fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 38,954 articles, datasets, podcasts, graphics and illustrations from fivethirtyeight.com

August 2019 graphics

53 matches

Line chart comparing TV viewership in millions for night one and night two of the first and second Democratic debates, showing both debates had higher viewership on night two.

Charts 2019-08-01

Debate viewership dropped, but night two is more popular

From The Second Democratic Debate In 5 Charts by Laura Bronner, Annette Choi, Erin Doherty, Julia Wolfe

Scatter plot showing 2020 Democratic candidates' polling average vs. words spoken during the second primary debate, with Biden highest in both metrics.

Charts 2019-08-01

High-polling candidates got to talk a lot more

From The Second Democratic Debate In 5 Charts by Laura Bronner, Annette Choi, Erin Doherty, Julia Wolfe

Line chart showing Democratic (46.1%) and Republican (40.0%) polling averages from April 2019 through Election Day Nov. 3, 2020, with a reference line at Aug. 1, 2019.

Charts 2019-08-02

Democrats vs. Republicans polling average through Election Day 2020

From ‘The Squad’ Probably Doesn’t Have To Worry About Primary Challengers by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing Trump approval and disapproval ratings from January 2017 to August 2019 (Day 924), with disapproval at 52.9% and approval at 42.5%.

Charts 2019-08-02

Trump Approval Ratings Through Day 924

From ‘The Squad’ Probably Doesn’t Have To Worry About Primary Challengers by Nathaniel Rakich

Scatter plot showing MLB teams' Doyle Number vs. net WAR acquired at the trade deadline, highlighting that the Yankees missed an opportunity to improve despite a high Doyle Number.

Charts 2019-08-02

The Yankees missed an opportunity to improve

From Who Got Better At The MLB Trade Deadline?

French-labeled US map with a hand-drawn route traced from California (Start) through multiple states to Maine (Finish).

Maps 2019-08-02

Hand-Drawn US Road Trip Route from California to Maine (French Labels)

From How Many Cars Are On This Circular Train? by Oliver Roeder

Dot plot comparing share of Democrats who prioritize policy issues vs. electability by age group, using YouGov/HuffPost and Gallup data.

Charts 2019-08-05

Young Democrats value policy agreement over electability

From Democrats’ Desire For Electable Candidates May Be Driven By Older Voters by Erin Doherty

Line chart showing shares of Republicans and Democrats who think the U.S. should prioritize protecting gun rights over controlling gun ownership from 1993 to 2017.

Charts 2019-08-06

The GOP has become much more focused on gun rights

From GOP Politicians Are Much More Resistant To Gun Control Than GOP Voters Are by Perry Bacon Jr

Line chart showing implied probability of winning the Heisman Trophy based on Vegas odds for preseason favorites and eventual winners since 2012, highlighting Lamar Jackson, Johnny Manziel, Braxton Miller, and Sam Darnold.

Charts 2019-08-06

Preseason favorites rarely win the Heisman

From Want To Bet Now On The Heisman Trophy Winner? Maybe Don’t. by Jake Lourim

Line chart showing the share of US respondents who said gun laws should be more strict, less strict, or kept as they are from 1990 to 2018, with markers for Columbine, Sandy Hook, and Parkland shootings.

Charts 2019-08-07

Support for stricter gun laws has grown

From How Views On Gun Control Have Changed In The Last 30 Years by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing the share of Latinos who say their situation has gotten better, worse, or stayed the same compared to one year ago, from 2007 to 2019, with a marker for Trump's election.

Charts 2019-08-08

Latinos say their situation has grown worse

From Most Latinos Now Say It’s Gotten Worse For Them In The U.S. by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Scatter plot showing Khris Davis's hit-to-at-bat ratios and the combinations that would result in a .247 batting average, as of Aug. 6.

Charts 2019-08-08

Khris Davis's sweet spots are few and far between

From Khris Davis Isn’t Batting .247 😱 by Ari Levin

Line chart showing Democratic (46.1%) vs Republican (39.9%) polling averages from April 2019 through Election Day Nov. 3, 2020, with confidence intervals.

