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Explore 38,954 articles, datasets, podcasts, graphics and illustrations from fivethirtyeight.com

October 2020 graphics

89 matches

Line chart showing Democratic (48.8%) and Republican (42.7%) polling averages with confidence intervals from April 2019 through November 2020 Election Day.

Charts 2020-10-02

Democrats vs. Republicans Polling Average, April 2019–Election Day Nov. 3, 2020

From Republicans Are Less Confident Than Democrats That The Election Will Be Conducted Fairly by Geoffrey Skelley

Line chart showing the share of Republicans, Independents, and Democrats who lack confidence in the electoral process from August to September 2020.

Charts 2020-10-02

Republicans have less confidence in the electoral process

From Republicans Are Less Confident Than Democrats That The Election Will Be Conducted Fairly by Geoffrey Skelley

Line chart showing Trump approval and disapproval ratings from January 2017 through mid-2020, with disapproval at 52.8% and approval at 43.9%.

Charts 2020-10-02

Trump Approval Ratings Over Time

From Republicans Are Less Confident Than Democrats That The Election Will Be Conducted Fairly by Geoffrey Skelley

Line chart showing Patrick Mahomes' Total QBR by game over his career including playoffs from 2017-20, with all values staying above the average performance line of 50.

Charts 2020-10-02

Mahomes has never had a bad game

From Patrick Mahomes Just Doesn’t Have Bad Games by Josh Hermsmeyer

Bar chart showing correlation between incumbent party's popular vote margin and change in unemployment rate for various jobs reports prior to elections from 1948 to 2016, highlighting that the six-months-prior report has the strongest correlation.

Charts 2020-10-02

The September jobs report isn't the most influential

From September’s Jobs Report Is A Political Rorschach Test by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Neil Paine, Julia Wolfe

Line chart showing share of Democrats and Republicans rating the economy as very or fairly good from 2016 to 2021, with Republicans at 80% and Democrats at 8% at the end.

Charts 2020-10-02

The state of the economy depends on who you ask

From September’s Jobs Report Is A Political Rorschach Test by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Neil Paine, Julia Wolfe

Line chart showing relative change in seasonally adjusted unemployment rate from January through late 2020, with two lines: one relative to January (green, still elevated) and one relative to March (purple, declining).

Charts 2020-10-02

The state of the recovery depends on your perspective

From September’s Jobs Report Is A Political Rorschach Test by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Neil Paine, Julia Wolfe

Line chart showing American approval and disapproval of Trump's handling of the coronavirus outbreak from March to October 2020, with disapproval at 56.5% and approval at 40.4%.

Charts 2020-10-02

Do Americans approve of Trump's response to the coronavirus crisis?

From How Have People Responded To Other Political Leaders Getting COVID-19? by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing approval and disapproval of Trump's handling of the coronavirus outbreak from March to October 2020, with disapproval at 56.6% and approval at 40.5% as of Oct. 4, 2020.

Charts 2020-10-05

Do Americans approve of Trump's response to the coronavirus crisis?

From How Americans Are Reacting To Trump’s COVID-19 Diagnosis by Geoffrey Skelley, Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Line chart showing standard Elo ratings for the NY Giants, Jets, and their average through the first four games of each season from 1960 to 2020.

Charts 2020-10-05

The Giants and Jets have seldom been this bad at once

From Who’s The Best Of The NFL’s Worst?

Line chart showing 2020 presidential national polling averages from March to October 5, with Biden at 50.8% and Trump at 42.7%, a +8.1 Biden lead.

Charts 2020-10-05

Who's ahead in the national polls?

From Biden Has Made Some Modest Gains After The Debate by Nate Silver

Stacked bar charts showing Black Americans' support for liberal vs conservative positions on affirmative action and the death penalty from 2008 to 2016.

Charts 2020-10-06

Affirmative action and the death penalty are polarizing issues for Black Americans

From How The Two-Party System Obscures The Complexity Of Black Americans’ Politics by Hakeem Jefferson, Alan Yan

Diverging bar chart showing Black Americans' support for liberal vs conservative positions on affirmative action and the death penalty across 2008, 2012, and 2016.

