fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

October 2022

The Supreme Court Is On The Verge Of Killing The Voting Rights Act
Who’s Contending — And Pretending — Among The NFL’s Top Teams?
What Would Two More Senators Do For Democrats?
Politics Podcast: What Would Two More Senators Do For Democrats?
How 5 Latino Voters Are Thinking About The Midterms
The Perfect College Football Tailgate
Young Women’s Views On Abortion Could Reshape The Midterms — And The Future Of Politics
Georgia’s Governor Race Will Have Major Implications For Abortion Access
Will Herschel Walker’s Abortion Controversy Hurt His Chances In Georgia?
Does A Hurricane Change A State’s Politics?
Aaron Judge Isn’t The New Home Run King. He’s Something More.
1 In 5 Pitchers Are Frequently Violating MLB’s Future Pitch Clock
Are Democrats Heading For Another Disappointment In North Carolina?
The Datasets We’re Looking At This Week
How Hurricane Ian Could Affect Ron DeSantis’s Political Future
McConnell Favors The Senate’s Version Of The Electoral Count Act
John Fetterman’s Lead In Pennsylvania Is Tightening — And So Are Democrats’ Chances In The Senate
Georgia Is The Key To Control Of The Senate
The Ravens Should Have Gone For It
Why Republicans Could Win Oregon’s Governorship For The First Time In 40 Years
The Mets May Be The First Victim Of MLB’s New Postseason Format
Do Scandals Like Herschel Walker's Still Matter To Voters?
Politics Podcast: Do Scandals Like Herschel Walker’s Still Matter To Voters?
Can The Avalanche Repeat? Will The Lightning Rebound? What To Watch For In The 2022-23 NHL Season
The Dodgers Are Big Favorites In Our MLB Forecast — But Anything Can Happen In October
When Did Americans Stop Caring About COVID-19?
Can You Fold All Your Socks?
Nevada Could Be Senate Republicans’ Ace In The Hole
Why Our Model Thinks Democrats Are Unlikely To Hold The House
How Our Midterm Forecast Takes Candidates’ Scandals Into Account
2022 Is Not Another ‘Year Of The Woman’
John Fetterman Keeps Going Viral. How Is His Senate Campaign Doing?
We’re Looking For A Freelance Audio Editor For Our Politics Podcast
Geno Smith Leads The NFL’s Growing List Of Unsung QBs
From Gas Prices To The Threat Of Nuclear Conflict … What Is Shaping The Midterms?
Politics Podcast: Which News Stories Will Matter For The Midterms?
How Each Underdog In MLB’s Divisional Round Could Spring An Upset
Lane Kiffin’s Run-Heavy Mississippi Offense Is As Prolific — And Frenetic — As Ever
Many Americans Say They Want To Relocate For Political Reasons. Few Actually Do.
The Most Important Attorney General And Secretary Of State Races To Watch
Is Tennessee Football Back? We’ll Know If They Beat Bama.
Why Fewer Americans Are Likely To Vote For A Republican Governor And A Democratic Senator
Why The GOP Might Pick Up Colorado’s Newest District
The Datasets We’re Looking At This Week
Why Kansas’s Democratic Governor Isn’t Talking About Abortion — But Her GOP Opponent Is
From Gas Prices To The Threat Of Nuclear Conflict … What Is Shaping The Midterms?
Voting Rights In North Carolina Could Hinge On Its Supreme Court Election
Denny Hamlin Is NASCAR’s Best Driver Without A Title. That Could Change Soon.
Can Democrats Win 52 Senate Seats And Kill The Filibuster?
What Attacks On John Fetterman’s Health Reveal About Disability And Politics
Is Oregon Going To Elect A Republican Governor?
Politics Podcast: Is Oregon Going To Elect A Republican Governor?
The Jan. 6 Hearings Are Over For Now. Trump’s Election Fraud Claims Are Not.
Everyone’s A Favorite In Our 2022-23 NBA Forecast
Five Decades Into The War On Drugs, Decriminalizing Marijuana Has High Bipartisan Support
How We’re Improving Our NBA Forecast For 2022-23
The Three Races Bringing Down Democrats’ Odds Of Holding The Senate
Can You Salvage Your Rug?
Could Pot Be Decriminalized Before Biden Leaves Office?
Betting Markets Are Treating The Midterm Elections Like It’s A Presidential Election
Nevada Or Georgia … Which Senate Race Is Most Important?
Can Focusing On Climate Change Help Win Elections?
