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November 2008

72-Hour Program?
Brett Marty's Ten Predictions -- From the Gut
On Pennsylvania Being "In Play"
Today’s Polls, 10/31
Road to 270: Missouri
Trick or Treat
Pennsylvania Sanity Check
Senate Projections, 11/1
Road to 270: Georgia
Technical Note
Brett Marty’s Ten Predictions — From the Gut
Road to 270: Wisconsin
Today’s Polls, 11/1
Reassurance for Dems in NBC/WSJ Survey
The Cellphone Effect, Continued
What A McCain Win Looks Like...
72-Hour Program?
On Pennsylvania Being “In Play”
Road to 270: Michigan
Tallahassee, Florida, Moments Ago
Road to 270: Pennsylvania
House Effects in Action
Today’s Polls, 11/2: Afternoon Edition
Google Traffic Suggests McCain Not Grabbing Voters’ Attention
Road to 270: Colorado
What A McCain Win Looks Like…
538 RSS Feed Widget
Chicago Tomorrow
Is Dixville Notch Predictive?
On the Road: Atlanta, Georgia
The Cellphone Effect, Continued
Reassurance for Dems in NBC/WSJ Survey
Today’s Polls, 3 AM Edition (11/3)
Site Note
Coming Attractions
On the Road: I-4 Corridor, Florida
Election Night Viewers’ Guide
National Polls Magically Converge!
Road to 270: Ohio
Obama Marches Toward Victory
Road to 270: Virginia
Today’s Polls, 11/3 (PM Edition)
10:06 PM Update
3??
8:15 PM Update
AP Calls Florida for Obama
AP Calls New Hampshire
Barack Obama President-Elect of the United States
Barack Obama Wins Ohio
Brett Marty's Gut Wrong
Chris Shays Loses in Connecticut
Grant Park Woes
Hagan Beats Dole in North Carolina
Indiana II...
Indiana...
McCain's Concession Speech
Meta
Musgrave in Colorado Getting Whupped
Obama Wins Virginia
Obama to Become Next President
Omaha
Outstanding States
Republicans Likely to Hold MS-Sen, KY-Sen
The Drama of the Night is Now the Senate
The Georgia Senate Race
Tom Udall Wins New Mexico Senate Seat
Virginia...
Want to See Something Funny?
What's Left - Senate Version
Wow
On the Road: Atlanta, Georgia
Chicago Tomorrow
Is Dixville Notch Predictive?
FINAL Senate Projection, 11/4: 7-8 Democratic Pickups Likely
Ten Reasons Why You Should Ignore Exit Polls
2,077,765
Today’s Polls and Final Election Projection: Obama 349, McCain 189
What Will We Know by 7 PM?
How Early Voting Changed the Game in 2008
Election Night Thread, 6:00 PM
Indiana…
Ground Game, and What to Expect
What In The Hell Happened in Alaska?
Indiana II…
8:15 PM Update
Hagan Beats Dole in North Carolina
AP Calls New Hampshire
Grant Park Woes
Meta
Virginia…
The Georgia Senate Race
Want to See Something Funny?
Brett Marty’s Gut Wrong
Tom Udall Wins New Mexico Senate Seat
Barack Obama Wins Ohio
Obama to Become Next President
Chris Shays Loses in Connecticut
10:06 PM Update
Republicans Likely to Hold MS-Sen, KY-Sen
The Drama of the Night is Now the Senate
3??
Omaha
Musgrave in Colorado Getting Whupped
Obama Wins Virginia
AP Calls Florida for Obama
Barack Obama President-Elect of the United States
McCain’s Concession Speech
Wow
What’s Left – Senate Version
Outstanding States
A Few Notes From the National Exit Poll
More Updates on MT, MO, NC, IN
Barack Obama Wins Indiana
Minnesota Senate Update; Plus Chambliss Barely Over 50%
Barack Obama Crushed John McCain in Nevada
Dems Gain One Governor’s Chair
Franken Pulls Ahead; Georgia Is Screwy; Omaha Call Premature
In Nation’s Capital, Pandemonium After Obama Victory
Georgia Senate Race Headed For Runoff
Chicago, The Day After
The Popular Vote
What Remains Uncalled
Site Problems
What In The Hell Happened in Alaska?
Obama Outperforms Kerry Among Virtually All Demographics
Chicago Event Tonight
Obama Likely to Win Omaha Electoral Vote
AP Calls Maryland House Seat for Dem
Electoral Projections Done Right: Live From Chicago, Transition Press Conference #1
Electoral Projections Done Right: Obama Wins Omaha, NE Electoral Vote; Final Tally Looks to be 365-173
Electoral Projections Done Right: Senator, You Can Have My Answer Now, If You Like
Electoral Projections Done Right: Uncounted Votes May Push Begich Past Stevens
What Remains Uncalled
Senator, You Can Have My Answer Now, If You Like
Live From Chicago, Transition Press Conference #1
Obama Wins Omaha, NE Electoral Vote; Final Tally Looks to be 365-173
Big City Barack
AP Calls Maryland House Seat for Dem
Uncounted Votes May Push Begich Past Stevens
The Contact Gap: Proof of the Importance of the Ground Game?
