fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 38,954 articles, datasets, podcasts, graphics and illustrations from fivethirtyeight.com

March 2019 graphics

73 matches

Line chart showing WAR by age for MLB position players with exactly one elite season before age 26, highlighting Bryce Harper, Hank Aaron, César Cedeño, and Ken Griffey Jr.

Charts 2019-03-01

Bryce Harper's career has been a bumpy ride

From Bryce Harper May Already Be Past His Prime by Travis Sawchik

Line chart showing the share of Americans who view China, Iran, North Korea, and Russia as the U.S.'s greatest enemy from 2001 to 2019, with North Korea peaking around 2018.

Charts 2019-03-01

Americans are less worried about North Korea this year

From America Had Warmed To Trump’s North Korea Strategy Before The Vietnam Summit by Dhrumil Mehta

Scatter plot with smoothed trend lines showing share of Americans who approve, disapprove, or have other opinions on Trump's handling of North Korea relations from 2017 to 2019.

Charts 2019-03-01

Americans seem to prefer summits to 'fire and fury'

From America Had Warmed To Trump’s North Korea Strategy Before The Vietnam Summit by Dhrumil Mehta

Line chart showing presidential approval and disapproval ratings from January 2023 through Day 770, with disapproval at 53.3% and approval at 42.3%.

Charts 2019-03-01

Presidential Approval Ratings Over Time (Day 770)

From America Had Warmed To Trump’s North Korea Strategy Before The Vietnam Summit by Dhrumil Mehta

Line chart showing the share of Democrats, Republicans, Independents, and overall respondents who worry about climate change in 1990 vs 2018, illustrating a partisan split.

Charts 2019-03-01

Democrats and Republicans have split on climate change

From How Jay Inslee Could Win The 2020 Democratic Nomination by Christie Aschwanden, Geoffrey Skelley

Diamond-shaped scatter plot showing OnTheIssues political scores for Jay Inslee, Elizabeth Warren, and Hillary Clinton on social and economic axes, placing Inslee in the Left Liberal quadrant.

Charts 2019-03-01

Jay Inslee is a liberal — OnTheIssues scores for Jay Inslee

From How Jay Inslee Could Win The 2020 Democratic Nomination by Christie Aschwanden, Geoffrey Skelley

Scatter plot showing Men's NCAA basketball players with high usage rates and minutes share from 2008-19, with Clemons highlighted as an outlier.

Charts 2019-03-01

The hardest working players out there

From Meet The NCAA’s 5-Foot-9 Scoring Machine by Josh Planos

Line chart showing an NBA team's probability of making the playoffs and winning the finals over the season from November through July, with today and playoffs markers.

Charts 2019-03-02

Make Playoffs vs. Win Finals Probability Over Season

From LeBron And The Lakers Have Hit A Low Point by Chris Herring

Radar chart showing how much John Hickenlooper is likely to appeal to five Democratic base groups: Black voters, Millennials, The Left, Party Loyalists, and Hispanic/Asian voters.

Charts 2019-03-04

How much John Hickenlooper is likely to appeal to 5 groups in the Democratic base

From How John Hickenlooper Could Win The 2020 Democratic Nomination by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing polling support for 2020 Democratic primary candidates before and after their campaign announcement week, based on Morning Consult weekly polls.

Charts 2019-03-05

Candidates typically get a boost from their kickoffs

From Which 2020 Candidate Got The Biggest Polling Bump Out Of Their Kickoff? by Nathaniel Rakich

FiveThirtyEight chart showing when states joined the National Popular Vote interstate compact and their Electoral College votes, with a cartogram map of all states sized by electoral votes.

Charts 2019-03-05

It takes a long time to change how we elect the president

From The Movement To Skip The Electoral College Is About To Pass A Major Milestone by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing Simple Rating System season ratings for NY Islanders, NY Rangers, and NJ Devils from 1982 to 2019, with Stanley Cup wins marked by stars.

Charts 2019-03-05

The Islanders are taking the lead in NYC

From The Islanders Shouldn’t Be This Good by Terrence Doyle

Google Trends screenshot showing search interest over time from Sep 2018 to Mar 2019 for five 2020 Democratic presidential candidates: Beto O'Rourke, Bernie Sanders, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, and Cory Booker.

Charts 2019-03-06

Google Trends: 2020 Democratic Candidates Search Interest Sep 2018–Mar 2019

From Is Beto O’Rourke Overrated Or Underrated? by Nate Silver

Area chart showing the modeled value on a 100-point scale of each tournament seed in the women's NCAA tournament, based on expected wins per seed, declining steeply from seed 1 to seed 16.

