fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 38,593 articles, datasets, podcasts, graphics and illustrations from fivethirtyeight.com

June 2016 graphics

99 matches

Dual scatter plot comparing NBA teams since 1984 by regular season win percentage and competitive field, split by whether they had won a championship in the last five years.

Charts 2016-06-01

Championship experience matters

From Good News, Warriors Fans: Every Cliché About The NBA Playoffs Is True by Benjamin Morris

Line chart showing predictive importance of margin of victory vs. win percentage after adjusting for home-court advantage, comparing regular season to playoffs.

Charts 2016-06-01

Predictive importance of margin of victory vs. win percentage after adjusting for home-court advantage

From Good News, Warriors Fans: Every Cliché About The NBA Playoffs Is True by Benjamin Morris

Line chart showing three methods for predicting odds of a home-court-advantage team winning an NBA playoff series based on Elo difference between teams.

Charts 2016-06-01

Simulating the NBA playoffs in three ways

From Good News, Warriors Fans: Every Cliché About The NBA Playoffs Is True by Benjamin Morris

Heat map table showing odds of winning a seven-game playoff series with home-court advantage across different margins of victory and win differences under regular-season and playoff dynamics.

Charts 2016-06-01

Wins matter in the playoffs

From Good News, Warriors Fans: Every Cliché About The NBA Playoffs Is True by Benjamin Morris

Scatter plot comparing BPM talent ratings of best players vs their teammates for NBA finalists from 1979-2016, highlighting LeBron James seasons in red.

Charts 2016-06-01

LBJ has a more talented supporting cast

From LeBron And The Rest Of The Cavs Are Better This Year by Neil Paine

Scatter plot comparing best player's playoff BPM vs teammates' BPM for NBA finalists 1979-2016, highlighting LeBron James's appearances in red.

Charts 2016-06-01

LeBron's best finals supporting cast?

From LeBron And The Rest Of The Cavs Are Better This Year by Neil Paine

Choropleth map of the US showing change in non-Hispanic white voter turnout in presidential elections between 1992 and 2012 by state, with battleground states outlined.

Maps 2016-06-02

'Missing' white voters mostly live in safe states

From ‘Missing’ White Voters Might Help Trump, But Less So Where He Needs It by David Wasserman

Diverging bar chart comparing positive vs negative lyric themes in contemporary Christian pop and traditional shape-note hymns across seven opposing word pairs.

Charts 2016-06-02

Christian music looks on the bright side of life

From The Sun Is Always Shining In Modern Christian Pop by Leah Libresco

Table showing performance of the most prolific pollsters since 2014, including number of polls, methodology flags, and color-coded advanced plus-minus scores.

Tables 2016-06-02

How the most prolific pollsters have performed since 2014

From The State Of The Polls, 2016 by Nate Silver

Color-coded table showing the share of polls that correctly picked the winner for presidential and state-level races from 1998 to 2016, with an all-years summary row.

Tables 2016-06-02

Share of polls that correctly picked the winner

From The State Of The Polls, 2016 by Nate Silver

FiveThirtyEight table showing simple average polling error in the 21 days before elections by year and race type from 1998 to 2016.

Tables 2016-06-02

Simple Average Error for polls in the 21 days before an election

From The State Of The Polls, 2016 by Nate Silver

Table showing statistical bias in polls by year and race type (Presidential General, Governor, U.S. Senate, U.S. House) from 1998 to 2014 with R+ and D+ values.

Tables 2016-06-02

Statistical bias in polls

From The State Of The Polls, 2016 by Nate Silver

Bar chart showing the top 200 most popular wedding reception songs by release year from 1960 to 2016, with a subset highlighting the top 50 songs.

Charts 2016-06-02

Wedding jams aren't just the latest jams

From The Ultimate Wedding Playlist by Walt Hickey

Grouped bar chart showing Swiss voter poll results on unconditional basic income referendum, comparing April 19 and May 17 2016 polls across five response categories.

