fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

April 2010

Drill, Barry, Drill
Study Claiming Link Between Stimulus Funding and Partisanship is Manifestly Flawed
Veronique de Rugy Responds to Critique of Stimulus Study
Encouraging Employment Data...Sort Of
Encouraging Employment Data…Sort Of
Getting It “Right” on the UK Numbers
The Best Jobs Report In a Long Time
Obama Surge Vote, Part 3: House Races
Att’n: City-Dwellers
Obama Surge Vote, Part 3: House Races
A Teacup Half-Full
Jonah Goldberg, Quarter Slave (Conceptually)
538's UK Coverage in the Guardian
Jonah Goldberg, Anti-Maldistributionist
Democrats are Enthusiastic; Republicans are More So
A Theory of Relativity
Has Augusta Gone Soft?
Is an Anti-Islam Wave Hitting Europe?
Generic Ballot Points Toward Possible 50+ Seat Loss for Democrats
Supremes Get Ready for Encore
A Theory of Relativity
Southern Republicans Prefer Romney?
Do Manhattanites Get Their Money's Worth?
Newt Gingrich: Dominated Strategy?
New Data on Tea Party Sympathizers
Consolidate the Base, Then Move to the Center
Additional Information on New York Neighborhood Ratings
Why Turnout Matters
Pollster Responds to Your Questions
Specter Remains Vulnerable in Primary
Romney, Not Paul, Fares Best in '12 Matchups
Tea Party Bears Beck's Imprint
You Asked For It, You Got It
Use of Likely Voter Model Does Not Explain Rasmussen "House Effect"
Is Deflation the Real Problem?
Selection bias in UK polling (Part 1): Cell phones
Selection Bias in UK Polling (Part 2): Internet Polling
Is the Lib-Dem Surge For Real? (Part 1: The Problem)
Double Down by the Numbers: Unhealthiest Sandwich Ever?
Do Democrats Have a Dodd Problem?
How Similar Are Tea Party and Perot Movements?
Wrong Arguments that Sound Right
Is the Lib-Dem Surge For Real? (Part 2: Target Seats)
How Weak Is the GOP's 2012 Field?
Rubio's Path Easiest, Crist's Challenging, in Potential Three-Way Race
Senate Forecast Update: Little Chance of GOP Takeover, but Dem Position Remains Precarious
On Goldman
Labour Danger: Uniform Swing Calculations May Understate Risk to Incumbents
Stop, Drop and Poll
Utah’s Bennett May Be First Incumbent Casualty
Obama, Immigration and The Latino Vote
Kaine: “Republicans Are the Obstruction People”
Gallup: Plurality of Americans Like Arizona Immigration Law
On That Other Three-Way Race...
UK Seats Projection: Tories 299, Labour 199, LibDems 120
Post-UK Debate Scenarios
Strong Second by LibDems Could Help Tories
On That Other Three-Way Race…
Gallup: Plurality of Americans Like Arizona Immigration Law
How Our UK Forecast Model Works