP Dovishness
The Carolina Panthers Fought The Stats — And Won
These Broncos Look Nothing Like The Broncos Of Two Years Ago
Marco Rubio Is Now Winning The Race For Endorsements
Significant Digits For Thursday, Feb. 4, 2016
The Dean Scream: What Really Happened
Why The Dean Scream Sounded So Different On TV
What Howard Dean Can Teach Us About 2016
Trump Still Leads In New Hampshire, But The Ride Could Be Wild
Real-Time Data Could Corrupt Big-Time Sports
Clinton’s Iowa Performance Reveals New Fault Lines for Democrats
MSNBC Democratic Debate: Live Coverage
The Rent-Seeking Is Too Damn High
How Many Cars Will Get Stuck In Traffic?
Significant Digits For Friday, Feb. 5, 2016
Slower Job Growth Doesn’t Mean We’re Headed For A Recession
Asking Women To Avoid Pregnancy Is Absurd, Even In The Face Of Zika
FiveThirtyEight’s New Hampshire Diary
Marco Rubio Stole Ted Cruz’s Iowa Bounce
Inside One Of The Best Defensive Matchups In Super Bowl History
Donald Trump Is Losing Ground On Google
Bernie Sanders Needs A Big Win In New Hampshire
Maybe Chris Christie Should Have Taken On Donald Trump
What Went Down At The ABC Republican Debate
We Thought Marco Rubio Lost The Debate, But New Hampshire Might Think Differently
Super Bowl 50: Live Coverage
Marco Rubio Is In A Precarious Spot In New Hampshire
Significant Digits For Monday, Feb. 8, 2016
Elections Podcast: New Hampshire’s Turn
Cam Newton Never Had A Chance
South Carolina Has A Shot At Beating UConn
Why Young Democrats Love Bernie Sanders
Significant Digits For Tuesday, Feb. 9, 2016
Donald Trump Will Probably Win New Hampshire
New Hampshire’s Independent Voter Myth
2015 Really Was The Bizarro Peyton Manning Season
What’s At Stake In New Hampshire’s Republican Primary
Can You Read Between The Lines To Pick The Oscar Winners?
How New Hampshire Voted
Cam Newton’s Press Conference Was A Perfect Hot Take Moment
Republicans Need To Treat Donald Trump As The Front-Runner
It Gets Harder From Here For Bernie Sanders
Significant Digits For Wednesday, Feb. 10, 2016
Elections Podcast: The New Hampshire Results
The Cheapskate’s Guide To Buying Flowers For Valentine’s Day
John Kasich Is The Anti-Trump
Why Chris Christie Failed
Carly Fiorina Peaked Early And Faded Fast
College Freshmen Are More Politically Engaged Than They Have Been In Decades
Significant Digits For Thursday, Feb. 11, 2016
The Facebook Primary
The World Isn’t Less Free Than It Used To Be
Kris Dunn’s Improvisational Brilliance Is Good For Providence — And For College Basketball
GOP Deathmatch: Three Men Will Enter. The Winner Will Probably Lose To Trump Anyway.
The Black Establishment Chooses Clinton
PBS Democratic Debate: Live Coverage
Saudi Arabia Is Winning Its War Against The U.S. Oil Industry
Will The Dog Catch The Duck?
Significant Digits For Friday, Feb. 12, 2016
Your Valentine Is More Interested In Dinner And A Card Than Anything Else
Superdelegates Might Not Save Hillary Clinton
Not All Privacy Policies Are Created Equal
Hillary Clinton Needs To Win The Voters She Lost In 2008
The Impact Of Every NBA All-Star, Ranked
CBS Republican Debate: Live Coverage
Obama Won’t Be Able To Replace Scalia With A Justice As Liberal As Sotomayor
How Scalia Became The Most Influential Conservative Jurist Since The New Deal
Scalia Was Almost Never The Most Conservative Justice On The Supreme Court
A 4-4 Supreme Court Could Be Good For Unions And Voting Rights Advocates
Terriers Were Once The Greatest Dogs In The World
Rubio Or Cruz Could Help The GOP Win Over More Latino Voters
Significant Digits For Tuesday, Feb. 16, 2016
And The Award For Worst Career After An Oscar Win Goes To …
Elections Podcast: Scalia, South Carolina And Nevada
When Does It Make Sense To Trade Mike Trout?
The Presidential Race Is Finally Moving To States With Economic Problems
Significant Digits For Wednesday, Feb. 17, 2016
Are You More Likely To Vote For A Woman Or A Man?
Republican-Leaning Cities Are At Greater Risk Of Job Automation
The Supreme Court Fight Probably Won’t Define The Election For Voters
Bernie Sanders’s Path To The Nomination
Does Donald Trump Have A Ceiling?