Charts 2016-06-03

Swiss voters are leaning 'No' on basic income

From The Swiss Are About To Vote ’No’ On Basic Income by Andrew Flowers

Line chart showing year-over-year change in median rent for San Francisco and New York from 2013 to 2016, illustrating slowing rent increases in both cities.

Charts 2016-06-03

Rent increases are slowing in pricey cities

From The Rent Is Less Damn High by Ben Casselman

Lollipop chart showing probability distribution of the number of wins by the winner, ranging from 70 to 110 wins, peaking around 87-88 wins.

Charts 2016-06-03

Probability Distribution of Wins by the Winner

From Can You Solve The Puzzle Of The Pirate Booty? by Oliver Roeder

Line chart showing year-over-year change in hourly earnings for all workers and non-managers from 2008 to 2016, seasonally adjusted and not adjusted for inflation.

Charts 2016-06-03

Hourly earnings, change from a year earlier

From Hiring Really Is Slowing Down by Ben Casselman

Line chart showing seasonally adjusted non-agricultural jobs change from a year ago for total and private-sector employment from 2010 to 2016.

Charts 2016-06-03

Non-agricultural jobs, change from a year ago

From Hiring Really Is Slowing Down by Ben Casselman

Area chart showing the number of part-time workers who want full-time jobs, seasonally adjusted, from 2007 to 2016, peaking near 9 million around 2010 and declining to about 6 million by 2016.

Charts 2016-06-03

Part-time workers who want full-time jobs

From Hiring Really Is Slowing Down by Ben Casselman

Line chart showing the U.S. labor force participation rate seasonally adjusted from 2010 to 2016, declining from about 65% to roughly 62.6%.

Charts 2016-06-03

So much for that rebound in participation

From Hiring Really Is Slowing Down by Ben Casselman

Line chart showing the percentage of unemployed people who found a job versus stopped looking one month later, seasonally adjusted from 2007 to 2016.

Charts 2016-06-03

What the unemployed are doing one month later

From Hiring Really Is Slowing Down by Ben Casselman

Scatter plot showing Cleveland's offensive points above average per 100 possessions in each game of the 2016 NBA playoffs, with Finals Game 1 highlighted near -5.

Charts 2016-06-03

Dubs stopped Cleveland's offensive train

From The Cavs’ Shooting Went To Hell In Game 1 by Neil Paine

Scatter plot showing offensive and defensive points above average per 100 possessions for NBA teams in the 2016 playoffs pre-Finals, highlighting the Cavaliers and Warriors.

Charts 2016-06-03

Offensive and defensive points above average per 100 possessions in the 2016 NBA playoffs, pre-Finals

From The Cavs’ Shooting Went To Hell In Game 1 by Neil Paine

Line chart comparing Grand Slam titles won by Djokovic, Federer, Nadal, and Sampras before reaching each age from 19 to 35.

Charts 2016-06-05

Djokovic is catching up

From Novak Djokovic’s Chase Of Tennis Records Is Speeding Up by Carl Bialik

Horizontal bar chart showing Democratic chances of victory in 2016 Senate races for 34 states, with polling availability and 2012 Democratic lean columns.

Charts 2016-06-06

Democratic chances in 2016 Senate races

From Senate 2016: The Democrats Strike Back by Harry Enten

Line chart showing the percentage of Senate vote explainable by past presidential vote from 1984 to 2014, rising from near 0% to about 75%.

Charts 2016-06-06

More Straight-Ticket Voting In Senate Elections

From Senate 2016: The Democrats Strike Back by Harry Enten

Scatter plot showing location-adjusted PPG margin in games 1 and 2 vs. pre-series Elo differential for NBA teams down 0-2 from 1984-2016, with the 2016 Cavaliers highlighted.

Charts 2016-06-06

A few have escaped a deep 0-2 playoff hole

From Hey, At Least The Cavs Might Not Get Swept by Neil Paine

Dot plot showing NBA playoff series outcomes by location-adjusted PPG margin in games 1 and 2, 1984-2016, with 2016 Cavaliers annotated at -20 PPG margin.

Charts 2016-06-06

Can Cleveland avoid the brooms?

