fivethirtyeightindex

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September 2018

Politics Podcast: Is The Path Of Trump’s Presidency Set?
Supreme Court Confirmation Hearings Have More Questions And Fewer Answers Than Ever Before
Will We Get The Next Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez In This Week’s Primaries?
Significant Digits For Tuesday, Sept. 4, 2018
What Does Science Tell Us About Sex Ed?
The Jazz Did Nothing This Summer And Are Title Contenders Now
Election Update: Democrats Are In Their Best Position Yet To Retake The House
McCain’s Replacement Is No Maverick
Why Democrats Were So Fiery On Day 1 Of The Kavanaugh Hearings
Does The GOP Belong To Trump?
Why Ayanna Pressley’s Upset Win In Massachusetts Isn’t Really Like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s
Significant Digits For Wednesday, Sept. 5, 2018
Can You Beat FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Forecasts?
Sex Ed Is About More Than Just Sex
NFL 2018: The Good, The Bad And The Browns
How Our NFL Predictions Work
How Our NFL Predictions Work
Kavanaugh Was Quietly Conservative On Day 2 Of His Hearing
What We Actually Know About ‘Electability’
Significant Digits For Thursday, Sept. 6, 2018
What Arguments About Sex Ed Are Really About
Here’s A New, Less Volatile Version Of Our Generic Ballot Tracker
For A Passing League, The NFL Still Doesn’t Pass Enough
Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts
The Rams And Bears Spent Big On Non-Quarterbacks. Will They Regret It?
Why Democrats Were Willing To Break The Rules On Kavanaugh Day 3
Just About Everyone In Florida Has Already Decided Who To Vote For
What’s Still On Mueller’s To-Do List?
Significant Digits For Friday, Sept. 7, 2018
I’d Like To Use My Riddler Lifeline
The Serve-And-Volley Works, But Women’s Tennis Players Aren’t Using It
Politics Podcast: How Useless Are Supreme Court Confirmation Hearings?
How The Mystics Can Pull Off An Upset In The WNBA Finals
How Money Affects Elections
Significant Digits For Monday, Sept. 10, 2018
Old-School Stats Or Fancy-Pants Analytics? The Red Sox Have An MVP Candidate For Each.
The Last 2018 Primary Briefing: New Hampshire, Rhode Island And New York
Politics Podcast: Inside The Trump Administration
Democrats Don’t Care About Policy Compromise Anymore — Just Like Republicans
Americans Are Shifting The Rest Of Their Identity To Match Their Politics
Significant Digits For Tuesday, Sept. 11, 2018
2018 Senate Forecast
Arizona - 2018 Senate Forecast
Minnesota - 2018 Senate Forecast
Missouri - 2018 Senate Forecast
Nevada - 2018 Senate Forecast
New Jersey - 2018 Senate Forecast
Ohio - 2018 Senate Forecast
Tennessee - 2018 Senate Forecast
Vermont - 2018 Senate Forecast
West Virginia - 2018 Senate Forecast
It’s Always A Bull Market For Tom Thibodeau
Does Obama Motivate Democrats Anymore? Or Just Republicans?
Significant Digits For Wednesday, Sept. 12, 2018
Election Update: The Swing District Showdown
Bengals-Ravens — On A Thursday Night! — Is The Most Important Game Of Week 2
How FiveThirtyEight’s House, Senate And Governor Models Work
Republicans Are Favorites In The Senate, But Democrats Have Two Paths To An Upset
Politics Podcast: The Battle For The Senate Is Full Of Interesting Races
We Aren’t Ready For Hurricanes Like Florence
Significant Digits For Thursday, Sept. 13, 2018
Election Update: Democrats’ Chances In The 13 Romney-Clinton Districts
Was Jalen Ramsey Right About Gronk?
Why Le’Veon Bell Might Make More Money If He Ends His Holdout Now
Trump’s Approval Rating Is Down. Mueller’s Is Up. Is There A Connection?
The White House Unified On Old Issues — And Then Started New Fights
Significant Digits For Friday, Sept. 14, 2018
To Solve The Eccentric Billionaire’s Puzzle, You Must First Defeat The Banker
Tommy John Surgeries Are Down In MLB. Will It Last?
