fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 38,954 articles, datasets, podcasts, graphics and illustrations from fivethirtyeight.com

May 2017 graphics

70 matches

Dual line chart comparing free throw attempt rates for the NBA league average and Houston Rockets across regular season and postseason from 2013-14 to 2016-17.

Charts 2017-05-02

The 2016-17 Rockets are drawing playoff fouls

From The Rockets Are Finally Playing Their Game In The Playoffs by Kyle Wagner

Dual line chart comparing 3-point attempt rates in regular season vs postseason for the league average and Houston Rockets across four seasons from 2013-14 to 2016-17.

Charts 2017-05-02

The Rockets shoot fewer threes in the playoffs

From The Rockets Are Finally Playing Their Game In The Playoffs by Kyle Wagner

Scatter plot showing House Republicans' positions on the AHCA by DW-Nominate scores as of May 3, with orange dots for opponents and gray for supporters or undecided.

Charts 2017-05-03

The AHCA now splits the GOP down the middle

From The GOP Health Care Bill May Have Found A Better Way To Fail by Harry Enten

Area chart showing Clinton's popular vote margin in FiveThirtyEight's polls-only forecast from September to November 2016, with a dotted line marking the Oct. 28 Comey letter to Congress where her lead dropped sharply.

Charts 2017-05-03

Clinton's lead cratered after the Comey letter

From The Comey Letter Probably Cost Clinton The Election by Nate Silver

Bar chart showing JaVale McGee's team point differential per 100 possessions when he was on the floor from 2008-09 to 2016-17, with a dramatic rise to nearly +20 in 2016-17.

Charts 2017-05-04

McGee is helping his team more than ever

From JaVale McGee Is No Joke by Todd Whitehead

Side-by-side NBA shot charts comparing shooting zones for 2016-17 and 2012-13 seasons, showing field goal percentage vs league average and shot frequency.

Charts 2017-05-04

NBA Shot Charts: 2016-17 vs 2012-13

From JaVale McGee Is No Joke by Todd Whitehead

Stacked bar chart showing Republican House members by 2016 margin of victory, colored by whether they voted for or against the AHCA.

Charts 2017-05-04

The AHCA could endanger GOP representatives

From The Health Care Bill Could Be A Job-Killer For GOP Incumbents by Nate Silver

Line chart comparing actual vs expected average career WAR for New York Yankees rosters by season from 1980 to 2017, showing the Yankees consistently above expected star power.

Charts 2017-05-04

The Yankees usually have more star power

From The Yankees Shouldn’t Be This Good Yet. (Yet!) by Neil Paine

Line chart showing percent change in Census Bureau budget from the second year of each decennial cycle, comparing 2011-20 cycle under Trump's proposed budget to prior cycles (1981-90, 1991-00, 2001-10).

Charts 2017-05-05

Census funding could fall behind

From Moderate Republicans Are Flexing Their Muscles by Ben Casselman, Anna Maria Barry-Jester, Maggie Koerth

Bar chart with overlaid smooth curve showing the probability of a game ending by number of rounds, peaking around round 5 and declining thereafter.

Charts 2017-05-05

Probability of the game ending

From Who Will Win The Lucky Derby? by Oliver Roeder

Bar and line chart showing monthly US job growth seasonally adjusted from 2008 to 2016, with a three-month average overlay highlighting 79 straight months of hiring.

Charts 2017-05-05

A resilient recovery: 79 straight months of hiring

From The U.S. Job Market Is On A Historic Growth Streak by Ben Casselman

Line chart showing year-over-year change in hourly earnings for all workers and non-managers from 2008 to 2016, seasonally adjusted and not adjusted for inflation.

Charts 2017-05-05

Hourly earnings, change from prior year

From The U.S. Job Market Is On A Historic Growth Streak by Ben Casselman

Two line charts showing U.S. labor force participation rate for ages 16-plus, seasonally adjusted: one from 1970 to 2017 and a zoomed view from 2010 to 2017.

Charts 2017-05-05

Labor force participation rate

From The U.S. Job Market Is On A Historic Growth Streak by Ben Casselman

Bar chart showing monthly change in retail jobs seasonally adjusted from 2013 to 2017, with negative months highlighted in orange.

Charts 2017-05-05

Trouble in retail? Monthly change in retail jobs, seasonally adjusted

From The U.S. Job Market Is On A Historic Growth Streak by Ben Casselman

Line chart comparing Macron's polling lead over Le Pen and Clinton's polling lead over Trump in the days before their respective elections, showing Macron consistently further ahead.

