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It’s Really Hard To Block A Cabinet Nominee
Will Trump’s Approval Rating Be A Problem For Republicans In 2018?
Democrats Are Overperforming In Special Elections Almost Everywhere
The Recent Rush Of GOP Retirements Is Good For Democrats
The 2017 Elections Suggest Incumbency Won’t Save Republicans In 2018
Why Republicans Are Leaving The House — And Who Might Be Next
We’ve Never Seen Congressional Resignations Like This Before
The 2018 Gubernatorial Map Favors Democrats
The Shutdown Lesson People Seem To Have Trouble Learning
The 7 Governorships Republicans Could Pick Up This Year
The 18 (!) Governorships Democrats Could Pick Up This Year
How Things Could Go Wrong For Republicans In Mississippi’s New Senate Race
The States Where Democrats Are Overperforming Most — And Least — In Special Elections
Watch The Pennsylvania 18th Special Election Like A Pro
The Pennsylvania 18th Result Tells Us What Everything Has Been Telling Us For A While
Are We Seeing The Start Of A Liberal Tea Party?
Be Skeptical Of Anyone Who Tells You They Know How Democrats Can Win In November
Paul Ryan’s Retirement Makes His District — And The Whole House — More Competitive
Watch The Arizona 8th Special Election Like A Pro
Democrats’ Horrible 2018 Senate Map Couldn’t Have Come At A Better Time
What’s At Stake In The First Big Primary Day Of 2018
Internal Polls Are Usually Bunk
This Week’s Primary Briefing: Pennsylvania, Nebraska, Idaho And Oregon
The #Resistance Had A Very Good Night
Primary Briefing: Arkansas, Georgia, Kentucky And Texas
What Went Down In Tuesday’s Southern Primaries
The Early Races To Watch On The Biggest Primary Day Of 2018
The Late Races To Watch On The Biggest Primary Day Of 2018
California’s Jungle Primary Might Screw Over Both Parties
Primary Briefing: Virginia, Nevada, South Carolina, North Dakota
Maine Is Trying Out A New Way To Run Elections. But Will It Survive The Night?
Four Key Questions Today’s Primaries Will Help Answer
The Democrat Is Up Big In Arizona’s Senate Race — For Now
Saturday’s Special Election In Texas Could Be A Good Sign For The GOP … Or Not
We’re Divided On Patriotism Too
Is Trump Fueling Republicans’ Concerns About NATO, Or Echoing Them?
Americans Know Where They Stand On The Mueller Investigation
Brett Kavanaugh Is Polling Like Robert Bork And Harriet Miers
What Some Early, High-Quality Polls Can Tell Us About The Race For The House
Here Are All The Republicans Retiring From Congress In 2018
How Every Governor Ranks According To ‘Popularity Above Replacement Governor’
House Republicans Running For Higher Office Are Having A Tough Go Of It
The Gender Gap Among Midterm Voters Looks Huge — Maybe Even Record-Breaking
Primary Briefing: Missouri, Kansas, Michigan And Washington
Everything You Need To Know About The Ohio 12th Special Election
What Mattered Most In Ohio, Kansas And Tuesday’s Other Elections
We Researched Hundreds Of Races. Here’s Who Democrats Are Nominating.
Politics Podcast: Who Are Democrats Nominating?
Primary Briefing: Vermont, Connecticut, Minnesota And Wisconsin
We Looked At Hundreds Of Endorsements. Here’s Who Democrats Are Listening To.
25 Districts That Could Decide The House In 2018
Will Backing Trump’s Supreme Court Pick Help Or Hurt Red-State Democrats?
Primary Briefing: Alaska And Wyoming
Election Update: How Our House Forecast Compares With The Experts’ Ratings
Election Update: Here Are 25 Districts Where Our Model And Other Experts Disagree
Could A Libertarian Win A Senate Race This Year?
Primary Briefing: Florida, Arizona And Oklahoma
Election Update: Republicans Aren’t Too Vulnerable In Florida, Arizona And Oklahoma … Yet
Will We Get The Next Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez In This Week’s Primaries?
