| Amid Lead for Romney in Iowa Poll, Momentum for Santorum | Nate Silver |
| In Iowa, Rick Perry Is Stuck in the Second Tier | Nate Silver |
| Iowa Race Tightens in Final 48 Hours | Nate Silver |
| Lunchtime Polling Update | Nate Silver |
| In Iowa, Six Candidates Compete to Beat Expectations | Nate Silver |
| Why I’d Bet on Santorum (and Against My Model) | Nate Silver |
| Live Blogging the Iowa Caucuses | Nate Silver |
| Romney’s Ugly Win May Be a Charm | Nate Silver |
| Candidates Who Do Better Than Expected Win More Media Attention | John Sides |
| Perry, Perry, Quite Contrary | Nate Silver |
| First Post-Iowa Polls Show Bounce for Santorum | Nate Silver |
| Iowan Casts Doubt on Winner of Caucus | Nate Silver |
| Romney Leads South Carolina Polls | Nate Silver |
| Beating Romney in N.H. Would Require Historic Upset | Nate Silver |
| Vote Result From Disputed Precinct Deemed Official | Nate Silver |
| Diverging Objectives in N.H. for G.O.P. Candidates | Nate Silver |
| Some Signs in Polls That Santorum’s Momentum Has Stalled | Nate Silver |
| Huntsman Has Momentum, but He Lacks Time | Nate Silver |
| Ground Game Determines Candidates’ Strength | Nate Silver |
| New Hampshire Primary Overview and Forecast | Nate Silver |
| Analysis From the New Hampshire Primary | Nate Silver |
| Romney Looks Strong in South Carolina and Beyond | Nate Silver |
| Polls Show Gains for Romney — But Not in South Carolina | Nate Silver |
| Intraparty Attacks Could Be November Liability for Romney | Nate Silver |
| Romney-Obama: No Popularity Contest | Nate Silver |
| Backing of Evangelicals Could Resuscitate Santorum in South Carolina | Nate Silver |
| Before Citing a Poll, Read the Fine Print | Nate Silver |
| Huntsman Withdrawal Should Aid Romney | Nate Silver |
| Reads & Reactions | Micah Cohen |
| National Polls Suggest Romney Is Overwhelming Favorite for G.O.P. Nomination | Nate Silver |
| The Myth of ‘Anybody but Romney’ | Nate Silver |
| Does Gingrich Have Momentum in South Carolina? | Nate Silver |
| Perry’s Voters May Not Flock to Gingrich | Nate Silver |
| Gingrich Tied With Romney in South Carolina Forecast | Nate Silver |
| The Semantics and Statistics of Santorum’s Win in Iowa | Nate Silver |
| Romney’s ‘Prevent Defense’ Yielding Big Gains to Opponents | Nate Silver |
| Nominating Fight Wears on Romney’s Favorability Ratings | Nate Silver |
| Gingrich Is Well-Positioned as South Carolina Votes | Nate Silver |
| South Carolina Primary Overview and Forecast | Nate Silver |
| 2008 South Carolina Primary Benchmarks | Micah Cohen |
| Live Coverage of the South Carolina Primary | Nate Silver |
| Did Gingrich’s Win Break the Paradigm? | Nate Silver |
| New Florida Polls Show Big Swing to Gingrich | Nate Silver |
| Some Signs G.O.P. Establishment’s Backing of Romney Is Tenuous | Nate Silver |
| Reagan Count: Gingrich 55, Romney 6 | Nate Silver |
| The Florida State of Play | Nate Silver |
| Polls Suggest Gingrich’s Support May Have Peaked | Nate Silver |
| Gingrich Enters Debate Needing One More Comeback | Nate Silver |
| In Florida Debate, Gingrich Ignores Lessons of Recent History | Nate Silver |
| Another Check on the Campaign’s Truthiness | Micah Cohen |
| Consensus of Polls Shows Romney Up in Florida | Nate Silver |
| Advantage Romney in February, but Risks Abound | Nate Silver |
| Gingrich Upset Chances Dwindle in New Florida Polls | Nate Silver |
| Polls Diverge, but All Point to a Romney Win | Nate Silver |
| The Incredible Shrinking Primary Bounce | Nate Silver |
| Florida Primary Overview and Forecast | Nate Silver |
| The Political Geography of Florida | Micah Cohen |
| Florida Benchmarks From 2008 | Micah Cohen |
| Live Coverage of the Florida Primary | Nate Silver |
| Romney Wins, but Turnout Lags | Nate Silver |