Charts 2020-10-06

Affirmative action and the death penalty are polarizing issues for Black Americans

From How The Two-Party System Obscures The Complexity Of Black Americans’ Politics by Hakeem Jefferson, Alan Yan

Stacked horizontal bar chart showing Black Americans' liberal, moderate, and conservative views on jobs guarantee, health insurance, crime spending, and welfare spending from 2008 to 2016.

Charts 2020-10-06

Black Americans have diverse views on a range of issues

From How The Two-Party System Obscures The Complexity Of Black Americans’ Politics by Hakeem Jefferson, Alan Yan

Stacked bar charts showing Black Americans' liberal, moderate, and conservative views on jobs guarantee, health insurance, crime spending, and welfare spending from 2008 to 2016.

Charts 2020-10-06

Black Americans have diverse views on a range of issues

From How The Two-Party System Obscures The Complexity Of Black Americans’ Politics by Hakeem Jefferson, Alan Yan

Line chart showing real disposable personal income in billions of chained 2012 dollars from 2008 to 2022, rising steadily then spiking sharply around 2021 before falling.

Charts 2020-10-06

Disposable income was rising — until it wasn't

From The Economy Was Trump’s One Remaining Advantage. Now He Might Have Blown It. by Nate Silver

Line chart showing approval and disapproval of Trump's coronavirus response from March to October 2020, with disapproval at 56.8% and approval at 40.3% as of Oct. 6, 2020.

Charts 2020-10-07

Do Americans approve of Trump's response to the coronavirus crisis?

From VP Debates Usually Don’t Matter. But We’re Way Past Usual.

Line chart showing Simple Rating System (SRS) ratings for Oklahoma, Texas, and the Big 12 Conference by season from 1997 to 2020, with both teams dropping sharply in 2020.

Charts 2020-10-07

Texas and Oklahoma haven't struggled this much in years

From The Big 12 Can’t Rely On Texas And Oklahoma This Year by Josh Planos

Line chart showing how an election forecast changed over time from June to November 3, with the leading candidate rising to 89 in 100 and the trailing candidate falling to 10 in 100.

Charts 2020-10-07

How the forecast has changed

From Biden Got Some Of His Best Polls This Week by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing how the election forecast for Pennsylvania changed from June to November, with the Democratic candidate at 85-in-100 and Republican at 15-in-100.

Charts 2020-10-07

How the forecast has changed in Pennsylvania

From Biden Got Some Of His Best Polls This Week by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing victims of violent crime per 100,000 people in the US from 1960 to the mid-2010s, peaking around 1991-1992 and declining thereafter.

Charts 2020-10-08

Violent crime began to rise in the '60s — and fall in the '90s

From Trump Doesn’t Know Why Crime Rises or Falls. Neither Does Biden. Or Any Other Politician. by Maggie Koerth, Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Line chart showing approval of Trump's coronavirus response by party from March to October 2020, with Republicans at 82.5%, Independents at 35.0%, and Democrats at 8.1%.

Charts 2020-10-09

Approval of Trump's response varies widely by party

From Trump’s Bout With COVID-19 Might Be Hurting His Reelection Chances by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing Democratic vs Republican polling averages from April 2019 to November 2020, with Democrats at 49.3% and Republicans at 42.8% as of Oct. 8, 2020.

Charts 2020-10-09

Democrats vs. Republicans Polling Average April 2019–Nov. 2020

From Trump’s Bout With COVID-19 Might Be Hurting His Reelection Chances by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing presidential approval and disapproval ratings over time from January 2017 through day 1358, with disapproval at 53.4% and approval at 43.2%.

Charts 2020-10-09

Presidential Approval Ratings: 53.4% Disapprove, 43.2% Approve

From Trump’s Bout With COVID-19 Might Be Hurting His Reelection Chances by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing the share of NFL regular-season fourth-down plays with 3 or fewer yards to go on which teams go for it, rising from about 28% in 2010 to nearly 47% in 2020.

Charts 2020-10-09

Teams are increasingly going for it on fourth and short

From Scoring Is Way Up In The NFL. Which Teams Does That Help? by Josh Hermsmeyer

Bubble chart showing the 20 most common high school team names linked to Native American people or culture, with Indians (411) being the largest.