Why Ayanna Pressley’s Upset Win In Massachusetts Isn’t Really Like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s
Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts
The Last 2018 Primary Briefing: New Hampshire, Rhode Island And New York
Election Update: The Swing District Showdown
Election Update: Democrats’ Chances In The 13 Romney-Clinton Districts
Election Update: Who’s Leading In Obama-Trump Districts
We Looked At Hundreds Of Endorsements. Here’s Who Republicans Are Listening To.
Election Update: One Way The House Map Actually Helps Democrats
Election Update: Here’s How We Decide Who’s Involved In A Scandal
A Big Blue Wave Could Overwhelm The GOP’s Advantage In The House
Six Districts The GOP Appears To Have Abandoned — And Maybe Two More It Should
The States Where Democrats Or Republicans Could Seize Full Control Of Government
Election Update: How The Latest Fundraising Numbers Shifted Our House Forecasts
These 20-Somethings Could Be Elected To Congress
Election Update: Republicans’ Overall Senate Chances Are Holding Steady
These 8 Attorney-General Races Could Make A Big Difference To Trump’s Agenda
Election Update: Some Competitive Races Have Little To No Polling. That’s A Problem.
Election Update: 100 Women — Or More — Could Be Elected To The House
Election Update: Return Of The Special Elections
House Update: Here’s Why We Need Polls In Red Districts — They Might Not Be So Red
House Update: Where Democrats And Republicans Are Outperforming Their Party
Senate Update: How This Year’s Race Sets Up 2020
Forget About The Candidates. What Else Is On The Ballot This Week?
How To Watch The Midterms: An Hour-By-Hour Guide
Five Races That May Not Be Decided Tuesday. Or Wednesday. Or Thursday …
Our Final Forecast In The Senate, House And Gubernatorial Races
How Democrats Won The House
We’re Tracking The Unresolved Midterm Races
Why Nancy Pelosi Isn’t Guaranteed The Speakership
Something Looks Weird In Broward County. Here’s What We Know About A Possible Florida Recount.
Everything Is Partisan And Correlated And Boring
Everything You Need To Know About The Mississippi Senate Runoff
The Last Unresolved House Race Of 2018
The Senate Will Be Competitive Again In 2020, But Republicans Are Favored
What The Heck Is Happening In That North Carolina House Race?
How Much Was Incumbency Worth In 2018?
Trump Is Only Popular In Rural Areas
White Voters Without A Degree Remained Staunchly Republican In 2018
What Comes Next In That Contested Election In North Carolina
How Red-State Democrats Became An Endangered Species In The Senate
What I Got Wrong In 2018
How Elizabeth Warren Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary
The Public Blamed Trump For The Shutdown — But That May Be Changing
Two Years In, Turnover In Trump’s Cabinet Is Still Historically High
What’s The Holdup In That Unresolved North Carolina House Race?
How Will The Shutdown End?
What Elizabeth Warren’s Last Election Can Tell Us About 2020
We Built A Polling Model … For The Baseball Hall Of Fame
Mariano Rivera’s Unanimous Induction Shows An Evolving Cooperstown
How Tulsi Gabbard Could Win The 2020 Democratic Nomination
Early-Voting Laws Probably Don’t Boost Turnout
What The State Of The Union Won’t Do
Which Offices Are Good Stepping Stones To The Presidency?
What Should Stacey Abrams Run For Next?
Which 2020 Democrats Already Have A Fan Base — And Which Don’t
Independents Trust Mueller, Which Could Be Bad News For Trump
How Much Trouble Could Bill Weld Cause Trump In The 2020 GOP Primary?
North Carolina Is Getting A Do-Over Election
Democratic Voters’ Second Choices Show How Fluid The 2020 Primary Race Is
How John Hickenlooper Could Win The 2020 Democratic Nomination
Which 2020 Candidate Got The Biggest Polling Bump Out Of Their Kickoff?
The Movement To Skip The Electoral College Is About To Pass A Major Milestone
Democrats Care More About Winning Than Usual
What Early 2020 Ratings Can And Can’t Tell Us
Why Klobuchar’s Strength In Minnesota May Not Translate To The Primaries
How Andrew Yang Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary
We’re Keeping An Eye On Wayne Messam (The Florida Mayor Running For President)
What Voters Say They Want In A Candidate Today May Not Be What They Vote For Tomorrow
Which States Have Produced The Most Presidential Nominees?