Charts 2019-03-06

How much is that seed worth?

From The Rise And Fall of Women’s College Basketball Dynasties by Neil Paine

Four area charts showing seed points by year from 1982 to 2018 for Louisiana Tech, Long Beach State, Southern California, and Old Dominion women's basketball programs, illustrating their decline.

Charts 2019-03-06

The fall of yesterday's women's basketball powerhouses

From The Rise And Fall of Women’s College Basketball Dynasties by Neil Paine

Four area charts showing seed points by year from 1982 to 2018 for UConn, Notre Dame, Baylor, and Duke women's college basketball programs.

Charts 2019-03-06

The rise of today's women's basketball powerhouses

From The Rise And Fall of Women’s College Basketball Dynasties by Neil Paine

UEFA Champions League 2018-19 season probability table showing team ratings and round-by-round chances for 12 clubs, updated March 6, 2019.

Tables 2019-03-06

UEFA Champions League 2018-19 Round-by-Round Probabilities

From PSG’s Collapse Completes A Week Of Champions League Mayhem by Chadwick Matlin, Tony Chow

Scatter plot showing adjusted field-goal percentage vs. points per possession for NCAA Division I player-seasons since 2005-06, with Tacko Fall highlighted as an outlier.

Charts 2019-03-07

Tacko Fall is on his own

From Tacko Fall Is 7-Foot-6. And He’s Breaking Basketball. by Josh Planos

Choropleth map of the US showing the percentage of 1,357 self-identified Midwesterners who consider each state part of the Midwest, with Illinois at 81% and Wyoming at 10%.

Maps 2019-03-08

'Which States Do You Consider Part of the Midwest?'

From Why Aren’t Sherrod Brown And Michael Bloomberg Running For President? And What Does It Mean?

Icon-driven infographic grouping potential 2020 presidential candidates by likelihood of running: Likely to Run (3), Might Run (8), and Unlikely to Run (3).

Other 2019-03-08

2020 Presidential Candidates Likelihood to Run

From Why Aren’t Sherrod Brown And Michael Bloomberg Running For President? And What Does It Mean?

Grid of 12 potential 2020 Democratic presidential candidates who are not running, shown as portrait photos with names, including one who dropped out.

Other 2019-03-08

Not Running – 2020 Democratic Presidential Candidates (12)

From Why Aren’t Sherrod Brown And Michael Bloomberg Running For President? And What Does It Mean?

Horizontal bar chart showing favorable, unfavorable, and no opinion ratings for seven potential 2020 Democratic presidential candidates among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents.

Charts 2019-03-08

Ratings of Potential 2020 Democratic Presidential Candidates Among Democrats and Democratic-Leaning Independents

From Why Aren’t Sherrod Brown And Michael Bloomberg Running For President? And What Does It Mean?

Line chart showing two approval rating trends (orange at 53% and green at 41%) with scattered poll dots from January 2023 to January 2025, marked at Day 777.

Charts 2019-03-08

Approval Rating Trends Over Time (Day 777)

From Democrats Care More About Winning Than Usual by Nathaniel Rakich, Dhrumil Mehta

Dot plot showing established WAR levels for 2019 Baltimore Orioles Opening Day lineup by position compared to all American League teams in the designated hitter era.

Charts 2019-03-12

The Orioles look real bad on paper

From The 2019 Orioles Are One Of The Most Anonymous Teams In MLB History by Neil Paine

S-curve chart showing chance of winning nomination based on early polling average for candidates with high vs low name recognition.

Charts 2019-03-13

Chance of Winning Nomination Based on Early Polling Average

From Joe Biden’s And Bernie Sanders’s Support Isn’t Just About Name Recognition by Nate Silver

Bar and step-line chart comparing Le'Veon Bell's yards per carry versus the NFL average by career touch number, averaged in 300-touch buckets, from FiveThirtyEight.

Charts 2019-03-13

Le'Veon hasn't run off a cliff yet

From The Jets’ Deal For Le’Veon Bell Makes Sense. We’re Surprised, Too. by Michael Salfino, Neil Paine

Table showing UEFA Champions League team ratings and round-by-round probabilities for eight clubs including Man City, Liverpool, Barcelona, Juventus, Ajax, Tottenham, Man United, and Porto.

Tables 2019-03-14

Champions League Team Ratings and Round-by-Round Probabilities

From Can England Win The Champions League? by Terrence Doyle

Line chart showing the percentage of Jewish registered voters affiliated with the Democratic and Republican parties from 1995 to around 2018, with Democrats consistently around 65-75% and Republicans around 20-30%.

