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December 2009

A Cop-Killer’s Impact on 2012
Responsibility, Means and Interests
The Speech Isn’t the Story
Poll Finds Widespread Apathy Among Black Voters
The Very Open GOP Field
World Cup Draw Preview
Maine Revisited: Is There a Backlash Against Same-Sex Marriage?
Gaming Out GOP 2012 Scenarios
World Cup 2010 Advancement Probabilities
Improving Unemployment Numbers Make Political Case for Jobs Bill Stronger, Not Weaker
Some Key Nuggets of the Afghanistan Strategy Speech
538 –> Copenhagen
In Polls, Much Opposition to Health Care Plan Is From Left
Copenhagen Dispatch
The New Identity Politics Party
No Surprises in the Bay State
ERASMUS in America (Cultural Integration)
Despite Protests, Some Reason for Optimism in Copenhagen
My Last Words on the Public Option
Craziness With a Touch of Nutmeg
Obama in Oslo
Countries Most Vulnerable to Climate Change Are Least Aware of Threat
If An Economy Recovers and No One Cheers It, Does It Make a Sound?
Parker Wins Houston Mayoralty
Greg Mankiw, Stimulus Critic: So Wrong He’s Actually Right
Joe Lieberman: Smarter Than Br’er Fox
How To Nuke the Filibuster
The Public Option Fight May Not Have Been Winnable
Why Progressives Are Batshit Crazy to Oppose the Senate Bill
Berlusconi the Survivor
20 Questions for Bill Killers
Health Care: The Elevator Pitch
20 Questions, 20 Responses
A Typology for Congressional Retirements
An Uncharitable Take on a Liberal Poll
Nelson Pledges Support For Health Care Bill, Making Passage Likely
An Extremely Premature Retrospective on the Kill Bill Strategy
Can’t Tell the Conservatives and Liberals Apart Without a Program
What Republicans Can Learn from French Communists
Bruce Tix or 2.4 Birds in the Bush?
The Insidious Myth of Reconciliation
Could Obama Have Sold the Public Option?
Insurance Stocks Rise on News of Health Care Deal; What’s It Mean?
Another Left-Right Convergence
A Bit More Context on Health Insurer Stocks
2009’s Most Valuable Democrat Is…
Senate Passes Historic Health Care Reform Bill on Party Line Vote
Health Insurance Stocks Decline on News of Senate Passage of Reform Bill; Have Underperformed Market Since Start of Week
Postscript
Happy Holidays from 538!
For Pelosi, Many Paths to 218
The Obama Strategy in Black and White
The Odds of Airborne Terror
On the Meaning of the New Left
The Senate's Bill Helps Working Families
The Internet is Underrated: A Note on Activism, Populism and Polarization at the End of the 'Aughts
Election 2012: Ben Nelson (D-NE) Trails Jesus in Reelection Bid
Health Insurance and the Family Budget: Highly Affordable for Some, More Affordable for All
Opposition Strategy 101
Senate Rankings, December 2009 Edition
Happy New Year and Decade