fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

August 2020

Many Americans Are Convinced Crime Is Rising In The U.S. They’re Wrong.
There Have Been 38 Statewide Elections During The Pandemic. Here’s How They Went.
The MLB Records* That Could Fall In A 60-Game Season
Can Donovan Mitchell Reach His Potential In The Bubble?
Do You Buy That … We Could See A Delay In Election Results?
It's Not Just The Economy, Stupid
Politics Podcast: Can Economic Data Predict Elections?
What You Need To Know About Today’s Elections In Kansas, Michigan And Missouri
The Yankees Finally Have The Dynamic Duo They Wanted
The GDP Data Is Terrible. That Doesn’t Mean Trump Is Bound To Lose.
Will The Power Five Try To Power Through?
What Happened In Portland Shows Just How Fragile Our Democracy Is
We’re Looking For A Temporary Producer For Our Politics Podcast
Are Penalty Kicks Easier Without Fans? Maybe Not.
Biden Is Polling Better Than Clinton At Her Peak
The Suns And Mavs Shouldn’t Have Surprised Us … But We Didn’t See T.J. Warren Coming
What To Watch For In Tennessee’s Primary
Lonzo Ball Makes His Teammates Better — And Zion Makes Lonzo Better
The Pace Of Play Has Never Been Faster In The WNBA
Some Volunteers Want To Be Infected With Coronavirus To Help Find A Vaccine. But It Isn’t That Simple.
The Champions League Is Back, And All We Want To Talk About Is Atalanta
Trump Wants To Postpone The Election, But Americans Really Don’t
Can You Reach The Beach?
The Best Players Opting Out Of The NFL, NBA, WNBA, NHL And MLB In 2020
Bad Teams May Be Posing As Good Teams In A 60-Game Baseball Season
We’re Hiring A Part-Time Video And Motion Graphics Producer
Yes, Unemployment Fell. But The Recovery Seems To Be Slowing Down.
Why GOP Senators Are Sticking With Trump — Even Though It Might Hurt Them In November
Do You Buy That … Kamala Harris Is Most Likely To Become Biden’s Running Mate?
Notre Dame Didn’t Want To Join A Conference. But The ACC Could Have Helped It Win.
Our New Metric Shows How Good NFL Receivers Are At Creating Separation
The Tokenization Of The Veepstakes
Politics Podcast: The Veepstakes Are Almost Over
Five Ways Trump And GOP Officials Are Undermining The Election Process
What You Need To Know About Today’s Elections In Minnesota And Georgia
Can The Hurricanes Win The Stanley Cup With Mediocre Goaltending?
How Biden’s Standing In The Polls Compares To Clinton’s At This Point In 2016
With A Healthy Jusuf Nurkić, The Trail Blazers Are On The Cusp Of The Playoffs
What Economists Fear Will Happen Without More Unemployment Aid
Kamala Harris Is Biden’s VP Pick — Here’s What It Means For The Election And Beyond
The College Football Layoff
Emergency Podcast: Harris Is Biden's VP Pick
Emergency Politics Podcast: Harris Is Biden’s VP Pick
What A Biden-Harris Ticket Says About The Democratic Party
2020 Election Forecast
2020 Election Forecast — New Mexico
2020 House Forecast
2020 Senate Election Forecast
2020 Senate Election Forecast — Senate Iowa
2020 Senate Election Forecast — Senate Maine
It’s Way Too Soon To Count Trump Out
How FiveThirtyEight’s 2020 Presidential Forecast Works — And What’s Different Because Of COVID-19
The Miami Heat’s Dynamic Duo Could Make Noise In The Playoffs
Model Talk: The 2020 Forecast Is Live!
Politics Podcast: The 2020 Presidential Forecast Is Live!
Model Talk: How The 2020 Presidential Forecast Works
Could Kamala Harris Win The Presidency In 2024? Here’s What History Tells Us.
How We Designed The Look Of Our 2020 Forecast
The Suns Are On Fire, The Sixers Are Reeling, And Other Lessons From The NBA Bubble
The A’s Aren’t Just Scrappy. They’ve Got Stars.
First The New York Rangers Made The Postseason. Then They Got The No. 1 Draft Pick.
How To Vote In The 2020 Election
Why We’re Planning For An Election Day That Could Last Months
Biden’s Pledge To Choose A Woman For VP Was Popular — And So Is Harris
Are You Hip Enough To Be Square?
MVP Voting Has Never Been More Boring
Russia Approved A COVID Vaccine. Will It Be Available In America?
These 3 Breakout Stars Are Making The Most Of The WNBA Bubble
Nate Silver Introduces The 2020 Election Forecast
Our Election Forecast Didn’t Say What I Thought It Would
Why Conventions Still Matter
What Really Gives Left-Handed Pitchers Their Edge?
The Raptors’ Defense Is Almost Never The Same, But It’s Always Really Good
Do You Buy That … Trump Still Has A Clear Path To Re-election?
FiveThirtyEight Debate Club: Do We Even Need Political Conventions Anymore?
What Went Down On The First Night Of The Democratic National Convention
What Went Down On The Second Night Of The Democratic National Convention
What Went Down On Night 3 Of The DNC
What Went Down On The Final Night Of The DNC
Welcome!
Will People Actually Watch The Conventions?
Michelle Obama Rips Trump In DNC Night One
What To Watch In Today’s Elections In Alaska, Florida And Wyoming
After Manchester City’s Big Loss, Who’s The Favorite To Win The Champions League?
Politics Podcast: Michelle Obama Ripped President Trump On Night One Of The Convention
What Can LeBron’s Previous Top-Seeded Teams Tell Us About This One?
