Geoffrey Skelley (451 entries)

How Crazy Is It That The Senate and House Might Move In Opposite Directions This Year?
Democrats Have A Chance To Win One Of The Reddest Districts In The Country
Young Voters Might Actually Show Up At The Polls This Year
Senate And Governor Races Are Diverging Sharply In Some States
Senate And Governor Races Are Diverging Sharply In Some States [video]
Election Update: What The Polls Say In Four Republican-Leaning Battleground Districts
Governors Update: After Flirting With Trump In 2016, These Three States Are Looking Blue Again
What If Only Men Voted? Only Women? Only Nonwhite Voters?
Is The New Jersey Senate Race Really A Toss-Up? No.
Election Update: New Polls Show Tight Races In 2 Key Obama-Trump Districts
Governors Update: New Polls In Georgia And Ohio Show Really Tight Races
Democrats Can Get Close To A House Majority With Suburban Seats Alone
House Update: Keeping An Eye On Democratic ‘Reach’ Districts
Final Senate Update: The 13 Races We’re Watching
How Republicans Made Gains In The Senate
The Suburbs — All Kinds Of Suburbs — Delivered The House To Democrats
There Was A Lot Of Turnover In The House In The 2018 Cycle
What Does It Mean That Abrams And Gillum Are Both Likely To Lose?
Why Did The House Get Bluer And The Senate Get Redder?
No, Democrats Didn’t Win The Senate. But They Did Better Than It Seems.
Split-Ticket Voting Hit A New Low In 2018 Senate And Governor Races
Mike Espy Needs An Unprecedented Swing To Win The Mississippi Runoff
The 200 Districts That Withstood The Blue Wave — And What They Have In Common
Crossing The Aisle Didn’t Save Republicans This Year
California Dominates Among House Democrats. What Does That Mean For The Next Congress?
It’s Been More Than 30 Years Since The House Reversed An Election Outcome
Martha McSally Will Probably Vote Like McCain In The Senate
The House Will Have Just As Many Moderate Democrats As Progressives Next Year
Biden’s Leading The Iowa Polls, But That Doesn’t Mean Much Yet
Presidential Primary Debates Can Make — And Break — A Campaign
How Julian Castro Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary
Martha McSally May Run For Senate Twice In Two Years. How Have Others Like Her Fared?
How Much Trouble Could Larry Hogan Cause Trump In A 2020 GOP Primary?
Republicans In Early Primary States Face A Choice: Protect Trump Or Their Place In Line
America Isn’t Really Set Up For Third-Party Presidential Bids
Almost Half Of Voters Are Dead Set Against Voting For Trump
Calls For Northam’s Resignation Reflect White Democrats’ Changing Attitude On Racism
What The State Of The Union Won’t Do
Most Americans Support Warren’s ‘Ultramillionare Tax’
Is Socialism Still An Effective Political Bogeyman?
Would It Be Weird If Biden Didn’t Run?
How To Rate A Trump Challenger
How Jay Inslee Could Win The 2020 Democratic Nomination
We Re-Ordered The Entire Democratic Primary Calendar To Better Represent The Party’s Voters
What Can A Candidate’s Home-State Popularity Tell Us About 2020?
Arizona’s 2020 Senate Race Already Looks Tough For Everyone
What Americans Think Should Matter In College Admissions
What Does Udall’s Retirement Mean For New Mexico’s 2020 Senate Race?
Trump’s Approval Rating Is Incredibly Steady. Is That Weird Or The New Normal?
What More Than 40 Years Of Early Primary Polls Tell Us About 2020: Part 1
Abolishing The Electoral College Used To Be A Bipartisan Position. Not Anymore.
How Early Primary Polls Foreshadowed Surprises Like Obama’s Rise And Trump’s Win
If Stacey Abrams Wants To Run For President, She Probably Shouldn’t Wait Much Longer
Who Might Make The Democratic Debate Stage?
We Analyzed 40 Years Of Primary Polls. Even Early On, They’re Fairly Predictive.
