fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

April 2015

Significant Digits For Wednesday, April 1, 2015
To Make The Playoffs, Hockey Teams Play Not To Win
Tidal May Live Or Die On One Thing, And It’s Not High-Fidelity Sound
Here’s A Timetable For When Knicks Fans Should Run Out Of Patience With Phil Jackson
Smartphones Are The Most Important Source Of Internet Access For 22 Million Americans
Lame-Duck Presidents Tend To Offer More Clemency
The McDonald’s Vacation Plan Is A Bigger Deal Than The Pay Raise
Significant Digits For Thursday, April 2, 2015
FICO Wants To Create Credit Scores For People Who Don’t Have Them
Football Leads To An Early Death? If Only It Were That Simple
A Radical Proposal To Destroy The NHL’s Loser Point
That Higher Count Of Police Killings May Still Be 25 Percent Too Low
California Chases Easiest Water Savings, Not Biggest
Winter Is Not The Time To Draw Grand Conclusions About The Movie Industry
Wal-Mart Is Growing In Same-Sex Marriage Territory
The Tax Deductions Economists Hate
Significant Digits For Friday, April 3, 2015
This Year’s Kentucky Team Is More Dominant Than Indiana’s Undefeated 1976 Squad
Three Trends To Watch In Baseball This Year
Be Nervous (But Not Panicked) About The March Jobs Report
The Fast And The Furious Would Be Nothing If Vin Diesel Weren’t A Huge Nerd
Mark Autism Awareness Month by Surveying People With Autism
Without Jeter, The Yankees Improved More At Shortstop Than Any Other MLB Team
UConn And Notre Dame Could Renew The Best Rivalry In Women’s Basketball In Tampa
March Madness Crib Notes: What’s Likely To Happen In The Final Four
Wisconsin Reminds Kentucky It’s Really Hard To Go Undefeated
The Week In Data: Money, Marriage And The Midwest
Once Duke Won, Kentucky Wasn’t Favored To Go Undefeated
Hot Takedown: An Emergency Discussion About Kentucky’s Loss, Live From Our Hotel Room
Coach Cal Blew It
Out With The Caraway, In With The Ginger: 50 Years Of American Spice Consumption
Significant Digits For Monday, April 6, 2015
March Madness Crib Notes: Duke And Wisconsin Flip A Coin For The Championship
The Huskies Are Better Than The Wildcats Ever Hoped To Be
The Latest Kentucky Riot Is Part Of A Long, Destructive Sports Tradition
Better Forensics Aren’t Enough To Prevent Wrongful Death Sentences
A Shot-Clock-By-Shot-Clock Guide To Duke vs. Wisconsin
Influential Politicians, Low-Income Housing And Creative Destruction
Duke Completed A Long Road To The National Championship
Significant Digits For Tuesday, April 7, 2015
Wisconsin’s Offense Wilts, But That’s Nothing New In The NCAA Championship Game
Rand Paul Is Losing His Father’s Base
Dwayne ‘The Rock’ Johnson Eats About 821 Pounds Of Cod Per Year
Why Millennials Are Less Urban Than You Think
Kansas Welfare Bill Would Cut Into Benefits With ATM Fees
NBA Power Ratings And Playoff Odds: Celtics And Nets Up; Heat And Pacers Down
UConn Has Been Slightly Less Dominant In The Tournament Than It Was All Season
The Billionaire Baron Who Has Transformed How We Understand The U.K. Election
Hot Takedown: Duke Wins; Opening Day; Hedging Hockey
UConn Was Going To Win That Game
Significant Digits For Wednesday, April 8, 2015
How To Be Funnier
How Fishing Pros Finally Caught George Perry’s Miracle Bass
Don’t Let Op-Eds Ruin Baseball
Michael Brown’s Neighborhood In Ferguson Still Lags In Voter Turnout
Hot Takedown: Emergency Pod! UConn Wins Its Third Straight Championship
Blacks Are Killed By Police At A Higher Rate In South Carolina And The U.S.
Significant Digits For Thursday, April 9, 2015
Why The SNP Is Poised To Win In Scotland
Watch: Totally Subjective Presidential Odds — NY1 Edition
There Are Few Libertarians. But Many Americans Have Libertarian Views.
A Checkbox On Your Tax Return Helped Kill Public Campaign Funding
Better Data Entry Could Help Stop Rapists Like Darren Sharper Before They Assault More Women
Significant Digits For Friday, April 10, 2015
Spring Training Matters
Troy Polamalu Was Once On Track To Be In The ‘Greatest Safety Ever’ Conversation
How Far Is Tiger Woods Behind Jack Nicklaus’s Major-Winning Pace?
The Hillary Clinton Steamroller Rumbles To Life
HBO Is Going To Run Out Of ‘Game Of Thrones’ Source Material Soon
How FiveThirtyEight’s NCAA Tournament Forecasts Did
The Week In Data: Valar Morghulis, Vegetarians And Voter Turnout
Clinton Begins The 2016 Campaign, And It’s A Toss-up
The Official 2016 GOP Field Gets Its First Real Contender: Marco Rubio
Significant Digits For Monday, April 13, 2015
Jordan Spieth Played A Great Masters, And So Did The Rest Of The Field
We’re Going To Learn How The ‘Game Of Thrones’ Books End On HBO
NBA Power Ratings And Playoff Odds: Playoff Power!
What’s The Best Campaign Route In The 2015 U.K. General Election?
