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2012

November 2012

Oct. 31: Obama’s Electoral College ‘Firewall’ Holding in PollsNate Silver
In Nevada, Obama, Ryan and Signs of a New (Democratic-Leaning) NormalMicah Cohen
Nov. 1: The Simple Case for Saying Obama Is the FavoriteNate Silver
Revisiting Our February Jobs PredictionNate Silver
Nov. 2: For Romney to Win, State Polls Must Be Statistically BiasedNate Silver
Nov. 3: Romney’s Reason to Play for PennsylvaniaNate Silver
In Virginia, It’s Tradition Versus ChangeMicah Cohen
State and National Polls Come Into Better AlignmentNate Silver
Nov. 4: Did Hurricane Sandy Blow Romney Off Course?Nate Silver
In Ohio, Polls Show Benefit of Auto Rescue to ObamaMicah Cohen
Nov. 5: Late Poll Gains for Obama Leave Romney With Longer OddsNate Silver
Special Coverage: The 2012 Presidential ElectionNate Silver
Stay Tuned…Micah Cohen
As Nation and Parties Change, Republicans Are at an Electoral College DisadvantageNate Silver
Election Night ReplayMicah Cohen
Which Polls Fared Best (and Worst) in the 2012 Presidential RaceNate Silver
Turnout Steady in Swing States and Down in Others, But Many Votes Remain UncountedNate Silver
The Statistical Case Against Cabrera for M.V.P.Nate Silver
Gay Vote Seen as Crucial in Obama’s VictoryMicah Cohen
Democrats Unlikely to Regain House in 2014Nate Silver
The 2012 Election, in a Relative SenseMicah Cohen
Expansion by Big Ten May Bring Small PayoffNate Silver
Where Obama and Romney Beat Their PollsNate Silver
Pennsylvania Could Be a Path Forward for G.O.P.Nate Silver
Congressional Proposal Could Create ‘Bubble’ in Tax CodeNate Silver
In Silicon Valley, Technology Talent Gap Threatens G.O.P. CampaignsNate Silver
Polls Show Below-Average Post-Election Approval Bounce for ObamaMicah Cohen