fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

September 2019

Do You Buy That … Crowd Size Really Matters?
How To Handle An Outlier Poll
Significant Digits For Tuesday, Sept. 3, 2019
Which Democratic Presidential Candidate Was Mentioned Most In The News Last Week?
It Doesn’t Hurt To Hire Alumni As Head Coaches. But It Doesn’t Help, Either.
Democrats’ Most Plugged-In Voting Bloc Seems To Be Coalescing Behind Warren
NFL Spoiler Alert: The Patriots Are Still Good
And Then There Were Ten
Politics Podcast: What A 10-Person Democratic Debate Means
2019 NFL Predictions
2019 NFL Predictions — Games
2019 NFL Predictions — Quarterbacks
Can You Beat FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Forecasts?
Can You Beat FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Forecasts? — Leaderboard
Who Are The Favorites In The 2019 NFL Season?
Significant Digits For Wednesday, Sept. 4, 2019
A Virtual Iowa Caucus Would Have Been A Hacking Nightmare
Everyone Thinks Justin Verlander Belongs In The Hall Of Fame. So Why Don’t The Stats Agree?
What Happens When The FEC Can’t Do Its Job?
We Found The One Edge Your NFL Bets Might Have Over Vegas
Can Smiling Really Make You Happier?
Significant Digits For Thursday, Sept. 5, 2019
Don’t Let Crowd Sizes Mislead You
Why Warren Can’t Count On A ‘Women’s Vote’
Tennis Keeps Producing Challengers To Serena’s Throne. She Keeps Beating Them.
If Vegas Predicts Your NFL Team For Six Wins, You May Be In Luck
Being A WNBA Center Is Harder Than Ever. So Sylvia Fowles Adapted Her Game.
The Gerrymandering Fight Moves To The States
Americans’ Views Of The Economy Are Partisan, But They’re Not Immune To Bad News
Significant Digits For Friday, Sept. 6, 2019
What Are Your Chances Of Winning The U.S. Open?
Politics Podcast: The Gerrymandering Fight Moves To The States
MVPs Used To Need A Good Team Behind Them. Then Mike Trout Came Along.
Meet The NFL’s Most Expendable Quarterbacks
The Browns Have Been Better Than Average For Only 10 Weeks In The Last 20 Years
Do You Buy That … The Democratic Field Is Down To A Big Three?
Is It Really A Three-Candidate Race?
Do We Even Need Minor League Baseball?
Significant Digits For Monday, Sept. 9, 2019
Who Will Make The Fourth Democratic Debate?
Bianca Andreescu Wasn’t Afraid Of Serena Williams — Or Any Of Tennis’s Best Players
The Biggest Surprises From Week 1 Of The NFL Season
Which Democratic Presidential Candidate Was Mentioned Most In The News Last Week?
How To Own The Debate
Politics Podcast: How To Win This Week’s Debate
If You’re Polling In The Low Single Digits, You’re Probably Toast
The North Carolina 9th Is Holding A Do-Over Election. Here’s How To Watch It Like A Pro.
Significant Digits For Tuesday, Sept. 10, 2019
The Vikings Are Running Like It’s 1972
Who To Watch In The 2019 WNBA Playoffs
We’re Not Overreacting After Week 1 In The NFL
Stanford Volleyball Looks Unstoppable, But Challengers Are Lurking
Republicans Won Both Elections In North Carolina — But It’s Not All Bad News For Democrats
Buy, Sell Or Hold? A Special Democratic Debate Edition
Significant Digits For Wednesday, Sept. 11, 2019
How Much Can An NFL Fan Read Into The Ravens’ Blowout Win?
Is Dak Prescott Finally Ready To Be Consistently Great?
Who Won The Third Democratic Debate?
The World Isn’t Ready For Climate Refugees
Significant Digits For Thursday, Sept. 12, 2019
College Football’s Freshman Quarterbacks Aren’t Playing Like Freshmen
The Cardinals Spread It Out Like No Other Team. But How Much Is Too Much?
Home Runs Are Soaring. Could Declining Backspin Be A Factor?
What Went Down In The Third Democratic Debate
What Went Down In The Third Democratic Debate
What’s Going On With Trump’s Approval Rating?
Significant Digits For Friday, Sept. 13, 2019
Can You Help Dakota Jones Raid The Lost Arc?
Zack Greinke Is One Of A Kind
Politics Podcast: What Happened When The Front-Runners Were All On Stage
Formula One Has A New Top Contender
The Third Democratic Debate In 7 Charts
Do You Buy That … There Was No Clear Winner From The Third Democratic Debate?
Don’t Use General Election Polls To Try To Predict The Primaries
Significant Digits For Monday, Sept. 16, 2019
Don’t Be Surprised If The Pelicans Live Up To The Hype
The Third Debate Influenced Those Who Watched … But A Lot Of People Didn’t
What Dominated Week 2 Of The NFL Season
Biden May Not Have Won The Debate, But He Still Dominates Media Coverage
The State Of *Both* 2020 Primaries
Politics Podcast: How Both Parties’ 2020 Primaries Are Going
Why Marianne Williamson’s Brand Of Spirituality Isn’t Working
Significant Digits For Tuesday, Sept. 17, 2019
Top QB Draft Picks Don’t Usually Flunk Out Of The NFL Right Away
The Sun’s Courtney Williams Is Playing An Old-School Midrange Game — And It’s Working
Who Won The Debate Among Voters Who Prioritize Electability? Health Care? Climate Change?
