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2011 graphics

310 matches

Line chart showing gradual decline in county-by-county variation of presidential vote swings from 1976 to 2008, comparing entire U.S. versus excluding the South.

Charts 2011-01-04

Gradual decline in county-by-county variation of presidential vote swings

From All Politics Is Local? The Debate and the Graphs by Andrew Gelman

Line chart showing gradual decline in state-by-state variation of presidential vote swings from 1956 to 2008, comparing entire U.S. versus excluding the South.

Charts 2011-01-04

Gradual decline in state-by-state variation of presidential vote swings

From All Politics Is Local? The Debate and the Graphs by Andrew Gelman

Horizontal bar chart showing percent of DC elites with strong views (very favorable vs very unfavorable) for 15 political figures, from a Penn Schoen Berland/Politico poll.

Charts 2011-01-18

'D.C. Elites': Percent With 'Strong' Views

From The Chicken, The Egg, The Media and Sarah Palin by Nate Silver

Horizontal bar chart showing the percentage of the general population with strong favorable or unfavorable views of various political figures, from a Penn Schoen Berland/Politico poll, December 3-8, 2010.

Charts 2011-01-18

General Population: Percent With 'Strong' Views

From The Chicken, The Egg, The Media and Sarah Palin by Nate Silver

Bar chart showing an alternative restaurant grading scheme with percentage of restaurants on the y-axis and letter grades A+ through F on the x-axis.

Charts 2011-01-20

An Alternative Restaurant Grading Scheme

From Grading New York Restaurants: What’s in an ��A’? by Brian J. McCabe

Bar chart showing the number of restaurants by their number of points in violations, with blue bars for lower violation counts and green bars for higher counts.

Charts 2011-01-20

Number of Violations by Number of Restaurants

From Grading New York Restaurants: What’s in an ��A’? by Brian J. McCabe

Bar chart showing the percentage of restaurants receiving each letter grade A, B, or C, with A being the most common at about 57%.

Charts 2011-01-20

Percentage of Restaurants Receiving Each Grade

From Grading New York Restaurants: What’s in an ��A’? by Brian J. McCabe

Line chart showing House party means on the liberal-conservative dimension from 1879 to 2010 for Republicans, Democrats, Northern Democrats, and Southern Democrats.

Charts 2011-02-09

House 1879-2010: Party Means on Liberal-Conservative Dimension

From Are Democrats Better Off Than They Were 25 Years Ago? by Nate Silver

Scatter plot comparing net favorability ratings very early in a campaign versus post-primary for various candidates.

Charts 2011-02-16

Net Favorability: Post-Primary vs. 'Very Early'

From What Early Presidential Polls Tell Us by Nate Silver

Table showing favorability ratings (Favorable, Unfavorable, Net) for presidential candidates in Very Early, Post-Primary, and Very Late polling periods from 2000 to 2008.

Tables 2011-02-16

Presidential Candidate Favorability Ratings 2000–2008

From What Early Presidential Polls Tell Us by Nate Silver

Table showing favorability ratings for Republican candidates among all voters, averaged from polls since November 1, with Huckabee, Romney, Gingrich, and Palin listed.

Tables 2011-03-03

Favorability -- All Voters (Average of All Polls Since Nov. 1)

From Few Winning Scenarios for Gingrich by Nate Silver

Table showing favorability ratings among Republican voters for Huckabee, Palin, Romney, and Gingrich based on average of all polls since Nov. 1.

Tables 2011-03-03

Favorability -- Republican Voters

From Few Winning Scenarios for Gingrich by Nate Silver

Table showing preferences for 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee by subgroup, comparing Huckabee, Romney, Palin, and Gingrich percentages across demographics.

Tables 2011-03-03

Preferences for 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee, by Subgroup

From Few Winning Scenarios for Gingrich by Nate Silver

Line chart showing average pre-tournament power rating by seed (1-16) with geographic adjustment for NCAA Tournament 2003-2011, declining from ~95 to ~71.

