fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 38,954 articles, datasets, podcasts, graphics and illustrations from fivethirtyeight.com

September 2011 graphics

38 matches

Line chart showing Michele Bachmann favorability trend among GOP voters from April to September 2011, with lines for Favorable, Unfavorable, and Don't Know/No Opinion.

Charts 2011-09-06

Michele Bachmann Favorability Trend (Gallup)

From Bachmann’s Steep Path to the Nomination by Nate Silver

Line chart showing polling trendlines for Bachmann, Perry, and Romney from April to September 2011, with Perry surging to above 30 by September.

Charts 2011-09-06

Perry, Romney, Bachmann Polling Trendline

From Bachmann’s Steep Path to the Nomination by Nate Silver

Table showing the largest declines in Democratic presidential vote share from 2000 to 2008 by congressional district, with columns for Gore, Kerry, Obama, and shift.

Tables 2011-09-07

Largest Declines in Democratic Presidential Vote Share, 2000-2008

From Race to Replace Weiner Down to the Wire by Nate Silver

Polling table comparing David Weprin and Bob Turner results from four pollsters in a congressional race, with dates ranging from August 1 to September 1.

Tables 2011-09-07

NY-9 Poll Results: Weprin vs. Turner

From Race to Replace Weiner Down to the Wire by Nate Silver

Table showing party registration percentages in New York 9th Congressional District from 2000 to 2011, broken down by Democratic, Republican, and Other/None.

Tables 2011-09-07

Party Registration in New York 9th Congressional District

From Race to Replace Weiner Down to the Wire by Nate Silver

Bar chart comparing head-to-head polls of Romney and Perry vs. Obama since August 1, showing results from eight polling firms with averages of -1 and -5 respectively.

Charts 2011-09-08

Head-to-Head Polls vs. Obama: Romney and Perry

From Electability a Primary Liability for Perry by Nate Silver

Horizontal bar chart comparing Republican candidates Perry, Romney, Palin, Paul, Bachmann, Gingrich, Cain, Santorum, and Huntsman on Ballot Support, Closest on Issues, and Most Electable metrics.

Charts 2011-09-08

Republican Candidate Comparison: Ballot Support, Closest on Issues, Most Electable

From Electability a Primary Liability for Perry by Nate Silver

Table showing poll results on extending unemployment benefits from multiple surveys, comparing pro-stimulus and anti-stimulus response percentages with colored bars.

Tables 2011-09-09

Extending unemployment benefits ($49 billion) - Poll Results

From ‘Jobs, Jobs, Jobs’ Versus the S-Word by Nate Silver

Table comparing poll results on infrastructure spending from GWU/Politico and NBC/WSJ surveys, showing favor vs oppose percentages for pro- and anti-stimulus options.

Tables 2011-09-09

Infrastructure Spending ($140 billion) Poll Results

From ‘Jobs, Jobs, Jobs’ Versus the S-Word by Nate Silver

Table comparing poll results on job training programs showing Pro-Stimulus 62% good idea vs Anti-Stimulus 17% bad idea from NBC/WSJ Aug 27-31 survey.

Tables 2011-09-09

Job training programs ($5 billion) poll comparison

From ‘Jobs, Jobs, Jobs’ Versus the S-Word by Nate Silver

Table comparing poll results on Jobs vs. Deficits, showing pro-stimulus and anti-stimulus option percentages from multiple polls including NYT/CBS, Quinnipiac, CBS News, and Bloomberg.

Tables 2011-09-09

Jobs vs. Deficits Poll Comparison Table

From ‘Jobs, Jobs, Jobs’ Versus the S-Word by Nate Silver

Table showing poll results on payroll tax cut stimulus options from NBC/WSJ, CNN, and ABC/Post surveys with pro- and anti-stimulus percentages.

Tables 2011-09-09

Payroll Tax Cut ($240 Billion) Poll Results

From ‘Jobs, Jobs, Jobs’ Versus the S-Word by Nate Silver

Table comparing poll results on stimulus spending vs. deficits, showing pro-stimulus and anti-stimulus option percentages from four polls.

Tables 2011-09-09

Stimulus Spending vs. Deficits

From ‘Jobs, Jobs, Jobs’ Versus the S-Word by Nate Silver

Stacked area chart showing the occupational backgrounds of U.S. House Members from 1901 to 1996 as a percentage of House Representatives.

Charts 2011-09-12

The Occupational Backgrounds of U.S. House Members, 1901-1996

From Social Status and How the Elected Vote by John Sides

Table showing Keys Favoring Incumbent Party and Incumbent Party Popular Vote Margin for US presidential elections from 1860 to 2008, with color-coded margins.

Tables 2011-09-12

Keys Favoring Incumbent Party vs. Popular Vote Margin, 1860–2008

From ‘Keys to the White House’ Historian Responds by Nate Silver

Table of recent special elections with nonpartisan polling showing district, year, average poll, result, and error for 11 races from 2004 to 2011.

Tables 2011-09-13

Recent Special Elections with Nonpartisan Polling

From Republicans Are Clear Favorites in New York and Nevada Special Elections by Nate Silver

Table showing 2011 special elections to the U.S. House with projected and actual results compared to Partisan Voting Index for four districts.

Tables 2011-09-14

Special Elections to U.S. House, 2011

From For Democrats, It’s 2010 All Over Again by Nate Silver

Scatter plot showing challenger positioning in presidential elections, plotting ideological extremism of out-party candidates against terms the party has been out of office.

Charts 2011-09-14

Figure 4-1: Challenger Positioning in Presidential Elections

From History May Point Toward More Conservative G.O.P. Nominee by John Sides

US electoral map showing 2008 presidential election results with states colored blue for Obama and red for McCain.