Charts 2019-03-14

Partisanship has been very stable among Jewish voters

From Why Some Democrats And Virtually All Republicans Want To Talk About Israel by Perry Bacon Jr

Bubble map of Texas counties showing increase in voters between 2014 and 2018 midterms, with largest bubbles near Dallas, Houston, Austin, and San Antonio.

Maps 2019-03-14

The 2018 Midterms Drew A Lot More Voters

From How Beto O’Rourke Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary by Clare Malone

Four small line charts showing trends in Dean Oliver's Four Factors (Free-Throw %, Turnover %, Offensive Rebound %, Eff. Field Goal %) in the NBA from 1979 to 2019.

Charts 2019-03-14

Three of the NBA's Four Factors have fallen over the years

From The NBA’s Other Offensive Revolution: Never Turning The Ball Over by Jared Dubin

Line chart on a log scale showing the number of known digits of pi by year from 250 B.C. to 2019, reaching 31,415,926,535,897 digits in 2019.

Charts 2019-03-14

How many digits of pi have humans found?

From Even After 31 Trillion Digits, We’re Still No Closer To The End Of Pi by Oliver Roeder

Scatter plot with trend lines showing two approval rating series (orange at 53% and green at 41%) over time from January 2023 to January 2025, Day 784.

Charts 2019-03-15

Approval Rating Trends Over Time (Day 784)

From What Americans Think Should Matter In College Admissions by Geoffrey Skelley

Horizontal stacked bar chart showing how much U.S. adults think various criteria should factor into college admissions decisions, from high school grades to gender.

Charts 2019-03-15

Most Americans want grades to drive college admissions

From What Americans Think Should Matter In College Admissions by Geoffrey Skelley

Map of San Antonio showing the approximate bat migration path from Bracken Cave through the AT&T Center, illustrated with bat icons along a dashed line.

Maps 2019-03-15

The Spurs' biggest fans are a bunch of bats

From Why Are There So Many Bats At Spurs Games? by Chris Herring

Line chart comparing seconds between pitches in the NL for batters vs pitchers batting from 2008 to 2018, showing batters consistently slower than pitchers.

Charts 2019-03-15

Are pitchers the answer to MLB's pace problem?

From What If The National League Had A DH? by Travis Sawchik

Line chart showing NL pitcher plate appearances per game started declining from 2.80 in 1973 to 1.98 around 2020, with an illustration of a baseball pitcher batter.

Charts 2019-03-15

NL pitchers bat way less these days

From What If The National League Had A DH? by Travis Sawchik

Line chart showing weighted runs created plus (wRC+) for pitchers versus other positions from 1901 to 2020, illustrating pitchers' declining hitting ability from 49 to -25.

Charts 2019-03-15

Pitchers can't hit anymore

From What If The National League Had A DH? by Travis Sawchik

Line chart showing average innings pitched by starting pitchers in the American League and National League from 1973 to the late 2010s, both trending downward over time.

Charts 2019-03-15

Starting pitchers are working less no matter the league

From What If The National League Had A DH? by Travis Sawchik

Line chart comparing runs per game for the American League and National League from 1973 to around 2019, showing the NL closing the scoring gap.

Charts 2019-03-15

The NL has recently closed the run-scoring gap

From What If The National League Had A DH? by Travis Sawchik

Scatter plot showing offensive and defensive efficiency ratings relative to NCAA Division I average for 2019 NCAA Tournament East region teams, with seeded teams highlighted in orange.

Charts 2019-03-18

The tale of the tape in the East

From Your Guide To The 2019 NCAA Men’s Tournament by Neil Paine, Josh Planos

Scatter plot showing offensive and defensive efficiency ratings relative to NCAA Division I average for 2019 Midwest region tournament teams, with seeds labeled.

Charts 2019-03-18

The tale of the tape in the Midwest

From Your Guide To The 2019 NCAA Men’s Tournament by Neil Paine, Josh Planos

Scatter plot showing offensive and defensive efficiency ratings relative to NCAA Division I average for 2019 NCAA Tournament South region teams, with seeds labeled.

Charts 2019-03-18

The tale of the tape in the South

From Your Guide To The 2019 NCAA Men’s Tournament by Neil Paine, Josh Planos

Scatter plot showing offensive and defensive efficiency ratings relative to NCAA Division I average for 2019 NCAA Tournament West region teams, with seeds labeled.