Charts 2011-03-16

Average Pre-Tournament Power Rating By Seed

From When 15th Is Better Than 8th: The Math Shows the Bracket Is Backward by Nate Silver

Bar chart showing chance of advancing past the first round by seed for a team with power rating 85, holding power rating constant.

Charts 2011-03-16

Chance of Advancing Past First Round by Seed

From When 15th Is Better Than 8th: The Math Shows the Bracket Is Backward by Nate Silver

Bar chart showing chance of advancing to Elite Eight by seed for a team with Power Rating 85, holding power rating constant.

Charts 2011-03-16

Chance of Advancing To Elite Eight by Seed

From When 15th Is Better Than 8th: The Math Shows the Bracket Is Backward by Nate Silver

Bar chart showing chance of advancing to the Final Four by seed for a team with power rating 85, holding power rating constant.

Charts 2011-03-16

Chance of Advancing To Final Four by Seed

From When 15th Is Better Than 8th: The Math Shows the Bracket Is Backward by Nate Silver

Bar chart showing chance of advancing to the Final Four by seed (5-16) for a team with power rating 85, holding power rating constant

Charts 2011-03-16

Chance of Advancing To Final Four by Seed (Power Rating = 85)

From When 15th Is Better Than 8th: The Math Shows the Bracket Is Backward by Nate Silver

Bar chart showing chance of advancing to the Sweet Sixteen by seed for a team with Power Rating 85, holding power rating constant.

Charts 2011-03-16

Chance of Advancing To Sweet Sixteen

From When 15th Is Better Than 8th: The Math Shows the Bracket Is Backward by Nate Silver

Table showing chance of reaching different stages of NCAA Tournament for a team with power rating 85, by seed (rounds 1-16).

Tables 2011-03-16

Chance of Reaching Different Stages of NCAA Tournament (Power Rating 85)

From When 15th Is Better Than 8th: The Math Shows the Bracket Is Backward by Nate Silver

Bar chart showing Tournament Success Points for a team with Power Rating 85 by initial seed (1-16), with seed 1 yielding the highest points around 3.1 and seed 16 the lowest near 0.5.

Charts 2011-03-16

Tournament Success Points by Seed (Power Rating = 85)

From When 15th Is Better Than 8th: The Math Shows the Bracket Is Backward by Nate Silver

Table showing NCAA Tournament injuries and player absences with impact point spread and chances of winning with or without each player.

Tables 2011-03-17

N.C.A.A. Tournament: Injuries and Player Absences

From Measuring the Impact of N.C.A.A. Injuries by Nate Silver

Table showing Sarah Palin favorability ratings from multiple pollsters in Late 2010 and Early 2011 among all voters, with average scores.

Tables 2011-03-18

Sarah Palin Favorability – All Voters

From Palin’s Popularity Declines Among Republicans by Nate Silver

Table comparing Sarah Palin favorability ratings among Republicans from Late 2010 and Early 2011 polls by Washington Post/ABC, CNN, and Public Policy Polling.

Tables 2011-03-18

Sarah Palin Favorability – Republicans

From Palin’s Popularity Declines Among Republicans by Nate Silver

Table comparing Big East vs. out-of-conference opponents in the 2011 NCAA Tournament, showing forecast win percentage and margin against actual results and margin.

Tables 2011-03-21

Big East vs. Out-of-Conference Opponents, 2011 NCAA Tournament

From Big East’s Performance Is Upsetting, But It’s No Failure by Nate Silver

Table showing the biggest upsets of the 2011 NCAA Tournament through Round of 32, listing winners, upset victims, and likelihood percentages.

Tables 2011-03-21

Biggest Upsets of 2011 NCAA Tournament Through Round of 32

From Big East’s Performance Is Upsetting, But It’s No Failure by Nate Silver

Table showing Barack Obama approval ratings overall via Gallup Weekly Tracking and for the situation in Libya via CNN, broken down by party and ideology.

