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November 2018 graphics

69 matches

Line chart showing Democratic (50.3%) and Republican (41.8%) generic ballot polling averages from May 2017 to Election Day Nov. 6, 2018, with scatter points and confidence bands.

Charts 2018-11-02

Generic Ballot Polling: Democrats vs. Republicans (May 2017–Nov. 2018)

From Trump Put Immigration Back In The Headlines. Will It Boost GOP Turnout? by Janie Velencia

Line chart showing presidential approval and disapproval ratings over 651 days, with disapproval at 53.2% and approval at 42.0% as of day 651.

Charts 2018-11-02

Presidential Approval Ratings: 53.2% Disapprove, 42.0% Approve (Day 651)

From Trump Put Immigration Back In The Headlines. Will It Boost GOP Turnout? by Janie Velencia

Scatter plot showing trap effectiveness vs. average Bonds caught per trial for 1,211 reader-submitted traps, peaking around 50% trap effectiveness.

Charts 2018-11-02

How many Bonds did readers catch?

From How Far Would You Go To Rig A Coin Flip? by Oliver Roeder

Bar chart showing the probability that a card hand can be sorted in one move by hand size, declining from 1.0 at sizes 1-4 to 0.00277 at size 13.

Charts 2018-11-02

Probability that a hand can be sorted in one move

From How Far Would You Go To Rig A Coin Flip? by Oliver Roeder

Histogram showing the Bond-catching effectiveness of 1,211 reader-submitted traps, with number of submissions on the y-axis and trap effectiveness (0-100%) on the x-axis.

Charts 2018-11-02

What kinds of traps did readers build?

From How Far Would You Go To Rig A Coin Flip? by Oliver Roeder

Bubble chart showing career-best NFL Approximate Value for spread-system quarterbacks by best college season year (1979-2017), sized by draft-slot value, with players like Mahomes, Bradford, and Young labeled.

Charts 2018-11-02

The rise, fall and rebirth of the college system passer

From Patrick Mahomes Is Proving That QBs From Gimmicky College Offenses Can Succeed In The NFL by Neil Paine

Line chart showing the estimated number of legal cases challenging election results in state and federal courts per year from 1996 to 2016, with an overall upward trend.

Charts 2018-11-05

Legal cases challenging election results are on the rise

From Who Should Recount Elections: People … Or Machines? by Maggie Koerth

FiveThirtyEight histogram showing probability distribution of Senate seat outcomes for the 2018 midterms, with a 1-in-6 chance Democrats win control and 5-in-6 chance Republicans keep control.

Charts 2018-11-05

2018 Senate Forecast: 1 in 6 Chance Democrats Win Control

From Final Senate Update: The 13 Races We’re Watching by Geoffrey Skelley

FiveThirtyEight forecast chart showing a 6-in-7 chance Democrats win House control with an average gain of 36 seats, displayed as a probability distribution histogram split by party majority.

Charts 2018-11-06

6 in 7 Chance Democrats Win House Control — FiveThirtyEight Forecast

From Final Election Update: Democrats Aren’t Certain To Take The House, But They’re Pretty Clear Favorites by Nate Silver

Distribution chart showing FiveThirtyEight's House forecast with 6 in 7 chance Democrats win control (85.8%) and average gain of +36 Democratic seats, with 80% chance of gaining 20 to 54 seats.

Charts 2018-11-06

6 in 7 Chance Democrats Win House Control — FiveThirtyEight Forecast

From Our Final Forecast In The Senate, House And Gubernatorial Races by Nathaniel Rakich

Waffle-style area chart showing Democrats expected to govern 64.4% and Republicans 35.6% of the US population based on 2018 gubernatorial race forecasts.

Charts 2018-11-06

Our forecast for every race for governor

From Our Final Forecast In The Senate, House And Gubernatorial Races by Nathaniel Rakich

FiveThirtyEight probability distribution chart showing Senate seat outcomes, with 1 in 6 chance Democrats win control (18%) and 5 in 6 chance Republicans keep control (82%).

Charts 2018-11-06

Senate Control Forecast: 1 in 6 Chance Democrats Win Control

From Our Final Forecast In The Senate, House And Gubernatorial Races by Nathaniel Rakich

US Electoral College map showing Democrat 278 vs Republican 260 electoral votes, with states colored blue or red and labeled with abbreviations and vote counts.

Maps 2018-11-08

Electoral College Map: Democrat 278 vs Republican 260

From The 2018 Map Looked A Lot Like 2012 … And That Got Me Thinking About 2020 by Nate Silver

US Electoral College map showing Democrat 314 vs Republican 224 electoral votes, with states colored blue or red and labeled with abbreviations and vote counts.

