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November 2011 graphics

30 matches

Horizontal bar chart showing conservative blog responses to Herman Cain sexual harassment allegations: 23 sympathetic, 17 mixed, 6 unsympathetic.

Charts 2011-11-01

Response to Herman Cain Sexual Harassment Allegations in Conservative Blogs

From Media Distrust May Shield Cain From the Right’s Critiques by Nate Silver

Table showing changes in Republican presidential candidates' positive intensity scores, comparing initial and current scores with differences for eight candidates.

Tables 2011-11-02

Changes in Republican Presidential Candidates' Positive Intensity Scores

From Harassment Allegations Could Cut at Core of Cain’s Appeal by Nate Silver

Scatter plot with trend line showing Herman Cain's national polling trend from October 1 to November 5, comparing polls before and since allegations arose.

Charts 2011-11-04

Herman Cain National Polling Trend

From Cain: Up, Down or Sideways? by Nate Silver

Line chart showing Newt Gingrich polling average by month from January to November, with values ranging from 5 to 13.

Charts 2011-11-09

Newt Gingrich Polling Average by Month

From Gingrich Rises in Polls But Has Major Obstacles to Nomination by Nate Silver

Scatter plot with trend line showing Herman Cain's poll numbers from all national and state polls between late September and early November.

Charts 2011-11-12

Herman Cain All National and State Polls

From The Gingrich Surge Has Come by Nate Silver

Scatter plot of Jon Huntsman's national and state poll results from late September to early November, with a red trend line hovering near 1-2 percent.

Charts 2011-11-12

Jon Huntsman – All National and State Polls

From The Gingrich Surge Has Come by Nate Silver

Scatter plot of Michele Bachmann's national and state poll results from late September to early November, with a red trend line hovering near 5%.

Charts 2011-11-12

Michele Bachmann – All National and State Polls

From The Gingrich Surge Has Come by Nate Silver

Scatter plot of Mitt Romney's national and state poll numbers from late September to early November, with a red trend curve showing a rise and fall.

Charts 2011-11-12

Mitt Romney All National and State Polls

From The Gingrich Surge Has Come by Nate Silver

Scatter plot of Newt Gingrich poll numbers from all national and state polls between late September and early November, with a red trend line showing an upward curve.

Charts 2011-11-12

Newt Gingrich All National and State Polls

From The Gingrich Surge Has Come by Nate Silver

Scatter plot of Rick Perry's national and state poll numbers from late September to early November, with a red trend line showing a decline from about 13% to 7%.

Charts 2011-11-12

Rick Perry All National and State Polls

From The Gingrich Surge Has Come by Nate Silver

Scatter plot of Rick Santorum's national and state poll results from late September to early November, showing values mostly near zero with a red trend line.

Charts 2011-11-12

Rick Santorum All National and State Polls

From The Gingrich Surge Has Come by Nate Silver

Scatter plot of Ron Paul's national and state poll results from late September to early November, with a red trend line hovering around 7-8 percent.

Charts 2011-11-12

Ron Paul All National and State Polls

From The Gingrich Surge Has Come by Nate Silver

Table showing percentage point changes in polling for Republican presidential candidates across Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Florida primaries.

Tables 2011-11-15

Republican Primary Candidate Polling Changes by State

From Romney’s Early-State Obstacle Course by Nate Silver

Ranked table of 43 economic indicators by R-squared correlation with incumbent party popular vote margin from 1948 to 2008, with bar chart column.

Tables 2011-11-18

Economic Indicators vs. Incumbent Party Vote Margin, 1948–2008

From Which Economic Indicators Best Predict Presidential Elections? by Nate Silver

Scatter plot showing the relationship between ISM manufacturing index (Jan-Sept average) and incumbent party margin of victory in presidential elections by year.

Charts 2011-11-18

ISM Manufacturing Index vs. Incumbent Party Margin of Victory

From Which Economic Indicators Best Predict Presidential Elections? by Nate Silver

Scatter plot showing incumbent party margin of victory versus annualized CPI growth in Q1-Q3 of election years, with a downward-sloping trend line.

Charts 2011-11-18

Incumbent Party Margin of Victory vs. CPI Growth in Election Years

From Which Economic Indicators Best Predict Presidential Elections? by Nate Silver

Scatter plot showing incumbent party margin of victory versus real disposable income per capita growth rate Q1-Q3 of election year, with labeled election year data points and a trend line.