It’s Early, But Colorado’s Cory Gardner Has A Tough Road To Re-Election In 2020
16 Candidates Now Qualify For The First Democratic Primary Debates
Can Democrats Win On Immigration Policy In 2020?
How Michael Bennet Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary
Some Of Today’s Candidates (Probably) Won’t Make It To Iowa
Who Wants To Be A Senator? Not These High-Profile Democrats.
Here’s How The Democrats Will Limit The Debate Field If Too Many People Qualify
The Buttigieg Bump Is Fading, But He Could Surge Again
How Will Democrats’ Move Away From Caucuses Affect The 2020 Race?
Can A Republican Governor Lose In Kentucky?
How Winning The White House Could Cost Democrats The Senate (At Least Temporarily)
Are Blowout Presidential Elections A Thing Of The Past?
Is Biden’s Bounce Over?
Can Democrats Win The Senate By Adding States? It’s Been Done Before
The Bottom Of The Democratic Field Is Making Moves, Too
Republicans Just Scored A Strong Recruit In The Michigan Senate Race
The First Democratic Debate Deadline Has Passed: Who’s In And Who’s Out
The DNC Tried To Avoid A Lopsided Debate. It Got One Anyway.
How Front-Runners Can Fail
How Roy Moore Could Actually Win Alabama’s Republican Senate Primary
Tiebreakers Could Decide Who Makes The Second Democratic Debates
Politics Podcast: What Happened On Night One Of The First Democratic Debates
Yes, Democrats Are Paying Plenty Of Attention To The 2020 Election
Democrats Found A Major Recruit To Take On Susan Collins in 2020
Have We Seen The Last Of Eric Swalwell?
Why Eric Swalwell’s Campaign Failed
The Democrats Have A Candidate In Kentucky. But Can She Beat Mitch McConnell?
What We’ve Gleaned About The Democratic Primary From 6 Months Of Polls
It Won’t Be Easy For Many Democrats To Make The September Debate
Who’s In And Who’s Out Of The Second Democratic Debate
Which Matchup Will Be The Storyline Of The Second Debate?
How Much Trouble Could Mark Sanford Cause Trump In 2020?
Can Justin Amash Win Reelection As An Independent?
Could Democrats Take The Governor’s Mansion In Mississippi?
Why So Many House Republicans Are Retiring, And Why More Could Be On The Way
Have Pollsters Forgotten That Nevada Is An Early State?
Who Will Make The Third Democratic Debate (And Who Could Miss It)
Why Democrats Might Be Slow To Endorse A Candidate For President This Year
GOP Leaders Really Want Steve King Gone. Could He Lose In 2020?
Democratic Voters Care About Climate Change, But Not Enough To Support Jay Inslee
Politics Podcast: Your Best 2020 Preview May Be The 2019 Elections
Here’s Who’s Qualified For The Third Democratic Debate
What If The Third Debate Were Based On Different Polls?
Democrats’ Most Plugged-In Voting Bloc Seems To Be Coalescing Behind Warren
Who Will Make The Fourth Democratic Debate?
What’s Going On With Trump’s Approval Rating?
Don’t Use General Election Polls To Try To Predict The Primaries
Just How Many Swing Voters Are There?
Who Has — And Hasn’t — Qualified For The October Democratic Debate
What’s Behind Elizabeth Warren’s Rise In The Polls?
Seven Candidates Have Now Qualified For The November Democratic Debate
The Democratic Primary Looks Pretty Different In Each Of The Early States
How Much Do Iowa And New Hampshire Really Matter For 2020?
Tim Ryan Becomes 2020’s Latest Also-Ran
Qualifying For The December Debate Will Be Difficult For Many Democrats
Primary Challenges Might Keep These Republican Senators From Voting To Remove Trump
We’re Checking In On All Those 2020 Senate Races. A Few GOP Incumbents Look Vulnerable.