Charts 2017-05-05

Macron's always been further ahead than Clinton

From Le Pen Is Just A Gargantuan Polling Error Behind Macron by Harry Enten

Scatter plot of Vin Diesel films by Rotten Tomatoes score vs. domestic box office in 2016 dollars, with clusters labeled Dexterity, Wisdom, Strength, and Charisma.

Charts 2017-05-05

Vin Diesel's (cinematic) character sheet

From The Four Types Of Vin Diesel Movies by Walt Hickey

Scatter plot showing profit from betting $2 on the Kentucky Derby favorite from 1967 to 2016, with notable horses labeled and a 2013 new qualification system marker.

Charts 2017-05-05

Kentucky Derby favorites are winning again

From The Kentucky Derby Is Getting Predictable by Andrew Beaton

Line chart showing actual vs target 5km split times over 40km distance, with split and overall gaps to sub-2-hour marathon pace annotated at each interval.

Charts 2017-05-06

5km Split Times vs Sub-2 Target Pace Over 40km

From One Runner Came Tantalizingly Close To A 2-Hour Marathon by Christie Aschwanden

Choropleth map of the United States showing change in life expectancy by county from 1980 to 2014, with a color scale ranging from yellow (negative change) to dark blue (plus 12 years).

Maps 2017-05-08

Change in life expectancy by county, 1980-2014

From As U.S. Life Expectancies Climb, People In A Few Places Are Dying Younger by Anna Maria Barry-Jester

Choropleth map of the United States showing change in life expectancy by county from 1980 to 2014, with colors ranging from yellow (decline) to dark blue (increase of 12+ years).

Maps 2017-05-08

Change in life expectancy by county, 1980-2014

From As U.S. Life Expectancies Climb, People In A Few Places Are Dying Younger by Anna Maria Barry-Jester

Small multiples chart showing life expectancy trends for each U.S. state versus the national average from 1980 to 2014, with orange indicating above average and purple below average.

Charts 2017-05-08

Life expectancy in each state vs. U.S. average, 1980-2014

From As U.S. Life Expectancies Climb, People In A Few Places Are Dying Younger by Anna Maria Barry-Jester

Small multiples chart showing life expectancy trends for each U.S. state versus the national average from 1980 to 2014, arranged geographically.

Charts 2017-05-08

Life expectancy in each state vs. U.S. average, 1980-2014

From As U.S. Life Expectancies Climb, People In A Few Places Are Dying Younger by Anna Maria Barry-Jester

Scatter plot showing career adjusted yards per attempt index vs career passing attempts for retired NFL/AFL quarterbacks 1945-2016, highlighting those who became announcers in orange.

Charts 2017-05-08

Which quarterbacks became announcers?

From How Good (Or Bad) Does A QB Need To Be To Land A TV Job? by Neil Paine

Area chart showing relative Google search interest for 'Trump Russia' from November 2016 to May 2017, with spikes at the Buzzfeed dossier and Flynn resignation.

Charts 2017-05-10

The Russia story gets attention in short bursts

From How To Know if The Trump-Russia Story Has Momentum by Nate Silver

Step chart showing money remaining after repeated currency exchanges at Best Value Currency on Aug. 23, 2016, starting at $100 and ending at $8.20 after 35 exchanges.

Charts 2017-05-11

The cost of currency exchange commissions

From We Converted $100 Into As Many Currencies As Possible by Carl Bialik

Line chart showing American confidence in vote counting accuracy from 2004 to 2018, with CBS News and Gallup poll data tracking both confident and not confident responses.

Charts 2017-05-11

Americans have confidence in our vote counting

From Trump Hasn’t Diminished America’s Faith In Elections, But He Has Polarized It by Harry Enten

Heatmap table showing points per game for the top 6 Premier League teams by end-of-season rank from 2010-11 to 2016-17, with Arsenal's finishes highlighted.

Charts 2017-05-11

Arsenal held steady this year, opponents surged

From Arsenal Stood Still While Its Rivals Got Better by Michael Caley

Scatter plot showing percent of time played after March 1 by top 11 players vs points per match for big six Premier League clubs 2010-17, highlighting Arsenal's 2016-17 underperformance.

Charts 2017-05-11

Arsenal's top players haven't had time to cohere

From Arsenal Stood Still While Its Rivals Got Better by Michael Caley

Grid of 12 diagrams showing solutions for packing different numbers of squares into odd-sized square grids from 3x3 to 25x25.