From Hey, At Least The Cavs Might Not Get Swept by Neil Paine

Scatter plot showing location-adjusted PPG margin in NBA Finals games 1 and 2 vs. pre-series Elo differential for teams down 0-2, 1984-2016, with the 2016 Cavaliers highlighted.

Charts 2016-06-06

No team has escaped a deep 0-2 Finals hole

From Hey, At Least The Cavs Might Not Get Swept by Neil Paine

Photo collage showing egg foam beaten by five different methods and bowl types with labeled beating times ranging from 4 to 10 minutes.

Other 2016-06-07

What egg foam looks like after various methods and beating times

From The Scientific Secret To Perfectly Foamed Eggs by Anna Maria Barry-Jester

Line chart showing cumulative run differential by game number for all MLB teams from 1900 to June 5, 2016, highlighting the 2016 Cubs, 1939 Yankees, and 1927 Yankees.

Charts 2016-06-07

The Cubs are on the way to being the G.O.A.T.

From This Year’s Cubs Might Be Better Than The Incredible ’27 Yankees by Rob Arthur

Charts 2016-06-08

Intel Experience Telemetry Speed and Height Profile

From A Closer Look At The Biggest Jumps At The X Games by Brent Rose

Dot plot showing GOP governors, senators, and House members who support, oppose, or are uncommitted on Trump by Romney 2012 vote share in their state or district, as of June 7, 2016.

Charts 2016-06-08

Left-leaning areas are more #NeverTrump

From What Makes A GOP Leader Resist Trump? by Daniel Nichanian

Dot plot showing number of GOP governors, senators, and representatives who support, oppose, or are uncommitted on Trump by Hispanic share of population they represent, as of June 7, 2016.

Charts 2016-06-08

More-Hispanic areas have more Trump holdouts

From What Makes A GOP Leader Resist Trump? by Daniel Nichanian

Four scatter plots comparing margin of victory vs. pre-game chance of winning based on Elo for 2016 Cavaliers games versus all NBA games, split by regular season/playoffs and home/away.

Charts 2016-06-08

Cavs do care who they play

From Bad News, Cavs Fans: The Warriors Don’t Care How Good Your Team Is by Benjamin Morris

Scatter plot comparing margin of victory vs. pre-game Elo win probability for Warriors games versus all other 2016 NBA regular-season games, split by home and away.

Charts 2016-06-08

The Warriors don't care who they play

From Bad News, Cavs Fans: The Warriors Don’t Care How Good Your Team Is by Benjamin Morris

Scatter plot comparing margin of victory vs. pre-game Elo win probability for 2016 NBA playoff games, highlighting Warriors' home and away games in gold against all teams in gray.

Charts 2016-06-08

The Warriors have been human in the playoffs

From Bad News, Cavs Fans: The Warriors Don’t Care How Good Your Team Is by Benjamin Morris

Line chart showing the share of Gallup poll respondents who would or would not vote for a woman for president from 1937 to the 2010s, with Yes rising to ~92% and No falling to ~8%.

Charts 2016-06-09

Would you vote for a woman for president?

From From 1937 To Hillary Clinton, How Americans Have Felt About A Woman President by Clare Malone

Scatter plot with trend lines showing changing opinions by race on O.J. Simpson's guilt in U.S. polls from 1995 to 2015, with White guilty rising and Black not guilty declining over time.

Charts 2016-06-09

Changing opinions of the Simpson case

From Most Black People Now Think O.J. Was Guilty by Carl Bialik

Line chart showing strongly unfavorable ratings for Republican and Democratic presidential nominees from 1980 to 2016, with Trump and Clinton reaching historic highs.

Charts 2016-06-10

Clinton and Trump are historically disliked

From Gary Johnson Is Here To Tell You You’re A Libertarian by Clare Malone

Line chart showing strongly unfavorable ratings for Republican and Democratic presidential nominees from 1980 to 2016, with Trump and Clinton reaching historic highs.

