fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

November 2018

Democrats Can Get Close To A House Majority With Suburban Seats Alone
Significant Digits For Thursday, Nov. 1, 2018
Election Update: Democrats Need A Systematic Polling Error To Win The Senate
Senate Update: How This Year’s Race Sets Up 2020
3 Games This Week Could Tell Us Who Will Make The College Football Playoff
Politics Podcast: Debating Our Own House Forecast
Trump Put Immigration Back In The Headlines. Will It Boost GOP Turnout?
Significant Digits For Friday, Nov. 2, 2018
How Far Would You Go To Rig A Coin Flip?
Governors Update: Democrats Could Win In Some Very Red States
Patrick Mahomes Is Proving That QBs From Gimmicky College Offenses Can Succeed In The NFL
Election Update: Gender Might Be Shaping Democrats’ Senate Chances
Politics Podcast: How To Judge Our Forecasts
Forget About The Candidates. What Else Is On The Ballot This Week?
Republicans Need A Systematic Polling Error To Win The House
The Senate Surprises We Did — And Didn’t — See Coming
House Update: Keeping An Eye On Democratic ‘Reach’ Districts
Who Should Recount Elections: People … Or Machines?
How To Watch The Midterms: An Hour-By-Hour Guide
Significant Digits For Monday, Nov. 5, 2018
Five Races That May Not Be Decided Tuesday. Or Wednesday. Or Thursday …
Election Update: Democrats Are Likely To Make Big Gains In Governors Races
Final Senate Update: The 13 Races We’re Watching
Politics Podcast: The Midterms Are Here
Final Election Update: Democrats Aren’t Certain To Take The House, But They’re Pretty Clear Favorites
Significant Digits For Tuesday, Nov. 6, 2018
What Went Down In The 2018 Midterms
Our Final Forecast In The Senate, House And Gubernatorial Races
How Democrats Won The House
How Republicans Made Gains In The Senate
Election Night Defied A Single Takeaway
Politics Podcast: What To Make Of Election Night
Democrats Had A Big Night In Governors Races, But It Could Have Been Bigger
Significant Digits For Wednesday, Nov. 7, 2018
The Saints’ Big Three Can’t Be Stopped
What Jeff Sessions’s Resignation Could Mean For The Mueller Investigation
Emergency Podcast: Sessions Is Out
Emergency Politics Podcast: The Midterms Are Over — So Is Jeff Sessions’s Time At The Justice Department
We’re Tracking The Unresolved Midterm Races
The American Grandmaster Who Could Become World Champion
Significant Digits For Thursday, Nov. 8, 2018
The 2018 Map Looked A Lot Like 2012 … And That Got Me Thinking About 2020
Nobody Wants Baseball’s 30-Something Free Agents Anymore 😞
The Suburbs — All Kinds Of Suburbs — Delivered The House To Democrats
Midterms Review
Kyle Lowry Is The NBA’s Master Of Taking The Clutch Charge
Politics Podcast: What The Midterms Taught Us About America
Why Nancy Pelosi Isn’t Guaranteed The Speakership
The 2018 Gender Gap Was Huge
What Are The Odds You’d Already Have My Number?
Significant Digits For Friday, Nov. 9, 2018
We Know Breast Density Is Linked To Cancer Risk. But Now What?
Each Contender’s Path To The College Football Playoff
Something Looks Weird In Broward County. Here’s What We Know About A Possible Florida Recount.
The World Chess Championship Opened With A Wild Draw
Live: Watch The FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
The World Chess Championship Is Deadlocked After Game 2
How Good Is The Sixers’ Brand-New Big Three?
Can You Stave Off A Cold With Willpower?
Significant Digits For Monday, Nov. 12, 2018
The Packers Need To Depend On Aaron … Jones
A Post-Midterms 2020 Draft... Live!
Can A Trump Voter From West Virginia Win The 2020 Democratic Primary?
Politics Podcast: A Post-Midterms 2020 Draft … Live!
Computers Are Haunting The World Chess Championship (Which, Yes, Is Still Tied)
There Was A Lot Of Turnover In The House In The 2018 Cycle
Significant Digits For Tuesday, Nov. 13, 2018
The 2018 Midterms, In 4 Charts
Few Stars Have Ever Fallen As Fast As Carmelo Anthony
The Biggest Blunder Of The World Chess Championship Is A Deleted YouTube Video
Yes, It Was A Blue Wave. No, It Doesn’t Matter For 2020.
Is Chiefs-Rams A Super Bowl Preview? Meh, Probably Not.
Significant Digits For Wednesday, Nov. 14, 2018
What Really Happened In Texas
Villanova Is Basically Starting From Scratch
Democrats Can Help The Mueller Investigation Now. But They Also Might Make Things Worse.