Beto O’Rourke Didn’t Get Much Of A Kickoff Bump, But He’s Not Alone
Is Pete Buttigieg’s Surge Real Or A Mirage?
How The Giant Democratic Primary Field Messes With Polls
How Eric Swalwell Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary
How Scared Should House Freshmen Be Of Threats To Primary Them?
Special Elections Foreshadowed A Blue Wave In 2018. What Are They Saying Now?
Running For President Is Easier When You Have Nothing To Lose
Roy Moore Leads A New Poll In Alabama, But His Advantage May Not Last
How Seth Moulton Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary
Democrats Think Biden Is Electable, But He’s Not Everyone’s First Choice
How Marianne Williamson Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary
How Americans — And Democratic Candidates — Feel About Letting Felons Vote
Our ‘Popularity Above Replacement Governor’ Rankings Are Back
How Every Senator Ranks According To ‘Popularity Above Replacement Senator’
Sick Of 2020 Already? Most Voters Aren’t.
North Carolina’s Do-Over U.S. House Election Starts Tuesday
How Steve Bullock Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary
The States Where Trump Is More (And Less) Popular Than He ‘Should’ Be
The Candidates Who Are Going All In On Iowa Or New Hampshire
The Movement To Skip The Electoral College Is Picking Up Steam
Which 2020 Candidates Are More (Or Less) Popular Than They ‘Should’ Be?
The Bottom Of The Democratic Field Is Making Moves, Too
Most Americans Agree That WWII Was Justified. Recent Conflicts Are More Divisive.
The State Of The State Of The States
The DNC Tried To Avoid A Lopsided Debate. It Got One Anyway.
Three Democrats Have A Big Built-In Advantage in New Hampshire
Our Best Tool For Predicting Midterm Elections Works In Presidential Years Too
No, Florida Is Not Redder Than Texas
We Calculated Advanced Stats For The Congressional Baseball Game
Iowans Won’t Vote For You Just Because You’re Their Neighbor
Where Kamala Harris’s New Voters Came From
Why We’re Not Treating Tom Steyer As A ‘Major’ Candidate (Yet)
Lanes Are Starting To Emerge In The 2020 Democratic Primary
Second Place In The Democratic Primary Is Crowded — That’s Not Good For Sanders
How Joe Sestak Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary
Democrats Are Winning The Fundraising Race In The Senate
Mitch McConnell Is The Only Senator More Unpopular Than Susan Collins
How To Read 2020 Polls Like A FiveThirtyEighter
How Tom Steyer Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary
‘The Squad’ Probably Doesn’t Have To Worry About Primary Challengers
How Views On Gun Control Have Changed In The Last 30 Years
A Farewell To Mike Gravel, 2020’s Weirdest Presidential Candidate
Where Are Candidates Spending All Their Time?
The Movement To Skip The Electoral College May Take Its First Step Back
John Hickenlooper’s Presidential Campaign Is Over. Can He Flip A Senate Seat Instead?
There Are 5 Governors Being Targeted For Recalls
Politics Podcast: Your Best 2020 Preview May Be The 2019 Elections
John Hickenlooper Is Running For Senate. But Did He Miss His Chance?
Why Seth Moulton’s Campaign Failed
Could Corey Lewandowski Help Republicans Win The New Hampshire Senate Race?
After Two Debates, Warren Is Getting More Popular
Trump Isn’t In Danger Of Losing The Primary, But All These Challengers Could Still Have An Impact.
Georgia Will Now Have Two Senate Elections In 2020
Everyone Thinks Justin Verlander Belongs In The Hall Of Fame. So Why Don’t The Stats Agree?
Don’t Let Crowd Sizes Mislead You
Americans’ Views Of The Economy Are Partisan, But They’re Not Immune To Bad News
The North Carolina 9th Is Holding A Do-Over Election. Here’s How To Watch It Like A Pro.
Republicans Won Both Elections In North Carolina — But It’s Not All Bad News For Democrats
Politics Podcast: What Happened When The Front-Runners Were All On Stage
The Third Debate Influenced Those Who Watched … But A Lot Of People Didn’t
Who Won The Debate Among Voters Who Prioritize Electability? Health Care? Climate Change?