Tables 2011-03-21

Barack Obama Approval Ratings: Overall vs. Situation in Libya

From Poll Finds Tentative Support, Potential Risks for Obama on Libya by Nate Silver

Scatter plot comparing predicted vs actual number of seats controlled by majority party for US elections from 1948 to 1976, with 1948 highlighted as an outlier.

Charts 2011-03-24

Number of Seats Controlled by Majority Party: Predicted vs Actual

From Models Can Be Superficial in Politics, Too by Nate Silver

Table ranking the top 30 news outlets cited most often for original reporting in Google News and Google Blog Search from 2/20/11 to 3/22/11, showing citation counts and percentages.

Tables 2011-03-24

News Outlets Cited Most Often for Original Reporting

From A Note to Our Readers on the Times Pay Model and the Economics of Reporting by Nate Silver

Table showing long shot teams to reach NCAA Final Four with power ratings, chances of reaching Final Four, and odds against, highlighting 2011 VCU at 820:1.

Tables 2011-03-28

Long Shots to Reach NCAA Final Four

From In Tournament of Upsets, V.C.U. Has Overcome Longest Odds by Nate Silver

Table showing references to 2008 presidential candidates in traditional media and blogs, comparing Google News and Google Blog Search hits and shares from March 2007.

Tables 2011-03-29

References to 2008 Candidates in Traditional Media and in Blogs

From In Coverage of 2012 Candidates, the Blogs and the Beltway Divide by Nate Silver

Table showing references to 2008 presidential candidates in traditional media and blogs, comparing Google News and Google Blog Search hits and shares from March 2007.

Tables 2011-03-29

References to 2008 Candidates in Traditional Media and in Blogs

From In Coverage of 2012 Candidates, the Blogs and the Beltway Divide by Nate Silver

Table showing Google News and Google Blog Search hit counts and shares for 2012 presidential candidates between 2/27/11 and 3/29/11, with blog-to-news hit ratios.

Tables 2011-03-29

References to 2012 Candidates in Traditional Media and in Blogs

From In Coverage of 2012 Candidates, the Blogs and the Beltway Divide by Nate Silver

Line chart showing favorable vs unfavorable impressions of the Tea Party Movement from November 2009 to April 2011, with scatter points and trend lines.

Charts 2011-03-30

Impressions of Tea Party Movement

From Poll Shows More Americans Have Unfavorable Views of Tea Party by Nate Silver

Table showing 1976 Republican Primary Field poll averages, name recognition estimates, and recognition-adjusted poll averages for candidates based on polls from January-June 1975.

Tables 2011-04-01

1976 Republican Primary Field: Average of Polls Conducted in January-June 1975

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part I by Nate Silver

Table showing 1980 Republican Primary Field poll averages, name recognition estimates, and recognition-adjusted poll averages for candidates based on January-June 1979 polls.

Tables 2011-04-01

1980 Republican Primary Field: Average of Polls Conducted in January-June 1979

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part I by Nate Silver

Table showing 1988 Republican Primary Field poll averages and name recognition estimates from January-June 1987, with Bush leading at 35.9%.

Tables 2011-04-01

1988 Republican Primary Field – Average of Polls January-June 1987

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part I by Nate Silver

Table showing 1992 Republican Primary Field poll averages and name recognition for candidates Bush, Buchanan, and Duke, based on polls from July-December 1991.

Tables 2011-04-01

1992 Republican Primary Field – Average of Polls July-December 1991

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part I by Nate Silver

Table showing 1996 Republican Primary Field poll averages, name recognition estimates, and recognition-adjusted poll averages for candidates based on January-June 1995 polls.

Tables 2011-04-01

1996 Republican Primary Field – Average of Polls January-June 1995

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part I by Nate Silver

Table showing 2000 Republican Primary Field poll averages and name recognition estimates from January-June 1999, with George W. Bush leading at 46.1%.

Tables 2011-04-01

2000 Republican Primary Field: Average of Polls Conducted January-June 1999

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part I by Nate Silver

Table showing 2008 Republican Primary Field poll averages and name recognition-adjusted poll averages from January-June 2007 polls for 13 candidates.