Charts 2019-08-09

Democrats vs. Republicans Polling Average, April 2019–Nov. 2020

From Have Pollsters Forgotten That Nevada Is An Early State? by Geoffrey Skelley

Line chart showing Trump approval and disapproval ratings from January 2017 to August 8, 2019 (Day 931), with disapproval at 53.2% and approval at 42.1%.

Charts 2019-08-09

Trump Approval Rating: 53.2% Disapprove, 42.1% Approve (Day 931)

From Have Pollsters Forgotten That Nevada Is An Early State? by Geoffrey Skelley

Stacked bar chart showing Mike Trout's batting outcomes versus MLB average as a share of all pitches for every count in the 2019 MLB season through Aug. 6

Charts 2019-08-09

Mike Trout likes to stay ahead of pitchers

From Mike Trout Will Probably Just Ignore Your First Pitch by Travis Sawchik

Line chart showing the share of Republicans and Democrats with a favorable view of the Supreme Court from 1998 to 2020, with Republicans trending higher in recent years.

Charts 2019-08-12

Democrats are less happy with the Supreme Court

From Can The Supreme Court Stay Above The Partisan Fray? by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Stacked bar chart showing weighted estimates of nonfatal gunshot injuries 2005-2015, illustrating how replacing PSU 41 with a high-gunshot hospital skewed CDC estimates upward after 2012.

Charts 2019-08-13

One hospital swap skewed the CDC's gun injury estimate

From How One Hospital Skewed The CDC’s Gun Injury Estimate by Sean Campbell, Daniel Nass

Line chart showing share of leaguewide WAR for MLB position players under 30 vs. 30 or older from 1901 to present, with younger players consistently outperforming older ones.

Charts 2019-08-13

Baseball's young hitters are burying its old ones

From Baseball’s 20-Something Sluggers Are Saving The Sport by Neil Paine

Line chart showing three-poll rolling average net favorability of the Affordable Care Act by party affiliation from 2011 to 2019, with a marker at Trump's inauguration on Jan. 20, 2017.

Charts 2019-08-14

Obamacare became more popular when Trump took office

From Obamacare’s Unpopularity Suggests Medicare For All May Be A Hard Sell by Dan Hopkins

Line chart comparing cumulative endorsements by Congress members and governors in the 2020 Democratic primary vs. the 2016 Republican primary, plotted by days until election.

Charts 2019-08-15

More Democrats have endorsed than Republicans in 2016

From Why Democrats Might Be Slow To Endorse A Candidate For President This Year by Geoffrey Skelley

Bubble chart showing Aaron Rodgers' completion percentage relative to an average NFL quarterback by area and depth of target during the 2015-18 regular season.

Charts 2019-08-15

Rodgers has struggled on intermediate throws

From Are We Sure Aaron Rodgers Is Still An Elite Quarterback? by Josh Hermsmeyer

Scatter plot showing John Hickenlooper's vote share in national polls from January to July 2019, with a dotted line marking his March 4 campaign announcement and consistently low poll numbers.

Charts 2019-08-15

Hickenlooper never had a polling bump

From John Hickenlooper’s Presidential Campaign Is Over. Can He Flip A Senate Seat Instead? by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing the share of Democrats, Republicans, and all adults who view white nationalism as a serious threat from 2017 to 2019, with annotations for Charlottesville rally and El Paso shooting.

Charts 2019-08-16

Concern over white nationalism has grown more partisan

From Americans Are More Worried About White Nationalism After El Paso by Dhrumil Mehta

Line chart showing Democratic vs Republican polling averages from April 2019 to Election Day Nov. 3, 2020, with Democrats at 46.1% and Republicans at 39.9% as of Aug. 15, 2019.

Charts 2019-08-16

Democrats 46.1% vs Republicans 39.9% — Generic Ballot Polling

From Americans Are More Worried About White Nationalism After El Paso by Dhrumil Mehta

Line chart showing Trump approval and disapproval ratings from January 2017 through mid-2019 (Day 938), with disapproval at 53.4% and approval at 42.2%.

Charts 2019-08-16

Trump Approval Rating Over Time (Day 938)

From Americans Are More Worried About White Nationalism After El Paso by Dhrumil Mehta

Line chart showing the share of Americans who cited the economy in general or the gap between rich and poor as the most important issue, from 2003 to 2020.

