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September 2018 graphics

44 matches

Horizontal bar chart showing the number of comments made at Supreme Court confirmation hearings by nominee, from Frankfurter in 1939 to Kagan in 2010, with Bork having the most.

Charts 2018-09-04

Everybody talks, everybody talks too much

From Supreme Court Confirmation Hearings Have More Questions And Fewer Answers Than Ever Before by Oliver Roeder

Horizontal bar chart showing the number of unique issues addressed at Supreme Court confirmation hearings by nominee from 1939 to 2010.

Charts 2018-09-04

Recent hearings cover a lot of ground

From Supreme Court Confirmation Hearings Have More Questions And Fewer Answers Than Ever Before by Oliver Roeder

Line chart showing how often Jon Kyl, John McCain, and the median GOP senator voted with Republicans on party-line votes from 1995 to 2013.

Charts 2018-09-04

Jon Kyl tends to toe the party line

From McCain’s Replacement Is No Maverick by Perry Bacon Jr

A dot plot showing Brett Kavanaugh's ideological position compared to other appellate judges on a liberal-to-conservative spectrum, with blue dots for Democratic appointees and red dots for Republican appointees.

Charts 2018-09-05

How Brett Kavanaugh's ideology compares to other appellate judges

From Kavanaugh Was Quietly Conservative On Day 2 Of His Hearing by Perry Bacon Jr, Oliver Roeder

Line chart showing Democratic vs Republican generic ballot polling averages from May 2017 through Election Day Nov. 6, 2018, with Democrats at 49.0% and Republicans at 40.1%.

Charts 2018-09-06

Generic Ballot Polling: Democrats vs Republicans (2017–2018)

From Here’s A New, Less Volatile Version Of Our Generic Ballot Tracker by Nate Silver

Line chart showing generic congressional ballot polling from May 2017 to Election Day Nov. 6, 2018, with Democrats at 48.3% and Republicans at 39.9%.

Charts 2018-09-06

Generic Congressional Ballot: Democrats vs. Republicans 2017-2018

From Here’s A New, Less Volatile Version Of Our Generic Ballot Tracker by Nate Silver

Line chart showing presidential approval and disapproval ratings over 595 days from January 2023 to July 2024, with disapproval at 53.7% and approval at 40.0%.

Charts 2018-09-06

Presidential Approval Ratings: 53.7% Disapprove, 40.0% Approve (Day 595)

From Here’s A New, Less Volatile Version Of Our Generic Ballot Tracker by Nate Silver

Scatter plot showing NFL players' average Approximate Value vs. guaranteed contract money as a share of the salary cap (2000-15), with a positive correlation trend line and labeled points for T. Brady, N. Suh, and M. Dareus.

Charts 2018-09-06

How much value do big-contract players produce?

From The Rams And Bears Spent Big On Non-Quarterbacks. Will They Regret It? by Neil Paine

Line chart showing Democratic vs Republican generic ballot polling averages from May 2017 to Election Day Nov. 6, 2018, with Democrats at 48.3% and Republicans at 39.9%.

Charts 2018-09-07

Generic Ballot Polling: Democrats vs Republicans 2017-2018

From Just About Everyone In Florida Has Already Decided Who To Vote For by Dhrumil Mehta, Janie Velencia

Line chart showing presidential approval and disapproval ratings over time from January 2023 to July 2024 (Day 595), with disapproval at 53.7% and approval at 40.0%.

Charts 2018-09-07

Presidential Approval Ratings: 53.7% Disapprove, 40.0% Approve

From Just About Everyone In Florida Has Already Decided Who To Vote For by Dhrumil Mehta, Janie Velencia

Two area charts showing that serve-and-volley win percentage stayed steady around 65% in women's Wimbledon matches 2002-2018, while the number of such points dropped sharply from ~780 to under 200.

Charts 2018-09-07

The serve-and-volley is consistently effective ... but no one uses it anymore

From The Serve-And-Volley Works, But Women’s Tennis Players Aren’t Using It by Amy Lundy

Line chart showing the percentage of House and Senate races won by the top-spending candidate from 2000 to 2016, with House consistently above 85% and Senate ranging from about 73% to 88%.

Charts 2018-09-10

The candidate who spends the most usually wins

From How Money Affects Elections by Maggie Koerth

Map of the northeastern United States with red and blue directional arrows scattered across several states, likely indicating voting shifts or migration patterns.

Maps 2018-09-10

Northeastern US Map with Red and Blue Directional Arrows

From The Last 2018 Primary Briefing: New Hampshire, Rhode Island And New York by Nathaniel Rakich

Donut chart showing 54% of Democrats prefer Obama-like candidates, 29% prefer Sanders-like, and 18% are not sure, from a YouGov poll July 22-24, 2018.

Charts 2018-09-12

Democrats prefer Obama over Sanders

From Does Obama Motivate Democrats Anymore? Or Just Republicans?

Horizontal bar chart showing which U.S. presidents Republicans and Democrats say did the best job as president during their lifetime, with 1st and 2nd choice breakdowns.

