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May 2011 graphics

21 matches

Polling data table showing Conservative, Liberal, Bloc Québécois, and New Democrat percentages from multiple pollsters in April-May 2011.

Tables 2011-05-02

2011 Canadian Election Polling by Party and Pollster

From For Canada’s New Democrats, a Cautionary Tale in Britain by Renard Sexton

Table showing Canadian political party vote share, seat share, and seat-to-vote ratios for 2004, 2006, 2008 elections and averages for Conservatives, Liberal, NDP, and Bloc Québécois.

Tables 2011-05-02

Canadian Party Vote vs. Seats Ratio 2004–2008

From For Canada’s New Democrats, a Cautionary Tale in Britain by Renard Sexton

Table showing New Democrats Scenarios with popular vote percentages, ratios, and total seats across six different polling and historical seat ratio scenarios.

Tables 2011-05-02

New Democrats Scenarios

From For Canada’s New Democrats, a Cautionary Tale in Britain by Renard Sexton

Table showing UK election results for Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats, and Scottish National Party with percent vote, percent seats, and ratio for 2010, 2005, 2001, and average.

Tables 2011-05-02

UK Election Results by Party: Vote Share, Seat Share, and Ratio

From For Canada’s New Democrats, a Cautionary Tale in Britain by Renard Sexton

Table showing 2008 Election Democratic Events from 1/1/07 to 4/30/07 with counts for Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Total for each candidate.

Tables 2011-05-04

2008 Election: Democratic Events by State (Jan–Apr 2007)

From Who Will Run for President? Early Voting States May Hold a Clue by Micah Cohen

Table showing 2008 Election Republican campaign events by candidate in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina from January 1 to April 30, 2007.

Tables 2011-05-04

2008 Election: Republican Events from 1/1/07 to 4/30/07

From Who Will Run for President? Early Voting States May Hold a Clue by Micah Cohen

Table showing 2012 Election campaign events held from 1/1/11 to 4/30/11 for Republican candidates across Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and total counts.

Tables 2011-05-04

2012 Election: Events Held from 1/1/11 to 4/30/11

From Who Will Run for President? Early Voting States May Hold a Clue by Micah Cohen

S-curve line chart showing the chance of winning a political nomination based on early polling average, rising from near 0% at 0% polling to near 100% at 60%.

Charts 2011-05-07

Chance of Winning Nomination Based on Early Polling Average

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part III by Nate Silver

S-curve chart showing chance of winning nomination based on early polling average for candidates with high vs low name recognition.

Charts 2011-05-07

Chance of Winning Nomination Based on Early Polling Average

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part III by Nate Silver

Scatter plot comparing share of vote in early primary polls to popular vote performance for all candidates, with a diagonal trend line.

Charts 2011-05-07

Comparison of Early Primary Polls to Popular Vote Performance

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part III by Nate Silver

Two tables comparing poll averages for candidates with high and low name recognition, showing nominations won, states won, and popular vote percentages.

Tables 2011-05-07

Name Recognition vs. Poll Average: Nominations, States Won, Popular Vote

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part III by Nate Silver

Table showing poll average ranges for candidates with columns for number of candidates, nomination wins, states won, and popular vote percentages.

Tables 2011-05-07

Poll Average vs. Nomination Outcomes Table

From A Brief History of Primary Polling, Part III by Nate Silver

Line chart with blue and red curves tracking two trends from April 2011 to November 2012, with a dotted horizontal reference line.

Charts 2011-05-10

Blue and Red Trend Lines April 2011 to Nov. 2012

From Beyond Obama’s Bin Laden Bounce by Nate Silver

Line chart showing a trend from April 2011 to November 2012, with a dotted baseline and a blue line that dips and rises over the period.

Charts 2011-05-10

Trend Line April 2011 to November 2012

From Beyond Obama’s Bin Laden Bounce by Nate Silver

A line chart showing a trend from April 2011 to November 2012, with a peak early on and smaller oscillations afterward, relative to a dotted baseline.

Charts 2011-05-10

Trend Line April 2011 to November 2012

From Beyond Obama’s Bin Laden Bounce by Nate Silver

Line chart showing a spike in early April 2011 that quickly drops and remains near zero through November 2012

Charts 2011-05-10

Trend line April 2011 to November 2012

From Beyond Obama’s Bin Laden Bounce by Nate Silver

Line chart showing two trend lines (blue and red) from April 2011 to November 2012, with a dotted baseline reference line.

Charts 2011-05-10

Two trend lines April 2011 to November 2012

From Beyond Obama’s Bin Laden Bounce by Nate Silver

Pie chart showing Medicare voters candidate choice from a Siena Poll: Hochul 80%, Corwin 15%, Davis 5%, excluding undecided voters.

Charts 2011-05-23

Medicare Voters: Candidate Choice (Siena Poll)

From Special Election Warrants Caution for Forecasters — and for Republicans by Nate Silver

Pie chart showing Medicare voters party identification: Democrat 50%, G.O.P. 26%, Ind./Other 24%, based on Siena Poll of 21% of electorate.

Charts 2011-05-23

Medicare Voters: Party Identification

From Special Election Warrants Caution for Forecasters — and for Republicans by Nate Silver

Gallup poll table showing preference percentages for 2012 Republican Presidential Nomination among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, May 2011.

Tables 2011-05-26

Preference for 2012 Republican Presidential Nomination

From The Simple Case for Taking Herman Cain Seriously by Nate Silver

Gallup poll table showing preference percentages for 2012 Republican Presidential Nomination among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, May 2011.

Tables 2011-05-28

Preference for 2012 Republican Presidential Nomination

From The Not-So-Simple Case for Taking Herman Cain Seriously by Nate Silver