Charts 2019-08-16

Few Americans prioritize economic inequality

From Many Americans Think Economic Inequality Is A Problem — Just Not The Most Pressing One by Erin Doherty

Line chart showing share of total NFL receiving yards by tight ends from each starting position (Traditional, Slot, Wide, Backfield) from 2007 to 2018.

Charts 2019-08-16

Tight ends are playing less like tight ends

From Are Tight Ends As Valuable As They Used To Be? by Neil Paine

Stacked bar chart showing the number of state-level recall elections by decade from the 1910s to the 2010s, broken down by state legislator, governor, and other statewide office.

Charts 2019-08-19

Recall elections are happening more and more

From There Are 5 Governors Being Targeted For Recalls by Nathaniel Rakich

A checkmark table showing which Democratic presidential candidates support eight major foreign policy positions, including tariffs on China, meeting Kim Jong Un, and ending military involvement in Yemen.

Tables 2019-08-19

Where candidates stand on foreign policy

From Democratic Candidates Answer Yes-Or-No Questions About Foreign Policy by Perry Bacon Jr

Line chart showing the share of white evangelical Christians who say immigration should be a top priority, rising from about 49% in 2014 to 72% in 2019.

Charts 2019-08-20

Evangelicals put immigration at the top of their agenda

From Could Trump Drive Young White Evangelicals Away From The GOP? by Daniel Cox

Stacked bar chart showing share of white evangelical Christians aged 18-44 vs 45+ by how favorably they view Trump, with older evangelicals showing 55% very favorable vs 25% for younger.

Charts 2019-08-20

Trump is more popular with older white evangelicals

From Could Trump Drive Young White Evangelicals Away From The GOP? by Daniel Cox

Dot plot showing share of white evangelical Christians by age group who say immigrants strengthen or burden the country, with younger evangelicals more positive about immigration.

Charts 2019-08-20

Young evangelicals feel more positive about immigration

From Could Trump Drive Young White Evangelicals Away From The GOP? by Daniel Cox

Bar chart showing the number of MLB players per season with at least 40 home runs through 125 team games from 1910 to 2019, highlighting 2019 as a record-tying year with 4 players.

Charts 2019-08-21

MLB is chasing home run records again

From Is A 40-Homer Season A Big Deal Anymore? by Travis Sawchik

Bar chart showing the number of MLB players with at least 40 home runs in a single season by year from 1910 to 2019, highlighting the steroid era peak around 2000.

Charts 2019-08-21

Will 2019 be as homer-happy as the steroid era seasons?

From Is A 40-Homer Season A Big Deal Anymore? by Travis Sawchik

Line chart showing the difference between overall starter and relief pitcher ERA from 1970 to around 2019, illustrating that starters have erased the performance gap.

Charts 2019-08-22

Starters have erased the performance gap

From For Decades, Relievers Pitched Better Than Starters. Not Anymore. by Travis Sawchik

Line chart comparing opponent OPS for starting pitchers (by 1st, 2nd, and 3rd plate appearance) versus relief pitchers (1st appearance) from 2000 to the late 2010s.

Charts 2019-08-22

Wait on that call to the bullpen?

From For Decades, Relievers Pitched Better Than Starters. Not Anymore. by Travis Sawchik

Scatter plot showing Democratic members of Congress by their two-dimensional DW-Nominate scores, distinguishing Congressional Black Caucus members (blue) from non-members (pink).

Charts 2019-08-23

CBC members tend to be liberal

From The Narrow Path For Black Politicians Who Want To Be President — And How It’s Changing by Perry Bacon Jr

Line chart showing Democratic vs Republican polling averages from April 2019 to Election Day Nov. 3, 2020, with Democrats at 46.2% and Republicans at 39.9% as of Aug. 22, 2019.

Charts 2019-08-23

Democrats vs. Republicans Polling Average Through Election Day 2020

From Four Interesting Findings From The Recent Flurry Of 2020 Polls by Perry Bacon Jr

Line chart showing presidential approval and disapproval ratings from January 2017 through mid-2019, with disapproval at 54.0% and approval at 41.5% on Day 945.

Charts 2019-08-23

Presidential Approval Ratings Through Day 945

From Four Interesting Findings From The Recent Flurry Of 2020 Polls by Perry Bacon Jr

Line chart showing Elo ratings of Florida, Florida State, and Miami football programs plus their harmonic mean from 1978 to around 2018, illustrating a decline.

