fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

March 2012

Democrats Favored to Pick Up Snowe Seat
A Warning on the Accuracy of Primary Polls
Santorum Remains Modest Favorite in Ohio
In Washington Caucus, Expect the Unexpected
Washington Keeps Romney on Winning Track
Why Romney Wants to Be Like Michael Dukakis
State-by-State Analysis: Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates
Santorum Slumps in Super Tuesday Polls
Super Tuesday Delegate Projection Update
In Caucus States, a Chance for (Almost) Every Candidate
A Guide to Super Tuesday Possibilities
How Ohio Voted Last Time
How Tennessee Voted Last Time
Romney and the Majority Track
Live Coverage: Super Tuesday
A Predictable Super Tuesday
How Would Santorum Do Without Gingrich?
How Daunting Is Santorum’s Delegate Math?
Kansas Offers Santorum Chance for Big Delegate Grab
Political Geography: Kansas
A Trip Inside the N.C.A.A. Bubble
In G.O.P. Nomination Race, Geography Has Been Destiny
Approval Ratings, Gas Prices and Statistical Noise
Polling in Deep South Has Posed Challenges
FiveThirtyEight Picks the N.C.A.A. Bracket
Political Geography: Alabama
Political Geography: Mississippi
What’s at Stake in Alabama and Mississippi
Live Coverage: Alabama and Mississippi Primaries
Why Is Santorum Overperforming His Poll Numbers?
For Romney and Santorum, a Battle of Chicago Versus Illinois
In Need of a Game Change, Santorum Plays Small Ball
Statehood Support Should Help Romney in Puerto Rico
In Illinois, Santorum’s Chance at Nomination Is Slipping Away
Political Geography: Illinois
Romney’s Slightly Exaggerated Advertising Edge
Live Coverage: the Illinois Primary
G.O.P. Nomination Becoming a One-Man Race
Introducing the Romney Magic Numbers Calculator
Etch A Sketch Highlights Missed Opportunities for Romney’s Rivals
Political Geography: Louisiana
G.O.P. Campaign Could End Soon — But Not in Louisiana
Models Based on ‘Fundamentals’ Have Failed at Predicting Presidential Elections
For a Romney Running Mate, Don’t Bet on a Governor
Polls Show Romney on Track for Win in Wisconsin
In Defense of Presidential Forecasting Models
Supreme Court May Be Most Conservative in Modern History
For Romney, a Widening Gap Between Urban and Rural Support