Andrew Gelman (85 entries)

Rich and Poor Still Vote Differently in Red and Blue States
Sports Fans as Potential Republicans?
Did Race Win the Election for Obama?
Religion, Income, and Voting
How Did the Rich (and the Poor) Vote in 2008?
Rich and Poor Voters in 2008
Millionaires for McCain, Billionaires for Obama . . . or Maybe Not
Are Republicans Healthier Than Democrats?
It’s Not About Appalachia
More on Obama’s Vote Among Nonblacks
How Did White People Vote?
Pre-election Polls and Exit Polls
A Tied Congressional Election Every 400 Years or So
Comparing Election Outcomes to Poll Aggregates, by State
What Do Americans Think About Gay Rights and Discrimination?
Red and Blue Economies?
National Elections Getting Closer; Individual Congressional Elections Getting Less Close
More on the Contradictory Torture Polling
Diseases and Calcuations of Social Network Size
The Next Supreme Court Justice
How Did White People Vote? How Did Rich and Poor People Vote?
Some Thoughts on Census Adjustment
Governors of Large States are Less Popular
Having Daughters Rather Than Sons Makes You More Liberal
Debunking the So-called Human Development Index of U.S. States
How Soldiers Really Vote
Sotomayor Scorecard on Day 1
Update on Mankiw’s Grandmother
Where Does the Hispanic Vote Really Matter?
How the Republicans Can Win It All Back
Would Mike Dukakis Have Won the 2008 Election?
Gay Marriage, State by State: A Tipping Point?
Gay Rights are Popular in Many Dimensions
Who Wants School Vouchers? Rich Whites and Poor Nonwhites
Unconvincing (to me) Use of Benford’s Law to Demonstrate Election Fraud in Iran
Is it “Schlocky” to Compare Life Expectancies Between Countries?
Statistical Tests and Election Fraud
The Limited Influence of the Median Voter
Democrats do Better Among the Most and Least Educated
Protestants, Catholics, and Jews on the Supreme Court
What Bayesian Statistics Can Do For You
2010: It’s All About the National Swing
Support for Health Care Reform: Is Public Opinion More Favorable for Obama than It Was for Clinton in 1994?
How Conservative are Michelle Malkin and Michael Moore?
My Own Pet Conspiracy Theory
Looking Forward to 2010
Who Are the Liberal Democrats and the Conservative Republicans?
Do You Favor Same-Sex Marriage? Do You Know Any Gay People?
Seniors Skeptical on Health Care Spending
Americans View News Media as Biased
Generic House Polling Suggests the Republicans Could Regain the House in 2010
Untrustworthy Polls
The Hiring Activity Index Says: Things are Getting Better for Small Businesses
Older and Wealthier People are More Likely to Oppose Government Health Care
Scozzafava is a Conservative Republican (by New York State standards)
Comparing the Votes of the Rich and the Poor
Politicians Have a Lot of Leeway in How They Vote
Why Compact, Contiguous Districts are Bad for the Democrats
Senators and Health Care
Is Gallup “upping the sample to black Americans”?
Food Stamp Stats and Confidence Building
Healthcare Spending and Life Expectancy
The Retirement Paradox: What’s Strategic for the Politician is Not So Good for the Party
Scott Brown is a Liberal Republican
Scott Brown is More Liberal Than Olympia Snowe, and Now He’s Pivotal, Too
What if Senators Represented People By Income or Race, Not By State?
Non-Strategic Retirement
House Effects, Retro-Style
Redistricting Process Perhaps Not as Boneheaded in U.K. as in U.S.
Good Timing: The Role of Quantitative Political Science and Political Reporting in Shaping Perceptions
Wrong Arguments that Sound Right
The Return of the (Really) Conservative Democrat?
Ranking States by the Liberalism/Conservatism of Their Voters
What Happens When Democrats are “Fighting Wall Street With One Hand, Unions With the Other,” While Republicans are Fighting Unions With Two Hands?
Unsurprisingly, People are More Worried About the Economy and Jobs Than About Deficits
Should the Republican Party Move to the Center on Social Issues?
Most People Like Health Care Reform, Unless They’re Over 65
Advocacy in the Form of a Poll
God, Guns, and Gaydar: The Laws of Probability Push You to Overestimate Small Groups
Whassup with Taxes?
Social Desirability and Survey Reports: Some Evidence form the Research Literature
Opinions on Gay Rights Vary a Lot by State
Political Consultants vs. Political Scientists
How the Generic Ballot is Used to Estimate Votes and then Seats in Congressional Elections
All Politics Is Local? The Debate and the Graphs