Charts 2020-10-12

Native mascots in high schools

From Hundreds Of Schools Are Still Using Native Americans As Team Mascots by Hope Allchin

Bubble chart showing the 20 most common Native American-linked high school team mascot names, with bubble size representing frequency; Indians leads with 411 schools.

Charts 2020-10-12

The most common Native American mascots don't refer to a specific tribe

From Hundreds Of Schools Are Still Using Native Americans As Team Mascots by Hope Allchin

Scatter plot comparing MLB teams' 2020 batter vs pitcher salaries, highlighting the Rays as low-cost, with Dodgers, Braves, and Astros also labeled.

Charts 2020-10-13

The Rays were a lot more cost-effective than their peers

From The 2020 Rays Are Doing More With Less, Even More Than Usual by Neil Paine

Dot plot showing estimated probability of casting a conservative vote for each judge on the 7th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, with Barrett ranked among the most conservative.

Charts 2020-10-14

Barrett is one of the most conservative 7th Circuit judges

From How Conservative Is Amy Coney Barrett? by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Laura Bronner, Anna Wiederkehr

Ridge/density plot showing estimated ideological positions of 7th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals judges based on en banc case votes since 2000, with Barrett highlighted as having a wide distribution due to few cases.

Charts 2020-10-14

Barrett remains conservative in more contentious cases

From How Conservative Is Amy Coney Barrett? by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Laura Bronner, Anna Wiederkehr

Scatter plot of 2019 FBS teams by offensive and defensive win probability added, highlighting Georgia Bulldogs with low offensive WPA despite strong defensive WPA.

Charts 2020-10-14

Georgia's 2019 offense didn't keep pace with its defense

From Can The Georgia Bulldogs Finally Win The Big Game? by Jake Lourim

Line chart showing how the Georgia Special Senate race forecast changed over time from August to November, with Democratic chances rising from about 20% to 63 in 100 and Republican chances falling from about 80% to 37.

Charts 2020-10-14

How the GA Special Senate forecast has changed

From Will Georgia Turn Blue? by Nate Silver

Line chart showing how the Georgia Senate forecast changed over time from August to November, with Republican chances at 57-in-100 and Democratic at 43.

Charts 2020-10-14

How the Georgia Senate forecast has changed

From Will Georgia Turn Blue? by Nate Silver

Line chart showing polling averages for Biden and Trump in the 2020 presidential general election from March to October 2020, with Biden leading at 52.2% vs Trump at 42.0% as of Oct. 14.

Charts 2020-10-14

Who's ahead in the national polls?

From Will Georgia Turn Blue? by Nate Silver

Dual line charts showing COVID-19 reproduction rates in Florida and Illinois from March 15 to May 15, with markers for each state's primary election and stay-at-home order.

Charts 2020-10-15

Primaries had no effect on COVID-19 transmission

From Voting In The 2020 Primaries Didn’t Worsen The COVID-19 Pandemic by Eric Feltham, Nicholas A. Christakis

Line chart showing Oakland Athletics American League OBP ranking by season from 1998 to 2020, with ranking declining from near top to mostly middle or bottom tier.

Charts 2020-10-15

The A's haven't had an elite OBP in a long time

From If Billy Beane Is Done With Baseball, He’s Left An Indelible Mark by Neil Paine

Line chart showing Premier League goals per game by season from 1992 to 2020, with a sharp spike to 3.79 in the 2020-21 season.

Charts 2020-10-15

Premier League scoring is skyrocketing

From Why Has Premier League Scoring Skyrocketed? by Ryan O’Hanlon

Line chart showing chances of winning a seat over time from August to November, with blue line at 67 in 100, red line at 33, and gray line near 0 (less than 1).

Charts 2020-10-15

Chances of winning the seat

From Despite A Sexting Scandal, Democrat Cal Cunningham Is Favored In North Carolina’s Senate Race by Geoffrey Skelley

Line chart showing Democratic and Republican polling averages from April 2019 to Election Day Nov. 3, 2020, with Democrats at 48.9% and Republicans at 41.9%.

Charts 2020-10-16

Democrats vs. Republicans Polling Average April 2019–Nov. 2020

From Democrats Don’t Need To Win Georgia, Iowa, Ohio Or Texas — But They Could by Perry Bacon Jr

Line chart showing Trump approval and disapproval ratings over time from January 2017 to Day 1365, with disapproval at 54.3% and approval at 42.7%.