| Five Paths Forward for G.O.P. Nomination | Nate Silver |
| Did Romney’s Ad Advantage Help in Florida? | John Sides |
| Romney Is a Clear Favorite in Nevada, Arizona and Michigan; Ohio Is a Tossup | Nate Silver |
| Obama’s Magic Number? 150,000 Jobs Per Month | Nate Silver |
| Reads and Reactions: Jobs and G.O.P. Turnout | Micah Cohen |
| The Nevada Caucus: Look for Romney to Win and Paul to Outperform | Nate Silver |
| The G.O.P. Landscape in Nevada | Micah Cohen |
| Nevada Caucus Updates | Nate Silver |
| One Test Left for Romney: The Midwest | Nate Silver |
| What We Learned from Nevada | Nate Silver |
| Political Geography: Colorado | Micah Cohen |
| Political Geography: Minnesota | Micah Cohen |
| The High Stakes in Minnesota, Colorado and Missouri | Nate Silver |
| Live Coverage: Colorado, Minnesota and Missouri | Nate Silver |
| G.O.P. Race Has Hallmarks of Prolonged Battle | Nate Silver |
| Obama’s Jobs Bounce | Nate Silver |
| The Bettor’s Case for Santorum | Nate Silver |
| Maine Caucus Offers an Opportunity for Paul | Nate Silver |
| Jeremy Lin Is No Fluke | Nate Silver |
| How Maine Helps Romney | Nate Silver |
| Could Ron Paul Still Win Maine? | Nate Silver |
| Down in Michigan Polls, Romney Needs to Find His Base | Nate Silver |
| The Fundamentals Now Favor Obama | Nate Silver |
| Romney’s Tenuous Electability Edge | Nate Silver |
| Santorum’s Surge Holds Steady So Far | Nate Silver |
| Santorum and the Emphasis on Social Issues | Nate Silver |
| In Michigan, Momentum for Romney? | Nate Silver |
| Reads and Reactions: Santorum’s Rise | Micah Cohen |
| Romney’s Money Problems | Nate Silver |
| Mormon Voters Raise Romney’s Advantage in Arizona | Nate Silver |
| In Michigan, Is Santorum Sinking or Steadying? | Nate Silver |
| Romney Takes Michigan Forecast Lead | Nate Silver |
| The G.O.P.’s Fuzzy Delegate Math | Nate Silver |
| Stress-Testing Romney’s Michigan Edge | Nate Silver |
| Political Geography: Michigan | Micah Cohen |
| Michigan Forecast Update: Romney’s Lead Looks More Tenuous | Nate Silver |
| Examining Michigan’s Delegate Math | Nate Silver |
| After Many Momentum Shifts, Michigan Is Too Close to Call | Nate Silver |
| Political Geography: Arizona | Micah Cohen |
| Romney Poised for Big Win in Arizona | Nate Silver |
| Live Coverage: the Michigan and Arizona Primaries | Nate Silver |
| The Meaning of Michigan | Nate Silver |
| Democrats Favored to Pick Up Snowe Seat | Nate Silver |
| A Warning on the Accuracy of Primary Polls | Nate Silver |
| Santorum Remains Modest Favorite in Ohio | Nate Silver |
| In Washington Caucus, Expect the Unexpected | Nate Silver |
| Washington Keeps Romney on Winning Track | Nate Silver |
| Why Romney Wants to Be Like Michael Dukakis | Nate Silver |
| State-by-State Analysis: Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates | Nate Silver |
| Santorum Slumps in Super Tuesday Polls | Nate Silver |
| Super Tuesday Delegate Projection Update | Nate Silver |
| In Caucus States, a Chance for (Almost) Every Candidate | Micah Cohen |
| A Guide to Super Tuesday Possibilities | Nate Silver |
| How Ohio Voted Last Time | Micah Cohen |
| How Tennessee Voted Last Time | Micah Cohen |
| Romney and the Majority Track | Nate Silver |
| Live Coverage: Super Tuesday | Nate Silver |
| A Predictable Super Tuesday | Nate Silver |
| How Would Santorum Do Without Gingrich? | Nate Silver |
| How Daunting Is Santorum’s Delegate Math? | Nate Silver |
| Kansas Offers Santorum Chance for Big Delegate Grab | Nate Silver |
| Political Geography: Kansas | Micah Cohen |
| A Trip Inside the N.C.A.A. Bubble | Micah Cohen |
| In G.O.P. Nomination Race, Geography Has Been Destiny | Nate Silver |
| Approval Ratings, Gas Prices and Statistical Noise | Nate Silver |