The 10 Districts Most Likely To Decide Control Of The House
We Watched 100+ Democratic TV Ads So You Don’t Have To
The Center Of The Football Universe Is … New York? (Is That Right?)
The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022
Politics Podcast: The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022
Democrats Spent Loads Boosting Republicans They Thought Were Less Electable. Will It Pay Off?
How Have The Georgia Polls Moved Since Herschel Walker’s Abortion Controversy?
MLB’s Postseason Is A Tale Of Two Leagues
We Tried To Outguess The FiveThirtyEight Forecast
Where FiveThirtyEight And ESPN’s 2022-23 NBA Forecasts Agree — And Disagree
Yordan Álvarez Makes The Astros Fluke-Proof
It’s Hard To Run Elections These Days. Just Ask Nevada’s Election Officials.
The Datasets We’re Looking At This Week
The Green Bay Packers Can’t Win With This Aaron Rodgers
Do Americans Actually Get Fed Up And Move To Canada?
Want To Know Who Will Win The House? Watch These 4 Districts
NFL Offense Is Dead — But It’s Unlikely Two-High Coverage Is The Guilty Party
Why Candidates Are Debating Less Often This Election Cycle
How 5 Asian American Voters Are Thinking About The Midterms
Starting Pitchers Are Starting To Matter More This Postseason
We Watched 100+ Republican TV Ads So You Don’t Have To
Don’t Obsess Over The Crosstabs!
Politics Podcast: Don’t Obsess Over The Polling Crosstabs!
Why I’m Telling My Friends That The Senate Is A Toss-Up
Can You Make The Fidget Spinner Go Backwards?
Can The Warriors Keep Breaking The Rules Of NBA Title Contention?
Early Voting Data Is Here. Don’t Put Too Much Stock In It.
Why Republicans’ Odds Of Controlling Congress Have Improved
Is College Worth It? Voters Are Split.
Will Republican Gains In South Texas Win Them More House Seats?
We Don’t Want To Blame San Francisco’s Defensive And Tampa Bay’s Offensive Problems On Injuries
How A College Education Divides American Voters
The Polls Are Getting Better For Republicans
Politics Podcast: Increased Ad Spending Won’t Save Democrats
Most Candidates Who Think 2020 Was Rigged Are Probably Going To Win In November
You’re Not Imagining It: There Are Fewer Polls This Cycle
American Turning Point: Politics In Public Education
The Phillies Wanted To Be The Astros. Now They’ll Have To Beat Them For A World Series.
Orange College Football Teams Are Having A Moment
How Much Do Campaign Ads Really Matter?
A Quarter Of Latino Adults Don’t Favor Any Midterm Candidate
The Midterms Could Set A New Record For Female Governors — And Send Fewer Women To Congress
The Most Important Elections Of 2022 Could Be In State Legislatures
Aaron Nola Embodies The Phillies’ Topsy-Turvy Path To The World Series
The Datasets We’re Looking At This Week
Who Are The People Who Don’t Respond To Polls?
The Astros Are Baseball’s Most Business-like Buzzsaw
How A College Education Divides American Voters
How Much Power Do Christians Really Have?
Voters Don’t Think Either Party Deserves To Govern
The Niners’ Offense Is Cruising — Until Kyle Shanahan Runs Out Of Scripted Plays
American Turning Point: Grassroots Gun Reform
Will Arizona’s Abortion Laws Go Back To The 1800s?
The Astros Are Chasing History. But The Phillies Know How To Pull A Historic Upset.
Live From D.C. … This Is Model Talk
Politics Podcast: Live From D.C. … This Is Model Talk
How LIV Golf Is Tearing The Sport Apart, In 3 Charts
The Supreme Court Could Overturn Another Major Precedent. This Time, Americans Might Agree.
Can You Hand Out All The Candy?
Where Our Model Thinks The Polls Might Be Biased
The Dallas Mavericks Are Different From Last Year. That Doesn’t Mean Worse.
Candidates Are Sitting Out Debates. Will Voters Care?
Could A Republican Really Win The Oregon Governor’s Race?
What Does The Midterm Model Say With Two Weeks Left?
Overturning Roe Has Meant At Least 10,000 Fewer Legal Abortions
What Happened To Stacey Abrams?
The Astros And Phillies Have Showed Off Their Championship DNA In This World Series
The No-Fun League Almost Ruined Week 8
The Pennsylvania Senate Race Is On A Knife’s Edge
Politics Podcast: The Pennsylvania Senate Race Is On A Knife’s Edge