Charts 2019-08-23

Florida's Big 3 have fallen on hard times

From Florida’s College Football Powers Aren’t What They Used To Be by Josh Planos

Line chart comparing Baseball America organizational rankings for the Detroit Tigers, Chicago Cubs, and Houston Astros by year of their respective rebuilding projects.

Charts 2019-08-23

Are the Tigers falling behind pace in their rebuild?

From Remember Those 2003 Tigers? This Year’s Team Might Be Even Worse. by Neil Paine

Line chart comparing game-by-game Elo ratings for the 2019 and 2003 Detroit Tigers, both showing declining trends over 125 games.

Charts 2019-08-23

Detroit's race to the bottom

From Remember Those 2003 Tigers? This Year’s Team Might Be Even Worse. by Neil Paine

Scatter plot showing how 2020 Democratic candidates' net favorability ratings and share of Democrats with an opinion changed from May to August 2019, with arrows indicating movement.

Charts 2019-08-27

Warren's moving up, but Biden is falling

From After Two Debates, Warren Is Getting More Popular by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart comparing Jacoby Brissett's completion percentage vs. depth of target against the NFL league average for regular-season passes from 2006 to 2018.

Charts 2019-08-28

Jacoby Brissett is rarely above average

From Is There Much Hope For The Colts With Jacoby Brissett As QB? by Josh Hermsmeyer

Two-part chart showing 68.7% of Biden supporters stayed with him after the first Democratic debate, and a bar chart of where the 31.3% who left went, with Harris gaining the most at ~11%.

Charts 2019-08-29

Where did Joe Biden's voters go?

From Is The 2020 Democratic Field Down To 10 Candidates?

Bar chart showing where Kamala Harris's new post-debate supporters came from, with 66.1% being new supporters and a breakdown of which candidates they previously supported.

Charts 2019-08-29

Where did Kamala Harris's new supporters come from?

From Is The 2020 Democratic Field Down To 10 Candidates?

Scatter plot showing Kirsten Gillibrand's vote share in national polls from late 2018 through mid-2019, with a dotted line marking her Jan. 15, 2019 campaign announcement.

Charts 2019-08-29

Gillibrand couldn't get her campaign off the ground

From Why Gillibrand’s Campaign To Win Women Failed by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Line chart showing Democratic (46.4%) and Republican (39.7%) polling averages from April 2019 through Election Day Nov. 3, 2020, with a marker at Aug. 29, 2019.

Charts 2019-08-30

Democrats vs. Republicans polling average through Election Day 2020

From What If The Third Debate Were Based On Different Polls? by Geoffrey Skelley

Line chart showing Trump approval and disapproval ratings from January 2017 through Day 952, with disapproval at 54.2% and approval at 41.3%.

Charts 2019-08-30

Trump Approval Rating Over Time (Day 952)

From What If The Third Debate Were Based On Different Polls? by Geoffrey Skelley

Line chart showing expected profit versus number of fake notes in a deposit, peaking at $1256 maximum profit with 55 fake and 25 real notes, then declining into losses.

Charts 2019-08-30

Expected profit for a given number of fake notes

From A Peaceful (But Not Peaceful) Transition Of Power In Riddler Nation by Oliver Roeder

Line chart showing pizza sauce relative flow rate percentage versus number of rotations, displaying a nearly linear increase from 0 to 100% over 23.5 rotations.

Charts 2019-08-30

Pizza sauce flow rate

From A Peaceful (But Not Peaceful) Transition Of Power In Riddler Nation by Oliver Roeder

Line chart showing the number of NFL teams with the most preseason snaps by No. 1 quarterbacks versus last-on-depth-chart quarterbacks from 2012 to 2019.

Charts 2019-08-30

QBs at the bottom of the depth chart are playing more

From It’s Time To Stop Pretending That The NFL Preseason Isn’t Pointless by Ty Schalter

Line chart showing the declining preseason pass attempt share for NFL starting quarterbacks leaguewide from 2012 to around 2019, dropping from about 32% to 12%.

Charts 2019-08-30

Starting quarterbacks are throwing less in the preseason

From It’s Time To Stop Pretending That The NFL Preseason Isn’t Pointless by Ty Schalter