Charts 2018-09-12

Democrats say Obama best president; Republicans name Reagan

From Does Obama Motivate Democrats Anymore? Or Just Republicans?

Grouped bar chart showing which U.S. presidents each generation (Millennials, Gen X, Boomers, Silents) names as best president during their lifetime, with 1st and 2nd choice percentages.

Charts 2018-09-12

Millennials widely view Obama as one of the best presidents; more Boomers and Silents name Reagan

From Does Obama Motivate Democrats Anymore? Or Just Republicans?

Line chart comparing guaranteed money vs per-game injury probability for holdout vs no-holdout scenarios for NFL running back Le'Veon Bell, assuming a $55 million contract.

Charts 2018-09-13

Only if he gets a bigger-than-expected deal

From Why Le’Veon Bell Might Make More Money If He Ends His Holdout Now by Josh Hermsmeyer

Line chart comparing guaranteed money for Le'Veon Bell under holdout vs. no holdout scenarios across per-game injury probability, showing crossover point around 3.9%.

Charts 2018-09-13

Should Le'Veon Bell Hold Out?

From Why Le’Veon Bell Might Make More Money If He Ends His Holdout Now by Josh Hermsmeyer

Line chart showing Democratic vs Republican generic ballot polling averages from May 2017 to Election Day Nov. 6, 2018, with Democrats at 48.8% and Republicans at 39.7%.

Charts 2018-09-14

Generic Ballot Polling: Democrats 48.8% vs Republicans 39.7%

From Trump’s Approval Rating Is Down. Mueller’s Is Up. Is There A Connection? by Janie Velencia

Line chart showing presidential approval and disapproval ratings over time from January 2023 to July 2023, with disapproval at 53.7% and approval at 39.9% on Day 602.

Charts 2018-09-14

Presidential Approval Ratings: 53.7% Disapprove, 39.9% Approve

From Trump’s Approval Rating Is Down. Mueller’s Is Up. Is There A Connection? by Janie Velencia

Log-log line chart showing expected number of packs required to collect all cards versus total number of different cards, for pack sizes m=1 to m=100, with an asymptotic approximation n/m(log(n)+γ).

Charts 2018-09-14

Expected number of packs required to collect all cards

From To Solve The Eccentric Billionaire’s Puzzle, You Must First Defeat The Banker by Oliver Roeder

Line chart showing unique cards held versus number of 10-card packs purchased for the FiveThirtyEight Riddler Classic Silver Set, with multiple simulation paths and a red mean curve.

Charts 2018-09-14

Riddler League Football Cards, Silver Set: Unique Cards vs Packs Purchased

From To Solve The Eccentric Billionaire’s Puzzle, You Must First Defeat The Banker by Oliver Roeder

Line chart showing the number of Tommy John surgeries by year from 2009 to 2018 for minor and major league pitchers and MLB pitchers only, comparing whole-year totals to through-Sept. 12 counts.

Charts 2018-09-14

Tommy Johns are slowing

From Tommy John Surgeries Are Down In MLB. Will It Last? by Travis Sawchik

Choropleth map of the US showing observed percent change in very heavy precipitation by region, ranging from -12% in Hawaii to 71% in the Northeast.

Maps 2018-09-17

Observed Change in Very Heavy Precipitation

From Slow-Moving Storms Like Florence Produce Big Floods — And Are Becoming The Norm by Maggie Koerth

Bubble timeline chart comparing Mueller's Russia investigation to past special investigations since 1973, showing indictments and guilty pleas per week over years into each investigation.

Charts 2018-09-18

How Mueller's investigation compares with past inquiries

From Why Manafort’s Flip May Matter More Than 25 Russian Indictments by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Dot plot comparing special investigations since 1973 by number of indictments and guilty pleas per week over years into investigation, as of July 13, 2018.

Charts 2018-09-18

Mueller has indicted many people abroad

From Why Manafort’s Flip May Matter More Than 25 Russian Indictments by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Horizontal bar chart showing percentages of adults saying various workplace sexual harassment issues are major problems, broken down by gender and political affiliation.

Charts 2018-09-19

Democrats far more likely than Republicans to see men getting away with sexual harassment and women not being believed a

From How Will The Troubled Kavanaugh Nomination Affect The Midterms?

Bar chart showing total number of NFL games with a Vegas line of at least 15 points by week for the 1970-2017 seasons, with week 5 having the highest count.

Charts 2018-09-20

Vegas doesn't usually set huge early season spreads

From Vegas Doesn’t Usually Set Huge Underdogs In Week 3. For The Bills, They’ll Make An Exception. by Neil Paine

Line chart showing generic congressional ballot polling from May 2017 to November 2018, with Democrats at 49.2% and Republicans at 40.4% as of Sept. 20, 2018.

