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October 2022 graphics

60 matches

Atlanta Falcons passing stats table showing Marcus Mariota with 7/19 completions, 139 yards, 7.3 avg, 0 TD, 1 INT, 1-8 sacks, 26.5 QBR, 41.4 RTG.

Tables 2022-10-03

Atlanta Passing Stats — Marcus Mariota

From Who’s Contending — And Pretending — Among The NFL’s Top Teams?

Table comparing NFL teams with 2 actual wins to their expected wins and difference, showing Tennessee Titans and New York Jets as most overperforming, Jacksonville Jaguars as most underperforming.

Tables 2022-10-03

NFL Teams: Actual Wins vs. Expected Wins (2-Win Teams)

From Who’s Contending — And Pretending — Among The NFL’s Top Teams?

Scatter plot of NFL teams by offensive EPA per play (x-axis) vs defensive EPA per play (y-axis), with team logos as data points and a regression line.

Charts 2022-10-03

NFL Teams: Offensive EPA/Pl vs Defensive EPA/Ply

From Who’s Contending — And Pretending — Among The NFL’s Top Teams?

Two connected dot plots showing two-party vote margins for North Carolina presidential and Senate races from 2008 to 2020, illustrating how close the results have been.

Charts 2022-10-05

North Carolina's recent federal elections have been very close

From Are Democrats Heading For Another Disappointment In North Carolina? by Alex Samuels

Two connected dot plots showing two-party vote margins for North Carolina presidential and U.S. Senate races from 2008 to 2020, with results ranging from D+6 to R+12.

Charts 2022-10-05

North Carolina's recent federal races have been very close

From Are Democrats Heading For Another Disappointment In North Carolina? by Alex Samuels

Dot plot infographic showing 100 simulated outcomes of Pennsylvania's Senate race, with Fetterman favored at 73 in 100 and Oz at 27 in 100.

Charts 2022-10-05

Fetterman is favored to win Pennsylvania's Senate election

From John Fetterman’s Lead In Pennsylvania Is Tightening — And So Are Democrats’ Chances In The Senate by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing polling averages for the 2022 Pennsylvania Senate race, with Fetterman (blue) leading at 48.7% and opponent (red) at 42.0% as of Oct. 5, 2022.

Charts 2022-10-05

Pennsylvania Senate Race Polling Average: Fetterman +6.6 (Oct. 5, 2022)

From John Fetterman’s Lead In Pennsylvania Is Tightening — And So Are Democrats’ Chances In The Senate by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing polling averages for Fetterman (blue, 48.7%) and opponent (red, 42.0%) in the 2022 Pennsylvania Senate race from July to November 2022, with Fetterman leading by +6.6 on Oct. 5.

Charts 2022-10-05

Pennsylvania Senate Race Polling Average: Fetterman +6.6 on Oct. 5, 2022

From John Fetterman’s Lead In Pennsylvania Is Tightening — And So Are Democrats’ Chances In The Senate by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing Democratic (blue, 45.3%) vs Republican (red, 44.3%) generic ballot polling averages from mid-2021 to October 2022, with Democrats leading by +1.0 as of Oct. 6, 2022.

Charts 2022-10-07

Generic Ballot Polling Average: Democrats vs Republicans 2021-2022

From When Did Americans Stop Caring About COVID-19? by Kaleigh Rogers, Zoha Qamar

Line chart showing presidential approval and disapproval ratings from January 2021 to October 2022, with disapproval at 51.5% and approval at 42.7% on Day 625.

Charts 2022-10-07

Presidential Approval Ratings Through Day 625

From When Did Americans Stop Caring About COVID-19? by Kaleigh Rogers, Zoha Qamar

Spreadsheet table showing NFL team season stats including Games, PPG for, PPG vs, and PPG total, with DET 2022 highlighted in blue.

Tables 2022-10-10

NFL Team PPG Statistics Table

From Geno Smith Leads The NFL’s Growing List Of Unsung QBs

Three scatter plots comparing rushing metrics versus play action effectiveness in the NFL from 2011 to 2017, showing R-squared values near zero.

