fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

April 2019

What More Than 40 Years Of Early Primary Polls Tell Us About 2020: Part 1
Significant Digits For Monday, April 1, 2019
Who Didn’t Expect This Final Four?
Black Voters Like Bernie Sanders Just Fine — They Just Might Like Other Candidates More
Which 2020 Democrat Got The Most Cable News Attention Last Week?
The Royals Are MLB’s Fastest Team In Years
What Will Biden Do?
FiveThirtyEight’s Politics Podcast Is Going To Texas
Politics Podcast: What Will Biden Do?
Why Trump Hasn’t Seen A Post-Mueller Boost In The Polls
Significant Digits For Tuesday, April 2, 2019
Why Identity Politics Could Be Good Politics For Democrats In 2020
Zion Williamson Packed A Lot Of Greatness Into A Short College Career
Abolishing The Electoral College Used To Be A Bipartisan Position. Not Anymore.
The Pacers Have Perfected The Art Of Winning Ugly
Let’s Overreact To MLB Opening Weekend
Political Confessional: Democracy Is Overrated. I Want An Oligarchy.
Is There Still Room In The Democratic Primary For Biden?
Significant Digits For Wednesday, April 3, 2019
Notre Dame Is Less One-Dimensional Than It Was Last Year
UConn Is Finally An Underdog In The Women’s Final Four
Our Organ Donation System Is Unfair. The Solution Might Be Too.
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — All Politics
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — All Sports
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — Club Soccer Leagues
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — Club Soccer Matches
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — College Football Playoff
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — Governors Elections
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — March Madness In Game Men
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — March Madness In Game Women
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — March Madness Men
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — March Madness Women
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — Mlb Games
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — Mlb Playoffs
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — Nba Playoffs
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — Nfl Games
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — Nfl Playoffs
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — President Election Night
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — Presidential Primaries
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — Tennis Women
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — Us House Election Night
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — Us House Elections
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — Us Senate Election Night
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — Us Senate Elections
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — World Cup Advancement Men
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — World Cup Advancement Women
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — World Cup Matches In Game Men
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — World Cup Matches Men
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts? — World Cup Matches Women
How The Giant Democratic Primary Field Messes With Polls
Significant Digits For Thursday, April 4, 2019
How Tim Ryan Could Win The 2020 Democratic Nomination
The Electoral College Episode
Can Anything Stop Cassius Winston?
Why This NBA Rookie Class May Be The Best Of The Century
Politics Podcast: The Electoral College Episode
When We Say 70 Percent, It Really Means 70 Percent
The Mueller Investigation Is Over, But Trump’s Legal Problems Are Not
What Do Americans Think About The Mueller Investigation Now That It’s Over?
What The Potential 2020 Candidates Are Doing And Saying, Vol. 13
Does Your Gift Card Still Have Free Drinks On It?
Significant Digits For Friday, April 5, 2019
Willians Astudillo Is A Baseball Enigma
A Tale Of Two Suburbs
Significant Digits For Monday, April 8, 2019
Virginia And Texas Tech Didn’t Need Flashy Recruits To Get To The Title Game
Yes, Parity Was Real This Season. But Baylor Still Dominated.
Bernie Sanders And Pete Buttigieg Had A Good Week On Cable News
Tiger Woods May Not Get A Better Shot At Another Green Jacket
Do Democrats Want An Outsider In 2020?
Politics Podcast: Do Democrats Want An Outsider In 2020?
How Eric Swalwell Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary
How Early Primary Polls Foreshadowed Surprises Like Obama’s Rise And Trump’s Win
Significant Digits For Tuesday, April 9, 2019
How Virginia Found Redemption
Is Trump About To Get Even More Conservative On Immigration?
The JR Smith Of Soccer Is Coming For Cristiano Ronaldo
If Stacey Abrams Wants To Run For President, She Probably Shouldn’t Wait Much Longer
For One Former All-Star, The Hits Stopped Coming
The Stats Aren’t Sure That Giannis Should Be MVP
How Will Democratic Voters Respond To The 2020 Field’s Historic Diversity?