Why Beto O’Rourke’s Campaign Failed
Democrats Are Outraising Republicans In The Senate
Everything You Need To Know About The 2019 Elections
Democrats Score Election Victories In Virginia And (Probably) Kentucky
Politics Podcast: What The 2019 Election Results Mean
One (Last?) Candidate Qualifies For The November Debate
Jeff Sessions Might Struggle To Win Back His Old Senate Seat
What We Know About Tulsi Gabbard’s Base
Who Has — And Hasn’t — Qualified For The November Democratic Debate
The Louisiana Governor’s Race Looks Really Close
Have The Democratic Debates Moved The Polls At All?
The 2020 Front-Runners Aren’t As Well-Liked As Past Contenders
What We Know About That California Special Election And What It Could Mean For 2020
There Are Now 18 House Republicans Retiring. What Does This Mean For 2020?
Voters’ Second-Choice Candidates Show A Race That Is Still Fluid
Who’s Leading The Democratic Primary In The First Four States?
Why It’s Tougher To Qualify For The December Democratic Debate
Seven Candidates Have Qualified For The December Democratic Debate
What We Know About Andrew Yang’s Base
Mark Meadows Is Now The 21st Republican To Retire From The House
Five Democrats Have Qualified For The January Debate — Who Else Might Make It?
Julián Castro Never Really Found His Base
What Decades Of Primary Polls Tell Us About The 2020 Democratic Presidential Race
Georgia’s Got A New Senator While Other Candidates Are Deciding Whether To Run
Who’s In — Steyer! — And Who’s Out Of The January Debate
Democratic Party Leaders Are Mostly Sitting Out The Endorsement Race So Far
Why Cory Booker’s Campaign Never Really Took Off
What The Heck Is Going On With Tom Steyer’s Poll Numbers?
The Iowa Caucuses Are In 17 Days. What’s Going On In The Early States?
How Much Will The Des Moines Register’s Endorsement Help Warren In Iowa?
Election Update: Sanders Is On The Upswing
Why These Might Be The Most Competitive Iowa Caucuses Ever
Could Sanders Sweep Iowa And New Hampshire?
Could Sanders Sweep Iowa And New Hampshire? [video]
Election Update: A New Batch Of Iowa Polls Still Shows A Tight Race Between Sanders And Biden
Where Are All The Iowa Polls This Year?
John Delaney Is 2020’s Latest Also-Ran
Election Update: Is Klobuchar Having A Last-Minute Surge In Iowa?
That Last Big Des Moines Register Poll Of Iowa? We’re Not Getting It.
Our Final Forecast For The Iowa Caucuses
7 Candidates Have Qualified For The New Hampshire Democratic Debate
Election Update: What The First Few Post-Iowa Polls Say
Live From Manchester: The Politics Podcast Previews The New Hampshire Primary
Election Update: Our First Big National Poll Shows Just How Unsettled The Race Is
Our Final Forecast For The New Hampshire Primary
What’s Behind Amy Klobuchar’s Surge — And Can It Go National?
Politics Podcast: Sanders Won The New Hampshire Vote. So How Did ‘Klobucharge’ Win The Narrative?
Biden Has Been Losing Black Voters. Will Bloomberg’s Bad Debate Change That?
Our Final Forecast For The Nevada Caucuses
26 Scenarios For What Things Could Look Like After Nevada
Election Update: Biden Holds A Narrow Lead Over Sanders In South Carolina (We Think)
Could Joe Biden Be In Trouble In South Carolina?
What’s Going On In South Carolina?
Super Tuesday Preview: Biden And Sanders Are Vying For First In North Carolina And Virginia
Our Final Forecast For The South Carolina Primary
Super Tuesday Preview: Sanders And Biden Are Duking It Out In Texas
Super Tuesday Preview: Can Anyone Stop Biden In Alabama, Arkansas, Oklahoma and Tennessee?
