fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

January 2020

Democratic Party Activists May Be Cooling On Warren And Warming To Biden
Significant Digits For Thursday, Jan. 2, 2020
Julián Castro Never Really Found His Base
Not All Close NFL Wins Were Actually Close
Our Guide To The NFL’s Wild-Card Weekend
Our Poll Finds A Majority Of Americans Think The Evidence Supports Trump’s Removal
Significant Digits For Friday, Jan. 3, 2020
Can You Solve The Vexing Vexillology?
The Sixers Seem Like They’re Underachieving. They’re Not.
What Decades Of Primary Polls Tell Us About The 2020 Democratic Presidential Race
Big-Dollar Party Donors Like Biden … And Warren
Significant Digits For Monday, Jan. 6, 2020
Is Joe Burrow The Most Efficient College QB Ever?
Trump’s Approach To Iran Highlights Both Parties’ Internal Divides
What To Make Of A Wild Wild-Card Weekend
How The Iran Conflict Could Affect 2020
Politics Podcast: How The Iran Conflict Could Affect The 2020 Election
Trump Is The Most Unpopular President Since Ford To Run For Reelection
Significant Digits For Tuesday, Jan. 7, 2020
Georgia’s Got A New Senator While Other Candidates Are Deciding Whether To Run
Giannis Antetokounmpo Is Creating More Than Ever
NHL Defensemen Aren’t Supposed To Score Like John Carlson
Will The Upsets Continue In The NFL Playoffs?
What Is Trump’s Strategy On Iran?
Significant Digits For Wednesday, Jan. 8, 2020
What Kind Of Trial Awaits President Trump In The Senate?
How Do You Play In Four Decades? Vince Carter Has The Formula.
Is Running The Ball Back?
Foreign Policy Doesn’t Usually Affect Elections. Could Iran Be Different?
Mike McCarthy Is Not Just Another Jason Garrett
The Primaries Project: How 1968 Changed Everything
2020 Democratic Primary: Who will win the New Hampshire primary?
Who Will Win The 2020 Democratic Primary?
How A Raucous Convention Revolutionized Our Primary System
Significant Digits For Thursday, Jan. 9, 2020
Chris Paul Found A Time Machine In Oklahoma City
How Our Primary Model Works
Our Presidential Primary System Is An Accident
What The NFL’s New Pass-Defense Metric Can — And Can’t — Tell Us
Our Guide To The NFL’s Divisional Round
Who’s In — Steyer! — And Who’s Out Of The January Debate
Americans Don’t Know What To Think About Trump’s Iran Strategy
Significant Digits For Friday, Jan. 10, 2020
What To Watch For In College Football’s National Championship
Can You Find A Number Worth Its Weight In Letters?
Biden Is The Front-Runner, But There’s No Clear Favorite
The St. Louis Blues Are Finding New Ways To Beat The Odds
Why Marianne Williamson’s Unconventional Presidential Bid Didn’t Catch On
Model Talk: The Primary Forecast Is Live
Politics Podcast: The Primary Forecast Is Live, And ‘Model Talk’ Returns
Election Update: Sanders Now Leads A Wide-Open Iowa Race
Democratic Party Leaders Are Mostly Sitting Out The Endorsement Race So Far
Should Parents Be Afraid To Let Their Kids Play Football?
Why Cory Booker’s Campaign Never Really Took Off
The NFL’s Divisional Round Gave Us A Few Near-Upsets — And One Certified Mega-Upset
What The Heck Is Going On With Tom Steyer’s Poll Numbers?
A Four-Way Pileup In Iowa
Politics Podcast: A Four-Way Pileup In Iowa
LSU Delivered A Little Piece Of History
Will The Last Debate Before Iowa Shake Up The 2020 Race?
How Much Of The Astros’ Legacy Is Now In Doubt?
Election Update: Two New Polls Show Biden’s Upside Scenario
The Rooney Rule Isn’t Working Anymore
Did The Ravens Choke, Or Are The Titans Just That Good?
What Went Down At The January Democratic Debate
Did Tuesday Night’s Democratic Debate Do Anything To Break The Logjam In Iowa?
Should The NBA Be Worried About TV Ratings? Reddit Activity Says So.
The Last Pre-Iowa Debate
Our Guide To The NFL’s Conference Championships
Politics Podcast: The Candidates Took On Electability In Their Final Pre-Iowa Debate
Here’s How We Know 2019 Was The Second-Hottest Year Ever
Newly Promoted Teams Aren’t Supposed To Be As Good As Sheffield United
The January Democratic Debate In 6 Charts
The Primaries Project: The Effects Of Reform
Do Parties Or Voters Choose Presidential Nominees?
How The Modern Primary System Has Shaped Our Politics
Election Update: Why Warren Needs To Play To Win — And That Includes Beating Sanders
Richard Sherman Is Elite, But Is He The Best Pass Defender?
What The Sanders vs. Warren Battle Is Really About
What’s Surprised Us In The NBA Season So Far
Sure, The NFL Playoffs Seem Chaotic … But They’re Actually Pretty Predictable
Trump May Be Even More Unpopular Than His Approval Rating Shows
Can You Track The Delirious Ducks?
The Iowa Caucuses Are In 17 Days. What’s Going On In The Early States?
