fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

October 2018

Is The Supreme Court Facing A Legitimacy Crisis?
Significant Digits For Monday, Oct. 1, 2018
Election Update: One Way The House Map Actually Helps Democrats
Politics Podcast: What The New Polling On Kavanaugh Means
Forget Starting Pitchers. It’s Bullpen Season.
Partisanship Often Trumps Scandal
Significant Digits For Tuesday, Oct. 2, 2018
NFL Coaches Are Going For Two More Than Ever. (It Took Them Long Enough.)
Russia Made The King Of Chess. The U.S. Dethroned Him.
Can Conservatives Ever Trust A Tech Industry Staffed Mostly By Liberals?
Our Third-ish 2020 Democratic Primary Draft Got Weird
Significant Digits For Wednesday, Oct. 3, 2018
Did The Vegas Golden Knights Actually Get Better?
Election Update: Here’s How We Decide Who’s Involved In A Scandal
The Falcons’ Offense Is Back. Too Bad Their Defense Isn’t.
Democrats Really Could Lose That New Jersey Senate Seat
What’s Going On In The Ultimate Romney-Clinton District?
The CDC Is Publishing Unreliable Data On Gun Injuries. People Are Using It Anyway.
Voters Like A Political Party Until It Passes Laws
Is Kavanaugh Helping Republicans’ Midterm Chances?
Significant Digits For Thursday, Oct. 4, 2018
2018 College Football Predictions
How Our College Football Playoff Predictions Work
Our College Football Playoff Predictions Sure Look Familiar
We Break Down Each MLB Playoff Matchup (And Predict The World Series)
A Final Look At Where Voters Stand On Kavanaugh Before The Senate Votes
Republicans Really Could Lose That Tennessee Senate Seat
Significant Digits For Friday, Oct. 5, 2018
How Much Will It Cost To Sniff Out The Spies?
Even People Insured By Their Employer Are Worried About Rising Health Care Costs
Baseball’s Top Staffs Have Come Around On The High-Spin Fastball
Republicans Rescued Kavanaugh’s Nomination By Making It About #MeToo
Politics Podcast: Collins Says ‘Yes’ On Kavanaugh
How Kavanaugh Will Change The Supreme Court
How Crazy Is It That The Senate and House Might Move In Opposite Directions This Year?
Significant Digits For Monday, Oct. 8, 2018
Make A Flu Shot Your Halloween Tradition
Why Josh Hart May Be LeBron’s Most Valuable Teammate
We Can Still Do A Lot To Slow Climate Change. But Will We?
A Big Blue Wave Could Overwhelm The GOP’s Advantage In The House
Significant Digits For Tuesday, Oct. 9, 2018
49 Math Puzzles To End Your Year Right
What’s Behind Democrats’ Shrinking Senate Odds?
Politics Podcast: Are Any Of The Post-Kavanaugh Narratives Right?
J.D. Martinez Is Always One Step Ahead
Why We’re Stuck With An Inadequate Hurricane Rating System
Which Races Could Shake Up The Midterms?
Significant Digits For Wednesday, Oct. 10, 2018
Six Districts The GOP Appears To Have Abandoned — And Maybe Two More It Should
Did Aaron Boone Forget That The Yankees’ Bullpen Was Historically Good?
NFL Parity Is Creating Excitement — And, Um, Ties
We’re Hiring Visual And Interactive Journalists
Who’s Behaving Like A 2020 Presidential Candidate
Significant Digits For Thursday, Oct. 11, 2018
Politics Podcast: Two Forecasts Diverged In A Wood
Democrats Have A Chance To Win One Of The Reddest Districts In The Country
How LSU And Oklahoma Can Still Make The College Football Playoff
The States Where Democrats Or Republicans Could Seize Full Control Of Government
Can Heitkamp Pull Off A Second Upset In North Dakota?
Significant Digits For Friday, Oct. 12, 2018
So You Want To Tether Your Goat. Now What?
The Brewers Are The Rare Team To Win The Offseason And The Actual Season
The Bears Don’t Need Blitzes To Destroy Your Quarterback
What Climate Change Taught Us About Hurricanes
Why The House And Senate Are Moving In Opposite Directions
Who Can Stop The Supreme Court?
Significant Digits For Monday, Oct. 15, 2018
2018-19 NBA Predictions
2018-19 NBA Predictions — 76Ers
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Bucks
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Bulls
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Cavaliers
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Celtics
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Clippers
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Games
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Grizzlies
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Hawks
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Heat
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Hornets
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Jazz
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Kings
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Knicks
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Lakers
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Magic
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Mavericks
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Nets
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Nuggets
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Pacers
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Pelicans
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Pistons
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Raptors
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Rockets
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Spurs
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Suns
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Thunder
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Timberwolves
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Trail Blazers
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Warriors
2018-19 NBA Predictions — Wizards
From The Warriors To The Knicks, How We’re Predicting The 2018-19 NBA
The Chiefs’ Defense Is Worse Than Their Offense Is Great
Politics Podcast: Can Democrats Win Big With Only Women?
Young Voters Might Actually Show Up At The Polls This Year
What Happens When Humans Fall In Love With An Invasive Species
Significant Digits For Tuesday, Oct. 16, 2018
An Upset That Nobody Sees Coming Could Determine Control Of The House
The 6 Things We’re Watching This NBA Season
No, LaCroix Isn’t Poisoning You Like You’re A Giant Cockroach
Alex Bregman Is Not Interested In That Crap Out Of The Zone
Will The Midterms Decide Who Runs In 2020?
Significant Digits For Wednesday, Oct. 17, 2018
2018 Governors Forecast
Senate Update: Democrats’ Prospects Worsen In Nevada And Arizona
Philip Rivers Has The Supporting Cast He Deserves Again
Three States Could Elect A Black Governor This Year. Will They?
