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September 2020 graphics

51 matches

Line chart showing end-of-season Elo ratings for Georgetown men's basketball from 1972-73 to 1998-99 under coach John Thompson Jr., with peaks at Final Four appearances in 1982, 1984, and 1985.

Charts 2020-09-01

John Thompson's arrival led to Georgetown's rise

From John Thompson’s Unapologetic Blackness Changed College Basketball by Santul Nerkar, Chris Herring

Line chart showing two probability trends from June 1 to November 1, with blue line at 70 in 100 and red line at 30 in 100.

Charts 2020-09-02

70 in 100 vs 30 in 100 probability over time

From Trump May Have Gotten A Convention Bounce. But It’s Very Slight And May Already Be Fading. by Geoffrey Skelley

Line chart showing how the election forecast has changed in Arizona over time, with blue line at 59 in 100 and red line at 41 in 100.

Charts 2020-09-03

How the forecast has changed in Arizona

From Election Update: Biden Gets Good Polls In Arizona And Wisconsin — And A Bad One In Pennsylvania by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing how the election forecast has changed in Pennsylvania over time, with the Democratic candidate at 66 in 100 and Republican at 34 in 100.

Charts 2020-09-03

How the forecast has changed in Pennsylvania

From Election Update: Biden Gets Good Polls In Arizona And Wisconsin — And A Bad One In Pennsylvania by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing how the election forecast has changed in Wisconsin over time, with one candidate at 73 in 100 and the other at 27 in 100.

Charts 2020-09-03

How the forecast has changed in Wisconsin

From Election Update: Biden Gets Good Polls In Arizona And Wisconsin — And A Bad One In Pennsylvania by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing end-of-season QB Elo ratings vs. NFL average for New England Patriots starting quarterbacks Bledsoe, Brady, Cassel, and Newton from 1992 to 2020.

Charts 2020-09-03

Brady consistently gave the Pats great quarterbacking

From Newton Can Replace Brady, But Can The Pats Replace Half Of Their Defense? by Neil Paine

Line chart showing Democratic and Republican polling averages from April 2019 to Election Day Nov. 3, 2020, with Democrats at 48.7% and Republicans at 41.3%.

Charts 2020-09-04

Democratic vs. Republican Polling Averages April 2019–Nov. 2020

From Trump’s Law And Order Message Isn’t Resonating With Most Americans by Geoffrey Skelley

Line chart showing presidential approval and disapproval ratings from January 2017 through Day 1,323, with disapproval at 52.3% and approval at 43.4%.

Charts 2020-09-04

Presidential Approval Ratings Over Time

From Trump’s Law And Order Message Isn’t Resonating With Most Americans by Geoffrey Skelley

Line chart showing change in total jobs relative to February 2020 by industry from February to August 2020, with leisure and hospitality showing the steepest decline.

Charts 2020-09-04

Industries are recovering, but they're not back to normal

From The Easy Part Of The Economic Recovery Might Be Over by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Neil Paine, Julia Wolfe

Stacked bar chart showing total layoffs seasonally adjusted by permanence from February to August, with permanent layoffs rising as a share of total.

Charts 2020-09-04

Total layoffs are down, but more of them are permanent

From The Easy Part Of The Economic Recovery Might Be Over by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Neil Paine, Julia Wolfe

Bar chart showing COVID-19 cases at Power Five college football schools by conference as of Sept. 2, 2020, with Alabama and North Carolina among the highest.

Charts 2020-09-08

There are lots of cases at the schools playing football

From Football Is Coming To Three Of The Power Five Conferences. COVID-19 Is Already There. by Josh Planos

Line chart showing median and 80 percent confidence interval for predicted fourth-quarter real GDP growth from July to September 2020, with 10th, 50th, and 90th percentile lines.

Charts 2020-09-10

America's growth ceiling has hit a plateau

From Economists’ Best- And Worst-Case Scenarios For The Recovery Haven’t Changed Very Much by Neil Paine, Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Line chart showing Premier League teams' xG difference per 90 minutes from 2017-18 to 2019-20, with Manchester City leading and Liverpool second.