| Polling in Deep South Has Posed Challenges | Nate Silver |
| FiveThirtyEight Picks the N.C.A.A. Bracket | Nate Silver |
| Political Geography: Alabama | Micah Cohen |
| Political Geography: Mississippi | Micah Cohen |
| What’s at Stake in Alabama and Mississippi | Nate Silver |
| Live Coverage: Alabama and Mississippi Primaries | Nate Silver |
| Why Is Santorum Overperforming His Poll Numbers? | Nate Silver |
| For Romney and Santorum, a Battle of Chicago Versus Illinois | Nate Silver |
| In Need of a Game Change, Santorum Plays Small Ball | Nate Silver |
| Statehood Support Should Help Romney in Puerto Rico | Micah Cohen |
| In Illinois, Santorum’s Chance at Nomination Is Slipping Away | Nate Silver |
| Political Geography: Illinois | Micah Cohen |
| Romney’s Slightly Exaggerated Advertising Edge | Nate Silver |
| Live Coverage: the Illinois Primary | Nate Silver |
| G.O.P. Nomination Becoming a One-Man Race | Nate Silver |
| Introducing the Romney Magic Numbers Calculator | Nate Silver |
| Etch A Sketch Highlights Missed Opportunities for Romney’s Rivals | Nate Silver |
| Political Geography: Louisiana | Micah Cohen |
| G.O.P. Campaign Could End Soon — But Not in Louisiana | Nate Silver |
| Models Based on ‘Fundamentals’ Have Failed at Predicting Presidential Elections | Nate Silver |
| For a Romney Running Mate, Don’t Bet on a Governor | Nate Silver |
| Polls Show Romney on Track for Win in Wisconsin | Nate Silver |
| In Defense of Presidential Forecasting Models | John Sides |
| Supreme Court May Be Most Conservative in Modern History | Nate Silver |
| For Romney, a Widening Gap Between Urban and Rural Support | Micah Cohen |
| Complacency a Threat to Romney in Wisconsin | Nate Silver |
| Romney Could Net 50 Delegates From Maryland and D.C. | Nate Silver |
| Political Geography: Wisconsin | Micah Cohen |
| Counterintuitive Theories on Obama and Supreme Court Run Against Polling Evidence | Nate Silver |
| Live Coverage of the Wisconsin, Maryland and D.C. Primaries | Nate Silver |
| Romney’s Michigan Win Stands as Climactic Moment in Campaign | Nate Silver |
| Reads and Reactions | Micah Cohen |
| A Living Autopsy of the Ron Paul Campaign | Micah Cohen |
| What Does Santorum’s Future Hold? | Nate Silver |
| Romney’s ‘Empathy Gap’ | John Sides |
| Notes on Poll-Watching, as Shift Toward General Election Season Begins | Nate Silver |
| The General Election Ground Game: A First Look | Micah Cohen |
| Do Romney’s Favorability Ratings Matter? | Nate Silver |
| The Overrated Vice Presidential Home-State Effect | Nate Silver |
| What Do Springtime Polls Tell Us About the General Election? | Micah Cohen |
| Arizona Is (Probably) Not a Swing State | Nate Silver |
| What a Dearth of Small Donations May Mean for Romney | Micah Cohen |
| Lugar Loss Could Provide Pickup Opportunity for Democrats | Nate Silver |
| Is Obama More Popular Than He Should Be? | John Sides |
| North Carolina’s Ban on Gay Marriage Appears Likely to Pass | Nate Silver |
| Has Obama’s Magic Jobs Number Changed? | Nate Silver |
| Reads and Reactions: Reader Comment Edition | Micah Cohen |
| Is Obama More Popular Than He Should Be, Revisited | John Sides |
| Moderate Republicans Fall Away in the Senate | Nate Silver |
| Support for Gay Marriage Outweighs Opposition in Polls | Nate Silver |
| Gay Marriage and the Democratic Base | Nate Silver |
| A 30,000-Foot View on the Presidential Race | Nate Silver |
| Democrats’ Odds of Retaining Senate Improve | Nate Silver |
| The Most Powerful Special Interest in Washington: The Acronym | Micah Cohen |
| Swing Voters and Elastic States | Nate Silver |
| In Wisconsin, Walker Is Likely to Survive Recall | Nate Silver |
| Signs of Shift Among African-Americans on Same-Sex Marriage | Micah Cohen |
| Economically, Obama Is No Jimmy Carter | Nate Silver |