Biden Won Super Tuesday Because He Won Voters Who Decided Late
Confidence Interval: The Bloomberg Campaign Isn’t Actually Ending
Confidence Interval: The Bloomberg Campaign Isn’t Actually Ending [video]
What We Know About The Voters Who Swung Super Tuesday For Biden
Election Preview: Biden Is A Big Favorite In Missouri And Mississippi, But The Margins Matter
Our Final Forecast For Today’s Primaries
Joe Biden Now Has A Clear Path To Be The Democratic Nominee
What Our Forecast Says About The Race In Illinois And Ohio
What Our Forecast Says About The Race In Florida And Arizona
Our Final Forecast For Arizona, Florida And Illinois Shows A Big Biden Lead
Election Update: Biden’s Delegate Lead Is Now Nearly Insurmountable
This Isn’t The First Time America Has Weathered A Crisis In An Election Year
Can Congress Vote Remotely? Well … Maybe.
How Is Joe Biden Remaking The 2016 Primary Map?
The U.S. Has Held Elections During Times Of Crisis Before. Here’s What Happened. [video]
The Pennsylvania Legislature Is Testing Out Remote Voting. Here’s How It Works.
Is The Economy Still The Most Important Thing For Trump’s Reelection?
11 Governorships Are Up For Grabs In 2020. Here’s What’s Happening.
What Happens If A Presidential Nominee Can No Longer Run For Office?
What Happens If A Nominee Becomes Incapacitated Before The General Election? [video]
Americans Are Largely Unimpressed With Trump’s Handling Of The Coronavirus Pandemic
You Can Pay Attention To Those Trump vs. Biden Polls. But Be Cautious.
Could The Coronavirus And Economic Crash Make Republicans Abandon Trump?
Justin Amash Could Cause Some Trouble In November
The 2020 House Map Looks Good For Democrats, But Republicans Still Have A Shot
Will Justin Amash’s Presidential Run Help Or Hurt Trump? [video]
Democrats Lead The Race For Congress — But The National Environment Will Probably Change
Two Special Elections On Tuesday Could Hint At Another Blue Wave In 2020
Are Older Voters Turning Away From Trump?
Are These Scandals Going To Hurt Republican Chances Of Holding On To The Senate?
The Gap Between Democrats And Republicans Is Growing On The Coronavirus Crisis
Are Arizona, Georgia And Texas Really In Play?
How Much Trump Could Help (Or Harm) Down-Ballot Republicans In November
The Voters Who Don’t Like Trump Or Biden
Nine States (And D.C.) Have Elections Today. Here Are The Races To Watch.
Biden Doesn’t Really Have A Young Voters Problem
How Americans Feel About George Floyd’s Death And The Protests
What The June 2 Primaries Can Tell Us About November
What You Need To Know About Today’s Elections In Georgia, Nevada, South Carolina and West Virginia
Georgia Was A Mess. Here’s What Else We Know About The June 9 Elections.
Trump’s Approval Rating Has Dropped. How Much Does That Matter?
The Latest Swing State Polls Look Good For Biden
Biden Has A Historically Large Lead Over Trump, But It Could Disappear
New Polling Shows Trump’s Electoral College Advantage Is Slipping
The Latest Senate Polls Show Some Good News For Democrats
What You Need To Know About Today’s Elections In Colorado, Oklahoma And Utah
What Went Down In Colorado, Oklahoma And Utah
Why Counting On A Convention Bounce This Year Is Risky
Biden’s Polling Lead Is Big — And Steady
Confidence Interval: Could Trump Win If He Replaces Pence? [video]
What You Need To Know About Today’s Elections In Alabama, Maine And Texas
Americans Increasingly Dislike How Republican Governors Are Handling The Coronavirus Outbreak
Voters Are Starting To Doubt Trump’s Reelection Chances
What You Need To Know About Today’s Elections In Kansas, Michigan And Missouri
Biden Is Polling Better Than Clinton At Her Peak
What To Watch For In Tennessee’s Primary
Trump Wants To Postpone The Election, But Americans Really Don’t
What You Need To Know About Today’s Elections In Minnesota And Georgia
Could Kamala Harris Win The Presidency In 2024? Here’s What History Tells Us.
