fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

June 2009

GOP Has Always Been Dominated by White Voters
Senate Rankings, June 2009 Edition
Would Mike Dukakis Have Won the 2008 Election?
Pro-Life States Have Lower Abortion Rates
Would Mike Dukakis Have Won the 2008 Election?
Targeting House Democratic Freshmen, Part 1
Targeting House Democratic Freshmen, Part 1
Gubernatorial Power Rankings: Crist, Freudenthal Top List
Is Gay Marriage Coming or Going in NY State?
Targeting House Democratic Freshmen, Part 2
Home Stretch of European Parliament Elections; Egg-Pelting Continues
Does History Dictate That New Jersey and Virginia Will Elect Republican Governors in November?
Brits and Dutch Vote Today; Skeptics Leading
Control of Virginia Redistricting Hinges on Races Far Under the Radar
Get Ready for Hockey Dad!
As Go These Four So Go the Dems?
McAuliffe : Virginia :: Dean : Iowa?
Exit Polls and Outrageous Folded Ballots in NL and UK
Liberal Blogger Matt Yglesias Wants to Tax Your Beer! I Want to Tax Drunk Drivers.
Latinos Love Sotomayor–But How Much?
New York's Gillibrand Has Become Lockstep Liberal
March of the Greens?
The Palin Paradox: Women More Likely to be Elected in Male-Dominated Districts
Obama’s Top Targeter Bullish on Montana and Worried About Gingrich; Predicts Deeds Win Tomorrow
VA Gov a Test Case for the “Martin Effect”?
Has The Geithner Plan Succeeded?
Following Leadership Coup, Gay Marriage Probably DOA in New York State [UPDATED: Or Is It?]
Primary Eve in VA: Anticipating the Analysis
Starbucks Beats Peet’s?
N.R.A. Muscle Saves 538, Blocks D.C. Voting Rights
A Note About Those VA Turnout Numbers
Virginia Gubernatorial Primary Live Blog
Paterson Now Less Popular Than Spitzer
Size and Distribution of the VA Primary Vote
Do Americans Trust Obama on Terrorism or Just Dismiss the Terrorist Threat?
Gay Marriage, State by State: A Tipping Point?
How To Get 63% of Americans to Support Gay Marriage. (Maybe.)
Deeds Leads
American Medical Association Has Long Donated to Opponents of Health Care Reform
Leader Limbaugh: Chalk One Up to Obama, DNC
Gay Marriage, State by State: A Tipping Point?
Polling and Voting in Iran's Friday Election
Obama Approval Rating Exceeds 50% in States Containing 445 Electoral Votes
Statistical Report Purporting to Show Rigged Iranian Election Is Flawed
Gay Rights are Popular in Many Dimensions
Weekend Amusement: Is Roy Barnes Fighting History?
Iran Does Have Some Fishy Numbers
Iranian Election Results by Province [UPDATED]
Polling Predicted Intimidation -- and Not Necessarily Ahmadinejad's Victory
Polling Predicted Intimidation — and Not Necessarily Ahmadinejad’s Victory
Recount in Iran?
On Health Care, Who's Hooked on Special Interest Money?
Placer is the New Orange
If He Did It
Don't Expect Ensign to Resign
Personal Democracy Forum, June 29th-30th
Ahmadinejad's Rural Votes
Who Wants School Vouchers? Rich Whites and Poor Nonwhites
Karroubi's Unlucky 7's?
Unconvincing (to me) Use of Benford's Law to Demonstrate Election Fraud in Iran
Congress: A Good Place for Health Care To Die
Are Republicans Undercutting Themselves On Blame For Deficits?
Iranian Leadership Split On Response
The Ayatollah's Flawed Logic
Public Support for the Public Option
Worst. Damage Control. Ever.
Is it “Schlocky” to Compare Life Expectancies Between Countries?
Lazy Sunday Linkage: Public Option, Iran, Nate v. Karl Rove
Voting With Their Feet?
Worst. Damage Control. Ever.
Special Interest Money Means Longer Odds for Public Option
Grassroots Bipartisanship on Health Care
Another Iranian Oddity
George F. Will Admits Public Option Will Cut Costs
Good Morning, Tehran
NRCC Bullish About Taking Down Rookie and Sophomore Dems
Elections Without Section 5?
Sanford to Minneapolis? (Nope -- Argentina?)
Sanford to Minneapolis? (Nope — Argentina?)
Why is the Washington Post Testing Republican Messages on Health Care?
Sanford’s “Hiking” Affair: Spitzer/Edwards, or Giuliani/Vitter?
Obama’s (Unintentionally?) Brilliant Strategy on Cap-and-Trade
Sanford: More Resignation Pressure than other Pantsless Pols
The Environmental Indifference Point
The Republican “Next-In-Line” Myth
Cap-and-Trade, State-by-State
Sex scandals, le style Français
Sex scandals, le style Français
Cap-and-Trade Bill Passes House
Statistical Tests and Election Fraud
How To Destroy (Almost) Half the Planet for the Low, Low Price of Just 5% of Global GDP
Palin-Romney ’12
Americans Tightening Belts
Wyden Not?
The Limited Influence of the Median Voter
Should Sanford Resign?
UPDATE: Do Americans Worried About Terrorist Attack Trust Obama?
Minnesota Supreme Court Rejects Coleman’s Claims, Rules Election Was Fair
Obama, Sotomayor and Affirmative Action