| Economy, and Obama, Mired in Down Data | Nate Silver |
| Late Polls Find Walker Is Still Favored | Nate Silver |
| Governors’ Races Can Be a Contrary Indicator for Presidential Elections | Nate Silver |
| Election Forecast: Obama Begins With Tenuous Advantage | Nate Silver |
| Where Electoral Forecasts Agree and Disagree | Micah Cohen |
| A Guide to Forecast Model Updates | Nate Silver |
| Statistical Noise in Election Polls | Nate Silver |
| Readers See Obama Slightly Ahead, With Ohio Crucial for Romney | Micah Cohen |
| Presidential Geography: New Mexico | Micah Cohen |
| What Obama’s Immigration Decision Might Mean for 2012 | Nate Silver |
| Hispanic Voters Less Plentiful in Swing States | Nate Silver |
| Outlier Polls Are No Substitute for News | Nate Silver |
| Presidential Geography: Montana | Micah Cohen |
| Calculating ‘House Effects’ of Polling Firms | Nate Silver |
| Do Democrats Have a Shot at the House? | Nate Silver |
| Presidential Geography: New Hampshire | Micah Cohen |
| The Problems With Forecasting and How to Get Better at It | Nate Silver |
| Details of Health Care Ruling Could Be Lost on Public | Nate Silver |
| Overconfidence Suggested in Supreme Court Predictions | Nate Silver |
| In Health Ruling, Relief for Obama but a Blow to Conventional Wisdom | Nate Silver |
| Presidential Geography: Georgia | Micah Cohen |
| June 29: Obama Rises to 67.8 Percent | Nate Silver |
| July 2: Obama’s Lead Holds, but Manufacturing Report Could Mean Trouble | Nate Silver |
| In West Virginia, Coal Means More, Party Less | Micah Cohen |
| July 3: No Polling Fireworks on Eve of Holiday | Nate Silver |
| District of Columbia’s Demographics Change, but Democratic Voting Doesn’t | Micah Cohen |
| Measuring the Effect of the Economy on Elections | Nate Silver |
| July 5: Waiting for Jobs, Jobs, Jobs | Nate Silver |
| Three Questions After the June Jobs Report | Nate Silver |
| July 6: Obama Forecast Falls Slightly After Jobs News | Nate Silver |
| Utah: Very Republican, but Not Quite as Conservative as It Appears | Micah Cohen |
| July 9: Poll Doldrums | Nate Silver |
| July 10: Romney Edges Up After Busy Poll Day | Nate Silver |
| Iowa: Racially Homogeneous, but Politically Diverse | Micah Cohen |
| July 11: Has Anything Changed in the Presidential Race? | Nate Silver |
| Why Obama May Be Stronger Than His Approval Ratings | Nate Silver |
| July 12: Some Noisy News, but Little Change in Forecast | Nate Silver |
| July 13: Obama Forecast Buoyed by Stock Rally | Nate Silver |
| In Search for Female Running Mate, a Shortlist for Romney | Nate Silver |
| In Blue New Jersey, Red Spots May Be Sign of the Past | Micah Cohen |
| July 14: Another Recount in Florida? | Nate Silver |
| Measuring the Effects of Voter Identification Laws | Nate Silver |
| Keeping Lin Should Make Financial Sense for the Knicks | Nate Silver |
| July 16: Obama Gains Ground From Ohio Poll | Nate Silver |
| Is Romney Overreacting to Bain Attacks? | Nate Silver |
| July 17: Obama’s Re-election Chances Fall on Gloomy G.D.P. Forecast | Nate Silver |
| Let’s Play Medalball! | Nate Silver |
| It’s Not Exactly Sarah Palin’s Alaska | Micah Cohen |
| July 18: New Polls, but Little Change in Horse Race | Nate Silver |
| Does Romney Have an Edge From Likely Voter Polls? | Nate Silver |
| July 19: Better Numbers for Romney in Virginia | Nate Silver |
| Would Pawlenty Put Minnesota Within Romney’s Reach? | Micah Cohen |
| July 20: Little Change in Presidential Forecast | Nate Silver |
| July 21: Polls Show Forward Movement for Obama in Florida | Nate Silver |
| Do Presidential Polls Break Toward Challengers? | Nate Silver |
| July 23: Is Minnesota a Battleground Again? | Nate Silver |
| State and National Polls Tell Different Tales About State of Campaign | Nate Silver |
