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August 2012

July 31: Obama Forecast Improves on Data Showing Faster Income Growth
Aug. 1: Obama Extends Electoral College Advantage
In Blue Hawaii, Senate Race Offers a Bit of Suspense
Aug. 2: When a Poll That Seems Like News Isn’t
July Jobs Report Likely to Preserve Status Quo
Aug. 3: A Good Week for Obama in Forecast
Aug. 4: Likely No New Blue States in November
Aug. 5: State Polls, National Polls, and Likely Voters
Aug. 6: Pace of Presidential Polling Has Slowed Considerably From 2008
Models, Models, Everywhere
Aug. 7: North Carolina Isn’t Central to Electoral Math
How Romney’s Pick of a Running Mate Could Sway the Outcome
Aug. 8: Colorado and Virginia Flip Places in Forecast
Aug. 9: National Polls Shouldn’t Panic Romney
Another Way for Romney to ‘Go Bold’? Pick a Moderate
Aug. 10: Iowa, the Forgotten Swing State
A Risky Rationale Behind Romney’s Choice of Ryan
Aug. 11: Will Ryan Pick Move the Polls?
What Are Paul Ryan’s Chances of Becoming President?
Could Ryan Tip Wisconsin Toward Romney?
Aug. 13: Polls Have Middling Reviews for Ryan
Aug. 14: The Fog of Polling — and Ryan’s ‘Bounce’ So Far
In Senate Races, Politics Are Local Again
Aug. 15: To Bounce, or Not to Bounce
Oregon, Sitting at the Border of Safe and In Play
Aug. 16: Why I’m Not Buying the Romney Rally
Aug. 17: Does a Bullish Stock Market Predict a Faster Recovery?
In Inelastic South Carolina, Change Is Unlikely
Aug. 18: Obama Leads Big — Among Those Least Likely to Vote
Akin Comments Could Swing Missouri Senate Race
In Picking Ryan, Romney Makes an All-In Move
Aug. 20: When the Polling Gets Weird
In Missouri’s Move to the Right, a Question of How Far
Aug. 21: Romney Showing Improved Results in Swing State Polls
Aug. 22: Keeping Score on a Busy Polling Day
Republican Voters Could Sit Out Missouri Senate Race
Aug. 23: Seven Ways to Evaluate a Poll
In South Dakota, Only the Farm Trumps Conservatism
Aug. 25: An Above-Average ‘Likely Voter Gap’ for Romney
How Will Party Conventions Affect the Presidential Race?
Aug. 26: Little Momentum in Polls in Advance of Conventions
Aug. 27: Michigan Isn’t a Tossup
Aug. 28: A Moment of Polling Clarity
In Florida, Tampa Is Essential to Romney Election Hopes
Measuring a Convention Bounce
Aug. 29: So Much Depends Upon Ohio
Base Turnout Strategy May Be Too Narrow for Romney
In Prudent Speech, Romney Seeks Role as Generic Republican
Aug. 30: Remember the Economy?
Delaware: A Small Example of a Larger Trend