Significant Digits For Wednesday, April 10, 2019
How Scared Should House Freshmen Be Of Threats To Primary Them?
Magic Johnson Was Never Cut Out To Do This
Who Are The Best WNBA Prospects From The Final Four?
Joe Biden Supporters Are Older And More Moderate — And Sticking With Him So Far
This Is Rory McIlroy’s Masters To Lose
The Lightning’s Historic Dominance Won’t Matter Without A Cup
Sanders 2020 Is Off To A Faster Start Than Sanders 2016
Significant Digits For Thursday, April 11, 2019
The Story Of The NBA Regular Season In 9 Charts
We Used Math To Cast The Original ‘Space Jam’ Monstars With Today’s NBA Talent
We Used Math To Help LeBron Cast ‘Space Jam 2’
Forget The Black Hole Picture — Check Out The Sweet Technology That Made It Possible
How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts?
The NBA Playoffs Are Here. And We Have Thoughts.
Politics Podcast: We Evaluated All Of Our Forecast Models. They’re Reliable.
What Happens If Biden Doesn’t Run — Or Flops?
What The Potential 2020 Candidates Are Doing And Saying, Vol. 14
Significant Digits For Friday, April 12, 2019
Obstruction Of Justice Could Still Threaten Trump Politically
How Many Times A Day Is A Broken Clock Right?
What’s Behind MLB’s Bizarre Spike In Contract Extensions?
Tiger Woods Completes His Staggering Career Comeback
Special Elections Foreshadowed A Blue Wave In 2018. What Are They Saying Now?
Significant Digits For Monday, April 15, 2019
Buttigieg Was The Second-Most-Mentioned Candidate On Cable Last Week. Sanders Was The First.
Our 6 Takeaways From The Opening Weekend Of The NBA Playoffs
Can Julian Castro Rally Latino Voters?
The State Of The Democratic Primary
Politics Podcast: Where The 2020 Democratic Primary Field Stands After One Quarter
What First-Quarter Fundraising Can Tell Us About 2020
Are Americans More Divided On #MeToo Issues?
Significant Digits For Tuesday, April 16, 2019
How The Warriors Blew A 31-Point Lead
Which NBA Player Literally Gives His Team The Most Value?
The Lightning Could Make History For All The Wrong Reasons
Who Might Make The Democratic Debate Stage?
Let’s Overreact To First-Round NBA Playoff Games
Why Democrats Are Falling Over Themselves To Find Small-Dollar Donors
Who Is Winning The Fundraising Primary So Far?
Significant Digits For Wednesday, April 17, 2019
Which NBA Playoff Teams Have The Most Star Power?
Even Brain Function Tests Can’t Tell Us How Old Is Too Old To Be President
Running For President Is Easier When You Have Nothing To Lose
We’re Hiring A Part-Time Copy Editor
The WNBA Won’t Be The Same This Year Without Breanna Stewart
With Manchester City Out, The New Champions League Favorite Is …
Silver Bulletpoints: We’ve Got Your Backlash To The Buttigieg Backlash
Significant Digits For Thursday, April 18, 2019
ABC News Live: Reaction To The Mueller Report
Um, The Red Sox May Actually Be In Trouble
Mueller’s Report Doesn’t Exonerate Trump. But Does That Matter?
Emergency Podcast: The Mueller Report
Is The Mueller Report A BFD?
Politics Podcast: The Fallout From The Mueller Report Has Just Begun
What The Potential 2020 Candidates Are Doing And Saying, Vol. 15
Roy Moore Leads A New Poll In Alabama, But His Advantage May Not Last
Significant Digits For Friday, April 19, 2019
What Comes After 840? The Answer May Surprise You.
Which Positions Do Teams Obsess Over (And Overlook) On Draft Day?