3 Things That Could Decide The Second Alvarez-Golovkin Fight
Politics Podcast: What Manafort’s Plea Means For Trump
What Happens To Brett Kavanaugh’s Nomination Now
Can Vulnerable California Republicans Stay Out Of Trump’s Shadow?
Significant Digits For Monday, Sept. 17, 2018
Americans Didn’t Believe Anita Hill. How Will They Respond To Kavanaugh’s Accuser?
Slow-Moving Storms Like Florence Produce Big Floods — And Are Becoming The Norm
The Best College Football Programs Of The 1990s Are Suddenly Terrible
Politics Podcast: Kavanaugh’s Confirmation Could Be In Trouble
Will Democratic Senators Lose Despite The ‘Blue Wave’?
Significant Digits For Tuesday, Sept. 18, 2018
Why Manafort’s Flip May Matter More Than 25 Russian Indictments
The Orioles And Royals Could At Least Still Beat Triple-A Teams … Right?
Election Update: Who’s Leading In Obama-Trump Districts
Significant Digits For Wednesday, Sept. 19, 2018
How Will The Troubled Kavanaugh Nomination Affect The Midterms?
The Sharks Got Scarier
Patrick Mahomes And The Chiefs Are Red-Hot. For Once, They Might Stay That Way.
Beto O’Rourke Is Crafting His Own Mythology
Can A Democrat Really Win A Senate Race In Tennessee? Or Mississippi?!?!
Significant Digits For Thursday, Sept. 20, 2018
Vegas Doesn’t Usually Set Huge Underdogs In Week 3. For The Bills, They’ll Make An Exception.
Politics Podcast: Our Forecast Is 7,000 Lines Of Code
The Gender Gap Might Narrow From 2016 — But That Could Be Bad For The GOP
Significant Digits For Friday, Sept. 21, 2018
Two Paths Diverged In A City And I, I Took The Block Less Traveled By
Jameis Winston Is A Better Quarterback Than Ryan Fitzpatrick
Memo To NFL GMs: Stop Drafting Kickers
Kavanaugh May Be Getting More Unpopular
We Looked At Hundreds Of Endorsements. Here’s Who Republicans Are Listening To.
Significant Digits For Monday, Sept. 24, 2018
How Tiger Woods Finally Put It All Together Again
The Biggest Divides On The Kavanaugh Allegations Are By Party — Not Gender
If Kavanaugh Doesn’t Make It, Who’s Next?
Don’t Assume Trump Will Fire Rosenstein — Or That He Won’t
The GOP’s Least-Worst Option Is If Kavanaugh Withdraws — And Soon
Significant Digits For Tuesday, Sept. 25, 2018
Who Needs Bryce Harper When You Have Aaron Hicks?
Live Politics Podcast: Will Trump Fire Rosenstein? Withdraw Kavanaugh?
Does CBD Really Do Anything?
The Teams That Should — And Shouldn’t — Trade For Jimmy Butler
Science Says Toxic Masculinity — More Than Alcohol — Leads To Sexual Assault
Will The GOP Base Really Stay Home If Kavanaugh Isn’t Confirmed?
Significant Digits For Wednesday, Sept. 26, 2018
The Patriots Look Finished. So They Will Probably Win The Super Bowl.
What Happened In The Brett Kavanaugh Hearing
The 7 Senators Who Will Decide Kavanaugh’s Fate
Christian Yelich Isn’t Even Trying To Hit Home Runs
What To Watch For In Today’s Kavanaugh Confirmation Hearing
Significant Digits For Thursday, Sept. 27, 2018
Alabama’s Offense Is Now As Terrifying As Its Defense
Politics Podcast: What Happens After The Kavanaugh Hearing?
Election Update: Why Our Model Thinks Beto O’Rourke Really Has A Chance In Texas
Significant Digits For Friday, Sept. 28, 2018
The Robot Invasion Has Come For Our Pool Halls
The Ford-Kavanaugh Hearing Was A Clash Of Gender Politics
There Are Officially Zero Men’s Grand Slam Winners In Their 20s
Do Republican Women Support Kavanaugh?
Why Humans Are Bad At Spotting Lies
Emergency Politics Podcast: Flake News!