Tables 2011-04-01

2008 Republican Primary Field: Average of Polls Conducted January-June 2007

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part I by Nate Silver

Table showing 1972 Democratic Primary Field poll averages, name recognition estimates, and recognition-adjusted poll averages for candidates based on January-June 1971 polls.

Tables 2011-04-04

1972 Democratic Primary Field: Average of Polls Conducted in January-June 1971

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part II by Nate Silver

Table showing 1976 Democratic Primary Field poll averages and name recognition estimates from January-June 1975, with Jimmy Carter highlighted in yellow.

Tables 2011-04-04

1976 Democratic Primary Field: Average of Polls Conducted in January-June 1975

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part II by Nate Silver

Table showing 1980 Democratic Primary Field poll averages, name recognition estimates, and recognition-adjusted poll averages for candidates, based on polls from January-June 1979.

Tables 2011-04-04

1980 Democratic Primary Field – Average of Polls Conducted January-June 1979

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part II by Nate Silver

Table showing 1984 Democratic Primary Field poll averages, name recognition estimates, and recognition-adjusted poll averages for candidates, based on polls from January-June 1983.

Tables 2011-04-04

1984 Democratic Primary Field – Average of Polls January-June 1983

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part II by Nate Silver

Table showing 1988 Democratic Primary Field poll averages, name recognition estimates, and recognition-adjusted poll averages for candidates, based on polls from January-June 1987.

Tables 2011-04-04

1988 Democratic Primary Field: Average of Polls Conducted January-June 1987

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part II by Nate Silver

Table showing 1992 Democratic Primary Field poll averages and name recognition-adjusted poll averages for candidates, based on polls from January-June 1991, with Bill Clinton highlighted.

Tables 2011-04-04

1992 Democratic Primary Field – Average of Polls January-June 1991

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part II by Nate Silver

Table showing 1992 Democratic Primary Field poll averages and name recognition estimates for candidates, based on polls conducted July-December 1991.

Tables 2011-04-04

1992 Democratic Primary Field: Average of Polls Conducted in July-December 1991

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part II by Nate Silver

Table showing 2000 Democratic Primary Field poll averages and name recognition for candidates from polls conducted January-June 1999

Tables 2011-04-04

2000 Democratic Primary Field – Average of Polls Conducted January-June 1999

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part II by Nate Silver

Table showing 2004 Democratic Primary Field poll averages and name recognition estimates from January-June 2003, with Kerry highlighted in yellow.

Tables 2011-04-04

2004 Democratic Primary Field: Average of Polls Conducted January-June 2003

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part II by Nate Silver

Table showing 2008 Democratic Primary Field poll averages and name recognition estimates from January-June 2007, with candidates including Clinton, Obama, Edwards, and others.

Tables 2011-04-04

2008 Democratic Primary Field: Average of Polls January-June 2007

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part II by Nate Silver

Table listing the 10 most competitively-priced midsize airports ranked 50-100 by origin-and-departure traffic, showing average fare, fair fare, and markup.

Tables 2011-04-06

10 Most Competitively-Priced Midsize Airports

From Which Airports Have the Most Unfair Fares? by Nate Silver

Table showing the 10 most competitively-priced small airports ranked 101-230 by origin-and-departure traffic, with average fare, fair fare, and markup columns.

Tables 2011-04-06

10 Most Competitively-Priced Small Airports

From Which Airports Have the Most Unfair Fares? by Nate Silver

Table listing the 10 most expensive midsize airports ranked 51-100 by origin-and-departure traffic, showing average fare, fair fare, and markup for each airport.

Tables 2011-04-06

10 Most Expensive Midsize Airports

From Which Airports Have the Most Unfair Fares? by Nate Silver

Table listing the 10 most overpriced small airports ranked 101-230 in origin-and-departure traffic, showing average fare, fair fare, and markup for each airport.

Tables 2011-04-06

10 Most Overpriced Small Airports

From Which Airports Have the Most Unfair Fares? by Nate Silver

Table listing the 15 most competitively-priced large airports among the 50 busiest, showing average fare, fair fare, and markup for each airport.