Charts 2022-10-10

Rushing versus play action effectiveness, NFL 2011-2017

From Geno Smith Leads The NFL’s Growing List Of Unsung QBs

Horizontal bar chart showing calculated Democratic and Republican vote margins in Colorado's 8th District across eight recent statewide elections from 2016 to 2020.

Charts 2022-10-12

Voters in Colorado's 8th District have favored Democrats

From Why The GOP Might Pick Up Colorado’s Newest District by Alex Samuels, Kaleigh Rogers

Horizontal bar chart showing calculated Democratic and Republican vote margins in Colorado's 8th District across eight recent statewide elections from 2016 to 2020.

Charts 2022-10-12

Voters in Colorado's 8th District have favored Democrats

From Why The GOP Might Pick Up Colorado’s Newest District by Alex Samuels, Kaleigh Rogers

Bar chart showing the distribution of expected Senate seat counts for each party across 40,000 simulations, with a 31.8% chance Democrats win 50 or 51 seats.

Charts 2022-10-13

How many Senate seats we expect each party to win

From Can Democrats Win 52 Senate Seats And Kill The Filibuster? by Nathaniel Rakich

Histogram showing distribution of Senate seat counts for each party across 40,000 simulations, with a 31.8% chance Democrats win 50 or 51 seats.

Charts 2022-10-13

How many Senate seats we expect each party to win

From Can Democrats Win 52 Senate Seats And Kill The Filibuster? by Nathaniel Rakich

Histogram showing the distribution of expected Senate seat counts for each party based on 40,000 simulations from FiveThirtyEight's Deluxe model, with a 33.8% chance Democrats win 52 or more seats.

Charts 2022-10-13

How many Senate seats we expect each party to win

From Can Democrats Win 52 Senate Seats And Kill The Filibuster? by Nathaniel Rakich

Histogram showing expected Senate seat counts for each party based on 40,000 simulations from FiveThirtyEight's Deluxe model, with a 33.8% chance Democrats win 52 or more seats.

Charts 2022-10-13

How many Senate seats we expect each party to win

From Can Democrats Win 52 Senate Seats And Kill The Filibuster? by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing Democratic (blue, 45.8%) vs Republican (red, 44.8%) polling averages from mid-2021 to October 2022, with Democrats leading by +1.1 points as of Oct. 13, 2022.

Charts 2022-10-14

Generic Congressional Ballot Polling Average 2021–2022

From Five Decades Into The War On Drugs, Decriminalizing Marijuana Has High Bipartisan Support by Zoha Qamar

Line chart showing presidential approval and disapproval ratings from January 2021 to October 2022, with disapproval at 52.3% and approval at 42.6% on Day 632.

Charts 2022-10-14

Presidential Approval Ratings Through Day 632

From Five Decades Into The War On Drugs, Decriminalizing Marijuana Has High Bipartisan Support by Zoha Qamar

Diamond-lattice state diagram showing possible combinations of socks on a chair (0-14) versus socks in a basket (0-28), with arrows indicating transitions and a pink region highlighting states above 9 socks on chair.

Charts 2022-10-14

Number of Socks on Chair vs. Number of Socks in Basket

From Can You Salvage Your Rug? by Zach Wissner-Gross

Heatmap showing the probability of folding all socks as a function of the max number of socks on a chair versus the initial number of pairs of socks in a laundry basket.

Charts 2022-10-14

Probability of Folding All Socks

From Can You Salvage Your Rug? by Zach Wissner-Gross

A grid of squares with a white cutout forming the shape of the letter U, likely representing a unit chart or icon grid with a portion removed.

Other 2022-10-14

Unit grid chart with U-shaped cutout

From Can You Salvage Your Rug? by Zach Wissner-Gross

Google Trends screenshot showing interest over time for the search term 'polls' in the United States from 2004 to present, with peaks around election years.