Charts 2020-09-10

Manchester City is dominating in expected goals

From Will Liverpool Run Away With The Premier League Again, Or Can Manchester City Take The Title Back? by Terrence Doyle

Line chart showing Democratic vs Republican generic ballot polling averages from April 2019 to September 2020, with Democrats at 48.5% and Republicans at 42.0%.

Charts 2020-09-11

Generic Ballot Polling: Democrats 48.5% vs Republicans 42.0%

From Trump And Biden Both Got Small Convention Bounces. But Only Biden Got More Popular. by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing Trump approval and disapproval ratings from January 2017 through mid-2020, with disapproval at 53.1% and approval at 42.7%.

Charts 2020-09-11

Trump Approval Rating: 53.1% Disapprove, 42.7% Approve

From Trump And Biden Both Got Small Convention Bounces. But Only Biden Got More Popular. by Nathaniel Rakich

Heatmap showing troop allocations across castles 1-13 for warlords ranked from strongest to weakest, with orange intensity indicating more troops deployed.

Charts 2020-09-11

Warlord Castle Troop Allocations Heatmap

From Can You Reach The Summit First? by Zach Wissner-Gross

Line chart comparing game-by-game Elo ratings for the 2019 and 2020 Washington Nationals, showing the 2020 season ends at game 60 while the 2019 team recovered to peak near 1585.

Charts 2020-09-11

The 2020 Nats don't have time on their side

From The Nationals Are Running Out Of Time by Neil Paine

Line chart comparing cumulative winning percentages by game number for the 1998 Florida Marlins and 2020 Washington Nationals, both showing early struggles.

Charts 2020-09-11

The Nats were doing their best '98 Marlins impression

From The Nationals Are Running Out Of Time by Neil Paine

Two choropleth maps of Pennsylvania counties: one showing Republican vote share shift between 2012 and 2016 presidential elections, and one showing share of non-Hispanic white adults without a college degree.

Maps 2020-09-15

Pennsylvania's political geography is becoming redder, especially in whiter and less-educated parts

From Why Pennsylvania Could Decide The 2020 Election by Nathaniel Rakich

Stacked bar chart showing weekly presidential election TV ad counts by sponsor (Biden campaign, Trump campaign, outside Dem. groups, outside GOP groups) from May 5 through Sept. 14, 2020.

Charts 2020-09-16

Democrats have outaired Republicans since late July

From Trump Has Lost His Edge In TV Advertising by Nathaniel Rakich

Scatter plot showing Aaron Rodgers' game-by-game completion percentage vs. expected from 2016-2020, with a rolling 10-game average trend line highlighting his Sept. 13 game against Minnesota.

Charts 2020-09-16

Rodgers was back to completing the tough throws

From Aaron Rodgers Is Playing Like Aaron Rodgers Again by Neil Paine

Line chart comparing Jacob deGrom's year-over-year fastball velocity change versus the MLB average by pitcher age from 27 to 32, showing deGrom consistently gaining velocity while peers slow down.

Charts 2020-09-17

deGrom keeps throwing faster while his peers slow down

From Jacob DeGrom Just Keeps Throwing Faster by Travis Sawchik

Scatter plot showing single-season fastball velocity vs swinging strike rate for MLB starting pitchers 2008-2020, highlighting Jacob deGrom's outlier 2020 season.

Charts 2020-09-17

deGrom's 2020 season stands alone

From Jacob DeGrom Just Keeps Throwing Faster by Travis Sawchik

Stacked bar chart showing 2020 presidential race vote preferences among Asian American subgroups, comparing Biden, Trump, Other, and Don't know percentages.

Charts 2020-09-18

2020 Presidential Race Vote — Asian American Subgroups

From How Asian Americans Are Thinking About The 2020 Election by Dhrumil Mehta

Line chart showing Democratic (48.6%) and Republican (42.2%) polling averages with confidence intervals from April 2019 through Election Day Nov. 3, 2020.

Charts 2020-09-18

Democrats vs. Republicans Generic Ballot Polling Average 2019–2020

From How Asian Americans Are Thinking About The 2020 Election by Dhrumil Mehta

Small multiples line chart showing share of Asian American voters identifying with Democrats or Republicans by national-origin group from 2012 to 2020.