The Perfect Democratic Stump Speech
Significant Digits For Thursday, Feb. 18, 2016
Russell Westbrook Wasn’t Supposed To Get Better Than Kevin Durant
The Party Is Deciding On Rubio
Why It’s So Hard To Prove Zika Is Causing Birth Defects
What Happens Now That We Know Gravitational Waves Are Real?
Marco Rubio’s Paid Family Leave Plan May Not Work
Do Your Oscar Predictions Stack Up? Here’s What The Data Says
Talking To The Terriers At The Westminster Dog Show
The Pope Is Way More Popular Than Donald Trump
China Is Splurging On Big-Name Soccer Talent
No One Can Agree How Much The Presidential Candidates’ Tax Plans Will Cost
Ted Cruz Has A Huge Math Problem
Will Someone Be Sitting In Your Seat On The Plane?
Significant Digits For Friday, Feb. 19, 2016
What’s At Stake In The South Carolina Republican Primary
The Same Four Operas Are Performed Over And Over
Non-Stars Like Channing Frye Are The Best Kind Of Trade Deadline Pickup
Why Nevada Polls Are Bad
Everyone Still Reads ‘To Kill A Mockingbird’
The Warriors’ Odds Of Going 73-9
What’s Changed in Harper Lee’s Hometown Since ‘Mockingbird’
FiveThirtyEight Goes To The Dogs
How Nevada Democrats And South Carolina Republicans Voted
Jeb Bush’s Path To Defeat Began A Year Ago
Bernie Sanders Makes Progress, But Hillary Clinton Remains The Favorite
Trump Optimists And Trump Skeptics Are About To Go To War
Significant Digits For Monday, Feb. 22, 2016
Trump’s South Carolina Win Shows Evangelicals Aren’t Necessarily Voting On Their Faith
Does Leonardo DiCaprio Deserve An Oscar? An Interrogation.
Whomever Obama Picks May Not Meet Scalia’s Definition Of Diversity
Hollywood’s Diversity Problem Goes Deeper Than The Oscars
Anthony Davis’s 59/20 Game Was A Throwback To The 1960s
FiveThirtyEight’s Final Oscar Picks
Elections Podcast: A Round Of Candidate Buy/Sell/Hold
Nevada May Show Trump Can Win Even With Low Turnout
Significant Digits For Tuesday, Feb. 23, 2016
Rubio And Cruz Need The Mormon Vote In Nevada
Obama Will Have A Tough Time Rallying Support To Replace Scalia
When Will Flint’s Water Be Safe To Drink?
At Least 29 People Still Don’t Know Who Won The Super Bowl
Ted Cruz’s General Election Strategy Is Wishful Thinking
Bill Self Is Finally Warming Up To The 3-Pointer
What’s Going To Happen In Nevada Tonight?
Nevada Was Great For Donald Trump, Bad For Ted Cruz
Significant Digits For Wednesday, Feb. 24, 2016
Does A Close Daytona 500 Finish Mean Parity Has Come To Nascar?
Republicans’ Last-Ditch Hope To Stop Donald Trump
Canada Still Can’t Win The Stanley Cup
I Unleashed A Super Bowl Troll And I’m Sorry
South Carolina’s Black Democrats Are Powerful, But What Do They Want?
Significant Digits For Thursday, Feb. 25, 2016
BMI Is A Terrible Measure Of Health
Elections Podcast: Racism Among Trump’s Supporters
Bernie Sanders Doesn’t Need Momentum — He Needs To Win These States
Here Are The Super Tuesday States Rubio’s Super PAC Is Betting On
Hollywood Studios Barely Promoted Non-White Actors And Films
What Went Down At The CNN Republican Debate
What Is The Real Unemployment Rate?
Marco Rubio Finally Steps Up As The Anti-Trump
Can You Decode The Four Secret Messages?
Significant Digits For Friday, Feb. 26, 2016
Can Math Predict The Oscars? A Debate.
LeBron’s 3-Point Shot Has Abandoned Him
A Statistical Analysis Of Stephen Colbert’s First 100 Episodes Of ‘The Late Show’
Every Oscar Prediction We Could Find
Christie’s Endorsement Of Trump Totally Makes Sense
With All Eyes On Trump, Clinton Is Winning The Democratic Nomination
FiveThirtyEight Watches The Oscars
Lots Of Parents Don’t Want Their Kids To Be Born On Leap Day
Don’t Assume Conservatives Will Rally Behind Trump
Significant Digits For Monday, Feb. 29, 2016
Who’s On Track For The Nomination?
Steph Curry Is On Pace To Hit 102 Home Runs
If You Want To Understand What’s Roiling The 2016 Election, Go To Oklahoma
Super Guide to Super Tuesday — Republican Edition
Super Guide to Super Tuesday — Democratic Edition
The Best Men’s College Basketball Teams Just Aren’t Very Good This Year
Elections Podcast: Super Tuesday Is Here