Charts 2022-10-14

Google Trends: Interest Over Time for 'Polls' (2004–present)

From Betting Markets Are Treating The Midterm Elections Like It’s A Presidential Election by Nate Silver

NFL quarterback stats table comparing Bailey Zappe, Brian Hoyer, and Mac Jones across passing metrics including completions, yards, touchdowns, and passer rating.

Tables 2022-10-17

NFL QB Stats: Zappe, Hoyer, Mac Jones

From The Center Of The Football Universe Is … New York? (Is That Right?)

Charts 2022-10-17

NFL Teams: EPAPerDB vs EPA/DesRsh Scatter Plot

From The Center Of The Football Universe Is … New York? (Is That Right?)

Line chart showing Georgia Senate race polling averages from April to October 2022, with Warnock leading at 48.0% versus 43.9% on Oct. 18, 2022.

Charts 2022-10-18

Georgia Senate Poll Averages: Warnock +4.1 (Oct. 18, 2022)

From How Have The Georgia Polls Moved Since Herschel Walker’s Abortion Controversy? by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing polling averages for Warnock (blue, 48.0%) vs opponent (red, 43.9%) in the 2022 Georgia Senate race from April to October 2022.

Charts 2022-10-18

Georgia Senate Poll Averages: Warnock leads +4.1 as of Oct. 18, 2022

From How Have The Georgia Polls Moved Since Herschel Walker’s Abortion Controversy? by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing how the Georgia Senate forecast changed over time from June to November, with Democratic chances rising to 59 in 100 and Republican falling to 41 in 100.

Charts 2022-10-18

How the Georgia Senate forecast has changed

From How Have The Georgia Polls Moved Since Herschel Walker’s Abortion Controversy? by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing how the Georgia Senate forecast has changed over time, with Democratic chances rising to 59-in-100 and Republican chances falling to 41 by November 1.

Charts 2022-10-18

How the Georgia Senate forecast has changed

From How Have The Georgia Polls Moved Since Herschel Walker’s Abortion Controversy? by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing FiveThirtyEight's House forecast probability changes from June 1 to November 1, with Republicans at 73 in 100 and Democrats at 27 in 100.

Charts 2022-10-19

How the House forecast has changed

From We Tried To Outguess The FiveThirtyEight Forecast

Small multiples of distribution histograms showing EPA per play against two-high coverage for NFL seasons 2016-2021, with a dotted line marking the 2022 EPA/play value.

Charts 2022-10-20

Teams are struggling a bit against two-high coverages in 2022

From NFL Offense Is Dead — But It’s Unlikely Two-High Coverage Is The Guilty Party by Josh Hermsmeyer

Six stacked histogram distributions showing expected points added per play against two-high coverage for NFL seasons 2016–2021, with a 2022 EPA/play reference line.

Charts 2022-10-20

Teams are struggling a bit against two-high coverages in 2022

From NFL Offense Is Dead — But It’s Unlikely Two-High Coverage Is The Guilty Party by Josh Hermsmeyer

Line chart showing Republican and Democratic polling averages from mid-2021 to October 2022, with Republicans leading by +0.1 points on Oct. 20, 2022.

Charts 2022-10-21

Generic Ballot Polling Average: Republicans Lead by +0.1 (Oct. 20, 2022)

From Why I’m Telling My Friends That The Senate Is A Toss-Up by Nate Silver

Line chart showing Republican (red) and Democratic (blue) generic ballot polling averages from July 2021 to October 2022, with Republicans leading by +0.1 on Oct. 20, 2022.

Charts 2022-10-21

Generic Ballot Polling Average: Republicans vs. Democrats 2021-2022

From Why I’m Telling My Friends That The Senate Is A Toss-Up by Nate Silver

Line chart showing how the Senate forecast changed from June to November, with Democrats at 58 in 100 and Republicans at 42 in 100 chances of winning the chamber.