Charts 2020-09-18

The GOP Has Gained Support From Asian Americans

From How Asian Americans Are Thinking About The 2020 Election by Dhrumil Mehta

Line chart showing Trump approval and disapproval ratings from January 2017 to mid-2020, with disapproval at 52.7% and approval at 43.3%.

Charts 2020-09-18

Trump Approval Ratings Over Time

From How Asian Americans Are Thinking About The 2020 Election by Dhrumil Mehta

Line chart showing estimated ideologies of Supreme Court justices since Roberts joined the court, with liberal justices in teal and conservative justices in pink, from 2005 to 2019.

Charts 2020-09-19

Ginsburg, a stalwart liberal

From What Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s Death Could Mean For 2020 And The Supreme Court by Perry Bacon Jr

Line chart showing estimated ideological scores of Supreme Court justices from 2005 to 2019, with conservative justices in pink and liberal justices in teal, highlighting RBG as the most consistently liberal.

Charts 2020-09-19

Ruth Bader Ginsburg was a stalwart liberal on the court

From What Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s Death Could Mean For 2020 And The Supreme Court by Perry Bacon Jr

Two bar charts showing percent change in USPS total monthly mail volume and shipping/packaging volume from 2019 to 2020, highlighting drops and surges during COVID-19.

Charts 2020-09-21

Mail dropped during COVID-19... but shipping soared

From How The Post Office Became A Political Football by Kaleigh Rogers

Dual horizontal bar chart showing percent change in monthly USPS total mail volume and shipping and packaging volume compared to the same period the prior year, from 2019 through mid-2020.

Charts 2020-09-21

Total mail volume dropped dramatically during the pandemic, but shipping services soared

From How The Post Office Became A Political Football by Kaleigh Rogers

Line chart showing the share of NFL regular-season field goal attempts where the opposing team called a timeout (iced the kicker) by season from 2001 to 2020, peaking near 9.5% in 2020.

Charts 2020-09-21

Teams are back to trying to ice the kicker again

From The Big Injuries And Epic Comebacks From Week 2 Of The NFL Season

Line chart showing the share of Hispanic adults identifying as Catholic, Protestant, or religiously unaffiliated from 2009 to 2018, with Catholic declining and unaffiliated rising.

Charts 2020-09-22

More Latinos are becoming religiously unaffiliated

From There’s No Such Thing As The ‘Latino Vote’ by Nathaniel Rakich, Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Line chart showing Supreme Court justices and their replacements from 1953-2019 by ideological rank based on Martin-Quinn scores, highlighting Ginsburg's replacement as potentially the third biggest shift.

Charts 2020-09-22

Ginsburg's replacement could be the third biggest shift on the court

From What The Supreme Court’s Unusually Big Jump To The Right Might Look Like by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Laura Bronner, Anna Wiederkehr

Line chart showing Supreme Court justices and their replacements from 1953-2019 by ideological rank based on Martin-Quinn scores, highlighting that Ginsburg's replacement could be the third-biggest ideological shift on the court.

Charts 2020-09-22

Ginsburg's replacement could be the third-biggest shift on the court

From What The Supreme Court’s Unusually Big Jump To The Right Might Look Like by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Laura Bronner, Anna Wiederkehr

Grouped horizontal bar chart showing share of white and Black likely voters supporting Biden, Trump, or undecided across four age groups, from FiveThirtyEight.

Charts 2020-09-23

Biden fares best with young white and older Black voters

From The Partisan, Gender and Generational Differences Among Black Voters Heading Into Election Day by Meredith Conroy, Perry Bacon Jr

Stacked bar chart showing share of Black respondents by education and household income who support Biden, Trump, or are undecided, with Biden leading across all groups.

Charts 2020-09-23

Biden outperforms most among wealthier Black people

From The Partisan, Gender and Generational Differences Among Black Voters Heading Into Election Day by Meredith Conroy, Perry Bacon Jr

Stacked area chart showing share of likely Black voters supporting Biden, Trump, or undecided from April to August 2020, with annotations for George Floyd's death and Harris VP announcement.