Maps 2018-11-08

Electoral College Map: Democrat 314 vs Republican 224

From The 2018 Map Looked A Lot Like 2012 … And That Got Me Thinking About 2020 by Nate Silver

Line chart showing the share of WAR and plate appearances for MLB position players age 32 and older from 1970 to the late 2010s, illustrating a recent decline.

Charts 2018-11-08

Veteran players are losing time and production

From Nobody Wants Baseball’s 30-Something Free Agents Anymore 😞 by Travis Sawchik

Line chart showing share of WAR and plate appearances for MLB position players ages 18-26 from 1970 to late 2010s, illustrating young players gaining playing time and production.

Charts 2018-11-08

Young players are gaining in playing time and production

From Nobody Wants Baseball’s 30-Something Free Agents Anymore 😞 by Travis Sawchik

Line chart showing presidential approval and disapproval ratings over time from January 2023 to September 2024, with disapproval at 52.4% and approval at 42.0% on Day 658.

Charts 2018-11-09

Presidential Approval Ratings: 52.4% Disapprove, 42.0% Approve

From The 2018 Gender Gap Was Huge by Janie Velencia

Line chart showing optimal coin weight over 125 years to avoid a 99th percentile statistical challenge, starting near 0.615 and converging toward 0.500.

Charts 2018-11-09

Riddler Classic: How Far Would You Go To Rig A Coin Flip?

From What Are The Odds You’d Already Have My Number? by Oliver Roeder

Dot plot showing the percentage difference between votes cast for governor and U.S. Senate in every Florida county in the 2018 midterm election, highlighting Broward County as an outlier at 3.7%.

Charts 2018-11-09

A lot of Broward County voters skipped the Senate race

From Something Looks Weird In Broward County. Here’s What We Know About A Possible Florida Recount. by Nathaniel Rakich

Small multiples chart showing Stockfish engine evaluations for each game of the 2018 World Chess Championship between Caruana and Carlsen, with Game 1 completed and games 2-12 pending.

Charts 2018-11-09

The 2018 World Chess Championship — so far

From The World Chess Championship Opened With A Wild Draw by Oliver Roeder

Small multiples chart showing Stockfish engine evaluations for each game of the 2018 World Chess Championship between Caruana and Carlsen, with Games 1 and 2 completed as draws.

Charts 2018-11-10

The 2018 World Chess Championship — so far

From The World Chess Championship Is Deadlocked After Game 2 by Oliver Roeder

Scatter plot showing NFL teams by first-down run rate vs. first-down run success rate, with the Packers and Rams highlighted.

Charts 2018-11-12

The Packers are running great — when they do run

From The Packers Need To Depend On Aaron … Jones by Michael Salfino

Small multiples chart showing Stockfish engine evaluations for each game of the 2018 World Chess Championship between Caruana and Carlsen, with games 1-3 showing draw results and games 4-12 as upcoming placeholders.

Charts 2018-11-12

The 2018 World Chess Championship — so far

From Computers Are Haunting The World Chess Championship (Which, Yes, Is Still Tied) by Oliver Roeder

Stacked bar chart showing the number of women who ran for and won U.S. House and Senate seats from 1974 to 2018, with 2018 reaching a record high of about 257 candidates.

Charts 2018-11-13

A record year for female members of Congress

From The 2018 Midterms, In 4 Charts by Rachael Dottle, Ella Koeze, Julia Wolfe

Small multiple choropleth maps of US states showing midterm voter turnout from 1982 to 2018, with 2018 highlighted as unprecedented and annotations for Minnesota, Texas, and Georgia.

Maps 2018-11-13

Midterm voter turnout in 2018 is unprecedented

From The 2018 Midterms, In 4 Charts by Rachael Dottle, Ella Koeze, Julia Wolfe

Area chart showing turnover in U.S. House membership per two-year election cycle since 1974, comparing total members to departing members.

Charts 2018-11-13

Nearly a quarter of Congress is leaving

From The 2018 Midterms, In 4 Charts by Rachael Dottle, Ella Koeze, Julia Wolfe

Small multiples line chart showing Stockfish engine evaluations for each game of the 2018 World Chess Championship between Caruana and Carlsen, with games 1-4 completed as draws and games 5-12 scheduled.

Charts 2018-11-13

The 2018 World Chess Championship — so far

From The Biggest Blunder Of The World Chess Championship Is A Deleted YouTube Video by Oliver Roeder

Horizontal bar chart showing popular vote margin in House of Representatives races by election year from 1992 to 2018, with blue bars for Democratic margins and red for Republican.

