fivethirtyeightindex

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July 2022

Americans’ Views On Abortion Are Pretty Stagnant. Their Views On The Supreme Court Are Not.
How High Should You Climb Up The Tower?
Evan McMullin Is Not A Democrat. Utah Democrats Are Supporting His Senate Campaign Anyway.
The Toronto Blue Jays’ Stars Haven’t Delivered — But An Unsung Hero Is Picking Up The Slack
Outdoor Tennis Could Be Sports’ First Big Climate Change Casualty
What Do Older Progressive Voters Want?
Do You Buy That … The GOP Will Win The Senate In 2022?
Just How Sharp Was The Supreme Court’s Rightward Turn This Term?
Does DeSantis's Strength Spell Trouble For Trump?
Politics Podcast: Does DeSantis’s Strength Spell Trouble For Trump?
How The Latest Jan. 6 Hearing Testimony Will Affect Midterm Votes
The Hawks, T-Wolves And Knicks Made Moves With Clear Upsides — And Downsides
Why Democratic Appeals To The ‘Working Class’ Are Unlikely to Work
The Datasets We’re Looking At This Week
The NBA Teams That Leveled Up — And Found Bargains — In Free Agency
What It Would Mean For Elections If The Supreme Court Embraces An Extreme Legal Theory
Why Abortion Is A Civil Rights Issue for Black Voters
What Happens When Americans Don’t Trust Institutions?
Can You Crack And Pack Riddler Nation?
Maybe Dobbs Did Change The Race. We’ll Need More Time To Know For Sure.
Bradley Beal’s New Contract Leaves The Wizards Stuck In The Middle
Jan. 6’s Tangled Web Of Extremism
NBA 7-Footers Are Having A Renaissance … Or Are They?
Do You Buy That … The Fall Of Roe v. Wade Will Help Democrats In The Midterms?
The Supreme Court Episode
Politics Podcast: The Supreme Court Episode
What Will Democrats Do About The Supreme Court?
Americans’ Support For LGBTQ Rights Often Stops With Transgender Rights
How Americans Feel About Abortion And Contraception
Shohei Ohtani Found A New Way To Shine As A Two-Way All Star
How Are The Proud Boys, QAnon And The Oath Keepers Connected?
How Limiting Access To Abortion Limits Access To Birth Control
There Are Three Right Answers For The WNBA’s Rookie Of The Year
Jan. 6’s Salacious Details Are Beside The Point
The Datasets We’re Looking At This Week
The Yankees’ Newest Bullpen Star Is Grounding Opposing Hitters Into Dust
What’s Behind Biden’s Record-Low Approval Rating?
Ron DeSantis Drew Florida An Extreme Gerrymander
Will Democrats Continue To Win In Georgia In 2022?
Politics Podcast: How Democrats Flipped Georgia in 2020
Will Democrats Win In Georgia In 2022?
Biden Is Very Unpopular. It May Not Tell Us Much About The Midterms.
How Americans Feel About Space
Sandy Alcántara Is Breaking Baseball’s New Pitching Mold By Returning To An Old One
Why Democrats Spent $1 Million On An Ad For A Far-Right Candidate
How Many Ways Can You Cast A Die?
At Least 120 Republican Nominees Deny The Results Of The 2020 Election
Does NBA Summer League Help Develop Future Coaches?
Americans Aren’t Happy With Biden. Or Republicans.
Politics Podcast: Americans Aren’t Happy With Biden. Or Republicans.
Americans Are Pessimistic And It’s Changing Our Politics
What To Watch In The Maryland Primary
Why Formula One’s Fastest Team Isn’t Leading The Championship
Three-Quarters Of Baseball’s Playoff Spots Are Up For Grabs
The Abortion Vote In Kansas Looks Like It’s Going To Be Close
Want To Know Where The Supreme Court Goes Next? Look At Alito’s And Thomas’s Dissents.
The Datasets We’re Looking At This Week
How This Los Angeles Angels Season Went Straight To Hell
How The Supreme Court Undermined Biden’s Climate Change Agenda
How The NBA Is Using Summer League — And Virtual Reality — To Train Refs
Why Democrats Are Disillusioned Over Climate Change
The Jan. 6 Committee’s Closing Argument Was About Trump’s Morality
Can You Keep Your Marbles?
New Hampshire Is Tiny And Pretty Weird. That Could Help Maggie Hassan.
No President Is Safe From His Own COVID-19 Policy
How The Fight To Ban Abortion Is Rooted In The ‘Great Replacement’ Theory
The Polls And Pundits Disagree (Again)
Politics Podcast: The Polls And Pundits Disagree (Again)
What Would Losing Big In The Midterms Mean For Biden?
Maybe The Phillies Never Needed Defense After All
Why The Gap Between Biden’s Popularity and Democrats’ Polls Isn’t That Weird
Magnus Carlsen Is Giving Up The World Title. But The Carlsen Era Lives On.
How Biden Lost The Support Of Young Americans
The Orioles Are Not Just A One-Streak Wonder
Are You A Voter Of Color? We Want To Hear From You.
The Datasets We’re Looking At This Week
A Record Number Of Black Republicans Could Be Headed to Congress
The 2022 Congressional Baseball Game Is A Toss-Up
Courtney Vandersloot Is An All-Time Passer. Now She’s A Clutch Scorer, Too.
MLB’s Expanded Postseason Changed The Trade Deadline — And Maybe Not For The Better
What It Will Take For Lisa Murkowski To Win Reelection In Alaska
Can You Beat The Shell Game … Quantum-Style?
The Political Environment Might Be Improving For Democrats
The Supreme Court Isn’t As Conservative As Clarence Thomas
These 2020 Election Deniers Are Running For Office In Arizona