fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

May 2010

Third Time’s the Charm for Cameron
Nerdfight: UK Election Model Methodology
Is the Lib-Dem Surge for Real? (Part 3: Strategy)
A Closer Look At Friday’s GDP Report
Nerdfight: Episode IV — Return of the Tories
Rising Optimism in the White House?
UK Election: “Frankenstein” Win for Labour Still Possible
How Far Right, Hoosier Republicans?
Conservatives Climb To 308 in UK Seats Projection; Labour 198, LibDems 113
Today's Democratic Senate Primaries
Rising Optimism in the White House?
The Incumbency Effect in the UK
Guest Article: UK Elections Modelling, The Third Way
NC Runoff, Coats and Fisher Win Amid Light Turnout
A Hung Parliament Could Work Well For Cameron
Dino Rossi: #51?
Final UK Projection: Conservatives 312, Labour 204, LibDems 103
UK Quick and Dirty
UK Election Day Scenarios
Scotland: An Electoral Bastion for Labour
Liveblog: UK Election Returns
UK Election Returns: Overnight Blog
Telephone Polls Closer to Mark in UK
Utah Will Have New Senator
Hyundai's Very Undude Car Ads
Unemployment and Educational Achievement
Why Southern Republicans Are "Raising Arizona"
Sestakular!
On Kagan's Minority Hiring Record
The Protestant-Free Court
UK Forecasting Retrospective
Value Over Replacement Justice
Con-Lib Pact Brings Cameron to PM's Chair
Mollohan Loss Costly for Democrats, Scary for Incumbents
Kagan, New York, and "the Heartland"
Political Comebacks, Compliments of Las Malvinas
White House Case for Specter Support Unpersuasive
Don't Take Polling Literally, Part #39916
GOP Taps Tampa
Is the Lib Dem Surge for Real (Part 4: The meltdown)
In Backing Insurgents, Republicans Face November Risks
The Return of the (Really) Conservative Democrat?
Polls, Intangibles Favor Sestak
Ideology, Geography and Race: Arkansas Senate Primary Preview
What PA-12 Means for PA-Sen, Pelosi's Majority -- And, oh, PA-12
What PA-12 Means for PA-Sen, Pelosi’s Majority — And, oh, PA-12
In Connecticut, Dems May Need to Draft New Candidate
Benchmarking PA-12
Kentucky Senate Preview
Election Night Homethread (5/18/10)
Late Evening Election Night Thread (5/18/10)
What Tuesday Really Meant
Does Critz Victory Mean That Much?
Move Right and Win? We'll Soon See
Soft Landing for Blumenthal?
The Whitman-Poizner Slugfest Gets Serious
Paulapollooza
Homework Assignment
In the Shadow of Meg & Steve & Jerry: Update on the California Senate Race
Gingrich Sounds Amped to Run
Apartheid was Helped by a Twisted Election System
Finally: Something The Parties Agree About
Storm Clouds On the Economic Horizon?
Lost in Hawaii
Study: Excluding Cellphones Introduces Statistically Significant Bias in Polls
Might This Be a Good Time for Instant Runoff?
Gingrich Slams Paulson, Obama, Sarbanes-Oxley and Even W (a little)
Move Right and Win, Revisited
Blast from Rasmussen’s Past
A New Poll of 500 Political Junkies...
A New Poll of 500 Political Junkies…
Move Left and…Nothing Happens
Department of Colossally Stupid Ideas: Repeal 17th Amendment
Wisconsin Senate: Feingold 46%, Smithee (R) 44%
Colombian Presidential Election Headed for a Run-off
A Closer Look at First Quarter GDP
Southern Primaries Often Confound Pollsters
Raw and Messy: Alabama Primary Preview