| July 24: The Incredibly Steady Presidential Race | Nate Silver |
| July 25: Romney Gains in Tracking Polls | Nate Silver |
| July 26: The Calm Before Critical Economic News | Nate Silver |
| What the New G.D.P. Figures Mean for the Election | Nate Silver |
| July 27: Ohio Polls Show Trouble for Romney | Nate Silver |
| July 28: Missouri Slipping Away From Democrats | Nate Silver |
| Which Olympic Records Get Shattered? | Nate Silver |
| July 30: Forecast Stays Steady With 99 Days to Go | Nate Silver |
| Pennsylvania Flaunts Its Importance | Nate Silver |
| July 31: Obama Forecast Improves on Data Showing Faster Income Growth | Nate Silver |
| Aug. 1: Obama Extends Electoral College Advantage | Nate Silver |
| In Blue Hawaii, Senate Race Offers a Bit of Suspense | Micah Cohen |
| Aug. 2: When a Poll That Seems Like News Isn’t | Nate Silver |
| July Jobs Report Likely to Preserve Status Quo | Nate Silver |
| Aug. 3: A Good Week for Obama in Forecast | Nate Silver |
| Aug. 4: Likely No New Blue States in November | Nate Silver |
| Aug. 5: State Polls, National Polls, and Likely Voters | Nate Silver |
| Aug. 6: Pace of Presidential Polling Has Slowed Considerably From 2008 | Nate Silver |
| Models, Models, Everywhere | Nate Silver |
| Aug. 7: North Carolina Isn’t Central to Electoral Math | Nate Silver |
| How Romney’s Pick of a Running Mate Could Sway the Outcome | Nate Silver |
| Aug. 8: Colorado and Virginia Flip Places in Forecast | Nate Silver |
| Aug. 9: National Polls Shouldn’t Panic Romney | Nate Silver |
| Another Way for Romney to ‘Go Bold’? Pick a Moderate | Nate Silver |
| Aug. 10: Iowa, the Forgotten Swing State | Nate Silver |
| A Risky Rationale Behind Romney’s Choice of Ryan | Nate Silver |
| Aug. 11: Will Ryan Pick Move the Polls? | Nate Silver |
| What Are Paul Ryan’s Chances of Becoming President? | Nate Silver |
| Could Ryan Tip Wisconsin Toward Romney? | Micah Cohen |
| Aug. 13: Polls Have Middling Reviews for Ryan | Nate Silver |
| Aug. 14: The Fog of Polling — and Ryan’s ‘Bounce’ So Far | Nate Silver |
| In Senate Races, Politics Are Local Again | Nate Silver |
| Aug. 15: To Bounce, or Not to Bounce | Nate Silver |
| Oregon, Sitting at the Border of Safe and In Play | Micah Cohen |
| Aug. 16: Why I’m Not Buying the Romney Rally | Nate Silver |
| Aug. 17: Does a Bullish Stock Market Predict a Faster Recovery? | Nate Silver |
| In Inelastic South Carolina, Change Is Unlikely | Micah Cohen |
| Aug. 18: Obama Leads Big — Among Those Least Likely to Vote | Nate Silver |
| Akin Comments Could Swing Missouri Senate Race | Nate Silver |
| In Picking Ryan, Romney Makes an All-In Move | Nate Silver |
| Aug. 20: When the Polling Gets Weird | Nate Silver |
| In Missouri’s Move to the Right, a Question of How Far | Micah Cohen |
| Aug. 21: Romney Showing Improved Results in Swing State Polls | Nate Silver |
| Aug. 22: Keeping Score on a Busy Polling Day | Nate Silver |
| Republican Voters Could Sit Out Missouri Senate Race | Nate Silver |
| Aug. 23: Seven Ways to Evaluate a Poll | Nate Silver |
| In South Dakota, Only the Farm Trumps Conservatism | Micah Cohen |
| Aug. 25: An Above-Average ‘Likely Voter Gap’ for Romney | Nate Silver |
| How Will Party Conventions Affect the Presidential Race? | John Sides |
| Aug. 26: Little Momentum in Polls in Advance of Conventions | Nate Silver |
| Aug. 27: Michigan Isn’t a Tossup | Nate Silver |
| Aug. 28: A Moment of Polling Clarity | Nate Silver |
| In Florida, Tampa Is Essential to Romney Election Hopes | Micah Cohen |
| Measuring a Convention Bounce | Nate Silver |
| Aug. 29: So Much Depends Upon Ohio | Nate Silver |
| Base Turnout Strategy May Be Too Narrow for Romney | Nate Silver |
| In Prudent Speech, Romney Seeks Role as Generic Republican | Nate Silver |