Maps 2011-09-16

2008 Presidential Election Results Map: Obama vs. McCain

From Pennsylvania Electoral College Plan Could Backfire on G.O.P. by Nate Silver

Table comparing votes cast in 2008, electoral votes as of 2012, and electoral votes per 1 million popular votes for red, swing, and blue states.

Tables 2011-09-16

Electoral Votes Per 1 Million Popular Votes by State Type

From Pennsylvania Electoral College Plan Could Backfire on G.O.P. by Nate Silver

US electoral map showing states colored red or blue with electoral vote counts labeled in each state

Maps 2011-09-16

US Electoral College Map by State

From Pennsylvania Electoral College Plan Could Backfire on G.O.P. by Nate Silver

US electoral map showing states colored red for Republican and blue for Democrat with electoral vote counts labeled in each state

Maps 2011-09-16

US Electoral College Map by State

From Pennsylvania Electoral College Plan Could Backfire on G.O.P. by Nate Silver

Table comparing votes cast in 2008, electoral votes as of 2012, and electoral votes per 1 million popular votes for red, swing, and blue states.

Tables 2011-09-20

Electoral Votes Per 1 Million Popular Votes by State Type

From Would Al Gore Have Won in 2000 Without the Electoral College? by Nate Silver

Table showing Obama's performance in swing states comparing 2004 and 2008 results with shift indicators for each state.

Tables 2011-09-20

Obama Performance in Swing States, 2008

From Would Al Gore Have Won in 2000 Without the Electoral College? by Nate Silver

Table comparing Perry vs. Obama matchup poll results before and after the 9/7 debate, showing pollster, release date, Perry and Obama percentages, and net difference.

Tables 2011-09-21

Perry vs. Obama Matchups

From Views of Perry Turn More Negative Since First Debate by Nate Silver

Table showing Rick Perry favorability ratings from multiple pollsters before and after the 9/7 debate, with favorable, unfavorable, and net columns.

Tables 2011-09-21

Rick Perry Favorability Ratings

From Views of Perry Turn More Negative Since First Debate by Nate Silver

Table of endorsement points for 2012 Republican presidential candidates including Romney, Perry, Pawlenty, Gingrich, Paul, Huntsman, Bachmann, Santorum, and Cain, broken down by federal and state categories.

Tables 2011-09-23

Endorsement Points Total by Candidate and Category

From Romney Leads Endorsement Race by Nate Silver

Horizontal stacked bar chart showing the percentage of false versus true statements for eight Republican politicians, with Bachmann highest in false and Huntsman highest in true.

Charts 2011-09-23

False vs. True Statements by Republican Politicians

From A Look at PolitiFact Grades of Candidates by Micah Cohen

Horizontal bar infographic showing Obama's PolitiFact truth ratings from Pants on Fire to True, with counts for each category.

Other 2011-09-23

Obama PolitiFact Truth-O-Meter Ratings

From A Look at PolitiFact Grades of Candidates by Micah Cohen

PolitiFact truth ratings table for 2012 GOP presidential candidates showing counts of Pants on Fire, False, Mostly False, Half True, Mostly True, True, and Total statements.

Tables 2011-09-23

PolitiFact Grades for 2012 G.O.P. Candidates

From A Look at PolitiFact Grades of Candidates by Micah Cohen

Stacked bar chart comparing PolitiFact truth ratings for 2012 Republican presidential candidates from Pants on Fire to True.

Charts 2011-09-23

PolitiFact Truth Ratings for 2012 Republican Candidates

From A Look at PolitiFact Grades of Candidates by Micah Cohen

Scatter plot comparing winning percentage before last 25 games vs. during last 25 games, with Red Sox best case and worst case scenarios highlighted in blue.

Charts 2011-09-27

Winning Percentage Before vs. During Last 25 Games (Red Sox Scenarios)

From September Collapse of Red Sox Could Be Worst Ever by Nate Silver

Table showing worst September swoons by contending MLB teams, with W-L records, expected vs actual performance, wins under expected, and games ahead/behind before and after.

Tables 2011-09-27

Worst September Swoons by Contending Teams

From September Collapse of Red Sox Could Be Worst Ever by Nate Silver

Table showing the worst September swoons for all MLB teams, listing W-L record, expected and actual records over last 25 games, and wins under expectations.

Tables 2011-09-27

Worst September Swoons, All Teams

From September Collapse of Red Sox Could Be Worst Ever by Nate Silver

Win probability chart for the 9/28/2011 Red Sox vs Orioles game, showing probability swings inning by inning with key play annotations.

Charts 2011-09-29

9/28/2011 - Red Sox(3) @ Orioles(4) Win Probability Chart

From Bill Buckner Strikes Again by Nate Silver

Line chart showing win probability during the 9/28/2011 Yankees vs Rays game, with key plays annotated including home runs and other events.

Charts 2011-09-29

9/28/2011 - Yankees(7) @ Rays(8) Win Probability Chart

From Bill Buckner Strikes Again by Nate Silver

Line chart showing the chance of reaching MLB playoffs for the Red Sox and Rays from April through September, sourced from CoolStandings.com

Charts 2011-09-29

Chance of Reaching MLB Playoffs: Red Sox vs. Rays

From Bill Buckner Strikes Again by Nate Silver

Table showing polls of Republican voters since 9/22 with columns for Fox News, CNN, YouGov, National Polls, Average of New Polls, and Change for each candidate.

Tables 2011-09-29

Polls of Republican Voters Since 9/22

From Perry Slumps in Polls, but Not to Romney’s Gain by Nate Silver