The Biggest Surprises From The First Week Of The NBA Playoffs
We Asked Democratic Activists Who They’re Backing — And Who They’d Hate To See Win
Significant Digits For Monday, April 22, 2019
How Seth Moulton Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary
Alabama’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
Arizona’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
California’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
Colorado’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
Florida’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
Georgia’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
Illinois’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
Indiana’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
Iowa’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Caucuses
Maine’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Caucuses
Massachusetts’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
Michigan’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
Minnesota’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
Mississippi’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
National 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary Polls
Nevada’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Caucuses
New Hampshire’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
New Jersey’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
New York’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
North Carolina’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
Ohio’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
Oklahoma’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
Oregon’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
Pennsylvania’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
South Carolina’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
Texas’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
The 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
Virginia’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
Wisconsin’s 2020 Democratic Presidential Primary
It’s Time To Talk About Russell Westbrook
How The Rays Are Surprising Baseball Again
Fox News Can’t Stop Talking About Bernie Sanders
We Have The Mueller Report. Now What?
Politics Podcast: We Have The Mueller Report. Now What?
How Major Democratic And Republican Blocs Are Responding To The Mueller Report
Significant Digits For Tuesday, April 23, 2019
How The Citizenship Question Could Break The Census
Bernie Sanders Can Win, But He Isn’t Polling Like A Favorite
We Came Up With A New Way To Determine Baseball’s Top Power-Speed Guy
Who Owns The Dinosaurs? It All Depends On Where You Find Them
The Warriors Should Be Worried About The Rockets
We Analyzed 40 Years Of Primary Polls. Even Early On, They’re Fairly Predictive.
Significant Digits For Wednesday, April 24, 2019
Damian Lillard Hit A Series-Ending Game-Winner For The Ages
The Man Who Solved ‘Jeopardy!’
It’s Early, But Colorado’s Cory Gardner Has A Tough Road To Re-Election In 2020
Apparently The Regular Season Is Irrelevant In The NHL
Democrats Think Biden Is Electable, But He’s Not Everyone’s First Choice
How Joe Biden Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary
Significant Digits For Thursday, April 25, 2019
We Looked At Almost 2,000 Mock NFL Drafts. Here’s What We Learned.
How Joe Biden Could Win
Politics Podcast: Joe Biden’s Path To The Democratic Nomination
The NFL Draft Is Looking More And More Like Signing Day
16 Candidates Now Qualify For The First Democratic Primary Debates
What The Potential 2020 Candidates Are Doing And Saying, Vol. 16
Significant Digits For Friday, April 26, 2019
Silver Bulletpoints: I’m Revising My 2020 Tiers To Better Match The Polling
How Many Earthlings Would Survive 63 Thanos Snaps?
Which Picks Did NFL Mock Drafts Get Most Wrong?
Vlad Jr. Is Here. It’s About Time.
The Big Questions Facing The Big Four In The East
Who Takes A Hit Now That Biden’s In The Race?
Political Confessional: I Think Private Schools Should Be Banned
Significant Digits For Monday, April 29, 2019
How The Celtics Contained Giannis In Game 1
P.J. Tucker Does More For The Rockets By Doing Less. A Lot Less.
Biden Was All Over Cable News Last Week — And So Was Anita Hill
Peto Buttichar 2020
Politics Podcast: Biden Is In, But Most Of The Democratic Establishment Is Still On The Sidelines
Significant Digits For Tuesday, April 30, 2019
Democrats Are Stifling Their Liberal Wing’s Biggest Ideas
Can Democrats Win On Immigration Policy In 2020?
The Battle For ‘Jeopardy!’ Supremacy
How Biden Jumped To The Front Of The Endorsement Race
Messi Is More Dominant Than Ever — And Barcelona Is More Dependent
See How Our Pitcher Ratings Have Changed Since Opening Day
Does Biden’s Polling Bounce Mean Anything?
What Were The Giants Thinking?