Other 2017-05-12

Solutions for Packing Squares into NxN Grids (3x3 to 25x25)

From Can You Do Math Without Numbers? by Oliver Roeder

Speech bubble infographic showing five expert responses on the probability of a nuclear bomb being dropped on a civilian target in the next decade, with estimates ranging from less than 1% to 20-25%.

Tables 2017-05-15

Experts Respond: Probability of Nuclear Bomb on Civilian Target

From We’re Edging Closer To Nuclear War by Milo Beckman

Speech bubble infographic showing expert responses on estimated probability of a nuclear strike against civilians, with quotes ranging from stable to gone up.

Tables 2017-05-15

Experts Respond: Probability of a Nuclear Strike Against Civilians

From We’re Edging Closer To Nuclear War by Milo Beckman

Scatter plot comparing average domestic box office earnings vs. average Rotten Tomatoes scores for wrestlers with four or more feature-film credits.

Charts 2017-05-15

Let's go, Cena! Cena sucks! — Box Office vs. Rotten Tomatoes for Wrestlers

From There Are Lots Of Wrestlers In Hollywood, But Only Two Really Matter by Walt Hickey

Scatter plot comparing domestic box office earnings in 2016 dollars versus Rotten Tomatoes scores for films featuring WWE talent, with Dwayne Johnson movies highlighted in orange.

Charts 2017-05-15

WWE stars can land anywhere at the box office

From There Are Lots Of Wrestlers In Hollywood, But Only Two Really Matter by Walt Hickey

Dual line/scatter chart showing percent of NFL money spent on top 16 players at each offensive and defensive position from 2000 to 2017, highlighting declining spending on running backs.

Charts 2017-05-15

Teams are spending less on RBs

From Running Backs Are Finally Getting Paid What They’re Worth by Benjamin Morris

Small multiples scatter plot showing average NFL cap value of the 16 highest-paid players by position from 2000 to 2015, highlighting that running back pay has stalled compared to other positions.

Charts 2017-05-15

The average pay for top running backs has stalled

From Running Backs Are Finally Getting Paid What They’re Worth by Benjamin Morris

Four scatter plots comparing average Win Percentage Added per play for passing vs rushing on 1st and 2nd downs with 5-10 yards to go by quarter and point margin, 2000-16.

Charts 2017-05-15

When is it better to pass? Almost always.

From Running Backs Are Finally Getting Paid What They’re Worth by Benjamin Morris

Dual scatter plot showing NFL league average rush percent declining from ~75% in the 1930s to ~45% by 2010s, while yards per play rose from ~3.8 to ~5.5 over the same period.

Charts 2017-05-15

Why running sucks: League average rush percent and yards per play

From Running Backs Are Finally Getting Paid What They’re Worth by Benjamin Morris

Dot plot showing average DW-Nominate ideology scores of president's party members who supported or opposed the president during Watergate, Iran-contra, and Clinton impeachment scandals.

Charts 2017-05-16

Moderates are more likely to bolt in a scandal

From Even The Biggest Scandals Can’t Kill Party Loyalty by Julia Azari, Perry Bacon Jr, Harry Enten

Dot plot showing GOP U.S. senators and representatives who support, oppose, or are uncommitted on Trump by DW-Nominate ideology score, as of June 7, 2016.

Charts 2017-05-16

Positions on Trump by ideology

From Even The Biggest Scandals Can’t Kill Party Loyalty by Julia Azari, Perry Bacon Jr, Harry Enten

Scatter plot showing change in weighted on-base average vs. change in fly-ball rate from 2015 to 2016 for MLB players with min. 200 plate appearances, highlighting Daniel Murphy, Jason Heyward, and Kiké Hernandez.

Charts 2017-05-16

What fly-ball revolution?

From The Fly Ball Revolution Is Hurting As Many Batters As It’s Helped by Rob Arthur

Scatter plot comparing NBA teams' rank of average first-round draft position vs. average regular-season finish rank from 2001-16, highlighting the Knicks as having a worse draft position than expected.

Charts 2017-05-16

The Knicks have mismanaged the draft

From The Knicks Can’t Even Get The Draft Lottery Right by Greg Guglielmo

Scatter plot showing change in Latino crime reports in Dallas ZIP codes from 2016 to 2017 vs. non-citizen population share, with a downward trend line.

Charts 2017-05-18

Crime reporting is down in immigrant areas

From Latinos In Three Cities Are Reporting Fewer Crimes Since Trump Took Office by Rob Arthur

Bar chart showing the increasing immigration court backlog of pending cases by fiscal year from FY2000 through April 2017, reaching nearly 600K cases.