All Eyes Are On Serena Williams In Australia
Who’s On Track To Make The Baseball Hall Of Fame?
Election Update: The First Post-Debate Polls Are In! And They’re … Pretty Weird.
How The Chiefs And Niners Became The Last NFL Teams Standing
Live From DC: America's Favorite Sandwich
Politics Podcast: The Electoral Cases For — And Against — The Four Leading Democrats
The Penguins’ Injuries Would Break Most Teams. Good Thing They’re Not Most Teams.
How Each Senator Is Likely To Weigh Removing Trump
What Will We Learn From Trump’s Impeachment Trial?
What Zion Williamson Means To The Pelicans’ Playoff Push
What Went Down At The Senate Impeachment Trial On Tuesday
Dominic Thiem Doesn’t Play As Much Anymore, And That’s A Good Thing
Dear MLB, It’s No Longer 1910
Why People Keep Asking Elizabeth Warren Whether She Can Win
Zion Williamson Is Here To Lead The NBA’s Lefty Revival
Derek Jeter’s Hall Of Fame Case Was Never In Doubt. But Larry Walker’s Was Until The Very End.
What Went Down During Rep. Adam Schiff’s Opening Arguments In The Senate Impeachment Trial
Meet The Last Unbeaten Team In College Basketball: San Diego State
How Senators Are Calculating Impeachment Politics
Politics Podcast: How Senators Are Making Their Political Calculations In The Impeachment Trial
Election Update: It’s Cherry-Picking Season
Republican Voters Increasingly Back The GOP’s Move To Block Impeachment Witnesses
The Primaries Project: There's Gotta Be A Better System...Right?
How The Democratic Candidates’ Popularity Has Changed Over A Year Of Campaigning
Election Update: What Are The Chances Of A Brokered Convention?
There Has To Be A Better Way To Pick Presidential Nominees … Right?
Naomi Osaka vs. Coco Gauff Could Be The Next Great Tennis Rivalry
What The Latest Polling On Trump’s Removal Does (And Doesn’t) Mean
Is Our Primary System Democratic?
How Many Pennies Should You Pinch?
John Isner Is Usually Cold In January And February
The NHL’s 3-On-3 All-Star Game Is A Scorer’s Delight
NFL Teams Are Hiring And Firing Coaches More Quickly. The Results Are … Not Great.
Which Democratic Candidate Had The Biggest Surge In Popularity This Year?
How Much Will The Des Moines Register’s Endorsement Help Warren In Iowa?
Election Update: Sanders Is On The Upswing
Inside The Field Offices Of The Iowa Caucuses
There Won’t Be Another Kobe Bryant
Do You Buy That … The Campaigns Are Making A Mistake By Going Negative?
The Most Balanced Team In The Super Bowl Isn’t The Favorite
Will The Bolton News Force Republicans To Call Witnesses In The Impeachment Trial?
The Sanders Surge
Politics Podcast: Bernie Sanders Is Gaining Ground One Week Before Iowa
The 2020 Endorsement Race Is Getting Interesting
Half Of Americans Think Impeachment Is A Bad Use Of Congress’s Time
Can Rafael Nadal Solve The Australian Open Again?
Why These Might Be The Most Competitive Iowa Caucuses Ever
The Senate Trial Will Likely Be The Least Important Part Of Impeachment Today
We Tried To Predict J.Lo’s First Song At The Super Bowl
Hot Takedown’s Super Bowl Breakdown
Election Update: Sanders Is Pulling Closer To Biden, But He’s Still Got A Ways To Go
A 5-Part Plan To Fix The NFL’s Coaching Diversity Problem
The Senate Trial Moves To Its Questions Phase, But The Biggest Question Is Still About Witnesses
When Women Run
Our Guide To Super Bowl LIV
The Way Most States Elect Candidates Isn’t Very Good for Women
Could Sanders Sweep Iowa And New Hampshire?
Novak Djokovic’s Second Serve Doesn’t Look Like A Second Serve
Election Update: A New Batch Of Iowa Polls Still Shows A Tight Race Between Sanders And Biden
The Iowa Caucuses Are In 4 Days. Almost Anything Could Still Happen.
More Women Are Holding Political Office — But Not Everywhere
Is Super Bowl History Repeating Itself?
The Senate Seems Headed Towards A Quick Trump Acquittal
Has The NFL’s Instant Replay Run Its Course?
Kobe Made Us Rethink The Numbers. The Numbers Made Us Rethink Him.
Bloomberg’s Super Tuesday Strategy Might Be Working
We’re Hiring 2020 Summer Interns
Stacey Abrams Thinks She'll Be President By 2040
Stacey Abrams Thinks She’ll Be President By 2040
Where Are All The Iowa Polls This Year?
Can You Roll The Perfect Bowl?
Tyreek Hill vs. Richard Sherman Is The Super Bowl Matchup To Watch
What You Should Know About Primaries And Caucuses
Why New Mexico Elects More Women Of Color Than The Rest Of The Country
John Delaney Is 2020’s Latest Also-Ran
How Much Football Is Even In A Football Broadcast?
American Tennis Players Not Named Williams Are Announcing Themselves
The Senate Votes Against Witnesses In Trump’s Impeachment Trial
Election Update: Is Klobuchar Having A Last-Minute Surge In Iowa?