Charts 2018-11-14

Democrats won the House popular vote by a lot this year

From Yes, It Was A Blue Wave. No, It Doesn’t Matter For 2020.

Paired diverging arrow charts showing the change in seat breakdown from the previous election for the U.S. House and Senate since 1926, with blue arrows for Democratic gains and red for Republican gains.

Charts 2018-11-14

The House and Senate swung away from each other

From Yes, It Was A Blue Wave. No, It Doesn’t Matter For 2020.

Choropleth map of Texas counties colored red or blue showing Ted Cruz won 222 of 254 counties in the 2018 Senate race, illustrating an urban-rural split.

Maps 2018-11-14

An Urban-Rural Split in the Texas Senate Race

From What Really Happened In Texas by Kirk Goldsberry

Infographic showing how Ted Cruz won the 2018 Texas Senate race by carrying rural counties, comparing vote shares and margins in the 5 biggest vs. other 249 counties with Texas maps.

Other 2018-11-14

Cruz Won By Carrying Rural Areas

From What Really Happened In Texas by Kirk Goldsberry

Bubble map of Texas counties showing the increase in voters between 2014 and 2018 midterms, with largest bubbles in Dallas-Fort Worth, Houston, Austin, and San Antonio.

Maps 2018-11-14

This Year's Midterms Drew A Lot More Voters

From What Really Happened In Texas by Kirk Goldsberry

Choropleth map of Texas counties showing Beto O'Rourke vote share by color and voter turnout increase from 2014 to 2018 by bubble size.

Maps 2018-11-14

Turnout Spiked in Democratic-Leaning Areas

From What Really Happened In Texas by Kirk Goldsberry

Horizontal stacked bar chart showing offensive win share of top four departing players from NCAA championship teams since the one-and-done era, with Villanova 2017-18 highlighted.

Charts 2018-11-14

Villanova took an especially big hit on offense

From Villanova Is Basically Starting From Scratch by Daniel Levitt

Dual-axis bar and line chart showing relative risk of all-cause mortality and percentage of adults by minutes per week of moderate-to-vigorous physical activity, with annotated dose-response characteristics.

Charts 2018-11-15

Figure D-1. Risk of All-Cause Mortality and Self-Reported Physical Activity, by Minutes of Moderate-to-Vigorous Physical

From It’s Easier Than Ever To Get The Recommended Amount Of Exercise by Christie Aschwanden

Small multiples line charts showing Stockfish engine advantage evaluations for each game of the 2018 World Chess Championship between Caruana and Carlsen, with games 1-5 completed and 6-12 scheduled.

Charts 2018-11-15

The 2018 World Chess Championship — so far

From What’s It Gonna Take For Somebody To Win A Chess Game? by Oliver Roeder

Horizontal bar chart showing the share of Senate seats defended by the nonpresidential party in midterm elections from 1914 to 2018, with 2018 highlighted at 74% for Democrats.

Charts 2018-11-16

Democrats really did have a lot of Senate seats at risk

From Why Did The House Get Bluer And The Senate Get Redder? by Geoffrey Skelley

Stacked bar chart showing the number of female primary candidates for Congress by year and party from 1992 to 2018, with Democrats surging dramatically in 2018.

Charts 2018-11-16

In 2018, Democrats fueled the year of the woman

From At Least 123 Women Will Be In The Next Congress. Just 19 Are Republicans. by Meredith Conroy

Stacked bar chart showing the number of Republican and Democratic women in the U.S. House and Senate by Congress from the 101st to the incoming 116th Congress.

Charts 2018-11-16

There will be fewer Republican women in Congress

From At Least 123 Women Will Be In The Next Congress. Just 19 Are Republicans. by Meredith Conroy

Bar charts comparing Simple Rating System scores since 1900 for Iowa State, Iowa, and Nebraska football programs, showing Iowa State has generally trailed its neighbors.

Charts 2018-11-16

The Cyclones have usually fallen short of their neighbors

From Iowa State Is A Contender (Finally) by Josh Planos

Choropleth map of California showing drought conditions as of Nov. 13, 2018, with Camp Fire and Woolsey Fire locations marked in green.

Maps 2018-11-16

A lot of California is dry, but not in drought

From Why California’s Wildfires Are So Destructive, In 5 Charts by Christie Aschwanden, Anna Maria Barry-Jester, Ella Koeze, Maggie Koerth

A grid of ten small multiples showing California maps with varying color patterns in orange, black, and teal representing different data layers or time periods.