Electoral Projections Done Right: 2010 Senate Rankings, Part I: Races #21-#35
Electoral Projections Done Right: Obama's Electoral Cushion
Big City Barack
Obama’s Electoral Cushion
2010 Senate Rankings, Part I: Races #21-#35
Electoral Projections Done Right: Democrats Net Two Secretary of State Seats
Electoral Projections Done Right: Franken's Odds of Winning Recount May Be Long -- or Short
Electoral Projections Done Right: More Minnesota Madness
Electoral Projections Done Right: Whistling Past Bubba
Franken’s Odds of Winning Recount May Be Long — or Short
Whistling Past Bubba
More Minnesota Madness
Democrats Net Two Secretary of State Seats
Electoral Projections Done Right: Minnesota Recount: Number of Discrepancies May Be Low
Electoral Projections Done Right: Prop 8 Myths
Minnesota Recount: Number of Discrepancies May Be Low
Prop 8 Myths
Ballot Design Quiz
Begich Goes Into Lead by Three Votes
Begich Leads By 814 Going Into Thursday
Was 2008 A Realigning Election? Ask Me In Eight Years.
Is Jackson Jr. Illinois’ Choice?
Stevens’ Lead Shrinks to 971 Votes, With Many Yet to be Counted
Begich Goes Into Lead by Three Votes
Begich Leads By 814 Going Into Thursday
Georgia Runoff Will Be Tough on Pollsters
A Few More Hillary Hypotheticals
Runoffs All About Enthusiasm, GOTV
Alaska Update: Begich Leads By 1,061, Then 1,022
Dartmouth Study: Minnesota Undervotes Should Favor Franken
Alaska Update: Begich Leads By 1,061, Then 1,022
Is Secretary of State a Stepping Stone?
What’s Holding Up Missouri?
For Obama, Will Familiarity Erode Contempt?
Penultimate Alaska Update; Uncalled Congressional Races
A Few Notes on the Media
Why The Networks Haven’t Called Missouri
An Interview with John Ziegler on the Zogby "Push Poll"
For Obama, Will Familiarity Erode Contempt?
Penultimate Alaska Update; Uncalled Congressional Races
Zogby Engages in Apparent Push Polling for Right-Wing Website
Dean Defends Lieberman Decision, Speaks of “Mandate for Reconciliation”
Begich Will Be Alaska’s First U.S. Senate Democrat Since Gravel
[UPDATED] On First Day of Recount, Franken Gains Net of 43 Votes on Coleman
An Interview with John Ziegler on the Zogby “Push Poll”
Dear Democrats: If You Must Blame, Blame Obama
[UPDATED] In Minnesota Recount, Both Candidates are Losers Thus Far
Coleman Leads Franken By 136 Votes After Thursday Count
[UPDATED] On First Day of Recount, Franken Gains Net of 43 Votes on Coleman
Napolitano Reportedly Picked for Homeland Security, Casting Doubt on Potential Senate Run
Did Talk Radio Kill Conservatism?
Minnesota: Is Franken Being Too Nice?
Coleman's Lead Down to 120 as Challenges Skyrocket
Coleman Leads Franken By 136 Votes After Thursday Count
Friday eCommerce Interlude
The Final Words (For Now) on Zieglergate
Ballot Challenges On Rise in Minnesota
Amid Epidemic of Challenges, Coleman Appears to Expand Lead
Coleman’s Lead Down to 120 as Challenges Skyrocket
The Ghosts of 1993
Amid Epidemic of Challenges, Coleman Appears to Expand Lead
Projection: Franken to Win Recount by 27 Votes
Dubious in Delaware
[UPDATED] State Pegs Coleman Lead at 172 Votes; Challenges Increase for Fourth Straight Day
Illinois: Let the People Decide
Coleman Challenges Increasing Exponentially
Mini-Sota Update, Day 6
Dubious in Delaware
[UPDATED] State Pegs Coleman Lead at 172 Votes; Challenges Increase for Fourth Straight Day
Minnesota Challenged Ballot Primer
Georgia: Martin Stuck in Neutral?
Obama’s Agenda & The Difference Between Tactics & Strategy
Mini-Sota Update, Day #7
Mini-Sota Update, Day 6
Obama Popular Vote Margin Largest Ever for Non-Incumbent
Minnesota Canvassing Board Punts on Rejected Absentee Ballots
Georgia Runoff On Our Mind
Mini-Sota Update, Day #7
Chris Matthews Staffing Up for Probable Senate Run in 2010
The Population and the Popular Vote
Matthews Denies Report
Minnesota Challenged Ballot Examples
2010 Senate Rankings, Part II: Races #11-#20
Obama's Organizers in Georgia, But Not Obama