Odds Are, Your Next Governor Will Be A Democrat
Election Update: How The Latest Fundraising Numbers Shifted Our House Forecasts
Politics Podcast: Democrats Are Well Positioned In Key Races For Governor
Significant Digits For Thursday, Oct. 18, 2018
These 20-Somethings Could Be Elected To Congress
Why Politicians Don’t Always Listen To Political Scientists
The Brewers’ Pitcher Switcheroo May Be Coming Soon To A Game Near You
Here Are College Football’s Most Important Week 8 Games
Even If Turnout Among Young People Is Higher, It’ll Probably Still Be Low
Significant Digits For Friday, Oct. 19, 2018
Election Update: Democrats’ Unprecedented Fundraising Edge Is Scary For Republicans … And Our Model
So Your Archipelago Is Exploding. How Doomed Is Your Island?
How Worried Should Real Madrid, Bayern Munich And Barcelona Be?
Senate And Governor Races Are Diverging Sharply In Some States
This Might Be The Best Red Sox World Series Team Yet
Todd Gurley Is In The Right System At The Right Time
Election Update: What The Polls Say In Four Republican-Leaning Battleground Districts
Election Update: Republicans’ Overall Senate Chances Are Holding Steady
These 8 Attorney-General Races Could Make A Big Difference To Trump’s Agenda
Significant Digits For Monday, Oct. 22, 2018
Governors Update: Democrats Suddenly Have A Real Chance In Alaska
The Jaguars’ Defense Isn’t Playing Well Enough To Win With Bortles Anymore
Politics Podcast: What On Earth Should We Make Of The Democrats’ Huge Fundraising Edge?
Trump’s Approval Rating Is Up. Republican House Chances Are Down. Does That Make Any Sense?
Significant Digits For Tuesday, Oct. 23, 2018
Election Update: Some Competitive Races Have Little To No Polling. That’s A Problem.
How The Red Sox And Dodgers Made It To The World Series, In One Chart
The Toronto Maple Leafs Needed An American To Become Stanley Cup Contenders Again
The 5 Players Who Could Determine The World Series
Senate Update: Mississippi Almost Certainly Isn’t Going To Bail Out Democrats’ Senate Hopes
We’re Hiring A Full-Time Quantitative Editor
Politics Podcast: How Voting Laws Will Affect The Midterms
We’re Back From The Future. Which Of These Wildly Different Midterm Outcomes Would You Believe?
Significant Digits For Wednesday, Oct. 24, 2018
People Are Changing Their Views On Race And Gender Issues To Match Their Party
Welcome To The 2018 World Series, Where Even Sale-vs.-Kershaw Turns Into A Bullpen Battle
Governors Update: After Flirting With Trump In 2016, These Three States Are Looking Blue Again
The Eagles Have A Call-In-Sick-To-Work-Level Super Bowl Hangover
The NBA Is Playing At A Blistering Pace, But The Spurs Are Taking It Slow
Trump-Style Politics Will Be Put To The Test In Florida, Georgia And Kansas
Significant Digits For Thursday, Oct. 25, 2018
Election Update: Romney-Clinton Districts Are Overrated. Obama-Trump Districts Are Underrated.
Election Update: 100 Women — Or More — Could Be Elected To The House
Ryan Madson And The Dodgers Are Faltering When It Matters Most
How ActBlue Is Trying To Turn Small Donations Into A Blue Wave
College Football Chaos Could Be Lurking Below The Top 3 Teams
Politics Podcast: The Campaign Ads Dominating 2018
How To Make Sense Of This Week’s Mail Bombs
Are Republicans Losing The Health Care Debate?
Significant Digits For Friday, Oct. 26, 2018
Who Will Capture The Most James Bonds?
Democrats Have A Whac-A-Mole Problem In The Senate
What If Only Men Voted? Only Women? Only Nonwhite Voters?
The Dodgers Have Triggered The Super Sports Equinox In LA
Is The New Jersey Senate Race Really A Toss-Up? No.
Politics Podcast: No, The Model Doesn’t Care About The Early Vote
Only 6 Percent Of U.S. Terrorists Act Alone, But They Are Prolific
Election Update: Return Of The Special Elections
The Red Sox Win The World Series
The Senate Spin Cycle
Significant Digits For Monday, Oct. 29, 2018
The Red Sox Bucked Convention To Build A Champion
Election Update: New Polls Show Tight Races In 2 Key Obama-Trump Districts
The 2018 Red Sox Are Baseball’s Best Champions Since The 1998 Yankees
Politics Podcast: Do Toxic Politics Lead To Violence?
Why Are Democrats Looking So Strong In The Midwest?
Significant Digits For Tuesday, Oct. 30, 2018
The Battleground In The House Is Really Big — And That Makes Life Hard For Republicans
Senate Update: Is Trump Holding His Final Pre-Election Rallies In The Right States?
Sure, The Rams Are Good. But Are They Historically Great?
House Update: Here’s Why We Need Polls In Red Districts — They Might Not Be So Red
Politics Podcast: The Most Important Races You’re Probably Not Watching
How Much Do Voting Restrictions Affect Elections?
Abortion May Be Mobilizing More Democratic Voters Than Republicans Now
Significant Digits For Wednesday, Oct. 31, 2018
House Update: Where Democrats And Republicans Are Outperforming Their Party
Governors Update: New Polls In Georgia And Ohio Show Really Tight Races
The Browns Are Still A Nightmare. But Maybe Not For Long.
The NBA’s Benjamin Button
Politics Podcast: In Which We Argue Against Ourselves