Charts 2011-11-18

Incumbent Party Margin of Victory vs. Income Growth Rate

From Which Economic Indicators Best Predict Presidential Elections? by Nate Silver

Scatter plot showing the relationship between net growth in nonfarm payrolls Q1-Q3 of election year and incumbent party margin of victory for US presidential elections.

Charts 2011-11-18

Incumbent Party Margin of Victory vs. Nonfarm Payroll Growth

From Which Economic Indicators Best Predict Presidential Elections? by Nate Silver

Scatter plot showing incumbent party margin of victory versus real GDP growth rate Q1-Q3 of election year, with data points labeled by election year from 1952 to 2008.

Charts 2011-11-18

Incumbent Party Margin of Victory vs. Real GDP Growth Rate

From Which Economic Indicators Best Predict Presidential Elections? by Nate Silver

Scatter plot showing incumbent party margin of victory versus unemployment rate from January to September of election years, with labeled data points for each election year.

Charts 2011-11-18

Incumbent Party Margin of Victory vs. Unemployment Rate

From Which Economic Indicators Best Predict Presidential Elections? by Nate Silver

Horizontal bar chart showing Quinnipiac Poll results (Nov. 14-20) of Republican voters on knowledge and experience to be president, with Gingrich leading at 48%.

Charts 2011-11-23

Quinnipiac Poll (Nov. 14-20) of Republican Voters

From In the Land of the Salamanders, the Newt is King by Nate Silver

Horizontal bar chart from Quinnipiac Poll Nov 14-20 showing Republican voters' candidate preference vs. knowledge and experience ratings for 2012 GOP candidates.

Charts 2011-11-23

Quinnipiac Poll (Nov. 14-20) of Republican voters

From In the Land of the Salamanders, the Newt is King by Nate Silver

Table of Republican primary endorsement points totals for Romney, Perry, Paul, Gingrich, Santorum, Huntsman, Bachmann, and Cain broken down by federal, Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Florida categories.

Tables 2011-11-26

Endorsement Points - Total by Candidate and Region

From Romney Dominating Race for Endorsements by Nate Silver

Pie chart showing endorsement points added through September 23, with Romney leading at 44%, Perry at 30%, and smaller shares for Paul, Gingrich, Santorum, Huntsman, Bachmann, and Cain.

Charts 2011-11-26

Endorsement Points Added through Sept. 23

From Romney Dominating Race for Endorsements by Nate Silver

Pie chart showing endorsement points added from Sept. 23 to Nov. 23, with Romney dominating at 75% and smaller shares for Perry, Paul, Gingrich, Santorum, Huntsman, Bachmann, and Cain.

Charts 2011-11-26

Endorsement Points Added, Sept. 23 - Nov. 23

From Romney Dominating Race for Endorsements by Nate Silver

Pie chart showing national polling share through November 23 from RealClearPolitics average excluding undecideds, with Gingrich leading at 27%.

Charts 2011-11-26

National Polling Share Through Nov. 23

From Romney Dominating Race for Endorsements by Nate Silver

Pie chart showing share of endorsement points through Nov. 23, with Romney leading at 55%, Perry at 21%, and smaller shares for Paul, Gingrich, Santorum, Huntsman, Bachmann, and Cain.

Charts 2011-11-26

Share of Endorsement Points Through Nov. 23

From Romney Dominating Race for Endorsements by Nate Silver

Table showing Manchester Union-Leader Republican nomination endorsements with poll standings at time of endorsement and N.H. Primary results from 1979 to 2008.

Tables 2011-11-28

Manchester (N.H.) Union-Leader Recent Endorsements for Republican Nomination

From Newspaper’s Endorsement Has Been Leading Indicator in New Hampshire by Nate Silver

Stata regression output showing OLS results for nh_result on poll_average and ul_endorse, with 36 observations, R-squared 0.8699.

Charts 2011-11-28

Stata OLS Regression Output: nh_result on poll and endorsements

From Newspaper’s Endorsement Has Been Leading Indicator in New Hampshire by Nate Silver

Table showing dates and gap in weeks between New Hampshire Primary and Super Tuesday from 1984 to 2012, with red bar indicators for gap length.

Tables 2011-11-29

Time between New Hampshire Primary and Super Tuesday

From The Buyer’s Remorse Primary by Nate Silver