Charts 2020-10-16

Trump Approval Rating Over Time: 54.3% Disapprove, 42.7% Approve

From Democrats Don’t Need To Win Georgia, Iowa, Ohio Or Texas — But They Could by Perry Bacon Jr

Two Wisconsin county maps: top shows Republican vote share shift between 2012 and 2016 presidential elections; bottom shows share of non-Hispanic white population without a college degree by county.

Maps 2020-10-16

Wisconsin is getting redder, especially in white, working-class counties

From Wisconsin Was Never A Safe Blue State by Nathaniel Rakich

Dot-and-bar chart comparing Trump's polling margin among white voters in 2016 vs 2020, broken down by overall, age, gender, and education level.

Charts 2020-10-19

Trump could be losing his edge among white voters without college degrees

From Trump Is Losing Ground With White Voters But Gaining Among Black And Hispanic Americans by Geoffrey Skelley, Anna Wiederkehr

Dot-and-bar chart comparing Trump's margin among white voters in 2016 vs 2020 polling, broken down by overall, age, gender, and education level.

Charts 2020-10-19

Trump could be losing his edge among white voters without college degrees

From Trump Is Losing Ground With White Voters But Gaining Among Black And Hispanic Americans by Geoffrey Skelley, Anna Wiederkehr

Dot plot comparing Clinton-Trump 2016 gap vs Biden-Trump 2020 polling margin among Hispanic voters overall and by age, gender, and education, showing Trump gained support.

Charts 2020-10-19

Trump is doing better with Hispanic voters, especially those with college degrees

From Trump Is Losing Ground With White Voters But Gaining Among Black And Hispanic Americans by Geoffrey Skelley, Anna Wiederkehr

Dot plot comparing the gap in Hispanic voter support between Clinton and Trump in 2016 versus Biden and Trump in 2020, broken down by overall, age, gender, and education.

Charts 2020-10-19

Trump is doing better with Hispanic voters, especially those with college degrees

From Trump Is Losing Ground With White Voters But Gaining Among Black And Hispanic Americans by Geoffrey Skelley, Anna Wiederkehr

Dot plot comparing Clinton vs Trump 2016 support gap and Biden vs Trump 2020 polling margin among Black voters overall and by age, gender, and education.

Charts 2020-10-19

Young Black voters may be inching toward Trump

From Trump Is Losing Ground With White Voters But Gaining Among Black And Hispanic Americans by Geoffrey Skelley, Anna Wiederkehr

Dot plot comparing the gap in Black voter support between Clinton and Trump in 2016 versus Biden and Trump in 2020, broken down by overall, age, gender, and education.

Charts 2020-10-19

Young Black voters may be inching toward Trump

From Trump Is Losing Ground With White Voters But Gaining Among Black And Hispanic Americans by Geoffrey Skelley, Anna Wiederkehr

Line chart showing average expert estimates for U.S. unemployment rate in December 2020 across 10 survey rounds, declining from 12.8 in round 1 to 7.4 in round 10.

Charts 2020-10-19

Economists are more hopeful on unemployment

From The Economy Won’t Be Back To Normal Until 2022 Or Later, According To Our Survey Of Economists by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Line chart showing average expert estimates for quarter-over-quarter GDP growth in Q4 2020 across 10 survey rounds, with an 80% confidence interval shaded in green.

Charts 2020-10-19

The outlook on GDP hasn't shifted much

From The Economy Won’t Be Back To Normal Until 2022 Or Later, According To Our Survey Of Economists by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Stacked bar chart showing the share of white players in the WNBA, NBA, NFL, MLB, and NHL, with the NHL having the highest proportion near 95%.

Charts 2020-10-19

There's little diversity on the ice

From The NHL Says ‘Hockey Is For Everyone.’ Black Players Aren’t So Sure. by Terrence Doyle

Dot-and-line chart comparing racial and gender resentment scores among white suburban likely voters by gender and party affiliation, showing white men score higher than white women.

Charts 2020-10-20

White men score high on questions of resentment

From Why Trump Is Losing White Suburban Women by Meredith Conroy, Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Erin Cassese

Dot plot showing points per game for WNBA Most Improved Player award winners in the season before, award-winning season, and season after, highlighting Skylar Diggins-Smith, Betnijah Laney, and Natasha Howard.