Bankrupt NFL Players, Child-Care Services And Leveraged Companies
Significant Digits For Tuesday, April 14, 2015
New York’s Complicated Teacher Evaluation Proposal Is The Exception, Not The Rule
Kasich Could Be The GOP’s Moderate Backstop
Podcast: Spieth’s Dominance, The NBA’s MVP, And Nate Silver Talks To A Stats Skeptic
A Simple, Knicks-Proof Proposal To Improve The NBA’s Draft Lottery
Here’s What The Gender Pay Gap Looks Like By Income Level
Don’t Be So Happy About That Tax Refund
Significant Digits For Wednesday, April 15, 2015
For Better Or Worse, Clinton Is Likely Stuck Running For Obama’s Third Term
Democrats Want Clinton To Face A Primary Challenger (But They Want Clinton To Win)
Playoff Hockey Is 36 Percent More Bone-Crunching
Mobile Phones Are Revolutionizing Personal Finance In Sub-Saharan Africa
The Politics Of Christie’s Social Security Plan Are Atrocious
Some Context On The Aaron Hernandez Conviction
Should You Get Married (Or Divorced) For Tax Reasons?
Significant Digits For Thursday, April 16, 2015
The Red Sox Are On The Wildest Roller-Coaster Ride In Modern MLB History
Chat With Nate Silver And Harry Enten About 2016!
How Many Americans Don’t Know How To Ride A Bike?
Where Your State Gets Its Money
U.K. Polls Are Boring
A Million Little Boxes
The Rays’ Radical Reliever Experiment
Significant Digits For Friday, April 17, 2015
Is Bush Doomed In The General? (Or: A Lesson In Conditional Probability)
2015 NBA Playoffs Preview
Educators Say Free Community College Is Out Of Reach
Is Vegas Underrating The Warriors?
The Week In Data: Broken Promises, Presidential Campaigns And Child Safety
Significant Digits For Monday, April 20, 2015
Where People Go To Check The Weather
Is Constituency Polling Worth It?
Five Years After The BP Oil Spill, The Industry Is Still Taking Big Risks
Are You A Woman Who Wants To Win A Pulitzer? Go To Grad School
Walker Has (Sorta) Broken Through In Iowa, And He Has Room To Grow
Migrants Trying To Cross The Mediterranean Are Leaving One Risk For Another
Significant Digits For Tuesday, April 21, 2015
The Scouts And Stats Agree: Kris Bryant Is Going To Be Dope
Child Cash Benefits, Hidden Unemployment, And 401(k) ‘Leakage’
Gov. Chris Christie, You’re No John McCain
Podcast: NBA Playoffs, Fixing The Draft, And Take Magnet Tim Tebow
An Ex-Cop Keeps The Country’s Best Data Set On Police Misconduct
Significant Digits For Wednesday, April 22, 2015
Cheaper Cancer Tests Carry Risks As Well As Benefits
Unlike Many States, Louisiana Allowed New Orleans To Ban Smoking In Bars
Scott Walker’s Legal Immigration Faux Pas
The Counterterrorism Expo With Very Little ‘Counter’ And No ‘Terror’
How Baby Boomers Get High
Significant Digits For Thursday, April 23, 2015
Can YOU Fix The NBA Draft?
Obama Has Waited Longer For Cabinet Confirmations Than Any Other Recent President
There’s Not Enough Data On Civilian Drone Casualties
Marco Rubio Is A Strong Candidate — Despite His Polling Surge
Significant Digits For Friday, April 24, 2015
How Google Searches Can Predict Hockey Ticket Sales
The Three Types Of Adam Sandler Movies
Bruce Jenner And The Diverse Experiences Of Transgender People
The Week In Data: Muslims, Comic Books And Poetry
35,000 Migrants Have Arrived In Southern Europe By Boat So Far This Year
Significant Digits For Monday, April 27, 2015
USGS Model Suggests The Nepal Earthquake Death Toll Will Keep Climbing
Six Things I Learned While Traveling The United Kingdom In An Airstream Trailer
Women’s College Basketball Is Better Than Men’s
Same-Sex Marriage Gets Its Big Day At The Supreme Court
Significant Digits For Tuesday, April 28, 2015
Few Countries Are As Vulnerable To Earthquake Damage As Nepal
How To Read The Mind Of A Supreme Court Justice
Is CourtCast Nina Totenberg’s Own Deep Blue?
Jeb Bush Has The Cash, But Not The GOP Support
Which Characters Deserve To Join The Avengers In The Next Movie?
How Baltimore’s Young Black Men Are Boxed In
For Broadway Shows, There’s A Prize For Opening Late
Podcast: The NFL Draft, Mayweather’s Past And How Many NFL Players Go Broke
The U.K.’s Most Diverse Constituency
Significant Digits For Wednesday, April 29, 2015
Don’t Expect The Orioles To Get The Calls In An Empty Camden Yards
Baltimore’s Police Officers Have Been Arrested At High Rates
Rick Snyder Has A Chris Christie Problem
The Movie Avengers Are Stuck In The 1970s
Most Baltimore Police Officers Live Outside The City
Marcus Mariota Is Projected To Be Better Than Jameis Winston
The 6,493 Best Ideas To Prevent Tanking In The NBA
How A Multiple-Choice Test Became A Fixture Of The NFL Draft
Graduates Of Two-Year Colleges Are Still Falling Short
Significant Digits For Thursday, April 30, 2015
Enter The Democratic Primary’s Liberal Alternative: Bernie Sanders!
The U.K.’s New At-Home HIV Test Is Better Than Anything We Have In The U.S.
Dangerous Times For The World’s Cultural Heritage
Are Some Positions Riskier To Pick Than Others In The NFL Draft?
The Failed Space Station Supply Mission Comes As Space Transport Changes