Charts 2016-06-10

Clinton and Trump are historically disliked

From Gary Johnson Is Here To Tell You You’re A Libertarian by Clare Malone

Four-quadrant chart showing Americans' views on gay marriage and income redistribution 2010-12, with Liberal 34%, Libertarian 22%, Hardhat 20%, and Conservative 25%.

Charts 2016-06-10

Where To Find The Libertarians

From Gary Johnson Is Here To Tell You You’re A Libertarian by Clare Malone

Four-quadrant chart showing Americans' views on gay marriage and income redistribution 2010-12, with percentages for Liberal, Libertarian, Hardhat, and Conservative groups.

Charts 2016-06-10

Where To Find The Libertarians

From Gary Johnson Is Here To Tell You You’re A Libertarian by Clare Malone

Area chart showing seasonally adjusted unemployed workers per job opening from 2001 to 2016, peaking near 6.5 around 2009-2010 and declining to about 1.4 by 2016.

Charts 2016-06-10

Unemployed workers per job opening

From Why Are White People So Pessimistic About The Economy? by Ben Casselman

Scatter plot showing NBA players' point contribution on offense vs defense in the 2016 Finals, highlighting Shaun Livingston as a two-way dominator.

Charts 2016-06-11

Shaun Livingston, two-way dominator

From Steph Curry Trails Shaun Livingston In The NBA Finals MVP Race by Benjamin Morris

Line chart showing change since 1972 in U.S. manufacturing output (rising ~180%) and employment (falling ~40%) through the mid-2010s.

Charts 2016-06-13

U.S. factories are making more, employing fewer

From The Consequences: How Trade Became A Major Issue In 2016

Line chart showing the correlation coefficient between NHL team points per game and Corsi by season from 2006 to 2016, illustrating a general decline in Corsi's predictive power.

Charts 2016-06-13

Corsi hasn't been as predictive as it used to be

From The Penguins’ Win Meant Redemption For The Numbers, Too by Neil Paine

Table comparing per-game attendance of Las Vegas professional sports teams versus league averages for hockey, baseball, and arena football from 2003 to 2014.

Tables 2016-06-14

What Happens In Vegas Isn't Watched In Vegas

From Las Vegas Is A Terrible Place For An NHL Team by Nate Silver

Scatter plot showing single-game NBA Finals Game Score vs. opponent Elo rating from 1984-2016, highlighting LeBron James and Kyrie Irving's Game 5, 2016 performances.

Charts 2016-06-14

LeBron's historic night (Kyrie wasn't bad, either)

From LeBron, Kyrie And Draymond All Made History In The Cavs’ Win by Neil Paine, Andrew Flowers

County-level election results map of Georgia showing voting patterns with blue, light blue, and pink color coding by county.

Maps 2016-06-14

Georgia County Election Results Map

From Can Trump And Clinton Transform The Electoral Map?

Line chart showing year-over-year change in real output per hour for the nonfarm business sector as a two-year rolling average from 1950 to the mid-2010s, illustrating weak recent productivity growth.

Charts 2016-06-15

The Fed sees weak productivity growth

From The Fed Is Worried About Worker Productivity by Andrew Flowers

Dot plot comparing average rushing yards per game by season for elite NFL running backs with at least 120 rushing attempts, highlighting O.J. Simpson's seasons in red versus peers in blue.

Charts 2016-06-15

O.J. had fewer great seasons than other elites

From O.J.’s Football Fame Was Mostly Based On Two Great NFL Seasons by Greg Guglielmo

Scatter plot showing average yards per carry vs. average rushing attempts per game for NFL seasons with at least 120 attempts, highlighting O.J. Simpson's seasons of 1972, 1973, 1975, and 1976 above the 125-yards-per-game curve.

Charts 2016-06-15

O.J. was part of an elite group — twice

From O.J.’s Football Fame Was Mostly Based On Two Great NFL Seasons by Greg Guglielmo

Bar chart showing the number of people who acquired HIV via blood transfusion each year in the U.S. from 1985 to 2015, peaking around 1985-1986.

Charts 2016-06-16

Number of people who acquired HIV via blood transfusion each year in the U.S.