Biden’s Pledge To Choose A Woman For VP Was Popular — And So Is Harris
What To Watch In Today’s Elections In Alaska, Florida And Wyoming
No Sitting President Was As Far Behind As Trump Going Into The Conventions
What To Watch For On Night 2 Of The RNC [video]
Politics Podcast: Pence Makes A ‘Law And Order’ Appeal On Night 3 Of The RNC
How Did Night 3 Of The RNC Address (Or Not Address) Kenosha And Hurricane Laura? [video]
Today’s Elections In Massachusetts Are Another Big Test For The Progressive Movement
Trump May Have Gotten A Convention Bounce. But It’s Very Slight And May Already Be Fading.
Trump’s Law And Order Message Isn’t Resonating With Most Americans
Election Update: Polls Are Good For Biden Pretty Much Everywhere — Except Florida
What If Trump Loses And Won’t Leave?
Election Update: Where Biden And Trump Have Gained The Most Ground
A Record Number Of Black Americans Could Vote Early This Year
Trump Supporters Aren’t ‘Shy,’ But Polls Could Still Be Missing Some Of Them
Trump Is An Underdog, But The Electoral College’s Republican Tilt Improves His Chances
How Trump’s Tax Returns Could Affect The Election
How Trump Could Spark A Full-Blown Election Crisis [video]
Republicans Are Less Confident Than Democrats That The Election Will Be Conducted Fairly
How Americans Are Reacting To Trump’s COVID-19 Diagnosis
What Pollsters Have Changed Since 2016 — And What Still Worries Them About 2020
What Amy Coney Barrett’s Confirmation Could Mean For Roe v. Wade
Despite A Sexting Scandal, Democrat Cal Cunningham Is Favored In North Carolina’s Senate Race
Trump Is Losing Ground With White Voters But Gaining Among Black And Hispanic Americans
The Most Vulnerable Incumbent In The House Is A Democrat, But Republicans Are Defending More Competitive Seats
Why A Surge In Republican Voter Registration Might Not Mean A Surge In Trump Support
Is Tonight’s Presidential Debate Too Late To Shake Up The Race?
Trump Hasn’t Gained Ground Since The Debate, And He’s Running Out Of Time
The Senate Races Where Democrats Have An Edge In The Polls
Politics Podcast: How We Expect The Electorate To Look In 2020
How The Electorate Will Be Different In 2020 Compared With 2016 [video]
Why Pennsylvania’s Vote Count Could Change After Election Night
The Battleground States Where We’ve Seen Some Movement In The Polls
11 States Are Choosing Their Governor On Tuesday. Here Are The Races To Watch.
Final Forecast: Democrats Are Clear Favorites To Maintain Control Of The House
Georgia’s Runoffs Will Determine Control Of The Senate. Here’s What We Know So Far.
Republicans Are On Track To Take Back The House In 2022
What The 2020 House Elections Could Mean For The 2022 Midterms [video]
What We Know About How White and Latino Americans Voted In 2020
What The Polls Say About Georgia’s Senate Runoffs
Why The Suburbs Have Shifted Blue
The Case For Republicans In Georgia vs. The Case For Democrats
How Democrats Won The Georgia Runoffs
Trump Helped Take Extremist Views From The Fringes Of Society To A Mob Attacking The Capitol
Since The Capitol Attack, Trump’s Approval Rating Has Plummeted At A Record Rate
Even Though Biden Won, Republicans Enjoyed The Largest Electoral College Edge In 70 Years. Will That Last?
What All Those GOP Retirements Mean For The 2022 Senate Map
Is The Presidential Honeymoon Over?
How The Frost Belt And Sun Belt Illustrate The Complexity Of America’s Urban-Rural Divide
Why A Biden Blowout Didn’t Happen (And Why A 2024 Blowout Is Unlikely, Too)
California’s Gavin Newsom Will Likely Face A Recall Election — But He’ll Probably Survive It
Why A Trump-Led Third Party Is Unlikely
Why Was The National Polling Environment So Off In 2020?
Why Only 16 Districts Voted For A Republican And A Democrat In 2020
How Marjorie Taylor Greene Won, And Why Someone Like Her Can Win Again
Ignore What Potential 2024 Presidential Candidates Say. Watch What They Do.
Why You Should Still Pay Attention To Joe Biden’s Approval Rating
Politics Podcast: Will The Stimulus Bill Boost Democrats’ Electoral Prospects?
