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Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

September 2020

Today’s Elections In Massachusetts Are Another Big Test For The Progressive Movement
John Thompson’s Unapologetic Blackness Changed College Basketball
Donovan Mitchell And Jamal Murray Are Taking Different Paths To Domination
The GOP Convention Violated Plenty Of Norms, But Did It Undermine Democratic Values?
Why The Strike Matters
More Women Than Ever Are Running For Office. But Are They Winning Their Primaries?
The Padres Are Going For It
Ed Markey Won, But It’s Still Been A Rough Year For Incumbents
WNBA Star Courtney Vandersloot Has Assisted Her Way Into The Record Books
A FiveThirtyEight Forecast Update: Was There A Convention Bounce?
Trump May Have Gotten A Convention Bounce. But It’s Very Slight And May Already Be Fading.
Americans Are Far More Likely To Support Athlete Protests Than They Once Were
Election Update: Biden Gets Good Polls In Arizona And Wisconsin — And A Bad One In Pennsylvania
If Kawhi Turns His Back To The Basket, Watch Out
Newton Can Replace Brady, But Can The Pats Replace Half Of Their Defense?
Model Talk: Trump's Electoral College Advantage
Trump’s Law And Order Message Isn’t Resonating With Most Americans
The Fifth Battle For Riddler Nation
How Trump And COVID-19 Have Reshaped The Modern Militia Movement
Smart Watches Could Do More For Wheelchair Users
Politics Podcast: If Biden Wins The Popular Vote By 2-3 Points, He Isn’t Favored To Win The Electoral College
Trump Has An Electoral College Advantage Again This Cycle
The U.S. Doesn’t Want To Join A Global Effort To Stop A Global Pandemic
The Easy Part Of The Economic Recovery Might Be Over
Giannis Is Doing More Work In Less Time
A Big Chunk Of People Of Color And White People With Degrees Are Behind Trump
Football Is Coming To Three Of The Power Five Conferences. COVID-19 Is Already There.
The Rockets’ New Starting Lineup Is Just Scratching The Surface Of Its Potential
The 2020 Electoral Map Could Get Interesting
Politics Podcast: The 2020 Electoral Map Could Get Weird
We Previewed Both Kinds Of Football For You
The Latest On Republican Efforts To Make It Harder To Vote
States That Are Not Normally Competitive Are Competitive In 2020
The Bucks Played It Safe And Made The Wrong Kind Of History
An Expensive Goalie Is Not Your Ticket To The Stanley Cup
What To Watch For In An Abnormally Normal 2020 NFL Season
Election Update: Polls Are Good For Biden Pretty Much Everywhere — Except Florida
Economists’ Best- And Worst-Case Scenarios For The Recovery Haven’t Changed Very Much
Will Liverpool Run Away With The Premier League Again, Or Can Manchester City Take The Title Back?
Why Trump Might Be Scaring Off Older Voters
Coronavirus Models Were Always About More Than Flattening The Curve
Scheme (And Sacks) Might Be All That Separate Patrick Mahomes And Deshaun Watson
We Could Have Watched Raptors-Celtics Game 6 All Day
Trump And Biden Both Got Small Convention Bounces. But Only Biden Got More Popular.
Can You Reach The Summit First?
Confidence Interval: Will Texas Go Blue In 2020?
The Nationals Are Running Out Of Time
Which Players Have A Shot At Becoming WNBA Rookie Of The Year?
How Ohio Is Preparing For A Pandemic Election
Politics Podcast: How Ohio Is Preparing For The Pandemic Election
The Challenges Of Holding An Election During A Pandemic
Why A COVID-19 Vaccine Trial Would Press Pause
What If Trump Loses And Won’t Leave?
Why Coming Up With Effective Interventions To Address COVID-19 Is So Hard
Do You Buy That … Donald Trump Is Performing Well With Hispanic Voters?
Everything Should Be On The Table For The Houston Rockets. Even James Harden’s Future.
We Knew A Football Team Would Win In Week 1. But Maybe Not ‘Football Team.’
Trump Narrows The Gap With Latino Voters
Politics Podcast: Trump Is Narrowing The Gap With Latino Voters
Why Pennsylvania Could Decide The 2020 Election
It’s Win Or Go Home This Week In The WNBA Playoffs
Why Some Latino Voters Are Backing Trump
The Miami Heat Act Like They’ve Been Here Before. They (Mostly) Haven’t.
Reading The Right Amount Into The NFL’s Week 1
Trump Has Lost His Edge In TV Advertising
A Canadian Teenager Is One Of The Fastest Soccer Players In The World
Teams Don’t Win The Stanley Cup With A Goal Deficit. Can The Dallas Stars Change That?
Election Update: Where Biden And Trump Have Gained The Most Ground
Aaron Rodgers Is Playing Like Aaron Rodgers Again
When It Comes To Playoff Disappointment, The Clippers Are In A League Of Their Own
More And More Americans Aren’t Religious. Why Are Democrats Ignoring These Voters?
Don’t Blame The Refs For All Of These Replay Reviews
Jacob DeGrom Just Keeps Throwing Faster
North Carolina Is Already Rejecting Black Voters’ Mail-In Ballots More Often Than White Voters’
Bam Adebayo Is Making Plays, Denver Is Making Us Look Bad, And The Lakers May Need To Make Some Adjustments
What’s The Chance That Trump Loses The Popular Vote But Wins The Election Again?