The Saints And Steelers Lost Their Franchise QBs. Can They Still Make The Playoffs?
What’s Happening With QBs Right Now?
What Issues Should The 2020 Democratic Candidates Be Talking About?
The Christian Right Is Helping Drive Liberals Away From Religion
Significant Digits For Wednesday, Sept. 18, 2019
Down At Halftime In A Soccer Game? Use Your Subs.
How To Win An Election
The Oakland A’s Have Managed To Exceed Expectations … Again
Eli Manning Was An All-Time Average QB
Just How Many Swing Voters Are There?
We Ran Into Andrew Yang At The Airport
Significant Digits For Thursday, Sept. 19, 2019
Politics Podcast: We Ran Into Andrew Yang At The Airport
Here’s The Best Place To Move If You’re Worried About Climate Change
2019 College Football Predictions
There’s A Better Case For A Top 2 Than A Top 3
How We’re Predicting The 2019 College Football Playoff
Can NFL Refs Do What Analysts Never Could: Get Coaches To Pass More?
Why Americans Might Be Convinced To Support A War With Iran
Significant Digits For Friday, Sept. 20, 2019
Can You Win The Tour de FiveThirtyEight?
Why Bill de Blasio’s Campaign Failed (Hint: Nobody Liked Him)
Can Utah’s New-Look Offense Lead The Pac-12 Back To The Playoff?
What Do The Rays Have To Do To Make The Playoffs?
Why Are So Many Democrats Considering Ending The Filibuster?
Significant Digits For Monday, Sept. 23, 2019
The Latest Iowa Poll Is Good News For Elizabeth Warren And Tulsi Gabbard
The New QBs Who Surprised Us In Week 3 Of The NFL
Biden Already Dominated Cable News Coverage. Then The Ukraine Story Broke.
Should Colin Kaepernick Be On A NFL Roster?
Are Democrats Ready To Impeach Trump?
Politics Podcast: Are Democrats Ready To Impeach Trump?
Who Will Make The Fifth Democratic Debate?
Significant Digits For Tuesday, Sept. 24, 2019
The Moderate Middle Is A Myth
Joe Kennedy Isn’t Your Usual Upstart Primary Challenger
Mitch Garver Wasn’t Catching Strikes. So He Changed His Catching Stance.
There Will Now Be 12 Candidates In The October Democratic Primary Debate
In The Spread Offense Era, Can Wisconsin Rush Its Way To The Playoff?
Impeaching Trump On Russia Was Unpopular. Will Ukraine Be Different?
The NBA Missed The Point On Tampering
How The Democratic Surge Of Support For Impeachment Happened
What An Impeachment Inquiry Might Mean
Politics Podcast: Why Pelosi Announced An Impeachment Inquiry
Significant Digits For Wednesday, Sept. 25, 2019
QBs Usually Regress After Historic Seasons. Not Patrick Mahomes.
So … Are The Buffalo Bills Actually Good?
The Newly Promoted Premier League Teams Are Playing Like They Belong
How Bad Is This Ukraine Situation For Trump?
We’ve Been Fighting The Vaping Crisis Since 1937
If This Is Trump’s Best Case, The Ukraine Scandal Is Looking Really Bad For Him
Significant Digits For Thursday, Sept. 26, 2019
What Went Down In Maguire’s Whistleblower Testimony
Tracking Every Presidential Candidate’s TV Ad Buys
The Cardinals Develop Young Pitchers. The Cubs Don’t. Which Team Is Going To The Playoffs?
Which 2020 Candidates Are Running The Most TV Ads?
College Football Is The True Home Of The Play-Action Pass
The Whistleblower's Complaint
Politics Podcast: The Last 48 Hours Of Impeachment News
What The First Few Post-Ukraine Polls Say About Impeachment
Significant Digits For Friday, September 27, 2019
Which Baseball Team Will Win The Riddler Fall Classic?
The Cleveland Browns Made History — By Bungling A Fourth-And-9 Play
The Twins’ Magical Run Will Likely Go Through The Yankees. (Because Of Course.)
The MVP And Her Campaign Manager Have Fueled One Of The Best WNBA Teams Ever
Do You Buy That … Public Opinion On Impeachment Is Shifting?
Joe Biden’s Greatest Strength Is His Greatest Vulnerability
How A Big Enough News Story — Like Impeachment — Could Warp The Polls
Significant Digits For Monday, Sept. 30, 2019
Will The Blues Be Stanley Cup Champions Again?
What We Learned From Week 4 Of The NFL
The Media Mentioned Biden More Than All The 2020 Primary Candidates Combined Last Week
Impeachment Is Becoming More Popular
Politics Podcast: Impeachment Is Becoming More Popular