From To Keep The Blood Supply Safe, Screening Blood Is More Important Than Banning Donors by Maggie Koerth

Scatter plot showing NBA teams' winning percentage vs. Elo expectations plotted against winning percentage after losses for the 2015-16 season, with the Warriors highlighted in red in the top-right corner.

Charts 2016-06-16

Don't catch the Warriors coming off a loss!

From The Warriors Are Especially Hard To Handle After A Loss by Neil Paine, Andrew Flowers

Dot plot showing Kyrie Irving's games in the 2015-16 NBA season by Game Score, with Finals Game 5 highlighted as an outlier above 35.

Charts 2016-06-16

Kyrie probably isn't repeating his Game 5

From The Warriors Are Especially Hard To Handle After A Loss by Neil Paine, Andrew Flowers

Scatter plot showing Dwayne Johnson movies grouped into three clusters by Rotten Tomatoes score vs. domestic box office gross in 2015 dollars.

Charts 2016-06-17

The three types of Dwayne Johnson movies

From The Three Types Of Dwayne ‘The Rock’ Johnson Movies by Walt Hickey

Scatter plot showing LeBron James's playoff game scores relative to average versus game importance for 2006-16, highlighting Game 6 of the 2016 Finals as his greatest.

Charts 2016-06-17

LeBron's greatest playoff games

From LeBron James Is Still In His Prime by Neil Paine

Hexagonal shot chart for Chris Bosh in the 2009/10 NBA season, showing shot locations and field goal percentage vs. league average across the half court.

Charts 2016-06-18

Chris Bosh Shot Chart 2009/10

From Whatever Happened To Kevin Love? by Kyle Wagner

Basketball shot chart for Chris Bosh in the 2010/11 season, showing hexagonal shot zones colored by field goal percentage versus league average.

Charts 2016-06-18

Chris Bosh Shot Chart 2010/11

From Whatever Happened To Kevin Love? by Kyle Wagner

Hexagonal shot chart for Chris Bosh in the 2014/15 NBA season, showing shot locations and field goal percentage versus league average across the court.

Charts 2016-06-18

Chris Bosh Shot Chart 2014/15

From Whatever Happened To Kevin Love? by Kyle Wagner

Kevin Love shot chart for the 2013/14 NBA season showing hexagonal shot frequency and field goal percentage versus league average across the basketball court.

Charts 2016-06-18

Kevin Love Shot Chart 2013/14

From Whatever Happened To Kevin Love? by Kyle Wagner

Kevin Love NBA shot chart for the 2015/16 season showing shot locations on a half-court diagram with hexagons sized by frequency and colored by field goal percentage vs. league average.

Charts 2016-06-18

Kevin Love Shot Chart 2015/16

From Whatever Happened To Kevin Love? by Kyle Wagner

Line chart showing Trump's percentage-point margin over the next-leading GOP candidate in FiveThirtyEight's polling average from July 2015 to April 2016, with Lewandowski's arrest annotated.

Charts 2016-06-20

Trump led when Lewandowski was arrested

From Trump Was Loyal To Corey Lewandowski — Until He Fell Behind Clinton by Harry Enten

Line chart showing Trump's primary polling margin rising to +10 points while his general election margin stays around -6 points over 50 days into the campaign.

Charts 2016-06-20

Trump's general and primary paths diverge

From Trump Was Loyal To Corey Lewandowski — Until He Fell Behind Clinton by Harry Enten

Four dot distribution charts showing NBA season Elo ratings from 1950 to 2016 for the best, second-best, third-best, and fourth-best teams, highlighting the 2015-16 Warriors, Spurs, Cavs, and Thunder.

Charts 2016-06-20

Was 2015-16 the strongest season ever?

From After All That, The Warriors Aren’t Even The Second-Best Team Ever by Reuben Fischer-Baum

Area chart showing the number of times each 2016 presidential candidate was mentioned in Donald Trump's tweets from late 2015 through June 2016.