Tables 2011-04-06

15 Most Competitively-Priced Large Airports

From Which Airports Have the Most Unfair Fares? by Nate Silver

Table listing the 15 most overpriced large airports among the 50 busiest, showing average fare, fair fare, and markup for each airport.

Tables 2011-04-06

15 Most Overpriced Large Airports

From Which Airports Have the Most Unfair Fares? by Nate Silver

Map of the US showing America's most competitively-priced airports among 100 airports with most traffic, with airport codes and price differences labeled.

Maps 2011-04-06

America's Most Competitively-Priced Airports

From Which Airports Have the Most Unfair Fares? by Nate Silver

Map of the US showing America's most overpriced airports among the 100 busiest, with airport codes and dollar amounts indicating how much above average fares are.

Maps 2011-04-06

America's Most Overpriced Airports

From Which Airports Have the Most Unfair Fares? by Nate Silver

Line chart showing public interest in major news stories of Q1 2011, including Japan disaster, Giffords shooting, Egypt protests, Libya conflict, and others, tracked from January through March.

Charts 2011-04-07

Public Interest in Major Stories of the Quarter

From Budget Politics in the Doldrums by Nate Silver

Horizontal bar chart comparing projected vs. actual voter turnout in Waukesha County using five projection models and two actual results with 95% confidence intervals.

Charts 2011-04-08

Projected vs. Actual Turnout in Waukesha County

From Vote-Counting Error In Wisconsin Points to Incompetence, Not Conspiracy by Nate Silver

Horizontal bar chart comparing projected versus actual voter turnout in Waukesha County using three models and two actual counts with 95% confidence intervals.

Charts 2011-04-08

Projected vs. Actual Turnout in Waukesha County

From Vote-Counting Error In Wisconsin Points to Incompetence, Not Conspiracy by Nate Silver

Scatter plot comparing voter turnout in February 2011 vs April 2011 Supreme Court elections, highlighting Waukesha County original and recanvassed results against other Wisconsin counties.

Charts 2011-04-08

Turnout Comparison: February 2011 vs April 2011 Supreme Court

From Vote-Counting Error In Wisconsin Points to Incompetence, Not Conspiracy by Nate Silver

Scatter plot comparing voter turnout in November 2008 presidential election vs April 2011 Supreme Court election by county, highlighting Waukesha original and recanvassed figures.

Charts 2011-04-08

Turnout Comparison: November 2008 President vs April 2011 Supreme Court

From Vote-Counting Error In Wisconsin Points to Incompetence, Not Conspiracy by Nate Silver

Scatter plot comparing voter turnout in November 2010 Governor race vs April 2011 Supreme Court race by county, highlighting Waukesha original and recanvassed results against other Wisconsin counties.

Charts 2011-04-08

Turnout Comparison: November 2010 Governor vs April 2011 Supreme Court

From Vote-Counting Error In Wisconsin Points to Incompetence, Not Conspiracy by Nate Silver

Line chart showing Bill Clinton's Gallup approval rating from 1995 to 1996, with green shaded regions marking government shutdowns and a red trend line.

Charts 2011-04-08

Bill Clinton Gallup Approval Rating: 1995-1996

From Government Shutdowns and Approval Ratings by Nate Silver

Line chart of Bill Clinton's Gallup approval rating from 1995 to 1996, with two government shutdown periods highlighted in green showing a rise in approval.

Charts 2011-04-08

Bill Clinton Gallup Approval Rating: 1995-1996

From Government Shutdowns and Approval Ratings by Nate Silver

A number line diagram comparing three budget requests relative to FY2010: White House +$26B, Boehner/HR1 -$32B, and Tea Party -$74B.

Other 2011-04-10

Budget Requests Compared to FY2010: White House, Boehner/HR1, Tea Party

From An Imbalanced Budget Deal? by Nate Silver

Diagram showing political positions on a left-right spectrum for President Obama, Median House Member, and Average Tea Party Caucus Member with DW-Nominate scores and budget requests.