Charts 2022-10-21

How the Senate forecast has changed

From Why I’m Telling My Friends That The Senate Is A Toss-Up by Nate Silver

Line chart showing how each party's forecasted chances of winning the Senate have changed from June to November, with Democrats at 58 in 100 and Republicans at 42 in 100.

Charts 2022-10-21

How the Senate forecast has changed

From Why I’m Telling My Friends That The Senate Is A Toss-Up by Nate Silver

Four circular dot graphics showing the probability of each party controlling Congress: Republicans win both chambers 41 in 100, split control scenarios, and Democrats win both 21 in 100.

Other 2022-10-21

Who Will Control Congress?

From Why I’m Telling My Friends That The Senate Is A Toss-Up by Nate Silver

Four circular icon arrays showing odds of each party controlling Congress: Republicans win both chambers 41 in 100, Democrats win both 21 in 100, split Senate/House scenarios less than 1 and 38 in 100.

Other 2022-10-21

Who Will Control Congress?

From Why I’m Telling My Friends That The Senate Is A Toss-Up by Nate Silver

Scatter plot of NFL Team Tiers for 2022, plotting each team's Offense EPA/play vs Defense EPA/play for regular season weeks 1-7, with team logos as data points.

Charts 2022-10-24

NFL Team Tiers, 2022

From We Don’t Want To Blame San Francisco’s Defensive And Tampa Bay’s Offensive Problems On Injuries

Scatter plot of NFL team logos showing 2022 passing and rushing defense by Dropback EPA/play allowed vs Rush EPA/play allowed for regular season weeks 1-7.

Charts 2022-10-24

Passing and Rushing Defense, 2022

From We Don’t Want To Blame San Francisco’s Defensive And Tampa Bay’s Offensive Problems On Injuries

Line chart showing Republican (red) and Democratic (blue) generic ballot polling averages from mid-2021 to October 2022, with Republicans leading by 0.5 points on Oct. 24, 2022.

Charts 2022-10-24

Generic Ballot Polling Average: Republicans vs. Democrats 2021–2022

From The Polls Are Getting Better For Republicans by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing Republican and Democratic polling averages from mid-2021 to Election Day Nov. 8, 2022, with Republicans leading by +0.5 points on Oct. 24, 2022.

Charts 2022-10-24

Generic Congressional Ballot Polling Average Through Oct. 24, 2022

From The Polls Are Getting Better For Republicans by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing how FiveThirtyEight's House forecast changed from June to November, with Republicans at 80-in-100 and Democrats at 20-in-100 chances of winning.

Charts 2022-10-24

How the House Forecast Has Changed

From The Polls Are Getting Better For Republicans by Nathaniel Rakich

Line chart showing how the House forecast changed from June to November, with Republicans at 80 in 100 and Democrats at 20 in 100 chances of winning.

Charts 2022-10-24

How the House forecast has changed

From The Polls Are Getting Better For Republicans by Nathaniel Rakich

Dot plot infographic showing FiveThirtyEight election model simulations for Florida's 13th District, with Anna Paulina Luna winning 97 in 100 scenarios and Eric Lynn winning 3 in 100.

Charts 2022-10-25

Paulina Luna is clearly favored to win Florida's 13th District

From Most Candidates Who Think 2020 Was Rigged Are Probably Going To Win In November by Kaleigh Rogers

Dot plot chart showing how Democrats, Republicans, frequent churchgoers, and non-churchgoers view Christian power in society, covering discrimination perceptions and beliefs imposition.

Charts 2022-10-27

Americans are divided over how much power Christians have

From How Much Power Do Christians Really Have? by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Dot plot chart showing how Democrats, Republicans, frequent churchgoers, and non-churchgoers view Christian power and discrimination in society, based on a 2022 poll.

Charts 2022-10-27

Americans are divided over how much power Christians have

From How Much Power Do Christians Really Have? by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Infographic showing survey results on Americans' views about faith and government, with four questions answered using proportional colored blocks and percentages.

