fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

April 2020

What Explains The Bump In Trump’s Approval Ratings?
How Is Joe Biden Remaking The 2016 Primary Map?
So … About That Supposed Lack Of Enthusiasm For Biden?
The NBA Questions That Will Never Get Answered
When Is It Safe To Go Outside?
The U.S. Has Held Elections During Times Of Crisis Before. Here’s What Happened.
Why The Progressive Left Fits So Uncomfortably Within The Democratic Party
Unemployment Filings Hit 6.6 Million, Doubling Last Week’s Record High
It’s Easy To Overhype New COVID-19 Discoveries
Best-Case And Worst-Case Coronavirus Forecasts Are Very Far Apart
The Pennsylvania Legislature Is Testing Out Remote Voting. Here’s How It Works.
Why It's So Hard To Forecast The Impact Of COVID-19
Politics Podcast: Why Forecasting COVID-19 Is Harder Than Forecasting Elections
Are Democrats And Republicans Reacting Differently To Coronavirus? It Depends What You’re Asking Them.
Can You Tell When The Snow Started?
This Jobs Report Was Bad. The Next One Will Be Worse.
What Might Have Happened In The NCAA Tournament’s Final Four
Why Forecasting COVID-19 Is Harder Than Forecasting Elections
Coronavirus Case Counts Are Meaningless*
What The Heck Is Going On With Wisconsin’s Primary?
Olympics Have Been Canceled Because Of War. But We’ve Never Seen Anything Like This.
It Was A Roller-Coaster Season For Michigan State, Our Men’s Bracket Champion
Baylor, Our Women’s Bracket Champion, Is Building A Dynasty Of Its Own
Is The Economy Still The Most Important Thing For Trump’s Reelection?
Science Has No Clear Answers On The Coronavirus. Face Masks Are No Exception.
Wisconsin's Election Is A Mess
Politics Podcast: Wisconsin’s Election Is A Mess
Did Sanders Blow It For The Democratic Left? Or Was The Nomination Always Out Of Reach?
The Olympics Timeline Has Been Cruel To Simone Biles
11 Governorships Are Up For Grabs In 2020. Here’s What’s Happening.
Scientists Don’t Know If Hydroxychloroquine Is Useful — Or Even Safe — For Coronavirus Patients
Dr. Fauci Has Been Dreading A Pandemic Like COVID-19 For Years
Can Trump Make Sports Happen Again?
America’s Social Safety Net Wasn’t Ready For The Coronavirus Crisis
Media Coverage Doesn’t Actually Determine Public Opinion On The Economy
Here’s What Voters Told Us About Voting In Wisconsin’s Primary
A Shortened MLB Season Favors The Underdogs — But An Expanded Playoff Helps The Favorites
Why Bernie Sanders Lost
Emergency Podcast: Sanders Drops Out
Politics Podcast: Bernie Sanders Suspends His Campaign For President
Democratic And GOP Governors Enacted Stay-At-Home Orders On The Same Timeline. But All Holdouts Are Republicans.
Big Data Is Helping Us Fight The Coronavirus — But At What Cost To Our Privacy?
More Than 16 Million Americans Have Lost Their Jobs In The Past Three Weeks
Experts Think We’re Flattening The Coronavirus Curve, But Hospitalizations Haven’t Peaked Yet
NFL Safeties Should Be Worth More Than Touchdowns
The Young Americans Most Vulnerable To COVID-19 Are People Of Color And The Working Class
Sanders — And The Media — Learned The Wrong Lessons From Trump In 2016
Most Americans Like How Their Governor Is Handling The Coronavirus Outbreak
Can You Catch The Free T-Shirt?
How Could All Those Primary Postponements Change The Delegate Math?
How Close Are We To A COVID-19 Vaccine?
New York’s Inequalities Are Fueling COVID-19
The COVID-19 Blame Game Is Going To Get Uglier
She Was About To Start A New Job. Then The Economy Collapsed.
A Comic Strip Tour Of The Wild World Of Pandemic Modeling
Do You Buy That … Social Distancing Is Working To Help Flatten The Curve?
After Their Free Agency Moves, Where Do WNBA Teams Stand Heading Into The Draft?
Our 2020 Election Priors
Politics Podcast: These Are Our Priors For The General Election
What Went Down In The Wisconsin Primary
How Urban Or Rural Is Your State? And What Does That Mean For The 2020 Election?
Why Did The World Shut Down For COVID-19 But Not Ebola, SARS Or Swine Flu?
Kenny Lofton, Welcome To Our Hall Of Pretty Damn Good Players
Experts Think We Need An Army Of Public Health Workers To Safely Return To Normal
Has New York Bent The Curve?
Yes, Sabrina Ionescu Will Be The No. 1 Pick. But What Happens Next?
How Much Does Obama’s Endorsement Of Biden Matter?
Americans Are Skeptical Of The Government — Except When There’s A Crisis
What Happens If A Presidential Nominee Can No Longer Run For Office?
The Atlanta Falcons Are Hoarding First-Round Talent
Genetic Tracking Helped Us Fight Ebola. Why Can’t It Halt COVID-19?