Other 2011-04-10

DW-Nominate Scores and Budget Requests: Obama vs. House Members

From An Imbalanced Budget Deal? by Nate Silver

A political spectrum diagram showing DW-Nominate scores for President Obama, the Median House Member, and the Average Tea Party Caucus Member on a left-right axis.

Other 2011-04-10

DW-Nominate Scores: Obama, Median House Member, Tea Party Caucus

From An Imbalanced Budget Deal? by Nate Silver

Diagram showing political positions on a left-right spectrum comparing President Obama and Average Tea Party Caucus Member by DW-Nominate scores and budget requests from FY2010.

Other 2011-04-10

Obama vs. Tea Party Caucus: DW-Nominate Scores and Budget Requests

From An Imbalanced Budget Deal? by Nate Silver

Table showing average Republican primary poll results comparing Nov-Dec 2010 and April 2011 for various candidates, with change column.

Tables 2011-04-13

Average of Republican Primary Polls Nov-Dec 2010 vs April 2011

From Trump’s Rise Highlights a Flawed Field by Nate Silver

Table comparing 2004 expected vs actual Senate race results for Democrats and Republicans across race categories like Solid Dem, Toss-Up, and Solid GOP.

Tables 2011-04-15

2004 Expected vs Actual Senate Results by Race Category

From Rumors of the Democrats’ Demise in the Senate are Slightly Exaggerated by Nate Silver

Table showing 2006 expected vs actual Senate race results by category, with Democrat and GOP columns for races, expected results, and actual results.

Tables 2011-04-15

2006 Senate Race Results: Expected vs Actual by Category

From Rumors of the Democrats’ Demise in the Senate are Slightly Exaggerated by Nate Silver

2008 Senate race projections table comparing expected vs actual results for Democrats and Republicans across race categories like Solid Dem, Toss-Up, and Solid GOP.

Tables 2011-04-15

2008 Senate Races: Expected vs Actual Results by Category

From Rumors of the Democrats’ Demise in the Senate are Slightly Exaggerated by Nate Silver

Table comparing 2010 expected vs actual Senate race results by category, showing Democratic and GOP seat counts across 37 races.

Tables 2011-04-15

2010 Expected vs Actual Senate Results by Race Category

From Rumors of the Democrats’ Demise in the Senate are Slightly Exaggerated by Nate Silver

Table showing 2012 expected Senate race results by category, with columns for number of races and expected Democratic and GOP seats, based on Cook Political forecasts from March 24, 2011.

Tables 2011-04-15

2012 Senate Expected Results by Race Category

From Rumors of the Democrats’ Demise in the Senate are Slightly Exaggerated by Nate Silver

Table showing performance of Early Cook Political Senate Forecasts from 2004 to 2010, broken down by classification with races won by Democrats and Republicans.

Tables 2011-04-15

Performance of Early Cook Political Senate Forecasts, 2004-2010

From Rumors of the Democrats’ Demise in the Senate are Slightly Exaggerated by Nate Silver

Line chart showing public poll trends on same-sex marriage from 1988 to 2011, with favor rising and oppose declining until lines nearly converge around 2011.

Charts 2011-04-20

Same Sex Marriage: Public Polls since 1988

From Gay Marriage Opponents Now in Minority by Nate Silver

Line chart showing the number of participants in the World Series of Poker No-Limit Hold Em Championship from 1971 to 2010, with a dramatic spike peaking at 8,773 in 2006.

Charts 2011-04-21

Number of Participants in World Series of Poker

From After ‘Black Friday,’ American Poker Faces Cloudy Future by Nate Silver

Table showing share of media coverage for Republican presidential candidates from November 2010 to April 2011, with highlighted cells for notable values.

Tables 2011-04-21

Share of Media Coverage: Republican Presidential Candidates, Nov. 2010–Apr. 2011

From Media’s Spotlight Shines Less Brightly on Palin by Nate Silver

Table showing which possible GOP candidates Americans have heard most about, broken down by Total, Republican, Democrat, and Independent, with Trump leading at 26%.