Carmelo Anthony’s On-Court Cussing Has TV Networks Playing Defense
Sanders And Kasich’s DNC Speeches Show Democrats Are Going After All Kinds Of Voters
The Summer Of Playoffs
DNC Night 2: Democrats Aren't Sure Who They Are
When Can Schools Safely Reopen? The Answer Is Part Science, Part Guesswork.
Women Won The Right To Vote 100 Years Ago. They Didn’t Start Voting Differently From Men Until 1980.
Who Made The Most Of The NBA Restart?
Democrats Weren’t Sure Who They Are On DNC Night 2
Why Are The WNBA’s ‘Home’ Teams Feeling So At Home In The Bubble?
Support For Black Lives Matter Surged During Protests, But Is Waning Among White Americans
The Democratic Party Wants You To Think It Has 17 Rising Stars
DNC Night 3: Harris Fills A Historic Role
How Clinton’s Loss Paved The Way For Biden
Biden Had To Fight For The Presidential Nomination. But Most VPs Have To.
Politics Podcast: Harris Makes History At Night 3 Of The DNC
Mookie Betts Is Playing Like An MVP — And The Dodgers Have Needed It
Why Have NBA Offenses Been So Good In The Bubble?
America’s Introduction To Kamala Harris
DNC Night 4: Biden Pitches Himself As A Good Guy
When Joel Embiid Posts Up, The Celtics Are Ready
Can You Corral Your Hamster?
Bayern Looks Unbeatable. But Can Mbappé Push PSG To Champions League Glory?
Politics Podcast: Biden Pitches Himself As The Good Guy
Progressive Groups Are Getting More Selective In Targeting Incumbents. Is It Working?
The NBA’s Unluckiest Lottery Team Finally Got A Good Bounce
Fernando Tatís Jr. Was Already Mashing. Then He Started Hitting The Ball Harder.
Does Biden Have The Broad Appeal He Thinks He Does?
Why There Are So Few Moderate Republicans Left
No Sitting President Was As Far Behind As Trump Going Into The Conventions
Do You Buy That … Trump’s Reelection Chances Are Improving?
LeBron And AD Dominate Like Kobe And Shaq. But Can They Win Like The Classic Lakers?
Cuban Players Are Powering The White Sox
What To Watch For On Night 1 Of The RNC
What Went Down On Night 1 Of The RNC
RNC Night 1: Trumpism vs. Traditionalism
If You Wait Until Your State’s Deadline To Mail Your Ballot, You May Be Too Late
Politics Podcast: It Was Trumpism vs. Traditionalism At Night 1 Of The RNC
Who Were Republicans Trying To Reach On Night 1 Of The RNC?
Cleveland’s League-Leading Rotation Relies On Homegrown Talent … From A Single Draft
Even With A Vaccine, The Economy Could Take Many Months To Return To Normal
What To Watch For On Night 2 Of The RNC
The Celtics Had No Patience For ‘The Process’
What Went Down On Night 2 Of The RNC
RNC Night 2: Cognitive Dissonance
Fighting Didn’t Stop In The NHL Bubble
Politics Podcast: Cognitive Dissonance On Night 2 Of The RNC
Did Night 2 Of The RNC Violate The Hatch Act? And … Does It Matter?
Almost Everyone Trump Endorses Wins Their Primary … But Is He Padding His Record?
There’s No WNBA All-Star Game This Year, But We Picked The Rosters Anyway
Monster Games In The NBA Playoffs Aren’t Automatically Translating To Wins
What To Watch For On Night 3 Of The RNC
What Went Down On Night 3 Of The RNC
RNC Night 3: Pence Makes A Law And Order Appeal
Politics Podcast: Pence Makes A ‘Law And Order’ Appeal On Night 3 Of The RNC
Why A Strike For Racial Justice Started With The Milwaukee Bucks And The NBA
Not All Americans Can Get A COVID-19 Test When They Want One
How Did Night 3 Of The RNC Address (Or Not Address) Kenosha And Hurricane Laura?
Why Trump’s Racist Appeals Might Be Less Effective In 2020 Than They Were In 2016
Could A Backlash Against Black Lives Matter Hurt Biden? The Two Don’t Appear Linked So Far.
What To Watch For On The Final Night Of The RNC
A Historic Moment For Protest In Sports
What Went Down During President Trump’s Closing Speech At The RNC
RNC Night 4: How Trump Used His 5,680 Words
Biden’s Voters Appear Far More Likely To Vote By Mail Than Trump’s. That Could Make For A Weird Election Night.
Can You Cover The Globe?
Separating MLB’s Buyers From Sellers At The Weirdest Trade Deadline Ever
Politics Podcast: What Trump’s RNC Speech Means For The Next Two Months
What Trump Didn’t Say In His RNC Speech Is As Important As What He Did Say
What Happened In The NBA This Week?
Just Because We Can Get Reinfected With COVID-19 Doesn’t Mean We Can’t Beat It
New U.S. Citizens Were One Of The Fastest-Growing Voting Blocs. But Not This Year.
Why Minnesota Could Be The Next Midwestern State To Go Red
Give Boston’s Kemba Walker A Double Pick And Watch Him Work
Do You Buy That … Backlash Against The Protests Helps Trump?
Mike Trout Finally Got An MVP-Level Teammate. So Why Aren’t The Angels Winning?
The Media Is Getting Ahead Of Itself On Kenosha
Politics Podcast: We Don’t Know Yet Whether Unrest In Kenosha And Portland Will Help Trump
There’s Not Enough Evidence Yet To Know Whether Unrest In Kenosha And Portland Will Affect The Election