Charts 2020-10-20

MIPs' scoring jumps aren't always sustainable

From Do The WNBA’s Most Improved Players Keep Up Their Success? by Jenn Hatfield

FiveThirtyEight 2020 US presidential election forecast map showing state-by-state likelihood for Trump vs Biden, with Biden at 92 in 100 chance of winning and 308.5 average electoral votes.

Maps 2020-10-21

2020 Presidential Election Forecast Map: Biden 92 in 100, Trump 8 in 100

From We’re Letting You Mess With Our Presidential Forecast, But Try Not To Make The Map Too Weird by Nate Silver

FiveThirtyEight 2020 US presidential election forecast map showing state-by-state likelihood for Trump vs Biden, with electoral vote totals and win probabilities.

Maps 2020-10-21

2020 Presidential Election Forecast Map: Trump vs Biden

From We’re Letting You Mess With Our Presidential Forecast, But Try Not To Make The Map Too Weird by Nate Silver

Line chart showing winning percentage for home favorites among all Football Bowl Subdivision teams from 2008 to 2020, with a sharp drop in 2020.

Charts 2020-10-21

Even favored teams haven't been great at home this year

From Home Teams Aren’t Winning As Much In College Football This Season. The Big Ten Should Fit Right In. by Josh Planos

Line chart comparing EPA per play for road favorites vs home favorites in FBS conference play from 2003 to 2020, showing road favorites surpassing home favorites in 2020.

Charts 2020-10-21

Road favorites are outpacing home favorites this season

From Home Teams Aren’t Winning As Much In College Football This Season. The Big Ten Should Fit Right In. by Josh Planos

Line chart showing American approval and disapproval of Trump's handling of the coronavirus crisis from March to October 2020, with disapproval at 57.6% and approval at 39.4%.

Charts 2020-10-22

Do Americans approve of Trump's response to the coronavirus crisis?

From Is Tonight’s Presidential Debate Too Late To Shake Up The Race? by Sarah Frostenson, Kaleigh Rogers, Geoffrey Skelley, Nathaniel Rakich

Slope chart showing white suburban likely voters supporting Biden and Trump by gender, with Trump at 57% among white men vs 45% women (12-point gap) and Biden at 41% men vs 54% women (13-point gap).

Charts 2020-10-22

White suburban women are moving away from Trump

From Is Tonight’s Presidential Debate Too Late To Shake Up The Race? by Sarah Frostenson, Kaleigh Rogers, Geoffrey Skelley, Nathaniel Rakich

Bar chart showing VORP of acquired vs relinquished players in Houston Rockets trades since Daryl Morey became GM in June 2007, with annotations for notable trades.

Charts 2020-10-22

The Rockets got more out of trades than they lost

From Daryl Morey Made A Lot Of Trades. How Much Did They Help The Rockets? by Jared Dubin

Line chart showing Democratic (49.4%) and Republican (42.0%) polling averages with confidence intervals from April 2019 through October 2020, with Election Day Nov. 3, 2020 marked.

Charts 2020-10-23

Democrats vs. Republicans polling average April 2019–Oct. 2020

From The Issues That Divide People Within Each Party by Perry Bacon Jr

Line chart showing Trump approval and disapproval ratings from January 2017 to October 2020, with disapproval at 53.8% and approval at 42.5%.

Charts 2020-10-23

Trump Approval Ratings Over Time (Jan 2017–Oct 2020)

From The Issues That Divide People Within Each Party by Perry Bacon Jr

Win probability chart for a Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals NFL game showing SEA at 99.9% win probability with score SEA 34 - ARI 31.

Charts 2020-10-26

Win Probability: SEA 99.9% vs ARI

From Are Bad NFL Defenses Breaking Win Probability Models?

Line chart showing Supreme Court justices and their replacements from 1953-2019 by ideological rank based on Martin-Quinn scores, highlighting that Ginsburg's replacement could be the third biggest shift on the court.

Charts 2020-10-27

Ginsburg's replacement could be the third biggest shift on the court

From The Cases Where Amy Coney Barrett’s Presence On The Supreme Court Could Make A Difference Immediately by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Line chart showing Supreme Court justices' ideological ranks from 1953 to 2019 based on Martin-Quinn scores, highlighting how Ginsburg's replacement could be the third-biggest ideological shift on the court.