| Aug. 30: Remember the Economy? | Nate Silver |
| Delaware: A Small Example of a Larger Trend | Micah Cohen |
| Aug. 31: TV Ratings May Be Leading Indicator of Convention Bounce | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 1: Romney’s Convention Bounce Appears Middling So Far | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 2: Split Verdict in Polls on Romney Convention Bounce | Nate Silver |
| In Looking Back Four Years, Voters Have Short Memories | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 3: Par or Bogey? | Nate Silver |
| In North Carolina, Obama’s 2008 Victory Was Ahead of Schedule | Micah Cohen |
| Sept. 4: The Simple Case for Why Obama Is the Favorite | Nate Silver |
| Is Bad Weather Really the Reason to Move Obama’s Speech Indoors? | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 5: Looking Ahead After Charlotte | Nate Silver |
| Obama Would Be Big Favorite With ‘Fired Up’ Base | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 6: A Referendum or a Choice? | Nate Silver |
| Effect of Jobs Numbers on Presidential Race Is Uncertain | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 7: Polls Find Hints of Obama Convention Bounce | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 8: Conventions May Put Obama in Front-Runner’s Position | Nate Silver |
| A Sense of Waiting for Godot for Texas Democrats | Micah Cohen |
| Why Weather Forecasters Are Role Models | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 9: Call It as You See It | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 10: Will Obama’s Bounce Hold? | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 11: Florida a True Must-Win for Romney | Nate Silver |
| In Arkansas, the Lost Art of Splitting Tickets | Micah Cohen |
| Sept. 12: Polls Since Conventions Point to Decline in ‘Enthusiasm Gap’ | Nate Silver |
| Reaction to Libya Attack Could Color Poll Analysis, and Vice Versa | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 13: After Convention Bounce, Holding Obama’s Polls to a Higher Standard | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 14: Obama Forecast Declines on Poor Manufacturing Report | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 15: Waiting on Wisconsin | Nate Silver |
| In Connecticut, Wall Street Community May Limit Obama Victory | Micah Cohen |
| Sept. 16: Watching the Clock and Awaiting the Unknown | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 17: Electoral College May Not Help Obama | Nate Silver |
| FiveThirtyEight Forecast: G.O.P. Senate Hopes Slipping | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 18: Obama’s Bounce Erodes in Two Tracking Polls | Nate Silver |
| The End of a Kansas Tradition: Moderation | Micah Cohen |
| Obama’s Lead Looks Stronger in Polls That Include Cellphones | Nate Silver |
| Senate Forecast: What Has Gone Wrong for G.O.P. Candidates? | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 19: A Wild Day in the Polls, but Obama Ends Up Ahead | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 20: Obama’s Convention Bounce May Not Be Receding | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 21: Presidential Race Changes, but Swing States Stay the Same | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 22: Little Agreement Among Pollsters on ‘Enthusiasm Gap’ | Nate Silver |
| Nebraska G.O.P. Draws a Tougher Map for Obama | Micah Cohen |
| Sept. 23: Does Omaha Matter? | Nate Silver |
| The Statistical State of the Presidential Race | Nate Silver |
| Washington State, Women’s Rights and Big Cities | Micah Cohen |
| Sept. 24: Deep Red Polling Mystery | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 25: Romney’s Narrow Path Without Ohio | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 26: Could 2012 Be Like 2008? | Nate Silver |