Charts 2019-03-18

The tale of the tape in the West

From Your Guide To The 2019 NCAA Men’s Tournament by Neil Paine, Josh Planos

Radar chart showing how much Andrew Yang is likely to appeal to five Democratic base groups: Black voters, Millennials, The Left, Party Loyalists, and Hispanic/Asian voters.

Charts 2019-03-19

How much Andrew Yang is likely to appeal to 5 groups in the Democratic base

From How Andrew Yang Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary by Nathaniel Rakich

Scatter plot comparing 2019 NCAA women's tournament teams by offensive and defensive efficiency ratings relative to Division I average, with teams colored by region.

Charts 2019-03-19

Comparing the 2019 women's tournament teams

From Your Guide To The 2019 NCAA Women’s Tournament by Jenn Hatfield

Line chart showing wins above replacement over age for Mike Trout (orange) and his 10 most comparable retired outfielders (gray) with an average line (black).

Charts 2019-03-19

Peering into Mike Trout's crystal ball

From Mike Trout Is A $430 Million Bargain by Neil Paine, Travis Sawchik

Small multiples line chart showing share of CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC coverage mentioning each 2020 Democratic presidential candidate around their announcement date.

Charts 2019-03-20

Not all announcements got the same amount of attention

From Which Candidate Got The Most Kickoff Coverage? by Dhrumil Mehta, Oliver Roeder

Scatter plot showing every 2019 Division I men's NCAA team by 3-point percentage and 3-point share of offense, with Wofford highlighted as an outlier in the upper right.

Charts 2019-03-20

Wofford is dangerous from deep

From Wofford Is Playing A Lot Bigger Than It Is by Jake Lourim

Horizontal bar chart showing 2019 NCAA Tournament teams' Elo ratings relative to the 2010-18 seed averages, by seed 1-16, with top seeds rating above average.

Charts 2019-03-21

This year's tournament is top-heavy

From Where Are All The Obvious NCAA Upsets? by Neil Paine

Line chart showing the share of Americans who say various groups experience a lot of discrimination, from 2013 to 2018, with gays and lesbians highlighted in orange showing a decline.

Charts 2019-03-21

A drop in perceived discrimination against LGBT people

From Fewer Americans Think LGBT People Face Discrimination by Daniel Cox

Line chart showing presidential approval and disapproval ratings over time from January 2023 to January 2024, with disapproval at 53.1% and approval at 41.6% on day 791.

Charts 2019-03-22

Presidential Approval Ratings: 53.1% Disapprove, 41.6% Approve

From What Voters Say They Want In A Candidate Today May Not Be What They Vote For Tomorrow by Nathaniel Rakich

Diverging bar chart showing importance of various presidential nominee characteristics to registered Democratic voters, from a March 2019 Morning Consult survey.

Charts 2019-03-22

What a Dem wants, what a Dem needs

From What Voters Say They Want In A Candidate Today May Not Be What They Vote For Tomorrow by Nathaniel Rakich

Diverging bar chart showing wins vs. expected for NCAA tournament teams by tempo tier for good and weaker teams, 2001-02 to 2017-18.

Charts 2019-03-22

Playing faster helps — when you're good

From Is Virginia Too Slow? by Todd Whitehead

Chart showing Virginia basketball game results vs. average Division I opponent when simulated at different tempos, plotting points ratio against possessions per game.

Charts 2019-03-22

Virginia's slow pace encourages upsets

From Is Virginia Too Slow? by Todd Whitehead

Scatter plot with trend lines showing Robert Mueller's favorable ratings among Democrats, Republicans, and all respondents from May 2017 to early 2019, illustrating growing partisan divide.

Charts 2019-03-22

Opinions on Mueller are getting more partisan over time

From The Politics Surrounding Mueller Have Changed A Lot Since He Started by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Line chart showing share of Americans by party who believe Robert Mueller is conducting a fair investigation from July 2017 to early 2019, with Democrats consistently higher than Republicans.

Charts 2019-03-22

Republicans distrust Mueller's investigation

From The Politics Surrounding Mueller Have Changed A Lot Since He Started by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Win probability chart for Duke vs UCF game showing Duke winning 77-76 with 100% win probability, with orange and blue lines tracking throughout the game.

Charts 2019-03-25

Duke vs UCF Win Probability Chart

From Captain Obvious Is Probably Winning Your Bracket Pool

Purple speech bubble graphic displaying the phrase 'Look at that excitement index!' with a score of 9.6 in an orange circle.

Other 2019-03-25

Excitement Index 9.6 Speech Bubble

From Captain Obvious Is Probably Winning Your Bracket Pool

Win probability chart for Iowa vs Mercer NCAA tournament game, showing Iowa winning 66-61 with 100% win probability.