Charts 2020-10-27

Ginsburg's replacement could be the third-biggest shift on the court

From The Cases Where Amy Coney Barrett’s Presence On The Supreme Court Could Make A Difference Immediately by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Bubble-style US map showing which party controls redistricting in each state under a best-case Democratic scenario, with states sized by congressional districts after 2020 census.

Charts 2020-10-27

Best-case scenario for Democrats for redistricting

From Control Of Redistricting Is Up For Grabs In 2020. Here Are The Races To Watch. by Nathaniel Rakich, Elena Mejia

Cartogram showing which party controls redistricting in each US state under the best-case scenario for Republicans, with states sized by congressional districts after the 2020 census.

Maps 2020-10-27

Best-case scenario for Republicans for redistricting

From Control Of Redistricting Is Up For Grabs In 2020. Here Are The Races To Watch. by Nathaniel Rakich, Elena Mejia

Cartogram map showing which party will control redistricting in each US state after 2020, with states sized by congressional district count and colored by party control.

Maps 2020-10-27

Redistricting control is up for grabs in 10 states

From Control Of Redistricting Is Up For Grabs In 2020. Here Are The Races To Watch. by Nathaniel Rakich, Elena Mejia

FiveThirtyEight 2020 US presidential election forecast map showing state-by-state likelihood of Trump vs Biden winning, with electoral vote totals and probability dots chart below.

Maps 2020-10-27

2020 Election Forecast Map: Trump 69-in-100, Biden 30-in-100

From Is Joe Biden Toast If He Loses Pennsylvania? by Nate Silver

FiveThirtyEight interactive US electoral map showing 2020 presidential forecast with Trump at 42-in-100 and Biden at 55-in-100 chance of winning, colored by likelihood.

Maps 2020-10-27

2020 Presidential Election Forecast Map: Trump vs. Biden

From Is Joe Biden Toast If He Loses Pennsylvania? by Nate Silver

Line chart showing off-target pass rates by game number for 2018 first-round QBs Josh Allen, Sam Darnold, Baker Mayfield, and Lamar Jackson through Week 6 of 2020.

Charts 2020-10-27

Josh Allen may be getting more accurate

From Who’s The Best Quarterback From The Much-Hyped 2018 Draft Class? by Josh Hermsmeyer

Heat map charts showing throw accuracy by target distance and pass direction for four 2018 first-round QBs (Lamar Jackson, Sam Darnold, Josh Allen, Baker Mayfield) through Week 6 of 2020.

Charts 2020-10-27

Lamar Jackson has excelled in the middle of the field

From Who’s The Best Quarterback From The Much-Hyped 2018 Draft Class? by Josh Hermsmeyer

Line chart comparing three-game rolling average QB Elo ratings relative to NFL average by career start number for Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, Sam Darnold, and Baker Mayfield through Week 6 of 2020.

Charts 2020-10-27

Lamar Jackson has seen the higher highs

From Who’s The Best Quarterback From The Much-Hyped 2018 Draft Class? by Josh Hermsmeyer

Small multiples stacked bar chart showing share of political donations from team owners in MLB, NASCAR, NBA, NFL, NHL, and WNBA going to Democrats vs Republicans in 2016, 2018, and 2020.

Charts 2020-10-28

Across leagues, majority of donations go to Republicans

From Inside The Political Donation History Of Wealthy Sports Owners

Stacked bar chart showing share of donations from sports team owners in six leagues to Democrats and Republicans for 2016, 2018, and 2020, with Republicans receiving the majority each year.

Charts 2020-10-28

Team owners give largely to the GOP

From Inside The Political Donation History Of Wealthy Sports Owners

Diverging bar chart showing Pennsylvania reported larger shares of GOP votes on election night vs. after election night in the 2020 presidential primary, by party.

Charts 2020-10-29

Pennsylvania reported larger shares of GOP votes earlier

From Why Pennsylvania’s Vote Count Could Change After Election Night by Geoffrey Skelley

Line chart showing how Biden's and Trump's Pennsylvania vote totals could shift from early returns to final returns, illustrating a potential blue shift due to mail ballot counting delays.