What Does It Mean That Abrams And Gillum Are Both Likely To Lose?
Significant Digits For Thursday, Nov. 15, 2018
It’s Easier Than Ever To Get The Recommended Amount Of Exercise
What’s It Gonna Take For Somebody To Win A Chess Game?
How Our Model Did
Politics Podcast: How Our Forecasts Did In 2018
UCF Might Not Even Be As Good As Fresno State — Let Alone Georgia Or Michigan
Why Did The House Get Bluer And The Senate Get Redder?
Significant Digits For Friday, Nov. 16, 2018
The Riddler Just Had To Go And Reinvent Beer Pong
At Least 123 Women Will Be In The Next Congress. Just 19 Are Republicans.
Iowa State Is A Contender (Finally)
Why California’s Wildfires Are So Destructive, In 5 Charts
Chess World Rattled As Someone Nearly Wins Game
Another World Chess Championship Draw — It’s Time For Caruana To Attack
No, Democrats Didn’t Win The Senate. But They Did Better Than It Seems.
Split-Ticket Voting Hit A New Low In 2018 Senate And Governor Races
Significant Digits For Monday, Nov. 19, 2018
One Bad Pawn Move Has Kept The World Chess Championship Deadlocked
The Detroit Lions Are Stuck In The NFL’s Weirdest Purgatory
Will Pelosi Be Replaced?
Politics Podcast: Will Pelosi Be Replaced?
Who Could Become Speaker Of The House If Pelosi Doesn’t?
Everything Is Partisan And Correlated And Boring
Significant Digits For Tuesday, Nov. 20, 2018
Trump’s Base Isn’t Enough
The Yankees Snapped Up This Offseason’s Best Pitcher
Most Players Grab Rebounds. Tyson Chandler Swats Them.
California’s Wildfires Could Mean A Generation Of Lung Problems
How Big A Difference Does The House Speaker Really Make?
Michigan-Ohio State Is Actually Worth The Hype This Year
How The Cowboys Turned Their Season Around
It Was Finally Fabiano Caruana’s Turn To Survive At The World Chess Championship
Chess World Celebrates A ‘Sensational’ Move … That Leads To A Championship Draw
Caruana ‘Suffers Successfully’ In Game 11 Of The World Chess Championship
Everything You Need To Know About The Mississippi Senate Runoff
Significant Digits For Monday, Nov. 26, 2018
What Trump’s Legal Battles Tell Us About Presidential Power
Good MLB Teams Oppose Income Inequality
Carlsen’s Bizarre Decision Has Sent The World Chess Championship To Overtime
Can A Democrat Win In Mississippi?
Politics Podcast: Is Trump’s Border Crisis Manufactured?
The 2016 Primaries Were Weird. Will Things Get Even Weirder In 2020?
Significant Digits For Tuesday, Nov. 27, 2018
Are The Browns Actually Decent Now That They’ve Changed Coaches?
The Last Unresolved House Race Of 2018
Human Behavior Might Be The Hardest Part Of Climate Change To Predict
What Happens If Alabama Loses? What If Every Favorite Wins? We Have Answers.
Mike Espy Needs An Unprecedented Swing To Win The Mississippi Runoff
What Went Down In The Mississippi Senate Runoff Election
How Much Does Climate Science Matter In A World Run By Politics?
Significant Digits For Wednesday, Nov. 28, 2018
The Senate Will Be Competitive Again In 2020, But Republicans Are Favored
Magnus Carlsen Is, Again, The World Chess Champion
The Patriots Aren’t Quite Their Usual Dominant Selves This Year
House Progressives Are Set To Wield A Lot Of Power In 2019
Significant Digits For Thursday, Nov. 29, 2018
This Is Mueller Talk!
Politics Podcast: What This Week Taught Us About Mueller’s Investigation
Michael Cohen Is The 33rd Person Mueller Has Charged — And Could Be Among The Most Important
What Has — And Hasn’t — Surprised Us This NBA Season
NBA Nerds, Rejoice: Our Projections Now Reflect Injuries And Lineup Changes
Emergency Podcast: Cohen Is Cooperating With Mueller
Emergency Politics Podcast: Cohen Is Now Cooperating With Mueller
Which Senators Might Be Vulnerable To A Primary Challenge In 2020?
Significant Digits For Friday, Nov. 30, 2018
Alice And Bob Fall In Love
How Georgia Can Beat Alabama
The Two (Or Three) Senators To Watch In 2019
What Reddit Can Tell Us About NBA Fan Bases
What The Heck Is Happening In That North Carolina House Race?