| Growth of Suburban D.C. Is Felt Politically in Maryland | Micah Cohen |
| Sept. 27: The Impact of the ‘47 Percent’ | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 28: A Circular Relationship Between Political and Economic Views | Nate Silver |
| Poll Averages Have No History of Consistent Partisan Bias | Nate Silver |
| Sept. 29: As Iowa Goes, So May Go Romney’s Chances | Nate Silver |
| Romney’s Faith May Help in Idaho, Where He Doesn’t Need It | Micah Cohen |
| Sept. 30: Romney Down a Touchdown? | Nate Silver |
| ‘New’ Vermont Is Liberal, but ‘Old’ Vermont Is Still There | Micah Cohen |
| New Polls Raise Chance of Electoral College Tie | Nate Silver |
| Oct. 1: Is the Presidential Race Tightening Heading Into the Debates? | Nate Silver |
| Oct. 2: Good News for Romney in National Polls, and Obama in Pennsylvania | Nate Silver |
| First Debate Often Helps Challenger in Polls | Nate Silver |
| Obama Leads, but a Romney Comeback Might Start Out West With Colorado | Micah Cohen |
| Polls Show a Strong Debate for Romney | Nate Silver |
| Oct. 3: Romney’s Electoral Challenge, and More on Debate Instant Polls | Nate Silver |
| Oct. 4: Too Soon to Gauge Impact of Debate on Polls | Nate Silver |
| Jobs News Makes Obama’s Case Easier | Nate Silver |
| Oct. 5: Day After Debate, Strong Swing State Polls for Romney | Nate Silver |
| Wyoming, Energy and Libertarianism | Micah Cohen |
| Oct. 6: Romney Maintains Poll Momentum | Nate Silver |
| Oct. 7: National Polls Show Signs of Settling | Nate Silver |
| Amid Volatile Polling, Keep an Eye on Election Fundamentals | Nate Silver |
| In California, Growing Diversity First Made Its Mark | Micah Cohen |
| Oct. 8: A Great Poll for Romney, in Perspective | Nate Silver |
| Oct. 9: Romney Erases Obama’s Convention Bounce in Forecast | Nate Silver |
| Biden’s Debate Mission: Whip Up Democrats to Blunt Romney’s Gains | Nate Silver |
| Oct. 10: Is Romney Leading Right Now? | Nate Silver |
| Solid South Reversed, but Still Divided by Race | Micah Cohen |
| In Polls, Biden Gets a Hold | Nate Silver |
| Oct. 11: Obama’s Swing State ‘Firewall’ Has Brittle Foundation | Nate Silver |
| Oct. 12: Romney Debate Gains Show Staying Power | Nate Silver |
| G.O.P. Senate Hopes Fade, Even as Romney’s Rise, Polls Show | Nate Silver |
| Oct. 13: Arizona and the Spanish-Speaking Vote | Nate Silver |
| An Extra Ingredient in North Dakota Politics: Oil | Micah Cohen |
| Oct. 14: Breaking the State-National Poll Stalemate | Nate Silver |
| In Maine, Independent Streak Complicates Political Landscape | Micah Cohen |
| Over the Decades, How States Have Shifted | Micah Cohen |
| Oct. 15: Distracted by Polling Noise | Nate Silver |
| No Guarantee of Obama Rebound in Second Debate | Nate Silver |
| Falling Prey to the Dangerous Temptation to Cherry-Pick Polls | Nate Silver |
| Instant Reaction Polls Show Narrow Obama Advantage in Second Debate | Nate Silver |
| Oct. 16: Can Polls Exaggerate Bounces? | Nate Silver |
| Rhode Island: The Most Elastic State | Micah Cohen |
| Gallup vs. the World | Nate Silver |
| ‘The Daily Show’ With Nate Silver | Micah Cohen |
| Oct. 18: Obama Gains in Forecast on Resiliency in Swing State Polls | Nate Silver |
| After Brief Role as Battleground, Indiana Exits, Stage Right | Micah Cohen |
| Oct. 19: After Romney Gains, Should Obama Concede Florida? | Nate Silver |
| Oct. 20: Calm Day in Forecast, but Volatility Ahead | Nate Silver |
| ‘Gender Gap’ Near Historic Highs | Nate Silver |
| Oct. 21: Uncertainty Clouds Polling, but Obama Remains Electoral College Favorite | Nate Silver |
| Referendum or Choice, Which Candidate Will Show Fighting Spirit? | Nate Silver |