Charts 2017-05-19

The immigration court backlog is increasing

From TrumpBeat: Immigration Arrests Are Swamping The Court System by Kathryn Casteel, Ben Casselman, Anna Maria Barry-Jester

Small multiples bar charts showing how 1,382 readers distributed 100 soldiers across 10 castles in FiveThirtyEight's Riddler Nation puzzle, with winner's selections marked by flags.

Charts 2017-05-19

The battle for Riddler nation

From The Battle For Riddler Nation, Round 2 by Oliver Roeder

Line chart showing the percentage of Republican and Democratic presidential nominee voters who watched or trusted Fox News more than any other channel from 2004 to 2016.

Charts 2017-05-19

Fox News became the news hub for Republicans

From How Roger Ailes Polarized TV News by Harry Enten

Two US county-level choropleth maps comparing number of ACA insurance providers by county in 2016 vs 2017, showing fewer insurers in 2017.

Maps 2017-05-19

Insurers are leaving the ACA marketplace

From The Obamacare Marketplaces Aren’t In A Death Spiral by Anna Maria Barry-Jester

Two US county-level choropleth maps comparing number of ACA insurance providers in 2016 vs 2017, showing fewer insurers in 2017.

Maps 2017-05-19

Insurers are leaving the ACA marketplace

From The Obamacare Marketplaces Aren’t In A Death Spiral by Anna Maria Barry-Jester

Three ranked tables showing NBA teams by pick-and-roll plays per game, roll-man finishes per game, and off-ball screens per game, highlighting the Warriors' unique screening strategy.

Tables 2017-05-19

The Warriors set screens differently than any other NBA team

From The Beautiful Chaos Of The Warriors’ Offense by Chris Herring

FiveThirtyEight infographic showing rose petal diagrams for every winner on every season of The Bachelor and Bachelorette, where petals represent weeks and sections represent contestants.

Other 2017-05-22

A Rose for Every Season — Bachelor and Bachelorette Winners

From How To Spot A Front-Runner On The ‘Bachelor’ Or ‘Bachelorette’ by Ella Koeze, Walt Hickey

Radial petal charts showing the path of every winner on every season of The Bachelor and Bachelorette, where each petal is a week and each section is a contestant.

Charts 2017-05-22

A rose for every season: Bachelor and Bachelorette winners

From How To Spot A Front-Runner On The ‘Bachelor’ Or ‘Bachelorette’ by Ella Koeze, Walt Hickey

Dot-and-bar chart showing average additional weeks Bachelor contestants remain after a one-on-one date versus overall, by week of show, with one-on-one survival rates listed.

Charts 2017-05-22

Early one-on-ones have greater benefits

From How To Spot A Front-Runner On The ‘Bachelor’ Or ‘Bachelorette’ by Ella Koeze, Walt Hickey

Dot plot showing average additional weeks Bachelor contestants remain after a one-on-one date vs. overall, by week of show relative to the final four.

Charts 2017-05-22

Early one-on-ones have greater benefits

From How To Spot A Front-Runner On The ‘Bachelor’ Or ‘Bachelorette’ by Ella Koeze, Walt Hickey

Line chart showing cumulative chance of elimination over weeks after an episode for Bachelor contestants who did or did not receive a date rose, illustrating the rose advantage.

Charts 2017-05-22

The date rose advantage

From How To Spot A Front-Runner On The ‘Bachelor’ Or ‘Bachelorette’ by Ella Koeze, Walt Hickey

Line chart showing cumulative chance of elimination after an episode for Bachelor contestants who did or did not receive a date rose, over six weeks.

Charts 2017-05-22

The date rose advantage

From How To Spot A Front-Runner On The ‘Bachelor’ Or ‘Bachelorette’ by Ella Koeze, Walt Hickey

Bubble chart showing the fate of every Bachelor and Bachelorette contestant across seven outcome categories, with the largest group eliminated in weeks 2+ rose ceremony at 48%.

Charts 2017-05-22

The fate of every 'Bachelor' and 'Bachelorette' contestant

From How To Spot A Front-Runner On The ‘Bachelor’ Or ‘Bachelorette’ by Ella Koeze, Walt Hickey

Bubble chart showing the fate of every Bachelor and Bachelorette contestant, with circle sizes representing counts: 411 eliminated in weeks 2+ (48%), 291 in week 1 (34%), 68 on a date (8%), 32 won (4%), 28 quit (3%), 20 eliminated unscheduled (2%), 6 fired (1%).