Other 2022-10-27

Only a small minority of Americans want a Christian government

From How Much Power Do Christians Really Have? by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Stacked bar chart showing survey responses from Americans on four questions about faith and government, including Christian values, church-state separation, and favoring Christianity.

Charts 2022-10-27

Only a small minority of Americans want a Christian government

From How Much Power Do Christians Really Have? by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Distribution histogram showing likelihood that a random set of 24 unscripted plays by the 2022 SF 49ers has a given average EPA per play, compared with their scripted plays average EPA.

Charts 2022-10-27

The Niners' issue with unscripted plays is unlikely to be a fluke

From The Niners’ Offense Is Cruising — Until Kyle Shanahan Runs Out Of Scripted Plays by Josh Hermsmeyer

Horizontal bar chart showing the likelihood distribution of average EPA per play for random sets of 24 unscripted plays by the 2022 San Francisco 49ers, compared to their scripted play average EPA.

Charts 2022-10-27

The Niners' issue with unscripted plays is unlikely to be a fluke

From The Niners’ Offense Is Cruising — Until Kyle Shanahan Runs Out Of Scripted Plays by Josh Hermsmeyer

Line chart showing Republican vs Democrat generic ballot polling averages from mid-2021 to October 2022, with Republicans leading by +0.6 points on Oct. 27, 2022.

Charts 2022-10-28

Generic Ballot Polling Average: Republicans vs Democrats (2021-2022)

From The Supreme Court Could Overturn Another Major Precedent. This Time, Americans Might Agree. by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Zoha Qamar

Dot plot comparing total purse values per event for LIV Golf, PGA Tour, and PGA Tour Majors in the 2021-22 season and 2023 season, showing LIV Golf pushing PGA Tour to increase purse sizes.

Charts 2022-10-28

LIV Golf is pushing the PGA Tour to increase purse size for some tournaments

From How LIV Golf Is Tearing The Sport Apart, In 3 Charts by Alex Newman, Neil Paine

Dot plot comparing total purse values per event for LIV Golf, PGA Tour, and PGA Tour Majors in the 2021-22 and 2023 seasons, showing LIV Golf pushing PGA Tour to increase purses.

Charts 2022-10-28

LIV Golf is pushing the PGA Tour to increase purse size for some tournaments

From How LIV Golf Is Tearing The Sport Apart, In 3 Charts by Alex Newman, Neil Paine

Line chart showing presidential approval and disapproval ratings over time from January 2021 to October 2022, with disapproval at 53.0% and approval at 42.3% on Day 646.

Charts 2022-10-28

Presidential Approval Ratings Through Day 646

From The Supreme Court Could Overturn Another Major Precedent. This Time, Americans Might Agree. by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Zoha Qamar

Tile grid map of US states showing percentage change in number of abortions from April to August 2022 after the Dobbs decision, with states colored from dark purple (100% decline) to green (increase).

Maps 2022-10-30

Several states saw a complete drop in abortions after Dobbs

From Overturning Roe Has Meant At Least 10,000 Fewer Legal Abortions by Maggie Koerth, Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Horizontal bar chart showing the difference in estimated total abortions pre- and post-Dobbs by state, with states like Texas seeing large declines and Illinois seeing the largest increase of 2,710.

Charts 2022-10-30

Some states absorbed abortion demand from others, but the overall number declined

From Overturning Roe Has Meant At Least 10,000 Fewer Legal Abortions by Maggie Koerth, Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Horizontal bar chart showing the difference in estimated total abortions by state between pre-Dobbs (April-May) and post-Dobbs (July-August), with states losing abortions in dark red and states gaining in green.

Charts 2022-10-30

Some states absorbed abortion demand from others, but the overall number declined

From Overturning Roe Has Meant At Least 10,000 Fewer Legal Abortions by Maggie Koerth, Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Scatter plot of NFL Team Tiers for 2022 regular season weeks 1-8, plotting each team's offensive EPA/play vs defensive EPA/play using team logos.

Charts 2022-10-31

NFL Team Tiers, 2022

From The No-Fun League Almost Ruined Week 8