Charts 2016-06-21

The 2016 campaign in Donald Trump's tweets

From The World’s Favorite Donald Trump Tweets by Leah Libresco

Choropleth map of the US showing areas with at least one competitive election by winning margin for president, Congress, governor, and state legislature from 2006 to 2012.

Maps 2016-06-21

Competitive elections are widespread, 2006-12

From With Trump In The Race, The Battleground Is Everywhere by Eitan Hersh

Scatter plot showing the greatest number of consecutive election cycles without a competitive statewide election for each US state from 1914 to 2012, with most states clustered at low values.

Charts 2016-06-21

Most states see frequent competitive elections

From With Trump In The Race, The Battleground Is Everywhere by Eitan Hersh

Line chart showing average recent auction prices for 750ml red wine bottles by vintage year and country, from 1915 to 2015, with France commanding the highest prices.

Charts 2016-06-22

A century in the wine world

From The Weird World Of Expensive Wine by Oliver Roeder

Small multiples scatter plot showing average auction price of California red wine vs. vintage year across nine wine-growing regions, with trend lines on a log scale.

Charts 2016-06-22

Fifty years of California reds

From The Weird World Of Expensive Wine by Oliver Roeder

Scatter plot with fitted curve showing average recent auction price of a 750ml bottle of red Bordeaux wine by vintage year, from the 1950s to 2010s.

Charts 2016-06-22

The Bordeaux wine curve

From The Weird World Of Expensive Wine by Oliver Roeder

Choropleth map of the US showing average percentage point shift in two-party vote by state compared to 2012 in elections since 1992, colored blue for Democratic gains and red for Republican gains.

Maps 2016-06-22

How the electoral map is changing

From The Clinton Campaign Seems To Think Pennsylvania Is In The Bag by David Wasserman

Choropleth map of Pennsylvania counties showing percentage-point shift in party voter registration lead from November 2008 to June 2016, with most counties turning more Republican red.

Maps 2016-06-22

Most of Pennsylvania is turning red

From The Clinton Campaign Seems To Think Pennsylvania Is In The Bag by David Wasserman

Scatter plot comparing vote share vs. polling average for female U.S. Senate and gubernatorial candidates from 1990-2008, showing most points above the diagonal equality line.

Charts 2016-06-23

Female candidates do better than expected

From Gender Matters In This Election, But Other Factors Probably Matter More by David Nield

Line chart comparing annual oil production change since 2000 for the U.S. and Venezuela, showing U.S. surging above 60% by 2016 while Venezuela falls to about -15%.

Charts 2016-06-24

Venezuela's oil production can't keep up

From Oil Made Venezuela Rich, And Now It’s Making It Poor by Ben Casselman

$Lollipop chart showing the expected fraction of a polygon eaten as a function of the number of sides, rising from about 0.185 at 3 sides and converging near 0.25 by 20 sides.$

Charts 2016-06-24

Fraction That Is Eaten vs. Number of Sides

From What If Robots Cut Your Pizza? by Oliver Roeder

A mathematical plot showing a rounded square shape centered at the origin on an x-y coordinate plane, with axes ranging from about -0.75 to 0.75.

Charts 2016-06-24

Rounded Square Shape on X-Y Coordinate Plane

From What If Robots Cut Your Pizza? by Oliver Roeder

Table showing projected depth charts and Box Plus/Minus player talent ratings for the 2016-17 Oklahoma City Thunder with and without Kevin Durant, by position.

Tables 2016-06-24

Everything comes down to Durant

From A Durant-Led Thunder May Be Better Without Ibaka by Neil Paine

Two-table comparison of 2012 and 2016 Oklahoma City Thunder playoff rosters showing player positions, ages, minutes per game, and Box Plus/Minus offensive, defensive, and total ratings.

Tables 2016-06-24

The Thunder were already better than in 2012

From A Durant-Led Thunder May Be Better Without Ibaka by Neil Paine

Slope chart showing McCutchen's percentile rankings among MLB players in five skill categories comparing 2015 to 2016, with all metrics declining.

