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March 2011 graphics

24 matches

Table showing favorability ratings for Republican candidates among all voters, averaged from polls since November 1, with Huckabee, Romney, Gingrich, and Palin listed.

Tables 2011-03-03

Favorability -- All Voters (Average of All Polls Since Nov. 1)

From Few Winning Scenarios for Gingrich by Nate Silver

Table showing favorability ratings among Republican voters for Huckabee, Palin, Romney, and Gingrich based on average of all polls since Nov. 1.

Tables 2011-03-03

Favorability -- Republican Voters

From Few Winning Scenarios for Gingrich by Nate Silver

Table showing preferences for 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee by subgroup, comparing Huckabee, Romney, Palin, and Gingrich percentages across demographics.

Tables 2011-03-03

Preferences for 2012 Republican Presidential Nominee, by Subgroup

From Few Winning Scenarios for Gingrich by Nate Silver

Line chart showing average pre-tournament power rating by seed (1-16) with geographic adjustment for NCAA Tournament 2003-2011, declining from ~95 to ~71.

Charts 2011-03-16

Average Pre-Tournament Power Rating By Seed

From When 15th Is Better Than 8th: The Math Shows the Bracket Is Backward by Nate Silver

Bar chart showing chance of advancing past the first round by seed for a team with power rating 85, holding power rating constant.

Charts 2011-03-16

Chance of Advancing Past First Round by Seed

From When 15th Is Better Than 8th: The Math Shows the Bracket Is Backward by Nate Silver

Bar chart showing chance of advancing to Elite Eight by seed for a team with Power Rating 85, holding power rating constant.

Charts 2011-03-16

Chance of Advancing To Elite Eight by Seed

From When 15th Is Better Than 8th: The Math Shows the Bracket Is Backward by Nate Silver

Bar chart showing chance of advancing to the Final Four by seed for a team with power rating 85, holding power rating constant.

Charts 2011-03-16

Chance of Advancing To Final Four by Seed

From When 15th Is Better Than 8th: The Math Shows the Bracket Is Backward by Nate Silver

Bar chart showing chance of advancing to the Final Four by seed (5-16) for a team with power rating 85, holding power rating constant

Charts 2011-03-16

Chance of Advancing To Final Four by Seed (Power Rating = 85)

From When 15th Is Better Than 8th: The Math Shows the Bracket Is Backward by Nate Silver

Bar chart showing chance of advancing to the Sweet Sixteen by seed for a team with Power Rating 85, holding power rating constant.

Charts 2011-03-16

Chance of Advancing To Sweet Sixteen

From When 15th Is Better Than 8th: The Math Shows the Bracket Is Backward by Nate Silver

Table showing chance of reaching different stages of NCAA Tournament for a team with power rating 85, by seed (rounds 1-16).

Tables 2011-03-16

Chance of Reaching Different Stages of NCAA Tournament (Power Rating 85)

From When 15th Is Better Than 8th: The Math Shows the Bracket Is Backward by Nate Silver

Bar chart showing Tournament Success Points for a team with Power Rating 85 by initial seed (1-16), with seed 1 yielding the highest points around 3.1 and seed 16 the lowest near 0.5.

Charts 2011-03-16

Tournament Success Points by Seed (Power Rating = 85)

From When 15th Is Better Than 8th: The Math Shows the Bracket Is Backward by Nate Silver

Table showing NCAA Tournament injuries and player absences with impact point spread and chances of winning with or without each player.

Tables 2011-03-17

N.C.A.A. Tournament: Injuries and Player Absences

From Measuring the Impact of N.C.A.A. Injuries by Nate Silver

Table showing Sarah Palin favorability ratings from multiple pollsters in Late 2010 and Early 2011 among all voters, with average scores.

Tables 2011-03-18

Sarah Palin Favorability – All Voters

From Palin’s Popularity Declines Among Republicans by Nate Silver

Table comparing Sarah Palin favorability ratings among Republicans from Late 2010 and Early 2011 polls by Washington Post/ABC, CNN, and Public Policy Polling.

Tables 2011-03-18

Sarah Palin Favorability – Republicans

From Palin’s Popularity Declines Among Republicans by Nate Silver

Table comparing Big East vs. out-of-conference opponents in the 2011 NCAA Tournament, showing forecast win percentage and margin against actual results and margin.

Tables 2011-03-21

Big East vs. Out-of-Conference Opponents, 2011 NCAA Tournament

From Big East’s Performance Is Upsetting, But It’s No Failure by Nate Silver

Table showing the biggest upsets of the 2011 NCAA Tournament through Round of 32, listing winners, upset victims, and likelihood percentages.

Tables 2011-03-21

Biggest Upsets of 2011 NCAA Tournament Through Round of 32

From Big East’s Performance Is Upsetting, But It’s No Failure by Nate Silver

Table showing Barack Obama approval ratings overall via Gallup Weekly Tracking and for the situation in Libya via CNN, broken down by party and ideology.

Tables 2011-03-21

Barack Obama Approval Ratings: Overall vs. Situation in Libya

From Poll Finds Tentative Support, Potential Risks for Obama on Libya by Nate Silver

Scatter plot comparing predicted vs actual number of seats controlled by majority party for US elections from 1948 to 1976, with 1948 highlighted as an outlier.

Charts 2011-03-24

Number of Seats Controlled by Majority Party: Predicted vs Actual

From Models Can Be Superficial in Politics, Too by Nate Silver

Table ranking the top 30 news outlets cited most often for original reporting in Google News and Google Blog Search from 2/20/11 to 3/22/11, showing citation counts and percentages.

Tables 2011-03-24

News Outlets Cited Most Often for Original Reporting

From A Note to Our Readers on the Times Pay Model and the Economics of Reporting by Nate Silver

Table showing long shot teams to reach NCAA Final Four with power ratings, chances of reaching Final Four, and odds against, highlighting 2011 VCU at 820:1.

Tables 2011-03-28

Long Shots to Reach NCAA Final Four

From In Tournament of Upsets, V.C.U. Has Overcome Longest Odds by Nate Silver

Table showing references to 2008 presidential candidates in traditional media and blogs, comparing Google News and Google Blog Search hits and shares from March 2007.

Tables 2011-03-29

References to 2008 Candidates in Traditional Media and in Blogs

From In Coverage of 2012 Candidates, the Blogs and the Beltway Divide by Nate Silver

Table showing references to 2008 presidential candidates in traditional media and blogs, comparing Google News and Google Blog Search hits and shares from March 2007.

Tables 2011-03-29

References to 2008 Candidates in Traditional Media and in Blogs

From In Coverage of 2012 Candidates, the Blogs and the Beltway Divide by Nate Silver

Table showing Google News and Google Blog Search hit counts and shares for 2012 presidential candidates between 2/27/11 and 3/29/11, with blog-to-news hit ratios.

Tables 2011-03-29

References to 2012 Candidates in Traditional Media and in Blogs

From In Coverage of 2012 Candidates, the Blogs and the Beltway Divide by Nate Silver

Line chart showing favorable vs unfavorable impressions of the Tea Party Movement from November 2009 to April 2011, with scatter points and trend lines.

Charts 2011-03-30

Impressions of Tea Party Movement

From Poll Shows More Americans Have Unfavorable Views of Tea Party by Nate Silver