Is A President’s Approval Rating Still Useful When Politics Are So Polarized? [video]
9 Of The 10 House Republicans Who Voted For Impeachment Already Have Primary Challengers
What To Watch In Louisiana’s Two Special Elections
What The Virginia Governor’s Race Says About Where The Two Parties Are Headed
What Americans Think About D.C. Statehood, Anti-Asian Discrimination And LGBTQ Rights
A Very Early Look At The 2022 Governor Races
Why Democrats Weren’t Going To Reverse The Result In Iowa
Politics Podcast: Elections To Watch In 2021
The 2021 Elections That Will Show Us Where The Parties Are Headed [video]
Many Democrats Are Sick Of Iowa And New Hampshire Going First, But The Primary Calendar Is Unlikely To Change
Politics Podcast: Americans Are More Independent But Just As Partisan
Why Support For Gun Control Hasn’t Led To New Legislation [video]
Few Americans Who Identify As Independent Are Actually Independent. That’s Really Bad For Politics.
Biden’s First 100 Days Show How Partisan Things Have Become
Most Republicans Still Won’t Accept That Biden Won
Republican Voters Say They Don’t Mind Trump Critics, But Liz Cheney’s Ouster Says Otherwise
How The Republican Push To Restrict Voting Could Affect Our Elections
Politics Podcast: Can You Win A Fight With A Goose?
What Would Have To Happen For A Third Party To Be Viable [video]
11 House Members Have Said They’re Not Running Again. Here’s Why That’s Important.
A Solid Majority Of Americans Approve Of How Biden Has Handled The Pandemic. But They Don’t Necessarily Approve Of His Job Overall.
Politics Podcast: It’s Already Time To Keep An Eye On 2022 Primaries
It’s Difficult To Poll How Many People Believe In QAnon [video]
How Much Do Americans Really Care About Bipartisanship?
What We’re Watching In The Virginia And New Jersey Primaries
Republicans Really, Really Dislike Biden. But It’s Not Just About Him.
Politics Podcast: The Republican Establishment Has Had Trouble Swaying Its Voters. The Democratic Establishment Keeps Winning.
The Democratic Establishment Is Winning Elections. But Are Progressives Winning The Debate? [video]
What The Electoral Landscape Looks Like In Germany, Japan, France And Canada
How The Delayed Census Has Affected Redistricting
Why The Gender Gap May Have Shrunk In The 2020 Election
Changing How Primaries Work Probably Won’t Make Politics Less Divisive
Why Biden’s Approval Rating Has Barely Budged In His First 6 Months
Gavin Newsom Has Reason To Worry
Partisanship Isn’t The Only Reason Why So Many Americans Remain Unvaccinated
Covid Cases Are Rising. This Is What Americans Think We Should Do. [video]
Andrew Cuomo Had Nowhere To Go But Out
Cuomo Is Resigning. Now What? [video]
How The House Got Stuck At 435 Seats
What’s Behind Biden’s Declining Approval Rating
Afghanistan Has Fallen To The Taliban. How Will Americans Judge Biden’s Decision To Withdraw?
What Americans Think About Ending The War In Afghanistan [video]
What All Those House Retirements Mean For Democrats So Far
Why Candidates With Little Hope Of Winning Are Raising More Money Than Ever
Biden’s Declining Approval Rating Is Not Just About Afghanistan
Everything You Need To Know About The California Recall Election
Why A Republican Might Win In Virginia’s Governor Race, And How New Jersey’s Race Could Get Tighter
How Many House Republicans Who Voted To Impeach Trump Will Survive The Midterms?
GOP Critics Of Trump’s ‘Big Lie’ Are Struggling To Win Reelection [video]
What California’s Recall Election Can — And Can’t — Tell Us About The 2022 Midterms
After Nearly 16 Years As Germany’s Chancellor, Angela Merkel Has No Clear Successor In Sunday’s Election
Texas’s New Congressional Map Could Give A Huge Boost To GOP Incumbents
What Americans Think About The Fight Over The Debt Ceiling
The Debt Ceiling Is Dangerous. Here’s Why It Probably Isn’t Going Anywhere.