How COVID-19 Is Wreaking Havoc On Our Ability To Make Things — Including Vaccines
Who Do Americans Trust Most On COVID-19?
At Least 22 Million Americans Are Out Of A Job — And We Haven’t Hit Bottom
The Draft Hopefuls Who Can Fill Each WNBA Team’s Needs
How Much Can Obama Help Biden In 2020?
How To Hold An Election During A Crisis
Politics Podcast: How To Hold An Election During A Crisis
How Are Americans Adjusting To Life In A Pandemic?
Can You Solve The Chess Mystery?
Why One Expert Is Still Making COVID-19 Models, Despite The Uncertainty
What Happens If A Nominee Becomes Incapacitated Before The General Election?
Why Michael Jordan Was The Best
Experts Think The U.S. COVID-19 Death Toll Will Hit 50,000 By The End Of April
Some Americans Are Misinformed About The Coronavirus. How Responsible Is The Media?
He Works In A Grocery Store, But He’s Still Losing Hours
How MLB Could Squeeze Extra Games Into A Shortened Season
Times Of Crisis Reveal Which Political Rules Are Essential To Our Democracy
Do You Buy That … Early COVID-19 Models Are Too Pessimistic?
What Is Motivating The COVID-19 Protests?
Politics Podcast: What Is Motivating The COVID-19 Protests?
There Are Not Enough COVID-19 Tests. There Are Also Too Many COVID-19 Tests.
Even Without A Pandemic, It’s Hard To Forecast A Recession
Fundraising Dipped In March As Campaigns Adjust To A New Normal
Where ESPN’s NFL Draft Model Thinks Your Favorite Player Is Going
The Michael Jordan vs. LeBron James Debate Will Never End
How A Shortage Of Sand (And Other Common Items) Could Delay A Coronavirus Vaccine
What Would Virtual Democratic And Republican Conventions Mean For The 2020 Presidential Race?
How The WNBA First-Round Picks Could Help Their New Teams
Brady With Gronk Is The Best Brady
Trump’s Latest Attempt To Limit Immigration Isn’t Really About The Coronavirus
How One High-Risk Community In Rural South Carolina Is Bracing For COVID-19
Model Talk: Forecasting The Toll Of COVID-19
Politics Podcast: How One Modeler Is Trying To Forecast The Toll Of COVID-19
Why Are Some Young, Healthy People Getting Severe COVID-19?
Chase Utley Slid His Way Into Our Hall Of Pretty Damn Good Players
Do Most Republicans Agree With People Protesting Stay-At-Home Orders?
How One Modeler Is Trying To Forecast The Toll Of COVID-19
Coronavirus Cases Are Still Growing In Many U.S. States
This Is Hard For Everyone. It’s Even Harder For Parents Who Don’t Make Much Money.
One Chart Isn’t Going To Tell You When The Pandemic Peaked
Have States With Lockdown Protests Been Hit Harder By Unemployment?
Americans Are Largely Unimpressed With Trump’s Handling Of The Coronavirus Pandemic
The Coronavirus Means The 2020 Primary Season Will End Later Than Ever
Can You Beat The GOAT Monty Hall Problem?
Sanders Could Lose A Third Of His Delegates, Making For A Messy Convention
Which NFL Teams Reached In The First Round, And Which Found The Most Value?
Should We Sacrifice Our Data Privacy To Fight The Coronavirus?
Few States Are Prepared To Switch To Voting By Mail. That Could Make For A Messy Election.
You Can Pay Attention To Those Trump vs. Biden Polls. But Be Cautious.
He Moved To The City And Started A Thriving Business. Then He Needed A Loan To Make Rent.
Do You Buy That … The United States Has Gotten Over The Coronavirus Hump?
Michael Jordan Got Paid During The Bulls’ Last Dance
Is COVID-19 Already Hurting Trump Politically?
Politics Podcast: Is Trump Slipping In The Polls Because Of COVID-19?
How Does Biden Stack Up To Past Democratic Nominees?
Muffet McGraw Retired Just Short Of 1,000 Wins. Will Anyone Reach That Mark Again?
The Americans Who Suffered When The Economy Shut Down Are Also In More Danger As It Reopens
Ben Wallace Anchored A Damn Good Pistons Squad
Is Trump Slipping In The Polls Because Of COVID-19?
NFL Draft: The Good, The Bad And The Packers
It’s Time For Another 2020 Vice Presidential Draft
Could The Coronavirus And Economic Crash Make Republicans Abandon Trump?
Why Biden Probably Won’t Announce His Running Mate For Months
Have Serena Williams And Roger Federer Won Their Last Grand Slams?
Why Are More Men Than Women Dying Of COVID-19?
Nearly 20 Percent Of The U.S. Labor Force Has Filed For Unemployment Since Mid-March
Switching To A Vote-By-Mail Election Is Tougher Than It Seems
Infectious-Disease Experts Expect A Surge In Georgia’s COVID-19 Cases
The U.S. Is Starting To Reopen. Is It Ready?
Politics Podcast: Ready Or Not, The U.S. Is Starting To Reopen
What The U.S. Really Needs To Do To Reopen