Charts 2016-06-27

McCutchen's percentile among MLB players

From When Bad Seasons Happen To Great Players (Like Andrew McCutchen) by Neil Paine

Matrix chart showing party registration combinations of married couples, with same-party pairings highlighted: Democrat-Democrat 25%, Independent-Independent 15%, Republican-Republican 30%.

Charts 2016-06-28

Like tends to marry like: Party registration of married households

From How Many Republicans Marry Democrats? by Eitan Hersh

Stacked area chart showing share of married couples with different political compositions by average age, from FiveThirtyEight, based on 18 million couples in March 2016.

Charts 2016-06-28

Older couples are more partisan

From How Many Republicans Marry Democrats? by Eitan Hersh

Stacked area chart showing share of married couples with different party registration compositions by Obama 2012 vote share at census block level, March 2016.

Charts 2016-06-28

Partisan areas still have mixed-party couples

From How Many Republicans Marry Democrats? by Eitan Hersh

Dual line charts showing actual share of same-party married couples in NYC versus potential range by party and age, March 2016, based on 74,633 couples.

Charts 2016-06-28

Plenty of partisan intermarriage in NYC

From How Many Republicans Marry Democrats? by Eitan Hersh

Bar chart showing population in the UK by EEA country of birth in 2015, with Poland highest at about 800,000 and Other EU-14 lowest.

Charts 2016-06-28

Population by EEA country of birth, 2015

From What Donald Trump Loves About The Brexit by Farai Chideya

Line chart showing Tennessee women's basketball team value points per season from 1986 to 2012 during Pat Summitt's career, peaking at 18.1 in 1998.

Charts 2016-06-28

Tennessee took off in the '90s

From Pat Summitt Built The Best Women’s College Basketball Program Of All Time by Neil Paine

Stacked horizontal bar chart showing screen time in minutes for different footage types across five episodes of OJ: Made in America, with Episode 1 having the most football highlights.

Charts 2016-06-28

Football dominated episode one

From The O.J. Documentary, Shot By Shot by Setrige Crawford

Stacked horizontal bar chart showing screen time in minutes for personal life, football, trial, and context topics across 5 episodes of OJ: Made in America.

Charts 2016-06-28

The trial got the most screen time

From The O.J. Documentary, Shot By Shot by Setrige Crawford

FiveThirtyEight

Charts 2016-06-29

FiveThirtyEight

From Georgia | 2016 Election Forecast by Nate Silver

FiveThirtyEight

Charts 2016-06-29

FiveThirtyEight

From Georgia | 2016 Election Forecast by Nate Silver

Scatter plot comparing club goals plus assists per game vs international goals plus assists per game for soccer players with at least 20 games, highlighting Messi, Ronaldo, Villa, and Huntelaar.

Charts 2016-06-29

Messi dominates in both club and country

From Dear Lionel Messi, Please (Please!) Don’t Quit Argentina by Benjamin Morris

Scatter plot comparing soccer players' smaller of club or international goals-plus-assists per game versus games played for their least productive team, highlighting Messi, Suarez, Ronaldo, Ibrahimovic, Neymar, and van Persie.

Charts 2016-06-29

Messi's worst better than anyone else's

From Dear Lionel Messi, Please (Please!) Don’t Quit Argentina by Benjamin Morris

Area chart showing how the polls-plus model shifts weight from fundamentals to polls as Election Day approaches, reaching 100% polling weight on Election Day.

Charts 2016-06-29

Polls-plus becomes pure polling by Election Day

From A User’s Guide To FiveThirtyEight’s 2016 General Election Forecast by Nate Silver

Color-coded correlation matrix showing election outcome correlations between 8 US states after 20,000 simulations using a polls-only model from June 27, 2016.

Charts 2016-06-29

Similar states usually have similar outcomes

From A User’s Guide To FiveThirtyEight’s 2016 General Election Forecast by Nate Silver

Line chart showing projected convention bounces for Clinton and Trump from July 18 to August 22, with net impact shown as a dotted line.

Charts 2016-06-29

What a convention bounce could look like

From A User’s Guide To FiveThirtyEight’s 2016 General Election Forecast by Nate Silver

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