Tables 2011-04-21

Trump Stands Out in Possible GOP Field

From Media’s Spotlight Shines Less Brightly on Palin by Nate Silver

Polling data table showing Conservative, Liberal, Bloc Québécois, and New Democrat percentages from multiple pollsters in April-May 2011.

Tables 2011-05-02

2011 Canadian Election Polling by Party and Pollster

From For Canada’s New Democrats, a Cautionary Tale in Britain by Renard Sexton

Table showing Canadian political party vote share, seat share, and seat-to-vote ratios for 2004, 2006, 2008 elections and averages for Conservatives, Liberal, NDP, and Bloc Québécois.

Tables 2011-05-02

Canadian Party Vote vs. Seats Ratio 2004–2008

From For Canada’s New Democrats, a Cautionary Tale in Britain by Renard Sexton

Table showing New Democrats Scenarios with popular vote percentages, ratios, and total seats across six different polling and historical seat ratio scenarios.

Tables 2011-05-02

New Democrats Scenarios

From For Canada’s New Democrats, a Cautionary Tale in Britain by Renard Sexton

Table showing UK election results for Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats, and Scottish National Party with percent vote, percent seats, and ratio for 2010, 2005, 2001, and average.

Tables 2011-05-02

UK Election Results by Party: Vote Share, Seat Share, and Ratio

From For Canada’s New Democrats, a Cautionary Tale in Britain by Renard Sexton

Table showing 2008 Election Democratic Events from 1/1/07 to 4/30/07 with counts for Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Total for each candidate.

Tables 2011-05-04

2008 Election: Democratic Events by State (Jan–Apr 2007)

From Who Will Run for President? Early Voting States May Hold a Clue by Micah Cohen

Table showing 2008 Election Republican campaign events by candidate in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina from January 1 to April 30, 2007.

Tables 2011-05-04

2008 Election: Republican Events from 1/1/07 to 4/30/07

From Who Will Run for President? Early Voting States May Hold a Clue by Micah Cohen

Table showing 2012 Election campaign events held from 1/1/11 to 4/30/11 for Republican candidates across Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and total counts.

Tables 2011-05-04

2012 Election: Events Held from 1/1/11 to 4/30/11

From Who Will Run for President? Early Voting States May Hold a Clue by Micah Cohen

S-curve line chart showing the chance of winning a political nomination based on early polling average, rising from near 0% at 0% polling to near 100% at 60%.

Charts 2011-05-07

Chance of Winning Nomination Based on Early Polling Average

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part III by Nate Silver

S-curve chart showing chance of winning nomination based on early polling average for candidates with high vs low name recognition.

Charts 2011-05-07

Chance of Winning Nomination Based on Early Polling Average

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part III by Nate Silver

Scatter plot comparing share of vote in early primary polls to popular vote performance for all candidates, with a diagonal trend line.

Charts 2011-05-07

Comparison of Early Primary Polls to Popular Vote Performance

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part III by Nate Silver

Two tables comparing poll averages for candidates with high and low name recognition, showing nominations won, states won, and popular vote percentages.

Tables 2011-05-07

Name Recognition vs. Poll Average: Nominations, States Won, Popular Vote

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part III by Nate Silver

Table showing poll average ranges for candidates with columns for number of candidates, nomination wins, states won, and popular vote percentages.

Tables 2011-05-07

Poll Average vs. Nomination Outcomes Table

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part III by Nate Silver

Line chart with blue and red curves tracking two trends from April 2011 to November 2012, with a dotted horizontal reference line.

Charts 2011-05-10

Blue and Red Trend Lines April 2011 to Nov. 2012

From Beyond Obama’s Bin Laden Bounce by Nate Silver

Line chart showing a trend from April 2011 to November 2012, with a dotted baseline and a blue line that dips and rises over the period.

Charts 2011-05-10

Trend Line April 2011 to November 2012

From Beyond Obama’s Bin Laden Bounce by Nate Silver

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