Why Bill de Blasio’s Campaign Failed (Hint: Nobody Liked Him)
The Latest Iowa Poll Is Good News For Elizabeth Warren And Tulsi Gabbard
Who Will Make The Fifth Democratic Debate?
Joe Kennedy Isn’t Your Usual Upstart Primary Challenger
There Will Now Be 12 Candidates In The October Democratic Primary Debate
Which 2020 Candidates Are Running The Most TV Ads?
Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump?
How Has The Ukraine Scandal Affected Trump’s Approval Rating?
Two Weeks In, Impeachment Is Becoming More Popular
What Happened When 2.2 Million People Were Automatically Registered To Vote
Can A Democrat Get Reelected Governor In Louisiana?
Biden Supporters Used To Say Sanders Was Their Second Choice — Now They Say Warren
Do Americans Support Impeaching Trump?
We’ve Already Seen Twice As Many Presidential TV Ads Than At This Point In The 2016 Election
Nine Candidates Have Made The November Democratic Debate So Far
Where The Public Stands On Impeachment One Month In
Buttigieg’s Centrist Pivot May Be Winning Him A New Base
Everything You Need To Know About The 2019 Elections
Democrats Score Election Victories In Virginia And (Probably) Kentucky
Politics Podcast: What The 2019 Election Results Mean
Warren’s Polls Have Leveled Off — At Least For Now
What Virginia, Mississippi and Kentucky Can Tell Us About 2020
How Seriously Should We Take Michael Bloomberg’s Potential 2020 Run?
Running For President May Make You More Unpopular In Your Home State
What The Polls Say About Impeachment Before The First Public Hearing
We’ve Got Some New Polls For Bloomberg’s Potential Campaign. They Aren’t Great.
What Happens If Buttigieg Wins Iowa?
Most Democrats Have Picked A Candidate, But They Could Still Change Their Minds
Politics Podcast: Day 3 Of The Hearings Zooms In On Trump-Zelensky Phone Call
How Michael Bloomberg’s Late Bid For The Democratic Nomination Could Go
What Is A Political Trifecta, And Why Does It Matter?
The Winnowing Continues With Steve Bullock And Joe Sestak
Michael Bloomberg Outspent The Entire Democratic Field In TV Ads Last Week
North Carolina’s New House Map Hands Democrats Two Seats — But It Still Leans Republican
Who’s Leading The Democratic Primary In Super Tuesday States?
What I Got Wrong In 2019
Trump Is The Most Unpopular President Since Ford To Run For Reelection
Foreign Policy Doesn’t Usually Affect Elections. Could Iran Be Different?
Americans Don’t Know What To Think About Trump’s Iran Strategy
Why Marianne Williamson’s Unconventional Presidential Bid Didn’t Catch On
What The Heck Is Going On With Tom Steyer’s Poll Numbers?
Who’s On Track To Make The Baseball Hall Of Fame?
How The Democratic Candidates’ Popularity Has Changed Over A Year Of Campaigning
What The Latest Polling On Trump’s Removal Does (And Doesn’t) Mean
Which Democratic Candidate Had The Biggest Surge In Popularity This Year?
Inside The Field Offices Of The Iowa Caucuses
Election Update: Sanders Is Pulling Closer To Biden, But He’s Still Got A Ways To Go
What Our Forecast Says About The Iowa Caucuses At The District Level
Why The State Of The Union Doesn’t Have A Big Political Impact
Plenty Of Iowans Were Ready To Ditch The Caucuses — Even Before Monday Night
With More Results In, Buttigieg And Sanders Still Lead In Iowa — Biden Still Fourth
Latest From Iowa: Buttigieg Still Leads On Delegates, Sanders On Votes, But It’s Close
Satellite Caucuses Give A Surprise Boost To Sanders In Iowa
Election Update: Buttigieg Is Rising In New Hampshire
Election Update: The Polling Picture In New Hampshire Is Actually Pretty Clear
Election Update: Our First Big National Poll Shows Just How Unsettled The Race Is
What Our Forecast Says About The New Hampshire Primary At The District Level
How Sanders Held Off Buttigieg And Klobuchar In New Hampshire
Election Update: The First Polls Since New Hampshire Show No Big Bounces
6 Candidates Have Made The Nevada Debate — Including Bloomberg
Election Update: Bloomberg’s Super Tuesday Gamble May Be Paying Off