Charts 2020-10-29

There could be a big blue shift in Pennsylvania's vote

From Why Pennsylvania’s Vote Count Could Change After Election Night by Geoffrey Skelley

Dot plot showing ESPN Football Power Index ratings for FBS teams from 2014 to 2020, highlighting BYU and Cincinnati versus playoff teams and other teams.

Charts 2020-10-29

Cincinnati and BYU have their work cut out for them

From Is This The Year A Team From Outside The Power Five Crashes The College Football Playoff? by Jake Lourim

Line chart showing how the election forecast has changed in Florida from July to November 3, with blue line at 69 in 100 and red line at 31 in 100.

Charts 2020-10-29

How the forecast has changed in Florida

From The Battleground States Where We’ve Seen Some Movement In The Polls by Geoffrey Skelley

Line chart showing how the election forecast has changed in North Carolina from July to November 3, with blue line at 64 in 100 and red line at 36 in 100.

Charts 2020-10-29

How the forecast has changed in North Carolina

From The Battleground States Where We’ve Seen Some Movement In The Polls by Geoffrey Skelley

Line chart showing how the election forecast has changed in Ohio from July to November 3, with red line at 55 in 100 and blue line at 45 in 100.

Charts 2020-10-29

How the forecast has changed in Ohio

From The Battleground States Where We’ve Seen Some Movement In The Polls by Geoffrey Skelley

Bar chart showing the share of survey respondents by age group (18-34, 35-64, 65+) who planned to vote in the 2020 election, with older groups showing higher intent.

Charts 2020-10-30

Many young people plan to vote in 2020

From Why Younger Americans Don’t Vote More Often (*No, It’s Not Apathy) by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Jasmine Mithani, Laura Bronner

Small multiples bar chart showing types of voting barriers experienced by age groups 18-34, 35-64, and 65+, with young people consistently reporting higher rates across all categories.

Charts 2020-10-30

Young people are more likely to experience voting barriers

From Why Younger Americans Don’t Vote More Often (*No, It’s Not Apathy) by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Jasmine Mithani, Laura Bronner

Horizontal bar chart comparing Democratic and Republican voter enthusiasm for the 2020 election versus prior elections, based on Gallup polling data.

Charts 2020-10-30

Democrats have an enthusiasm edge

From Americans Say They’re Fired Up To Vote — Especially Democrats by Dhrumil Mehta

Line chart showing Democratic and Republican polling averages from April 2019 to November 2020, with Democrats at 49.8% and Republicans at 41.7%.

Charts 2020-10-30

Democrats vs. Republicans polling averages April 2019–Nov 2020

From Americans Say They’re Fired Up To Vote — Especially Democrats by Dhrumil Mehta

Line chart showing Trump approval and disapproval ratings from January 2017 to late 2020, with disapproval at 52.9% and approval at 44.0%.

Charts 2020-10-30

Trump Approval Ratings Over Time

From Americans Say They’re Fired Up To Vote — Especially Democrats by Dhrumil Mehta

Stacked horizontal bar chart comparing voter enthusiasm levels across five election years from 2004 to 2020, showing more, same, and less enthusiastic shares.

Charts 2020-10-30

Voting enthusiasm is higher than in 2016

From Americans Say They’re Fired Up To Vote — Especially Democrats by Dhrumil Mehta

Heatmap chart showing probability of Davis rebound vs probability of James steal, with an equal-chance-of-winning contour line separating Davis-favored and James-favored regions.

Charts 2020-10-30

Prob. of Davis Rebound vs. Prob. of James Steal Win Probability Heatmap

From Beware The Hot Pumpkin by Zach Wissner-Gross

Line chart showing the difference between presidential polls (Trump vs Biden) and generic congressional ballot polls from early 2020 through late 2020, with Biden preferred over congressional Democrats.

Charts 2020-10-30

Biden preferred over Democrats running for Congress

From Biden Doesn’t Have A Popularity Problem. That Might Help Him Win. by Matt Grossmann

US map titled Governors' Races showing states highlighted in varying shades of pink and dark purple, likely indicating competitive or notable gubernatorial contests.

Maps 2020-10-31

Governors' Races

From 11 States Are Choosing Their Governor On Tuesday. Here Are The Races To Watch. by Geoffrey Skelley