Charts 2017-05-22

The fate of every 'Bachelor' and 'Bachelorette' contestant

From How To Spot A Front-Runner On The ‘Bachelor’ Or ‘Bachelorette’ by Ella Koeze, Walt Hickey

Infographic showing where first-impression roses lead on The Bachelor, breaking down 23 roses by final placement: 47.8% fifth place or below, 17.4% winners, 17.4% runners-up, 13% third place, 4.3% fourth place.

Other 2017-05-22

Where first-impression roses lead

From How To Spot A Front-Runner On The ‘Bachelor’ Or ‘Bachelorette’ by Ella Koeze, Walt Hickey

Infographic showing where 23 first-impression roses from The Bachelor lead, broken down by final placement with counts and percentages.

Other 2017-05-22

Where first-impression roses lead

From How To Spot A Front-Runner On The ‘Bachelor’ Or ‘Bachelorette’ by Ella Koeze, Walt Hickey

Line chart showing presidential approval and disapproval ratings over time from February through January, with disapproval at 54.9% and approval at 39.1% at day 124.

Charts 2017-05-24

Presidential Approval Ratings — All Polls

From We Started With 14 Possible Paths For Trump’s Presidency. Which Are Most Likely Now?

Line chart showing share of polled voters who strongly or somewhat disapprove of President Trump in 2017, with strong disapproval rising sharply from about 32% to 44%.

Charts 2017-05-24

...while his strong disapproval has risen sharply

From Donald Trump’s Base Is Shrinking by Nate Silver

Line chart showing the share of polled voters who strongly or somewhat approve of President Trump from February to June, with strong approval declining from about 29% to 22%.

Charts 2017-05-24

Trump's strong approval has fallen quickly...

From Donald Trump’s Base Is Shrinking by Nate Silver

Six bar charts comparing LeBron James and five NBA contemporaries by percentage of team games played per season, with injury annotations, through 2016-17.

Charts 2017-05-24

How LeBron stacks up against his contemporaries

From LeBron James Is Indestructible by Owen Phillips

Small multiples bar chart comparing games played per season as a percentage of team total for LeBron James, John Stockton, Karl Malone, Tim Duncan, Michael Jordan, and Kevin Garnett.

Charts 2017-05-24

How LeBron stacks up against the legends

From LeBron James Is Indestructible by Owen Phillips

Line chart showing the share of Americans under 65 without insurance from 2000 to 2026, comparing projections under the ACA, initial GOP bill, and AHCA.

Charts 2017-05-24

The new GOP health bill looks a lot like the old

From Some With Pre-Existing Conditions Could Lose Coverage Under The GOP Health Bill by Anna Maria Barry-Jester, Perry Bacon Jr

Histogram showing the Democratic lean of GOP-held House seats relative to the nation over the last two presidential elections, with Montana-At-Large highlighted.

Charts 2017-05-25

The partisan lean of GOP-held House seats

From Montana’s Special Election Could Give The GOP Another Reason To Fret by Harry Enten

Line chart showing MLB batting average on balls in play from 2000 to May 2017, highlighting a 14-year low of about 0.293.

Charts 2017-05-25

MLB's BA on balls in play is at a 14-year low

From Pitchers Are Slowing Down To Speed Up by Rob Arthur

Line chart showing average fastball velocity added per pitch vs. seconds between pitches in 2016, illustrating that pitchers who take more time between pitches throw harder.

Charts 2017-05-25

Pitchers who take their time throw harder

From Pitchers Are Slowing Down To Speed Up by Rob Arthur

Side-by-side hexagonal shot charts for Kevin Love comparing the 2013-14 and 2016-17 NBA seasons, showing shot frequency and field goal percentage vs. league average by court zone.

Charts 2017-05-25

Kevin Love Shot Chart 2013-14 vs. 2016-17

From The Cavs Are Built For LeBron by Kyle Wagner

Table categorizing Republican-aligned groups by examples, associated politicians, and policy priorities, covering media, business, activists, cultural conservatives, religious conservatives, and intellectuals.

Tables 2017-05-26

GOP Coalition Groups, Politicians, and Priorities

From Some Of The GOP’s Institutions Have More Reason To Be Loyal To Trump Than Others by Perry Bacon Jr

Dot plot showing share of words spelled correctly by word length in the Scripps National Spelling Bee from 1996 to 2016, with number of words per length shown as colored bars.

Charts 2017-05-30

Long words aren't harder to spell

From What Makes The Spelling Bee So Hard (Published 2017) by Oliver Roeder