fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

June 2021

Updated: What The New Mexico 1st Special Election Can — And Can’t — Tell Us About 2022
Why Does Changing A Team’s Name Take So Long?
Do You Buy That … Lotteries Encourage People To Get Vaccinated?
Was Chelsea’s Champions League Win A Fluke?
When Naomi Osaka Left The French Open, Everybody Lost
The 2022 Primaries Are Heating Up
Politics Podcast: It’s Already Time To Keep An Eye On 2022 Primaries
Julio Jones Isn’t Running On Empty
Local News Coverage Is Declining — And That Could Be Bad For American Politics
It’s Difficult To Poll How Many People Believe In QAnon
The Clippers Looked Destined For Another Early Exit. How Did They Turn It Around?
The Marlins Are Learning That It’s Better To Be Lucky Than Good
Why The Lab Leak Debate Is Back
Is Our Primary System Broken?
The Bucks Remade Themselves Defensively. But Are They Ready For The Nets?
Why Texas Democrats Walked Out
Mike Krzyzewski Became The GOAT By Being The Ultimate Chameleon
How Much Do Americans Really Care About Bipartisanship?
Can You Decipher The Secret Message?
Can Nets-Bucks Live Up To The Hype?
The Astros Are Good Again. That’s Complicating Their Story.
How The Politics Of Cities Shape The Democratic Party
Politics Podcast: How The Politics Of Cities Shape The Democratic Party
Rafael Nadal Dominates The Third Shot Of A Point
What We’re Watching In The Virginia And New Jersey Primaries
Why The Mets Might Actually Be Good
One Special Election Can’t Forecast The Midterms
Politics Podcast: One Special Election Can’t Forecast The Midterms
How FiveThirtyEight’s 2020 Forecasts Did And What We’ll Be Thinking About For 2022
How Well Did Our Sports Predictions Hold Up During A Year Of Chaos?
Nobody Shuts Down The Paint Like The Jazz. But What If The Clippers Don’t Need To Go There?
Why It’s So Hard To Poll People About The Death Penalty
With The Julio Jones Trade, Did Both Atlanta And Tennessee Get Better?
Most Candidates Take The Hint After Two Losses. Why Won’t Beto O’Rourke and Charlie Crist?
How Low Can America’s Birth Rate Go Before It’s A Problem?
Zack Wheeler Was Always The Next Big Thing. He’s Finally Put It All Together.
Deandre Ayton Has Arrived
Nobody Told Joel Embiid That Centers Don’t Dominate The NBA Anymore
Republicans Really, Really Dislike Biden. But It’s Not Just About Him.
The Yankees Are ‘Trusting The Process.’ That’s Been Hard This Season.
The Tampa Bay Lightning Turned It Up Just In Time. Will They Make History?
How Same-Sex Marriage Broke Through Partisan Politics
Politics Podcast: Why Public Opinion Changed So Dramatically On Same-Sex Marriage
Do You Buy That … Ranked-Choice Voting Could Change The Outcome Of The NYC Mayoral Race?
How Trump’s Removal From Social Media Could Affect His Grasp On The GOP
Why It’s So Hard To Gauge Support For QAnon
Can You Split The States?
What To Expect In The Weird Stanley Cup Semifinals
How Same-Sex Marriage Broke Through Partisan Politics
Baseball’s Most Disrespectful Home Runs
In A Unanimous Decision, The Supreme Court Delivered Another Victory For The Religious Right
Will 70 Percent Of Americans Be Vaccinated By July 4?
The Democratic Establishment Keeps Winning Elections
Politics Podcast: The Republican Establishment Has Had Trouble Swaying Its Voters. The Democratic Establishment Keeps Winning.
Why People Fall For Conspiracy Theories
Blake Griffin Was A Luxury Pickup. Now The Nets Need Him.
Simone Manuel Is In A Lane Of Her Own
The Democratic Establishment Is Winning Elections. But Are Progressives Winning The Debate?
The Hockey Stars Are Golfing While The Golf Stars Are Fighting
Chris Paul Found The Perfect Backcourt Partner In Devin Booker
Why The Two-Party System Is Effing Up U.S. Democracy
The WNBA Players And Teams Making Noise So Far
Why Many Americans Can’t See The Wealth Gap Between White And Black America
Some Of The Best American Sprinters Are Blowing Up The Aging Curve
Kawhi Leonard Was Putting Up A Postseason For The Ages
Juneteenth Challenges A Narrative About America’s History
Solving The Border Crisis Is Not As Easy As Rolling Back Trump’s Policies
Why Progressives Have Struggled In The NYC Mayoral Race
Politics Podcast: Why Progressives Have Struggled In The NYC Mayoral Race
What The Electoral Landscape Looks Like In Germany, Japan, France And Canada
Can You Bowl Three Strikes?
Ronald Acuña Jr. Has Gotten Even Better. So Why Are The Braves Worse?
Which NBA Playoff Teams Can Overcome Their Injuries?
Why The NYC Mayoral Race Is Moderates’ To Lose
The Legacies Of Black Leaders In The Words Of Their Descendants
The 5 ‘Political Boroughs’ Of New York City
Why Is There Such A Gender Gap In COVID-19 Vaccination Rates?
This WNBA All-Star Team Will Have Extra Incentive To Win. Who Should Be On It?
Why Republicans Won’t Support Sweeping Voting Rights Legislation Now … Or Anytime Soon
Nothing Unites Left And Right Like Opposition To The NCAA
What Comes Next For Democrats’ Election Legislation
Politics Podcast: What Comes Next For Democrats’ Election Legislation
Why Democrats Are Trying Election Reform Even Though They Don’t Have The Votes
How To Build The Best Gymnastics Team Around Simone Biles
What We Know About New York’s Mayoral Primary Results So Far
The Bucks-Hawks Series Could Come Down To One Area Of The Court
How Trump Has Redefined Conservatism
Which MLB Teams Should Be Making Midseason Deals?
The Clippers Have Been Here Before. Can They Battle Back Again?
Nate And Galen Answer Your Questions
Politics Podcast Mailbag Edition: What Alaska And Mars Have In Common
Americans Are Worried About Crime, But That Doesn’t Mean They’re Blaming Democrats
Can You Count Your Marbles?
Oklahoma State Football Is Trying To Reach New Heights With A Familiar Game Plan
The Islanders Kept Things Interesting, While The Canadiens Shocked Us All
Politics Podcast: Summer Mailbag Edition
How The Delayed Census Has Affected Redistricting
Who’s The Real ‘Playoff P’?
The MLB Contender Nobody Saw Coming
Why Biden Wants A Bipartisan Infrastructure Plan
Politics Podcast: Why Biden Wants A Bipartisan Infrastructure Plan
America’s Pot Labs Have A THC Problem
Peer Pressure, Not Politics, May Matter Most When It Comes To Getting The COVID-19 Vaccine
Why Republicans Are Starting To Make Their Own Climate Agenda
He’s A Rising Tennis Star, But He Just Can’t Win A Final
Baseball’s Sticky Situation
COVID-19 Was Always Going To Be A Struggle For The CDC. But Trump Sure Didn’t Help.
Cam Payne Was Out Of The League. Now He’s Out Of This World.
Only One Player Has Ever Been As Good As Shohei Ohtani
How The CDC’s Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19