Maps 2018-11-16

California Small Multiple Maps Grid

From Why California’s Wildfires Are So Destructive, In 5 Charts by Christie Aschwanden, Anna Maria Barry-Jester, Ella Koeze, Maggie Koerth

Choropleth map of California showing tree mortality in 2017 with dead trees per acre highlighted along the Sierra Nevada, with Camp Fire and Woolsey Fire locations marked.

Maps 2018-11-16

Dead trees make for plenty of fuel in California

From Why California’s Wildfires Are So Destructive, In 5 Charts by Christie Aschwanden, Anna Maria Barry-Jester, Ella Koeze, Maggie Koerth

Map of California showing wildland-urban interface zones in 2015, highlighting areas where housing intersects fire-prone landscapes, with Camp Fire and Woolsey Fire locations marked.

Maps 2018-11-16

Humans are encroaching on California's wilderness — WUI Map 2015

From Why California’s Wildfires Are So Destructive, In 5 Charts by Christie Aschwanden, Anna Maria Barry-Jester, Ella Koeze, Maggie Koerth

Scatter plot showing precipitation vs. average temperature in California from January through October each year, 1895-2018, with 2018 highlighted as hot and dry.

Charts 2018-11-16

It's hot and dry — California precipitation vs. temperature 1895-2018

From Why California’s Wildfires Are So Destructive, In 5 Charts by Christie Aschwanden, Anna Maria Barry-Jester, Ella Koeze, Maggie Koerth

Line chart showing average temperature in California from January through October each year from 1895 to 2018, with a clear upward trend in recent decades.

Charts 2018-11-16

It's hot in California

From Why California’s Wildfires Are So Destructive, In 5 Charts by Christie Aschwanden, Anna Maria Barry-Jester, Ella Koeze, Maggie Koerth

Stacked area chart showing the percentage of chess games resulting in a win as White, win as Black, or draw across average Elo ratings from 1600 to 2600, illustrating that draws become far more common at expert levels.

Charts 2018-11-16

Draws are far more common in expert chess matches

From Chess World Rattled As Someone Nearly Wins Game by Oliver Roeder

Small multiples chart showing Stockfish engine advantage evaluations for each game of the 2018 World Chess Championship between Caruana and Carlsen, with games 1-6 shown and games 7-12 as placeholders.

Charts 2018-11-16

The 2018 World Chess Championship — so far

From Chess World Rattled As Someone Nearly Wins Game by Oliver Roeder

Small multiples line charts showing Stockfish engine advantage evaluations for each game of the 2018 World Chess Championship between Caruana and Carlsen, games 1-7 shown with draws, games 8-12 upcoming.

Charts 2018-11-18

The 2018 World Chess Championship — so far

From Another World Chess Championship Draw — It’s Time For Caruana To Attack by Oliver Roeder

Line chart showing the median difference between margin of victory in statewide Senate and governor races in midterm elections from 1990 to 2018, with a declining trend.

Charts 2018-11-19

Voters are increasingly voting for the same party

From Split-Ticket Voting Hit A New Low In 2018 Senate And Governor Races by Geoffrey Skelley

Small multiples line charts showing Stockfish engine advantage evaluations for each of the first 8 games of the 2018 World Chess Championship between Caruana and Carlsen, all ending in draws.

Charts 2018-11-19

The 2018 World Chess Championship — so far

From One Bad Pawn Move Has Kept The World Chess Championship Deadlocked by Oliver Roeder

Line chart showing US midterm election voter turnout as a share of voting-eligible population from 1974 to 2018, with 2018 reaching nearly 50%, the highest in the period shown.

Charts 2018-11-20

Midterm turnout was extremely high

From Trump’s Base Isn’t Enough by Nate Silver

Small multiples line charts showing Stockfish engine advantage in pawns for each game of the 2018 World Chess Championship between Caruana and Carlsen, games 1-9 completed as draws.

Charts 2018-11-21

The 2018 World Chess Championship — so far

From It Was Finally Fabiano Caruana’s Turn To Survive At The World Chess Championship by Oliver Roeder

Small multiples line charts showing Stockfish engine advantage evaluations for each game of the 2018 World Chess Championship between Caruana and Carlsen, games 1-10 all ending in draws.

Charts 2018-11-23

The 2018 World Chess Championship — so far

From Chess World Celebrates A ‘Sensational’ Move … That Leads To A Championship Draw by Oliver Roeder

Small multiples line chart showing Stockfish engine advantage evaluations for each game of the 2018 World Chess Championship between Caruana and Carlsen, games 1–11 all ending in draws.

