fivethirtyeightindex

Explore 21,350 pages from fivethirtyeight.com preserved by the Internet Archive

December 2011

Does Romney Have a Moderate Problem?
Mistrust of Institutions May Touch G.O.P. Itself
How Safe Is Gingrich’s Lead in Iowa?
Other Than That, Mr. Cain, How Was the Campaign?
Gingrich’s Unimpeachable Conservative Credential
The Real G.O.P. Dark Horse: None of the Above
After $10,000 Offer, Some Bet Against Romney
Reads & Reactions
Reads and Reactions
Jon Huntsman’s Path to Victory
A First Iowa Forecast: Race Is Still Wide Open
The Politics of the Top 1 Percent
Gingrich Momentum Slows, Polls Suggest
How Our Primary Forecasts Work
Do Iowa Polls Predict New Hampshire Results?
Des Moines Register Endorsement Has a Mixed Predictive Track Record
Paul Moves Into Lead in Iowa Forecast
Explaining Obama’s Approval Rating Bounce
In Iowa, Conservative Republicans Have Overachieved Polls
Paul’s Influence Doesn’t Just Depend on Him
Reads & Reactions
Reads and Reactions
How Can Romney Lose?
A Snapshot of the Race for the Senate
Polling Gridlock in Iowa Could Produce Last-Minute Momentum
New Iowa Poll May Understate Paul’s Support
The Santorum Surge in Iowa and Beyond
Our Smartest and Dumbest Columns of 2011
Iowa Update: Slow and Steady May Win the Race for Romney