Charts 2020-09-23

Biden's support among Black voters has remained stable

From The Partisan, Gender and Generational Differences Among Black Voters Heading Into Election Day by Meredith Conroy, Perry Bacon Jr

Stacked horizontal bar chart showing share of Black respondents supporting Biden, Trump, or undecided by age group (18-29, 30-44, 45-64, 65+), with older groups showing higher Biden support.

Charts 2020-09-23

Older Black voters are far more supportive of Biden

From The Partisan, Gender and Generational Differences Among Black Voters Heading Into Election Day by Meredith Conroy, Perry Bacon Jr

Line chart comparing time of possession per play for the Miami Hurricanes versus the FBS average from 2004 to 2020, showing Miami dropping sharply near 2020.

Charts 2020-09-23

Miami is picking up the pace again

From Can The Miami Hurricanes Keep This Up? by Josh Planos

Stacked area chart showing the share of first-quarter offensive play calls that were runs vs passes for the Seattle Seahawks by season from 2012 to 2020.

Charts 2020-09-24

This is what Letting Russ Cook looks like

From Russell Wilson Is Finally Throwing Early And Often by Neil Paine

Line chart showing Democratic and Republican polling averages from April 2019 to November 2020, with Democrats at 48.8% and Republicans at 42.3% as of Sept. 24, 2020.

Charts 2020-09-25

Democrats vs. Republicans polling average April 2019–Election Day 2020

From Most Americans Want To Wait Until After The Election To Fill The Supreme Court Vacancy by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing presidential approval and disapproval ratings over time from January 2017 to mid-2020, with disapproval at 53.2% and approval at 42.9%.

Charts 2020-09-25

Presidential Approval Ratings: 53.2% Disapprove, 42.9% Approve

From Most Americans Want To Wait Until After The Election To Fill The Supreme Court Vacancy by Nathaniel Rakich

Diverging bar chart showing share of precedent-altering Supreme Court decisions that were unanimous, narrow, or in between under Warren, Burger, Rehnquist, and Roberts Courts, split by liberal and conservative decisions.

Charts 2020-09-28

Under Roberts, most precedents are altered by one vote

From How A Conservative 6-3 Majority Would Reshape The Supreme Court by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Laura Bronner

Line chart showing NFL home team regular-season winning percentage by season from 2000 to 2020, with a 5-year average dotted line, ending at 54.3% in 2020.

Charts 2020-09-28

Home advantage is below-average ... but up from last year

From The Eagles Played To Not Lose … Or Win

Line chart showing total combined points scored per NFL game by season from 2000 to 2020, with a sharp rise to over 50 points in 2020.

Charts 2020-09-28

NFL teams are on a scoring binge

From The Eagles Played To Not Lose … Or Win

Line chart showing approval and disapproval of Trump's response to the coronavirus crisis from March to September 2020, with disapprove at 56.4% and approve at 40.1% as of Sept. 28, 2020.

Charts 2020-09-29

Do Americans approve of Trump's response to the coronavirus crisis?

From Will The First Presidential Debate Shake Up The Race?

Dot plot showing MLB American League teams grouped by division with player performance scores plotted along a horizontal axis, with division average marked by a dotted line.

Charts 2020-09-29

AL Team Performance Scores by Division

From MLB Starting Pitchers Will Have Less Rest This Postseason by Travis Sawchik

Dot plot showing MLB National League teams grouped by division with bubble markers along a numeric axis, with a division average reference line.

Charts 2020-09-29

NL Baseball Teams Dot Plot by Division

From MLB Starting Pitchers Will Have Less Rest This Postseason by Travis Sawchik

Line chart showing pass rates by season for SEC teams and Mike Leach's Texas Tech (2004-09) and Washington State (2012-19) teams, with Leach's teams far above SEC averages.

Charts 2020-09-30

No SEC team has come close to Mike Leach's pass calls

From Is The SEC Ready For The Air Raid? Mike Leach Sure Thinks So. by Jake Lourim

Line chart showing 2020 presidential national poll averages from March to September 30, with Biden at 50.5% and Trump at 42.9%, a lead of +7.6 for Biden.

Charts 2020-09-30

Who's ahead in the national polls?

From Trump’s Chances Are Dwindling. That Could Make Him Dangerous. by Nate Silver