Democrats Are Slight Favorites To Take Back The Senate
Model Talk: Democrats Are Slightly Favored To Win The Senate
How Asian Americans Are Thinking About The 2020 Election
Can You Break A Very Expensive Centrifuge?
Why Our Forecast Says Democrats Are Slightly Favored To Win The Senate
Politics Podcast: Our 2020 Senate Forecast Is Live!
The Aces Don’t Need Threes To Win
What’s Going On With Kickers In The NFL?
What Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s Death Could Mean For 2020 And The Supreme Court
Emergency Podcast: The SCOTUS Vacancy
Politics Podcast: How A Supreme Court Vacancy Will Shape The Election
Will The Supreme Court Be The Most Important Issue For Voters In 2020?
Can We Trust A COVID-19 Vaccine That Gets Approved?
The Senate’s Rural Skew Makes It Very Hard For Democrats To Win The Supreme Court
How The Post Office Became A Political Football
Will Senate Republicans Back Trump’s Push To Fill Ginsburg’s Seat — Even If He Loses Reelection?
The Dallas Stars Are Putting Their Regular-Season Shortcomings Behind Them
The Big Injuries And Epic Comebacks From Week 2 Of The NFL Season
A Record Number Of Black Americans Could Vote Early This Year
What Comes Next In The Fight To Fill Ginsburg’s Seat
Politics Podcast: What Comes Next In The Fight To Fill Ginsburg’s Seat
There’s No Such Thing As The ‘Latino Vote’
The Potential Pitfalls In Rushing To Confirm A New Supreme Court Justice
A’ja Wilson Was Benched In College. Now She’s An MVP.
Experts Think The Economy Would Be Stronger If COVID-19 Lockdowns Had Been More Aggressive
Jamal Murray Isn’t The New Steph Curry, But He Might Be Close
Election Update: The Senate Races The Supreme Court Fight May (Or May Not) Affect
What The Supreme Court’s Unusually Big Jump To The Right Might Look Like
Why Our Model Hates The Lakers
The Partisan, Gender and Generational Differences Among Black Voters Heading Into Election Day
How To Know When You Can Trust A COVID-19 Vaccine
The Eastern Conference Finals Coaches Share The Same Strength
Think The Electoral College Is Unfair To Democrats? Try The Senate.
Trump Supporters Aren’t ‘Shy,’ But Polls Could Still Be Missing Some Of Them
Can The Miami Hurricanes Keep This Up?
Arizona Is The Democrats’ Purple Splotch In The Sunbelt
Russell Wilson Is Finally Throwing Early And Often
What State Polls Can Tell Us About The National Race
Nikola Jokić Is A Tortoise, And He’s Beating All Of The Hares
Four Senate Races To Watch As The GOP Rushes To Fill RBG’s Seat
The Miami Heat Built This Lead With A Zone And More Experience (And Tyler Herro)
Trump Refuses To Commit To A Peaceful Transfer Of Power
Politics Podcast: Trump Refuses To Commit To A Peaceful Transfer Of Power
How Far Could Trump Go To Undermine The Election Results?
Most Americans Want To Wait Until After The Election To Fill The Supreme Court Vacancy
Why Four Pivotal Swing States Likely Won’t Be Called On Election Night
Can You Save Some Cold Pizza?
Kobe Bryant Punched A Teammate Over $100, And It Wasn’t Shaq
Is Josh Allen Actually Good Now?
The Most Surprising Teams Of This Short MLB Season
How Amy Coney Barrett Could Change The Supreme Court
How COVID-19 Has Changed The College Experience
How A Conservative 6-3 Majority Would Reshape The Supreme Court
Can The Sixers Find A Way To Win It All With Embiid And Simmons?
Do You Buy That … Democrats Have An Edge With Five Weeks To Go Until The Elections?
Trump Is An Underdog, But The Electoral College’s Republican Tilt Improves His Chances
The Eagles Played To Not Lose … Or Win
What To Watch For In The Wildest MLB Playoffs Ever
The Politics Of Trump's Tax Returns
Politics Podcast: Trump’s Tax Returns Challenge His Successful Businessman Image
A Majority Of Americans Say They Want To Know What Is In Trump’s Tax Returns. Now They Do.
Who Won The Debate?
Will The First Presidential Debate Shake Up The Race?
The Tampa Bay Lightning Finally Delivered On Their Stanley Cup Potential
How Trump’s Tax Returns Could Affect The Election
MLB Starting Pitchers Will Have Less Rest This Postseason
Jasmine Thomas Sets The Pace For The Sun … And Their Opponents
What Went Down During The First Presidential Debate
What To Watch For During The First Presidential Debate
Welcome To Baseball Bracket Madness
Trump Interrupts To Point Of Chaos In First Debate
Will Such A Cacophonous Debate Change Any Minds?
Is The SEC Ready For The Air Raid? Mike Leach Sure Thinks So.
The Keys To Winning The NBA Finals For The Lakers And Heat
Politics Podcast: Trump Interrupts To Point Of Chaos In First Debate
The Debate Was One Of The Few Opportunities For Trump To Shake Up The Race. He Probably Didn’t.
Trump’s Chances Are Dwindling. That Could Make Him Dangerous.