| Obama Unlikely to Get Big Debate Bounce, but a Small One Could Matter | Nate Silver |
| Oct. 22: Ohio Has 50-50 Chance of Deciding Election | Nate Silver |
| Why Arizona Isn’t a Battleground State (and Why It May Be Soon) | Micah Cohen |
| Oct. 23: The Virtues and Vices of Election Prediction Markets | Nate Silver |
| Oct. 24: In Polls, Romney’s Momentum Seems to Have Stopped | Nate Silver |
| Auto Rescue and Low Home-State Bonus Keep Michigan Out of Play | Micah Cohen |
| Oct. 25: The State of the States | Nate Silver |
| Oct. 26: State Poll Averages Usually Call Election Right | Nate Silver |
| Oct. 27: Minnesota Moonlights as Swing State, but Ohio and Virginia Are More Crucial | Nate Silver |
| Oct. 28: In Swing States, a Predictable Election? | Nate Silver |
| Impact of Hurricane Sandy on Election Is Uncertain | Nate Silver |
| In Pennsylvania, the Democratic Lean Is Slight, but Durable | Micah Cohen |
| Oct. 29: Polling Slows as Storm Wreaks Havoc | Nate Silver |
| Oct. 30: What State Polls Suggest About the National Popular Vote | Nate Silver |
| Oct. 31: Obama’s Electoral College ‘Firewall’ Holding in Polls | Nate Silver |
| In Nevada, Obama, Ryan and Signs of a New (Democratic-Leaning) Normal | Micah Cohen |
| Nov. 1: The Simple Case for Saying Obama Is the Favorite | Nate Silver |
| Revisiting Our February Jobs Prediction | Nate Silver |
| Nov. 2: For Romney to Win, State Polls Must Be Statistically Biased | Nate Silver |
| Nov. 3: Romney’s Reason to Play for Pennsylvania | Nate Silver |
| In Virginia, It’s Tradition Versus Change | Micah Cohen |
| State and National Polls Come Into Better Alignment | Nate Silver |
| Nov. 4: Did Hurricane Sandy Blow Romney Off Course? | Nate Silver |
| In Ohio, Polls Show Benefit of Auto Rescue to Obama | Micah Cohen |
| Nov. 5: Late Poll Gains for Obama Leave Romney With Longer Odds | Nate Silver |
| Special Coverage: The 2012 Presidential Election | Nate Silver |
| Stay Tuned… | Micah Cohen |
| As Nation and Parties Change, Republicans Are at an Electoral College Disadvantage | Nate Silver |
| Election Night Replay | Micah Cohen |
| Which Polls Fared Best (and Worst) in the 2012 Presidential Race | Nate Silver |
| Turnout Steady in Swing States and Down in Others, But Many Votes Remain Uncounted | Nate Silver |
| The Statistical Case Against Cabrera for M.V.P. | Nate Silver |
| Gay Vote Seen as Crucial in Obama’s Victory | Micah Cohen |
| Democrats Unlikely to Regain House in 2014 | Nate Silver |
| The 2012 Election, in a Relative Sense | Micah Cohen |
| Expansion by Big Ten May Bring Small Payoff | Nate Silver |
| Where Obama and Romney Beat Their Polls | Nate Silver |
| Pennsylvania Could Be a Path Forward for G.O.P. | Nate Silver |
| Congressional Proposal Could Create ‘Bubble’ in Tax Code | Nate Silver |
| In Silicon Valley, Technology Talent Gap Threatens G.O.P. Campaigns | Nate Silver |
| Polls Show Below-Average Post-Election Approval Bounce for Obama | Micah Cohen |
| When Internal Polls Mislead, a Whole Campaign May Be to Blame | Nate Silver |
| Alaska: Future Swing State? | Nate Silver |
| Two Senate Seats in South Carolina, but Few Democratic Prospects | Nate Silver |
| Marijuana Legalization and States Rights | Micah Cohen |
| Why Hillary Clinton Would Be Strong in 2016 (It’s Not Her Favorability Ratings) | Nate Silver |
| A Smart Breakaway for Big East Basketball Schools | Nate Silver |
| In Public ‘Conversation’ on Guns, a Rhetorical Shift | Nate Silver |
| Party Identity in a Gun Cabinet | Nate Silver |
| For Scott Brown, a Third Round in the Battle Against Partisan Gravity | Nate Silver |
| In House of Representatives, an Arithmetic Problem | Nate Silver |
| As Swing Districts Dwindle, Can a Divided House Stand? | Nate Silver |
| Were Obama’s Early Ads Really the Game Changer? | John Sides |