How Close Is Virginia’s Governors Race?
Why Democratic Gains In Texas’s Big Metro Areas Could Outweigh Republican Success In South Texas
Biden Has Lost Support Across All Groups Of Americans — But Especially Independents And Hispanics
Could Manchin Actually Leave The Democratic Party?
Everything You Need To Know About The 2021 Elections
How Republicans Swept A Bluish State
How Virginia’s Electorate Shifted Toward Republicans
Resist The Pundits: What The 2021 Elections Can (And Can’t) Tell Us About 2022
Texas Voters Have Soured On Greg Abbott, But That Doesn’t Mean They’ll Vote For Beto O’Rourke
Which House Republicans Who Voted For Biden’s Infrastructure Bill Could Face Serious Primary Challengers?
What A Flurry Of Democratic Departures Means For The 2022 House Race
Why The President’s Party Almost Always Has A Bad Midterm
5 Things To Watch Going Into The Midterms
How Jan. 6 Enabled Greater Interference In Our Elections
One year In, Biden Has The Second-Lowest Approval Rating Of Any President
Why 28 House Democrats Aren’t Running Again
Why More Inexperienced Candidates Are Running — And Winning
The 6 House Races Where Incumbents Are Likely To Face Another Incumbent
The 7 Races That Will Likely Decide Control Of The Senate
It’s Harder Than Ever To Confirm A Supreme Court Justice
What To Make Of Polls That Show Americans Are Trending Toward The GOP
Have Latinos Really Moved Toward The Republican Party?
What Americans Think About The Crisis In Ukraine
Americans Currently Support Sanctioning Russia For Invading Ukraine But Are Reluctant To Deploy Troops
Stop Using The Midterms To Predict Presidential Elections
All But One House Republican Who Voted To Impeach Trump Faces A Trump-Endorsed Challenger
Why Early Senate And Governor Polls Have Plenty To Tell Us About November
What Democrats’ New Primary Calendar Could Look Like
Why Liz Cheney Can’t Rely On Democrats To Save Her In Wyoming’s Republican Primary
Politics Podcast: Are Both Liz Cheney And Madison Cawthorn In Primary Trouble?
Does Alaska’s Special Election Create An Opening For Sarah Palin’s Comeback?
Emmanuel Macron Could Lose France’s Presidential Election
The 13 Most Important Republican Senate Primaries To Watch
The 10 Governorships Most Likely To Flip Parties In 2022
We Asked 2,000 Americans About Their Biggest Concern
Are Australians About To Vote Out Their Conservative Government?
Georgia’s Primaries May Be Trump’s Biggest Test Yet
Support For Gun Control Will Likely Rise After Uvalde. But History Suggests It Will Fade.
California’s Primary Races To Watch
16 Primaries To Watch In Iowa, Mississippi, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico And South Dakota
Over 40 Percent Of Americans Now Rate Gun Violence As A Top Issue
3 In 10 Americans Named Political Polarization As A Top Issue Facing The Country
21 Republican Primaries And A Special Election To Watch On June 28
Where The Midterms Could Most Affect Abortion Access
How Americans Feel About Abortion And Contraception
What’s Behind Biden’s Record-Low Approval Rating?
What To Watch In The Maryland Primary
How Biden Lost The Support Of Young Americans
What It Will Take For Lisa Murkowski To Win Reelection In Alaska
How Far Right Will Republican Primary Voters Go In Arizona And Missouri?
Will 3 Pro-Impeachment House Republicans Survive Tuesday’s Primaries?
Can Progressive Candidates In Minnesota, Vermont And Wisconsin Win Their Primaries?
How Democrats And Republicans Think Differently About Crime And Gun Violence
With Cheney’s Loss, Just 2 House Republicans Who Voted To Impeach Trump Are On The Ballot In November
13 Races To Watch In Florida And Oklahoma
More Democrats Are Leaving The House — And That Could Help Republicans Win
Georgia’s Senate Race Is Much Closer Than The Governor Election. Will That Hold Until November?
