fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

April 2009

A Tied Congressional Election Every 400 Years or So
What the NY-20 "Tie" Means
Extrapolation Extravaganza Tonight in New York’s 20th
Comparing Election Outcomes to Poll Aggregates, by State
Revisionist History in NY-20
Should the Democrats Primary Chris Dodd?
Will Iowans Uphold Gay Marriage?
Why Marijuana Legalization is Gaining Momentum
Whigs, Federalists Strongly Differ on Support for Obama
Government Spending, Equality and Development
Irrationality versus Naivete
NY-20: Absentee Ballot Distribution Appears to Favor Murphy (D)
The Pick-Your-Poison Paradox
Gay Marriage in the District: Danger Will (and Steve) Robinson?
Why I’ve Been Ignoring the Minnesota Recount
Fact and Fiction on Gay Marriage Polling
What Do Americans Think About Gay Rights and Discrimination?
The Have-Nots Aren’t Having It
Senate Rankings, April 2009 Edition
Do Blue State Have Higher Unemployment Rates?
What Would a “Bipartisan” Obama Look Like? (Hint: A Lot Like the One We’re Seeing)
The Partisan Public (Exhibit #14612)
Is Norm Coleman Getting His Money’s Worth?
No PirateBump™ for Obama
Carrots and Sticks for Specter: A Model for Democrats?
Battle of Saratoga, Frivolous Challenges Won’t Save Tedisco
Swiss Banks, Taxes and Tea Parties
How Many Attended The Tea Parties?
“Tea Party” Protests Appear to Draw At Least 250,000
Red and Blue Economies?
Tea Party Nonpartisan Attendance Estimates: Now 300,000+
Hey Rick, Can We Talk?
NY-20: Challenged Ballots Will Aid Murphy; No Apprent Path to Victory for Tedisco
National Elections Getting Closer; Individual Congressional Elections Getting Less Close
Plurality of New Yorkers Support Same Sex Marriage
When Does ‘Close’ Become Too-Close-to-Call?
Are the Republicans Going Galt?
When Hope is the Enemy of Change
The Pope and the Planet
Senate Fundraising All-Stars
Why Doesn’t Mike Huckabee Get More Respect?
Messing with Texas
Race and the 2008 Election, Revisited
Murphy Wins in NY-20: Let the Spin Begin!
The Environmental Inverted Pyramid
Were the Tea Parties Really a Libertarian Thing?
Recession, Succession, and Secession
Explaining the Contradictory Torture Polling
Specter’s Switch More Insult Than Injury to GOP
What Kind of Democrat Will Arlen Specter Be?
More on the Contradictory Torture Polling
But Now He’s *Our* No-Good, Dirty Rotten Bastard
Six Degrees of Swine Flu
Diseases and Calcuations of Social Network Size
Party of No(body)?
Two National Polls, for First Time, Show Plurality Support for Gay Marriage