Charts 2018-09-21

Generic Congressional Ballot: Democrats vs. Republicans 2017-2018

From The Gender Gap Might Narrow From 2016 — But That Could Be Bad For The GOP by Janie Velencia

Line chart showing presidential approval and disapproval ratings over time from January 2023 to July 2024, with disapproval at 53.6% and approval at 40.5% on day 609.

Charts 2018-09-21

Presidential Approval Ratings: 53.6% Disapprove, 40.5% Approve

From The Gender Gap Might Narrow From 2016 — But That Could Be Bad For The GOP by Janie Velencia

Line chart comparing completion percentage by depth of target for Ryan Fitzpatrick, Jameis Winston, and the league average from 2009-18 when not pressured.

Charts 2018-09-21

Ryan Fitzpatrick vs. Jameis Winston — Completion % by Depth of Target

From Jameis Winston Is A Better Quarterback Than Ryan Fitzpatrick by Josh Hermsmeyer

Dot plot showing career field goal percentage for NFL kickers with at least 15 attempts by draft status (drafted 1st-4th round, drafted 5th+, undrafted) from 2000-2018.

Charts 2018-09-21

Does being drafted even matter?

From Memo To NFL GMs: Stop Drafting Kickers by Michael Salfino

Dot plot comparing Judicial Common Space scores of current Supreme Court justices and potential nominees including Kavanaugh, Hardiman, Kethledge, and Barrett on a liberal-to-conservative scale.

Charts 2018-09-26

There are others like Kavanaugh

From Will The GOP Base Really Stay Home If Kavanaugh Isn’t Confirmed?

Scatter plot showing MLB qualified batters' share of fly balls that are home runs vs. ground balls per fly ball in 2018, with Christian Yelich highlighted as an outlier.

Charts 2018-09-26

Christian Yelich is an outlier among qualified batters

From Christian Yelich Isn’t Even Trying To Hit Home Runs by Travis Sawchik

Scatter plot showing every NCAA FBS team since 2007 by offensive and defensive efficiency, with Alabama's seasons highlighted in red in the top-right corner.

Charts 2018-09-27

Alabama is scary good

From Alabama’s Offense Is Now As Terrifying As Its Defense by Josh Planos

Line chart showing Alabama's first-half pass percentage from 2007 to around 2019 since Nick Saban took over, with values fluctuating between roughly 40% and 54%.

Charts 2018-09-27

Alabama's first-half pass percentage since Nick Saban took over

From Alabama’s Offense Is Now As Terrifying As Its Defense by Josh Planos

Table showing factors, impact scores, and explanations for the 2018 Texas Senate race between Ted Cruz and Beto O'Rourke, with a total of D+0.3.

Tables 2018-09-28

Cruz vs. O'Rourke 2018 Senate Race Forecast Factors

From Election Update: Why Our Model Thinks Beto O’Rourke Really Has A Chance In Texas by Nate Silver

Table showing factors, impact scores, and explanations for the Nevada Senate race between Dean Heller and Jacky Rosen, with a total of D+0.5.

Tables 2018-09-28

Nevada Senate Race Factors: Heller vs. Rosen

From Election Update: Why Our Model Thinks Beto O’Rourke Really Has A Chance In Texas by Nate Silver

Heatmap of commute data showing a diagonal pattern of values ranging from 0 to over 3000, with darker blue cells indicating higher values.

Charts 2018-09-28

Heatmap of Commute

From The Robot Invasion Has Come For Our Pool Halls by Oliver Roeder

Dot plot showing Grand Slam wins since 2003 for active male tennis players including Federer, Nadal, Djokovic, Murray, Wawrinka, del Potro, and Cilic, with orange lines marking each player's 30th birthday.

Charts 2018-09-28

No man under 30 holds a major tennis title

From There Are Officially Zero Men’s Grand Slam Winners In Their 20s by Tom Perrotta

Scatter plot with trend line showing the age of Grand Slam tennis winners since 1930, illustrating a rising average age over time.

Charts 2018-09-28

The average age of Slam winners is creeping up

From There Are Officially Zero Men’s Grand Slam Winners In Their 20s by Tom Perrotta

Line chart showing Democratic vs Republican generic ballot polling averages from May 2017 to Election Day Nov. 6, 2018, with Democrats at 49.6% and Republicans at 40.9%.

Charts 2018-09-28

Generic Ballot Polling: Democrats vs Republicans 2017-2018

From Do Republican Women Support Kavanaugh? by Janie Velencia, Dhrumil Mehta

Scatter plot with trend line showing net support for Brett Kavanaugh's Supreme Court confirmation declining from July to late September 2018, with key events annotated.

Charts 2018-09-28

Kavanaugh is getting less popular

From Do Republican Women Support Kavanaugh? by Janie Velencia, Dhrumil Mehta

Line chart showing presidential approval and disapproval ratings over time from January 2023 to September 2023, with disapproval at 52.8% and approval at 41.5% on Day 617.

Charts 2018-09-28

Presidential Approval Ratings: 52.8% Disapprove, 41.5% Approve

From Do Republican Women Support Kavanaugh? by Janie Velencia, Dhrumil Mehta