Charts 2019-03-25

Iowa vs. Mercer Win Probability Chart

From Captain Obvious Is Probably Winning Your Bracket Pool

ESPN2 win probability chart for a Final OT game between Missouri and Drake, showing fluctuating win probabilities over time with Missouri at 100% and Drake at 0%.

Charts 2019-03-25

Missouri vs. Drake Final OT Win Probability Chart

From Captain Obvious Is Probably Winning Your Bracket Pool

US map infographic showing the home states of 2020 Democratic presidential candidates represented by their portrait photos placed on their respective states.

Maps 2019-03-25

2020 Democratic Presidential Candidates by Home State

From Which States Have Produced The Most Presidential Nominees? by Nathaniel Rakich

Editorial infographic showing 2020 Democratic presidential candidates arranged in tiers by polling or prominence, depicted as blue-tinted floating heads.

Other 2019-03-26

2020 Democratic Presidential Candidates Ranked by Tier

From Here’s How We’re Defining A ‘Major’ Presidential Candidate by Nate Silver

Line chart showing share of support in Morning Consult's weekly Democratic primary poll for 2020 candidates before and after their campaign announcement, as of March 25.

Charts 2019-03-26

Little (or no) bump for recent candidate kickoffs

From Beto O’Rourke Didn’t Get Much Of A Kickoff Bump, But He’s Not Alone by Nathaniel Rakich

Dual horizontal bar chart showing MLB debuts by children of major leaguers by decade from the 1900s to 2010s, displaying both total debuts and share of all debuts.

Charts 2019-03-26

The sons are taking over MLB

From MLB Is Increasingly A Father-Son Game by Travis Sawchik

Horizontal bar chart showing the percentage of U.S. adults who correctly answered science questions across four categories: life science, earth science, numeracy, and scientific processes.

Charts 2019-03-28

What Americans know and don't know about science

From Americans Are Smart About Science by Maggie Koerth

Side-by-side NBA shot charts comparing Collin Sexton's field goal attempts pre and post All-Star break during the 2018-19 regular season, with hexagons showing frequency and FG% vs league average.

Charts 2019-03-28

FGA for Pre vs Post All-Star Sexton, Collin during the 2018-19 Regular Season

From Collin Sexton Is No Longer Historically Bad. He May Even Be Good. by Chris Herring

Line chart showing total dunk attempts and total dunks made in men's Division I college basketball from 2009-10 to 2018-19 seasons, both trending upward.

Charts 2019-03-28

Dunks are up everywhere

From The NCAA Tournament Has Turned Into A Dunk Contest by Josh Planos

Dot plot showing 2019 Sweet 16 teams highlighted among all Division I men's college basketball teams by total dunks made per season from 2010 to 2019.

Charts 2019-03-28

The 2019 Sweet 16 can dunk ... mostly

From The NCAA Tournament Has Turned Into A Dunk Contest by Josh Planos

Line chart showing presidential approval and disapproval ratings over approximately 798 days, with disapproval at 52.8% and approval at 41.9% as of March 2023.

Charts 2019-03-29

Presidential Approval Ratings: 52.8% Disapprove, 41.9% Approve (Day 798)

From Does Trying To Repeal Obamacare Actually Increase Its Appeal? by Dhrumil Mehta

Histogram showing the distribution of runs scored per team across sets of 9 innings, with a blue dashed vertical line near the peak around 15 runs.

Charts 2019-03-29

Distribution of runs scored per team

From Can You Win A Spelling Bee If You Know 99 Percent Of The Words? by Oliver Roeder

A histogram showing a right-skewed distribution with peak around 13-15, x-axis ranging from 0 to 50, y-axis from 0 to 60000+.

Charts 2019-03-29

Histogram of right-skewed distribution

From Can You Win A Spelling Bee If You Know 99 Percent Of The Words? by Oliver Roeder

Overlapping histogram comparing total score distributions for MLB 2018 games and an updated dice game simulation with 100,000 runs.

Charts 2019-03-29

MLB 2018 vs. Updated Dice Game Total Score Distribution

From Can You Win A Spelling Bee If You Know 99 Percent Of The Words? by Oliver Roeder

Line chart showing CDC yearly estimates of nonfatal firearm injuries with 95% confidence intervals from 2001 to 2017, illustrating growing uncertainty in recent years.

Charts 2019-03-29

The CDC's gun injury estimates are getting less reliable

From 11 Senators Want To Know Why The CDC’s Gun Injury Estimates Are Unreliable by Sean Campbell, Daniel Nass