Charts 2018-11-24

The 2018 World Chess Championship — so far

From Caruana ‘Suffers Successfully’ In Game 11 Of The World Chess Championship by Oliver Roeder

Small multiples line charts showing Stockfish engine advantage evaluations for all 12 games of the 2018 World Chess Championship between Caruana and Carlsen, all ending in draws.

Charts 2018-11-26

The 2018 World Chess Championship: 12 games and 0 winners

From Carlsen’s Bizarre Decision Has Sent The World Chess Championship To Overtime by Oliver Roeder

Table showing partisan divisions in Americans' views of global warming by Republican, Independent, and Democrat for 2017 and 2018, sourced from Gallup.

Tables 2018-11-28

Partisan Divisions in Americans' Views of Global Warming

From How Much Does Climate Science Matter In A World Run By Politics?

Line chart showing percent of Democrats and Republicans who worry about climate change a great deal by education level, with Democrats rising and Republicans falling.

Charts 2018-11-28

Percent saying they worry about climate change "a great deal"

From How Much Does Climate Science Matter In A World Run By Politics?

Three area charts showing Stockfish engine evaluations for each 2018 World Chess Championship tiebreaker rapid game, with Carlsen winning all three.

Charts 2018-11-28

The 2018 World Chess Championship tiebreakers

From Magnus Carlsen Is, Again, The World Chess Champion by Oliver Roeder

Scatter plot showing NFL teams' road vs. home winning percentages from 2010-17, with the Patriots highlighted as an outlier well above the trend line.

Charts 2018-11-28

The Pats usually win more road games than they should

From The Patriots Aren’t Quite Their Usual Dominant Selves This Year by Neil Paine

Bubble timeline chart showing special investigations since 1973 by number of indictments and guilty pleas per week, comparing Watergate, Iran-Contra, Russia, and other probes across years into investigation.

Charts 2018-11-29

Michael Cohen pleads guilty to latest Mueller charge

From Michael Cohen Is The 33rd Person Mueller Has Charged — And Could Be Among The Most Important by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Line chart showing presidential approval and disapproval ratings over 679 days, with disapproval at 52.6% and approval at 42.4% as of November 2023.

Charts 2018-11-30

Presidential Approval Ratings: 52.6% Disapprove, 42.4% Approve (Day 679)

From Which Senators Might Be Vulnerable To A Primary Challenge In 2020? by Geoffrey Skelley

Line chart showing expected number of rounds vs N, with a dark blue simulated line, blue confidence band, and red linear reference line rising from 0 to about 260 as N goes from 0 to 100.

Charts 2018-11-30

Expected Number of Rounds vs. N

From Alice And Bob Fall In Love by Oliver Roeder

Line chart showing the expected number of balls thrown as a function of N, with an exponential-like curve rising from 0 to about 52000 as N goes from 0 to 100.

Charts 2018-11-30

Expected number of balls thrown

From Alice And Bob Fall In Love by Oliver Roeder

Line chart showing win probability increasing from about 0.5 to over 0.9 as the number of games played rises from 10 to 300.

Charts 2018-11-30

Win Probability vs. Number of Games

From Alice And Bob Fall In Love by Oliver Roeder

Line chart showing 30-day rolling average of r/nba comments by Philadelphia 76ers fans from Oct. 2011 to Oct. 2018, rising sharply around 2018.

Charts 2018-11-30

76ers fans are growing more active

From What Reddit Can Tell Us About NBA Fan Bases by Owen Phillips

Line chart showing 30-day rolling average of Reddit r/nba comments by Lakers and Cavaliers fans from Oct 2011 to Oct 2018, illustrating LeBron James's effect on fan engagement.

Charts 2018-11-30

Lakers vs. Cavs: the LeBron effect

From What Reddit Can Tell Us About NBA Fan Bases by Owen Phillips

Small multiples line charts showing 30-day rolling average of Reddit comment volume for each NBA team's fan base relative to peak activity from October 2011 to 2018.

Charts 2018-11-30

The highs and lows of each team's fan base activity on Reddit

From What Reddit Can Tell Us About NBA Fan Bases by Owen Phillips

Small multiples line chart showing 30-day rolling average of Reddit comment volume for each NBA team's fan base from October 2011 to 2018, relative to each team's peak activity.

Charts 2018-11-30

The highs and lows of each team's fan base activity on Reddit

From What Reddit Can Tell Us About NBA Fan Bases by Owen Phillips