5 Races To Watch In New Hampshire And Rhode Island
Latino Voters Shifted Right in 2020. What Does That Mean for Arizona and Nevada This Year?
Do Democrats And Republicans Agree On Anything About Climate Change And Immigration?
Why Republicans Could Win Oregon’s Governorship For The First Time In 40 Years
Why Fewer Americans Are Likely To Vote For A Republican Governor And A Democratic Senator
Democrats Spent Loads Boosting Republicans They Thought Were Less Electable. Will It Pay Off?
You’re Not Imagining It: There Are Fewer Polls This Cycle
Voters Don’t Think Either Party Deserves To Govern
The Republican Path To A House Majority Goes Through The Suburbs
Why Republicans Are Trying To Flip More Southern California House Districts
Final Forecast: The Senate And Most Of Its Key Races Are Toss-Ups
Who Will Control The House And Senate? Here’s What We Can Say At 4:30 a.m.
A Blue Nevada Means Democrats Will Keep Control Of The Senate
Few Midterm Voters Backed Different Parties For Senate And Governor
How Americans Feel About Qatar Hosting The World Cup
Republicans Still Have A Clear Path To Retaking The Senate In 2024
Why Kyrsten Sinema Left The Democratic Party
We Asked Americans To Explain Their 2022 Votes — And How They’re Thinking About 2024
The Voters Who Helped Democrats Keep the Senate
When Might Other Republicans Challenge Trump For The 2024 Nomination?
Yes, 2023 Is An Election Year. Here Are The Races To Watch.
Adam Schiff’s Unlikely To Be The Last Major Democrat To Join California’s U.S. Senate Race
How Donald Trump’s Unusual Presidential Comeback Could Go
New Yorkers Aren’t The Only Ones Who Really Dislike George Santos
How This Debt Ceiling Debate Could End
Do Americans Like Donald Trump, Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis?
The House Is About To Have 435 Members. That’s Pretty Rare.
20 Years After The Invasion Of Iraq, Americans Still Want The U.S. Involved In World Affairs
Congress Today Is Older Than It’s Ever Been
What You Need To Know About The Wisconsin And Chicago Elections
Why Are There So Many Boomers In Congress? [video]
A Sex Scandal Tanked A Presidential Front-Runner In The 1980s. Why Not Today?
Florida Started A Race To Reshape Conservatism. Now It Has Some Catching Up To Do.
The Rise, Fall And Potential Resurrection Of Ron DeSantis
Everything You Need To Know About Ron DeSantis [video]
Why Some Republican Candidates Might Not Make The Debate Stage
Mike Pence Is Starting His Presidential Campaign From A Historically Bad Position
Mike Pence Is Starting His Presidential Campaign From A Historically Bad Position
Beating Biden Isn’t A Priority For Republican Voters In The 2024 Primary (Yet)
Why Mike Pence Is Starting His Presidential Campaign From A Disadvantage [video]
Will Hurd Is Running To Win A Tiny Slice Of The Small Pie Of Anti-Trump Voters
No Labels Is Chasing A Fantasy
Why Biden Probably Won’t Get A Serious Primary Challenger
Why A Third-Party Candidate Might Help Trump — And Spoil The Election For Biden
The Creative Fundraising Tactics Some Republicans Are Using To Make The Debate Stage
Six Republican Candidates Appear To Have Qualified For The August Debate
What’s Going On With House Retirements This Cycle?
Could A Democrat Actually Win Mississippi’s Governorship?
How Majority-Minority Districts Fueled Diversity In Congress
Trump’s Republican Opponents Are Still Refusing To Attack Him — Even After Four Indictments
Who’s In, Who’s Out And Who Might Bail On The First Republican Debate?
At Least 8 Republicans Have Made The First Debate. Could 3 More Join Them?
Vivek Ramaswamy Is Climbing. Where Can He Go?
Everything You Need To Know About Tuesday’s Special Elections In Rhode Island And Utah
The Second GOP Debate Could Be Smaller, With Or Without Trump